FinalWin Prob.pScore
1158%104
104
2342%101
101
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
113.09289.2
TOR logo TOR
108.69397.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLTOR
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR104
100%
101
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0ATLHawks Rebound102
96.5%
101
3.5%
Q4 - 0:02.0TORMISS Calderon 2' Driving Layup102
95.2%
101
4.8%
Q4 - 0:08.0ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)102
63.9%
101
36.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0TORJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T13)99
21.2%
101
78.8%
Q4 - 0:30.0TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)99
13.4%
101
86.6%
Q4 - 0:31.0ATLMISS Crawford 3PT Jump Shot99
16.8%
101
83.2%
Q4 - 0:38.0ATLHawks Rebound99
30.1%
101
69.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0ATLJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)99
19.3%
101
80.7%
Q4 - 0:38.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)99
30.1%
101
69.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0ATLMISS Johnson 14' Pullup Jump Shot99
19.5%
101
80.5%
Q4 - 0:45.0TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)99
31.2%
101
68.8%
Q4 - 0:53.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 3 of 3 (36 PTS)99
64.5%
98
35.5%
Q4 - 0:53.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 3 (35 PTS)98
62.6%
98
37.4%
Q4 - 0:53.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 3 (34 PTS)97
60.2%
98
39.8%
Q4 - 1:02TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS)96
34.3%
98
65.7%
Q4 - 1:20ATLHorford 2' Running Layup (10 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)96
63.9%
95
36.1%
Q4 - 1:25TORDeRozan Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T12)94
51.5%
95
48.5%
Q4 - 1:43ATLCrawford 30' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS)94
37.7%
95
62.3%
Q4 - 2:12TORBargnani 9' Pullup Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Calderon 8 AST)91
20.2%
95
79.8%
Q4 - 2:33TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)91
25.6%
93
74.4%
Q4 - 2:34ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
29.9%
93
70.1%
Q4 - 2:58TORBargnani Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T11)91
42.4%
93
57.6%
Q4 - 3:05TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)91
28.7%
93
71.3%
Q4 - 3:07ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
32.5%
93
67.5%
Q4 - 3:12ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)91
42.6%
93
57.4%
Q4 - 3:13ATLMISS Crawford 2' Layup91
32.4%
93
67.6%
Q4 - 3:29TORBargnani 11' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS)91
42.7%
93
57.3%
Q4 - 3:33TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)91
52.8%
91
47.2%
Q4 - 3:35TORMISS Bargnani 7' Running Jump Shot91
59.8%
91
40.2%
Q4 - 3:42TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
52.7%
91
47.3%
Q4 - 3:44ATLMISS Johnson 14' Turnaround Jump Shot91
55.8%
91
44.2%
Q4 - 4:06ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
62.8%
91
37.2%
Q4 - 4:07TORMISS Bargnani 12' Fadeaway Jumper91
59.8%
91
40.2%
Q4 - 4:38ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)91
52.5%
91
47.5%
Q4 - 5:02TORBarbosa 2' Driving Layup (26 PTS)88
37.4%
91
62.6%
Q4 - 5:28ATLJohnson 5' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS)88
44.9%
89
55.1%
Q4 - 5:54TORBarbosa 2' Driving Layup (24 PTS)86
37.1%
89
62.9%
Q4 - 6:11ATLSmith 1' Driving Dunk (9 PTS)86
47.0%
87
53.0%
Q4 - 6:22ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
40.0%
87
60.0%
Q4 - 6:23TORMISS Bargnani 20' Jump Shot84
37.6%
87
62.4%
Q4 - 6:42TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
32.3%
87
67.7%
Q4 - 6:43ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 3 of 384
33.3%
87
66.7%
Q4 - 6:43ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 3 (19 PTS)84
38.2%
87
61.8%
Q4 - 6:43ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 3 (18 PTS)83
36.8%
87
63.2%
Q4 - 7:02TORBarbosa Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)82
29.5%
87
70.5%
Q4 - 7:02TORCalderon Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)82
