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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 9, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat60%95107
6Trail Blazers40%92100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 26.0
46.2
37.6
44
72%
13
6
2
1
0
6
3
10
7-10
70%
14-21
7-14
67%
53%
3-5
60%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.8
43.6
33.7
18
53%
8
0
1
1
2
2
0
8
0-0
-
9-16
6-12
56%
51%
0-1
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.0
42.0
36.4
34
72%
8
5
0
2
1
2
2
6
3-4
75%
14-19
8-15
74%
52%
1-3
33%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.4
33.2
27.1
2
20%
2
3
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.6
18.4
20.8
0
0%
1
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.4
28.8
13.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.3
25.0
16.6
5
64%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
40%
1-3
33%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.6
19.8
19.9
2
33%
5
2
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.9
8.0
12.3
2
100%
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.5
14.2
0
1-2
56%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.9
4.5
0
0-1
51%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.7
1.6
0
0-0
41%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.6
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 22.9
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 24.2
45.6
35.4
14
35%
3
5
1
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
4-10
4-8
40%
49%
2-10
20%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 25.5
44.7
37.4
31
58%
14
7
2
1
1
3
7
7
7-8
88%
12-23
8-17
52%
48%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 22.1
43.1
36.3
22
64%
4
0
0
1
1
1
1
3
3-3
100%
8-11
4-7
73%
53%
1-5
20%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 36.8
36.9
28.5
2
20%
14
3
1
1
1
2
3
11
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
46%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 34.8
30.3
28.9
6
30%
3
7
2
1
0
2
2
1
2-2
100%
2-8
4-8
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.4
23.0
19.9
13
60%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
44%
1-5
20%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 25.8
17.7
19.1
8
71%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
5-6
83%
0-0
1-2
-
42%
1-3
33%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.7
14.4
18.5
2
23%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
0-0
-
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 31.2
9.3
8.2
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
54%
0-0
-
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 35.4
2.4
0
0-0
47%
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 21.9
1.3
0
0-0
43%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.6
1.2
0
0-0
46%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 23.0
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 26.5
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 21.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.