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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 15, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Bucks38%8785
16Hawks62%91110
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.3
30.5
26.0
21
60%
13
1
1
1
1
2
2
11
1-1
100%
10-17
4-8
59%
52%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 31.3
30.3
27.7
10
44%
1
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
2-3
67%
4-8
3-7
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 21.5
28.8
27.8
4
23%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-7
3-8
14%
41%
0-1
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 28.5
28.0
25.5
13
65%
2
2
3
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
43%
1-4
25%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.5
26.4
28.1
2
17%
2
2
3
1
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
49%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 31.3
17.7
9.9
11
80%
1
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
50%
1-1
100%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 24.2
15.3
12.9
2
25%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
47%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 29.6
15.3
7.5
8
40%
4
4
1
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
4-10
1-2
40%
39%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.9
13.9
22.6
3
34%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 24.0
12.0
15.0
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 22.3
11.8
20.8
5
37%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
3-4
75%
1-5
3-6
20%
47%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 34.8
10.1
18.3
2
25%
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
45%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 29.5
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 31.6
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.7
34.6
36.4
36
87%
5
2
1
1
1
2
0
5
4-4
100%
7-10
6-12
70%
49%
6-9
67%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.8
31.7
37.5
15
58%
5
3
0
1
1
2
1
4
1-2
50%
7-12
6-12
58%
55%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 25.3
30.8
33.5
17
68%
14
4
1
1
4
4
2
12
1-1
100%
8-10
6-11
80%
50%
0-2
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.8
27.4
21.4
6
33%
5
6
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-7
2-5
0%
46%
2-2
100%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.2
25.7
23.4
6
100%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
2-5
100%
45%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 31.0
26.6
27.1
4
45%
1
8
1
1
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
0-0
3-6
-
47%
1-4
25%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 24.7
23.7
23.1
16
89%
3
2
0
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
5-7
3-5
71%
49%
2-2
100%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 27.1
11.8
21.3
0
0%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 31.2
10.1
19.9
6
100%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.3
6.9
4.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.1
6.1
3.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 26.3
4.7
2.5
4
100%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
49%
0-0
-
Pape Sy
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 22.9
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 33.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.