29.0%
86
71.0%
Q4 - 7:24ATLHorford 2' Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)82
48.5%
83
51.5%
Q4 - 7:41TORBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)80
42.1%
83
57.9%
Q4 - 7:57TORBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
34.9%
83
65.1%
Q4 - 7:58ATLMISS Bibby 3PT Jump Shot80
37.0%
83
63.0%
Q4 - 8:17ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)80
43.4%
83
56.6%
Q4 - 8:18TORMISS Barbosa 3PT Jump Shot80
41.5%
83
58.5%
Q4 - 8:34ATLHorford Traveling Turnover (P1.T14)80
37.3%
83
62.7%
Q4 - 8:58TORBayless 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Barbosa 5 AST)80
43.3%
83
56.7%
Q4 - 9:04TORBarbosa REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
50.7%
81
49.3%
Q4 - 9:05ATLMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
52.5%
81
47.5%
Q4 - 9:12ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw Technical80
56.6%
81
43.4%
Q4 - 9:25ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)80
56.5%
81
43.5%
Q4 - 9:26TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
54.8%
81
45.2%
Q4 - 9:34TORBarbosa REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
50.7%
81
49.3%
Q4 - 9:35ATLMISS Crawford 13' Jump Shot80
52.5%
81
47.5%
Q4 - 9:45ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)80
56.5%
81
43.5%
Q4 - 9:46TORMISS Bayless 16' Pullup Jump Shot80
54.7%
81
45.3%
Q4 - 9:59ATLCrawford Free Throw 3 of 3 (30 PTS)80
50.6%
81
49.4%
Q4 - 9:59ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 3 (29 PTS)79
49.9%
81
50.1%
Q4 - 9:59ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 3 (28 PTS)78
49.0%
81
51.0%
Q4 - 10:04ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)77
39.9%
81
60.1%
Q4 - 10:05TORMISS DeRozan 1' Driving Layup77
38.2%
81
61.8%
Q4 - 10:19ATLWilkins Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)77
34.5%
81
65.5%
Q4 - 10:37TORJohnson 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bayless 5 AST)77
39.8%
81
60.2%
Q4 - 10:50TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
45.3%
79
54.7%
Q4 - 10:51ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot77
47.0%
79
53.0%
Q4 - 11:09TORDavis 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bayless 4 AST)77
51.3%
79
48.7%
Q4 - 11:38ATLCrawford 16' Jump Shot (27 PTS)77
56.7%
77
43.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR75
51.3%
77
48.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0TORBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
47.0%
77
53.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Wilkins Free Throw 2 of 275
47.6%
77
52.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Wilkins Free Throw 1 of 275
51.1%
77
48.9%
Q3 - 0:10.0ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
51.6%
77
48.4%
Q3 - 0:11.0TORMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 275
50.9%
77
49.1%
Q3 - 0:11.0TORDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)75
48.2%
77
51.8%
Q3 - 0:11.0TORRAPTORS Rebound75
52.0%
76
48.0%
Q3 - 0:12.0ATLMISS Crawford 18' Jump Shot75
53.5%
76
46.5%
Q3 - 0:30.0ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
56.7%
76
43.3%
Q3 - 0:31.0TORMISS Barbosa 2' Driving Layup75
55.3%
76
44.7%
Q3 - 0:56.0ATLEvans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)75
52.0%
76
48.0%
Q3 - 1:15TORBarbosa 2' Driving Layup (19 PTS)72
42.1%
76
57.9%
Q3 - 1:29ATLTeague Palming Turnover (P2.T12)72
47.4%
74
52.6%
Q3 - 1:52TORBarbosa 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS)72
51.9%
74
48.1%
Q3 - 1:58ATLBarbosa STEAL (3 STL)72
57.2%
72
42.8%
Q3 - 2:08TORBarbosa Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)72
61.5%
72
38.5%
Q3 - 2:08TORBarbosa Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)72
62.2%
71
37.8%
Q3 - 2:24TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
66.0%
70
34.0%
Q3 - 2:25ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot72
67.2%
70
32.8%
Q3 - 2:41ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)72
70.0%
70
30.0%
Q3 - 2:42TORMISS Kleiza 9' Turnaround Jump Shot72
68.8%
70
31.2%
Q3 - 2:55TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
66.0%
70
