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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 12, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Hawks58%104104
23Raptors42%101101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 25.1
41.1
35.6
9
27%
9
4
2
1
0
1
3
6
3-4
75%
3-12
6-11
25%
51%
0-3
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.6
37.1
35.4
10
71%
13
2
1
1
2
1
3
10
0-0
-
5-7
7-13
71%
56%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.5
36.6
32.9
26
56%
2
3
0
1
0
5
0
2
5-7
71%
9-15
5-11
60%
49%
1-5
20%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.7
35.2
29.3
8
45%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
2-3
0%
46%
2-6
33%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.2
20.1
22.0
8
67%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
49%
2-5
40%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.8
33.9
31.9
36
68%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
8-8
100%
8-12
4-9
67%
48%
4-11
36%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.9
16.6
17.2
1
27%
6
1
0
1
0
1
3
3
1-2
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 31.0
11.0
9.0
2
57%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
2-4
50%
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.6
7.3
4.9
4
114%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.0
1.0
7.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.1
10.8
0
1-2
43%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 22.2
4.5
0
1-1
48%
Pape Sy
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 22.8
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 24.6
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.2
39.5
35.7
26
57%
3
1
0
1
2
4
1
2
1-2
50%
11-18
7-13
61%
50%
1-4
25%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 21.4
39.5
36.2
9
39%
5
2
0
1
1
5
0
5
1-1
100%
4-11
7-14
36%
51%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 23.7
36.2
24.2
9
101%
7
3
1
1
2
1
1
6
1-1
100%
4-4
4-6
100%
59%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.3
31.7
30.7
11
48%
2
9
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
51%
2-4
50%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 26.0
27.4
27.3
6
50%
5
0
2
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
4-7
60%
52%
0-1
0%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 28.1
30.1
27.1
26
75%
4
5
3
1
0
1
1
3
3-3
100%
10-13
4-7
77%
50%
1-3
33%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.4
16.3
12.9
6
43%
4
5
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
45%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.6
15.4
18.9
8
69%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-4
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
51%
0-0
-
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 27.1
3.9
14.7
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.6
11.4
0
1-2
51%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 24.5
8.0
0
1-2
50%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 30.7
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 22.8
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 33.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.