34.0%
Q3 - 2:56ATLMISS Smith 15' Turnaround Jump Shot72
67.2%
70
32.8%
Q3 - 3:22TORDavis 2' Dunk (5 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)72
70.1%
70
29.9%
Q3 - 3:29ATLJohnson STEAL (1 STL)72
73.6%
68
26.4%
Q3 - 3:33ATLHawks Rebound72
77.1%
68
22.9%
Q3 - 3:33ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot72
74.7%
68
25.3%
Q3 - 3:57TORKleiza 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)72
77.1%
68
22.9%
Q3 - 4:08TORRAPTORS Rebound72
79.3%
66
20.7%
Q3 - 4:10ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
80.3%
66
19.7%
Q3 - 4:14ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)72
82.5%
66
17.5%
Q3 - 4:15ATLMISS Crawford 3PT Jump Shot72
80.3%
66
19.7%
Q3 - 4:26ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)72
82.5%
66
17.5%
Q3 - 4:27TORMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
81.6%
66
18.4%
Q3 - 4:52ATLJohnson 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS)72
79.4%
66
20.6%
Q3 - 5:14ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
75.9%
66
24.1%
Q3 - 5:15TORMISS DeRozan 2' Driving Layup70
74.9%
66
25.1%
Q3 - 5:37ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T9)70
72.4%
66
27.6%
Q3 - 5:52TORBargnani 1' Reverse Layup (19 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)70
76.0%
66
24.0%
Q3 - 6:05TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
78.2%
64
21.8%
Q3 - 6:06ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot70
79.1%
64
20.9%
Q3 - 6:30TORBargnani Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T9)70
81.1%
64
18.9%
Q3 - 6:35TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
78.2%
64
21.8%
Q3 - 6:36ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
79.1%
64
20.9%
Q3 - 7:05TORCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)70
80.1%
64
19.9%
Q3 - 7:23ATLEvans 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)70
84.5%
61
15.5%
Q3 - 7:37TORDeRozan Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)67
80.2%
61
19.8%
Q3 - 7:48ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)67
77.5%
61
22.5%
Q3 - 8:08TORBargnani 8' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)67
79.9%
61
20.1%
Q3 - 8:21ATLBibby 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)67
82.0%
59
18.0%
Q3 - 8:38TORCalderon 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)64
77.3%
59
22.7%
Q3 - 8:47ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)64
79.7%
57
20.3%
Q3 - 8:47ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)63
79.0%
57
21.0%
Q3 - 9:05TORDeRozan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)62
76.9%
57
23.1%
Q3 - 9:10ATLKleiza STEAL (2 STL)62
74.2%
57
25.8%
Q3 - 9:21ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)62
77.0%
57
23.0%
Q3 - 9:22TORMISS DeRozan 16' Pullup Jump Shot62
76.1%
57
23.9%
Q3 - 9:43ATLJohnson 2' Running Layup (15 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)62
74.2%
57
25.8%
Q3 - 9:56ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
71.3%
57
28.7%
Q3 - 9:57TORMISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
70.4%
57
29.6%
Q3 - 10:18TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
68.1%
57
31.9%
Q3 - 10:20ATLMISS Horford 8' Jump Hook Shot60
69.1%
57
30.9%
Q3 - 10:41ATLHawks Rebound60
71.2%
57
28.8%
Q3 - 10:42TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
70.3%
57
29.7%
Q3 - 10:48TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
68.1%
57
31.9%
Q3 - 10:49ATLMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup60
69.1%
57
30.9%
Q3 - 11:16TORCalderon 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)60
71.2%
57
28.8%
Q3 - 11:21ATLCalderon STEAL (1 STL)60
73.8%
55
26.2%
Q3 - 11:33ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)60
76.5%
55
23.5%
Q3 - 11:34TORMISS DeRozan 22' Jump Shot60
75.7%
55
24.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL60
73.8%
55
26.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
76.5%
55
23.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0TORMISS Barbosa 1' Driving Layup60
75.2%
55
24.8%
Q2 - 0:20.0TORBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
73.8%
55
26.2%
Q2 - 0:21.0ATLMISS Crawford 11' Pullup Jump Shot60
74.4%
55
25.6%
Q2 - 0:27.0TORDeRozan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)60
75.8%
55
24.2%
Q2 - 0:32.0ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)60
73.8%
55
26.2%
Q2 - 0:41.0TORBarbosa 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST)58
70.6%
55
29.4%
Q2 - 0:46.0ATLJohnson Foul Turnover (P2.T5)58
76.3%
52
23.7%
Q2 - 1:00TORBargnani Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)58
78.2%
52
21.8%
Q2 - 1:21ATLCrawford 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (25 PTS)58
76.2%
52
23.8%
Q2 - 1:29ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)56
73.1%
52
26.9%
Q2 - 1:30ATLMISS Smith 10' Fadeaway Jumper56
71.8%
52
28.2%
Q2 - 1:52TORJohnson 6' Driving Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Barbosa 4 AST)56
73.1%
52
26.9%
Q2 - 2:04TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
75.5%
50
24.5%
Q2 - 2:05TORMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
77.2%
50
22.8%
Q2 - 2:26ATLCrawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)56
75.6%
50
24.4%
Q2 - 2:45TORBargnani 1' Reverse Layup (15 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)53
70.6%
50
29.4%
Q2 - 2:53ATLCrawford 2' Driving Layup (20 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)53
73.2%
48
26.8%
Q2 - 2:57ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
70.6%
48
29.4%
Q2 - 2:59TORMISS DeRozan 1' Driving Slam Dunk51
69.8%
48
30.2%
Q2 - 3:14ATLJohnson 13' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)51
67.8%
48
32.2%
Q2 - 3:32TORBarbosa 2' Driving Slam Dunk (10 PTS)49
65.6%
48
34.4%
Q2 - 3:36ATLBarbosa STEAL (2 STL)49
67.8%
46
32.2%
Q2 - 3:52TORJohnson 5' Running Bank Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Barbosa 3 AST)49
70.9%
46
29.1%
Q2 - 4:07ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)49
72.8%
44
27.2%
Q2 - 4:10ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
68.0%
44
32.0%
Q2 - 4:11ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
65.9%
44
34.1%
Q2 - 4:18TORBarbosa Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)46
68.0%
44
32.0%
Q2 - 4:24TORBarbosa REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
65.0%
44
35.0%
Q2 - 4:26ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot46
66.0%
44
34.0%
Q2 - 4:50TORBargnani 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)46
68.0%
44
32.0%
Q2 - 4:59TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
70.3%
42
29.7%
Q2 - 5:00ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 246
70.7%
42
29.3%
Q2 - 5:00ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)46
72.2%
42
27.8%
Q2 - 5:00ATLHawks Rebound45
70.6%
42
29.4%
Q2 - 5:01ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
68.8%
42
31.2%
Q2 - 5:07ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)45
70.5%
42
29.5%
Q2 - 5:09ATLDeRozan BLOCK (1 BLK)45
68.8%
42
31.2%
Q2 - 5:30TORBarbosa 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)45
70.5%
42
29.5%
Q2 - 5:45ATLJohnson 7' Jump Shot (8 PTS)45
72.9%
40
27.1%
Q2 - 6:10TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)43
70.2%
40
29.8%
Q2 - 6:19ATLJohnson 9' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)43
74.4%
37
25.6%
Q2 - 6:37ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)41
72.6%
37
27.4%
Q2 - 6:38TORMISS Bargnani Free Throw 1 of 141
72.2%
37
27.8%
Q2 - 6:49ATLWilkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)41
74.5%
35
25.5%
Q2 - 6:49ATLWilkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)40
74.1%
35
25.9%
Q2 - 7:09TORBarbosa 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)39
72.4%
35
27.6%
Q2 - 7:18TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
74.4%
33
25.6%
Q2 - 7:19ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot39
75.1%
33
24.9%
Q2 - 7:25ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
76.6%
33
23.4%
Q2 - 7:25TORMISS Barbosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
75.9%
33
24.1%
Q2 - 7:40ATLCrawford 11' Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS)39
74.4%
33
25.6%
Q2 - 7:47ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)37
72.4%
33
27.6%
Q2 - 7:49TORMISS Bayless 1' Driving Layup37
71.6%
33
28.4%
Q2 - 8:05ATLCrawford 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wilkins 1 AST)37
69.8%
33
30.2%
Q2 - 8:21TORBayless Driving Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Barbosa 2 AST)35
67.6%
33
32.4%
Q2 - 8:25ATLBarbosa STEAL (1 STL)35
69.8%
31
30.2%
Q2 - 8:33TORBarbosa 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
72.1%
31
27.9%
Q2 - 8:35TORBarbosa REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
74.2%
29
25.8%
Q2 - 8:36TORMISS Barbosa 3' Layup35
75.6%
29
24.4%
Q2 - 8:42TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
74.2%
29
25.8%
Q2 - 8:43ATLBargnani BLOCK (2 BLK)35
74.8%
29
25.2%
Q2 - 9:05TORBarbosa 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)35
75.8%
29
24.2%
Q2 - 9:23ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)35
77.6%
27
22.4%
Q2 - 9:23ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
77.4%
27
22.6%
Q2 - 9:42TORBargnani 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)33
75.8%
27
24.2%
Q2 - 10:00ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)33
77.6%
25
22.4%
Q2 - 10:07ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
73.5%
25
26.5%
Q2 - 10:08ATLMISS Crawford 3PT Jump Shot30
71.9%
25
28.1%
Q2 - 10:25TORBargnani 9' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)30
73.5%
25
26.5%
Q2 - 10:44ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
75.3%
23
24.7%
Q2 - 10:44ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
75.0%
23
25.0%
Q2 - 11:05TORBayless 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
73.1%
23
26.9%
Q2 - 11:21ATLKleiza STEAL (1 STL)28
75.0%
21
25.0%
Q2 - 11:30ATLHawks Rebound28
76.9%
21
23.1%
Q2 - 11:32ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 228
75.2%
21
24.8%
Q2 - 11:32ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
76.3%
21
23.7%
Q2 - 11:42ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
75.1%
21
24.9%
Q2 - 11:43TORMISS Bargnani 17' Jump Shot27
74.5%
21
25.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR27
73.0%
21
27.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound27
73.0%
21
27.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS Bayless 6' Driving Bank Hook Shot27
74.5%
21
25.5%
Q1 - 0:04.0ATLCrawford 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)27
72.9%
21
27.1%
Q1 - 0:09.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
70.5%
21
29.5%
Q1 - 0:10.0TORMISS Bayless 1' Driving Layup25
70.0%
21
30.0%
Q1 - 0:15.0TORBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
68.8%
21
31.2%
Q1 - 0:16.0ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
69.3%
21
30.7%
Q1 - 0:34.0TORDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)25
70.5%
21
29.5%
Q1 - 0:34.0TORMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 225
71.2%
20
28.8%
Q1 - 0:34.0TORRAPTORS Rebound25
70.9%
20
29.1%
Q1 - 0:35.0ATLMISS Smith 12' Pullup Jump Shot25
71.4%
20
28.6%
Q1 - 0:49.0TORBargnani Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)25
72.5%
20
27.5%
Q1 - 1:03ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)25
70.8%
20
29.2%
Q1 - 1:14ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)22
66.2%
20
33.8%
Q1 - 1:15TORMISS DeRozan 17' Jump Shot22
65.7%
20
34.3%
Q1 - 1:28TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
64.6%
20
35.4%
Q1 - 1:30ATLBargnani BLOCK (1 BLK)22
65.1%
20
34.9%
Q1 - 1:46TORDavis 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Barbosa 1 AST)22
66.2%
20
33.8%
Q1 - 2:03ATLCrawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)22
68.6%
18
31.4%
Q1 - 2:20TORDeRozan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)19
64.3%
18
35.7%
Q1 - 2:33TORRAPTORS Rebound19
62.4%
18
37.6%
Q1 - 2:33ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
62.9%
18
37.1%
Q1 - 2:43ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
64.3%
18
35.7%
Q1 - 2:45TORMISS Calderon 2' Driving Layup19
63.7%
18
36.3%
Q1 - 3:03TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
62.4%
18
37.6%
Q1 - 3:04ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot19
63.1%
18
36.9%
Q1 - 3:11ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
64.6%
18
35.4%
Q1 - 3:12TORMISS Davis 6' Jump Hook Shot19
63.9%
18
36.1%
Q1 - 3:29ATLCrawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)19
62.4%
18
37.6%
Q1 - 3:41TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)16
58.1%
18
41.9%
Q1 - 3:56ATLJohnson 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)16
62.4%
15
37.6%
Q1 - 4:12TORCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)14
60.4%
15
39.6%
Q1 - 4:26TORRAPTORS Rebound14
64.4%
12
35.6%
Q1 - 4:26ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
65.1%
12
34.9%
Q1 - 4:41TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)14
66.6%
12
33.4%
Q1 - 4:53ATLHorford 1' Layup (6 PTS)14
64.4%
12
35.6%
Q1 - 5:17TORDeRozan 1' Reverse Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)12
62.2%
12
37.8%
Q1 - 5:22TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
64.0%
10
36.0%
Q1 - 5:23ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot12
64.7%
10
35.3%
Q1 - 5:42TORDeRozan 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST)12
66.2%
10
33.8%
Q1 - 5:54ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
67.9%
8
32.1%
Q1 - 5:54ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
67.5%
8
32.5%
Q1 - 6:13TORKleiza 19' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)10
66.1%
8
33.9%
Q1 - 6:37ATLHorford 2' Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)10
67.8%
6
32.2%
Q1 - 6:41ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
66.1%
6
33.9%
Q1 - 6:42TORMISS Calderon 16' Pullup Jump Shot8
65.5%
6
34.5%
Q1 - 6:55TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
64.1%
6
35.9%
Q1 - 6:56ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot8
64.7%
6
35.3%
Q1 - 7:18TORDeRozan 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
66.1%
6
33.9%
Q1 - 7:28ATLJohnson 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
67.7%
4
32.3%
Q1 - 7:40ATLHawks Rebound6
66.1%
4
33.9%
Q1 - 7:41ATLMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
64.7%
4
35.3%
Q1 - 7:47ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
66.1%
4
33.9%
Q1 - 7:48TORMISS Bargnani 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup6
65.5%
4
34.5%
Q1 - 7:56TORRAPTORS Rebound6
64.1%
4
35.9%
Q1 - 7:56TORMISS Calderon 17' Pullup Jump Shot6
65.5%
4
34.5%
Q1 - 8:12ATLHorford 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)6
64.4%
4
35.6%
Q1 - 8:21ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
62.5%
4
37.5%
Q1 - 8:22TORMISS Bargnani 12' Running Jump Shot4
61.9%
4
38.1%
Q1 - 8:35TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
60.6%
4
39.4%
Q1 - 8:37ATLMISS Bibby 20' Pullup Jump Shot4
61.2%
4
38.8%
Q1 - 8:59TORBargnani 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)4
62.5%
4
37.5%
Q1 - 9:12ATLSmith 1' Layup (2 PTS)4
64.6%
2
35.4%
Q1 - 9:13ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
62.8%
2
37.2%
Q1 - 9:15ATLMISS Smith 3' Driving Layup2
61.6%
2
38.4%
Q1 - 9:19ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
62.8%
2
37.2%
Q1 - 9:21ATLJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)2
61.6%
2
38.4%
Q1 - 9:28ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
62.8%
2
37.2%
Q1 - 9:29TORMISS Calderon 21' Jump Shot2
62.3%
2
37.7%
Q1 - 9:40ATLJohnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
61.0%
2
39.0%
Q1 - 9:56TORKleiza 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)2
62.8%
2
37.2%
Q1 - 10:06TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
64.3%
0
35.7%
Q1 - 10:07ATLMISS Horford 9' Turnaround Hook Shot2
64.9%
0
35.1%
Q1 - 10:24ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
66.2%
0
33.8%
Q1 - 10:26TORMISS Kleiza 13' Fadeaway Jumper2
65.6%
0
34.4%
Q1 - 10:29TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
64.3%
0
35.7%
Q1 - 10:30TORMISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot2
65.6%
0
34.4%
Q1 - 10:56ATLEvans 2' Layup (2 PTS)2
64.3%
0
35.7%
Q1 - 10:59ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
62.9%
0
37.1%
Q1 - 11:00ATLMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot0
61.5%
0
38.5%
Q1 - 11:24ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
62.7%
0
37.3%
Q1 - 11:25TORMISS Bargnani 19' Jump Shot0
62.2%
0
37.8%
Q1 - 11:42TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
61.2%
0
38.8%
Q1 - 11:44ATLMISS Johnson 9' Fadeaway Jumper0
61.7%
0
38.3%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Bargnani vs. Smith: Tip to Johnson0
62.7%
0
37.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.12 55.9%
TOR
1.16 58.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
15
23
65%
TOR
25
36
69%
Midrange
ATL
11
27
41%
TOR
15
33
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
9
13.5
30
30%
45%
TOR
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
Free Throws
ATL
25
31
81%
TOR
9
12
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Crawford3672%18.0 / 25
J. Johnson2659%13.0 / 22
A. Horford1071%5.0 / 7
J. Smith926%4.5 / 17
M. Bibby844%4.0 / 9
M. Evans867%4.0 / 6
J. Teague4100%2.0 / 2
D. Wilkins2100%1.0 / 1
Z. Pachulia125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Bargnani2659%13.0 / 22
L. Barbosa2676%13.0 / 17
J. Calderon1150%5.5 / 11
D. DeRozan941%4.5 / 11
A. Johnson9113%4.5 / 4
E. Davis867%4.0 / 6
L. Kleiza650%3.0 / 6
J. Bayless643%3.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
78
+15
-14
93
TOR
80
+7
-13
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.12 55.9%
TOR
1.16 58.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
105.9
ATL 113.0 +4.4
TOR 108.6
Pace
89.5
93.1
ATL 89.2
TOR 97.0 +7.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.4
15.1
ATL 16.1
TOR 14.8 +1.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
49.1%
ATL 49.4%
TOR 56.8% +7.4%
TO %
14.2%
15.0%
ATL 13.0% +0.1%
TOR 13.1%
ORB %
23.5%
28.3%
ATL 25.6% +13.8%
TOR 11.8%
FTrt
26.9
29.3
ATL 38.8 +24.0
TOR 14.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.7%
57.1%
ATL 54.3%
TOR 56.8% +2.5%
STL %
6.8%
7.6%
ATL 7.6% +0.1%
TOR 7.5%
BLK %
6.6%
6.7%
ATL 2.9%
TOR 10.0% +7.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
52.1%
ATL 55.9%
TOR 58.0% +2.1%
Rim FG%
60.0%
58.9%
ATL 65.2%
TOR 69.4% +4.2%
Mid FG%
42.5%
41.2%
ATL 40.7%
TOR 45.5% +4.8%
3P %
35.2%
31.6%
ATL 30.0%
TOR 33.3% +3.3%
FT %
78.0%
75.5%
ATL 80.6% +5.6%
TOR 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.4%
39.1%
ATL 28.7%
TOR 44.4% +15.7%
Mid Att. %
47.4%
44.7%
ATL 33.8% +7.0%
TOR 40.7%
3P Att. %
22.2%
16.2%
ATL 37.5% +22.7%
TOR 14.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.04 and 2.04.
Game TotalsATLTOR
Possessions9293
Possession Minutes24.823.0
Points104101
Rebounds4033
Assists1925
Steals77
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)4 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)29 (5)
Field Goals35-8044-81
At-the-Rim FG15-2325-36
Midrange FG11-2715-33
2-Point FG26-5040-69
3-Point FG9-304-12
Free Throws25-319-12
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 225 · 25
41.1
9
26%
9
4
2
0
1
0
3
6
3-4
75%
3-12
25%
0-3
0%
C · 6'10" 245 · 25
37.1
10
71%
13
2
1
2
1
3
3
10
0-0
-
5-7
71%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 240 · 30
36.6
26
59%
2
3
0
0
5
2
0
2
5-7
71%
9-15
60%
1-5
20%
G · 6'2" 195 · 33
35.2
8
44%
2
4
1
0
2
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
2-6
33%
G · 6'5" 220 · 32
20.1
8
67%
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
G · 6'5" 185 · 31
33.9
36
72%
3
2
0
0
0
3
0
3
8-8
100%
8-12
67%
4-11
36%
C · 6'11" 270 · 27
16.6
1
25%
6
1
0
0
1
3
3
3
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
· 6'6" 225 · 31
11.0
2
100%
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
2-4
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 189 · 23
7.3
4
100%
1
1
1
0
2
1
0
1
4-4
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 28
1.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 32
· 6'4" 195 · 22
#19 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · F · 6'9" 237 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#36 · C · 6'10" 260 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
56%
40
19
7
2
14
0
10
30
25-31
81%
26-50
52%
9-30
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.