FinalWin Prob.pScore
1338%98
96
562%102
87
ORTG#PossPace
NOH
107.98983.7
DEN logo DEN
98.98893.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOHDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0NOH96
100%
87
0%
Q4 - 0:09.0DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)96
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)96
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0NOHMISS Pondexter 3PT Jump Shot96
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)96
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:48.0NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)96
99.7%
87
0.3%
Q4 - 0:48.0NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)95
99.7%
87
0.3%
Q4 - 0:59.0NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)94
99.2%
87
0.8%
Q4 - 1:00NOHMISS Paul 5' Running Jump Shot94
98.6%
87
1.4%
Q4 - 1:21DENBillups 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)94
98.5%
87
1.5%
Q4 - 1:29NOHPaul Traveling Turnover (P4.T15)94
99.0%
85
1.0%
Q4 - 1:49NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)94
99.0%
85
1.0%
Q4 - 1:50DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
98.8%
85
1.2%
Q4 - 1:59DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)94
98.4%
85
1.6%
Q4 - 2:00NOHMISS Jack 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
98.7%
85
1.3%
Q4 - 2:16DENBillups Foul Turnover (P3.T8)94
99.1%
85
0.9%
Q4 - 2:22DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
98.4%
85
1.6%
Q4 - 2:23DENMISS Anthony 22' Jump Shot94
99.0%
85
1.0%
Q4 - 2:47NOHPaul 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)94
98.4%
85
1.6%
Q4 - 3:09NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
94.8%
85
5.2%
Q4 - 3:10DENMISS Anthony 15' Jump Shot91
93.9%
85
6.1%
Q4 - 3:27NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)91
91.3%
85
8.7%
Q4 - 3:50NOHHornets Rebound88
76.4%
85
23.6%
Q4 - 3:50DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
74.1%
85
25.9%
Q4 - 3:57DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)88
68.3%
85
31.7%
Q4 - 3:58NOHMISS Paul 21' Jump Shot88
71.0%
85
29.0%
Q4 - 4:24DENAnthony 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)88
77.0%
85
23.0%
Q4 - 4:38NOHJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)88
82.8%
83
17.2%
Q4 - 4:38NOHJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)87
82.0%
83
18.0%
Q4 - 4:47DENSmith 1' Slam Dunk (9 PTS)86
77.1%
83
22.9%
Q4 - 4:52NOHSmith STEAL (1 STL)86
82.9%
81
17.1%
Q4 - 5:05NOHGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)86
84.0%
81
16.0%
Q4 - 5:07NOHMISS Green 21' Jump Shot86
80.4%
81
19.6%
Q4 - 5:11NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)86
84.0%
81
16.0%
Q4 - 5:12NOHMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot86
80.4%
81
19.6%
Q4 - 5:30DENAnthony 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)86
84.2%
81
15.8%
Q4 - 5:52DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
88.1%
79
11.9%
Q4 - 5:54NOHMISS Ariza 17' Fadeaway Jumper86
89.2%
79
10.8%
Q4 - 6:11NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)86
88.6%
79
11.4%
Q4 - 6:12DENMISS Billups 3PT Jump Shot86
87.6%
79
12.4%
Q4 - 6:35NOHHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)86
85.0%
79
15.0%
Q4 - 6:59NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)86
88.8%
79
11.2%
Q4 - 7:00DENMISS Anthony 2' Turnaround Jump Shot86
87.8%
79
12.2%
Q4 - 7:01DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
82.3%
79
17.7%
Q4 - 7:02DENMISS Anthony 1' Layup86
85.1%
79
14.9%
Q4 - 7:20NOHJack 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Belinelli 2 AST)86
82.4%
79
17.6%
Q4 - 7:43DENCarter 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)83
73.4%
79
26.6%
Q4 - 7:51NOHHarrington STEAL (2 STL)83
82.5%
76
17.5%
Q4 - 8:13DENHarrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Anthony 4 AST)83
83.9%
76
16.1%
Q4 - 8:36NOHBelinelli 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)83
89.9%
73
10.1%
Q4 - 8:59DENCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Forbes 2 AST)81
87.3%
73
12.7%
Q4 - 9:14NOHPaul Foul Turnover (P3.T11)81
90.4%
70
9.6%
Q4 - 9:18NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
92.2%
70
7.8%
Q4 - 9:19DENMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot81
91.7%
70
8.3%
Q4 - 9:28DENNUGGETS Rebound81
90.4%
70
9.6%
Q4 - 9:29DENMISS Forbes 3PT Jump Shot81
91.7%
70
8.3%
Q4 - 9:44DENForbes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
90.5%
70
9.5%
Q4 - 9:46NOHMISS Ariza 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot81
91.1%
70
8.9%
Q4 - 10:07NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
90.9%
70
9.1%
Q4 - 10:11DENMISS Forbes Free Throw 1 of 181
90.7%
70
9.3%
Q4 - 10:16DENNUGGETS Rebound81
92.7%
68
7.3%
Q4 - 10:17DENMISS Forbes 2' Layup81
93.7%
68
6.3%
Q4 - 10:22DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
92.7%
68
7.3%
Q4 - 10:23NOHMISS Jack 10' Running Jump Shot81
93.1%
68
6.9%
Q4 - 10:50DENHarrington 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Forbes 1 AST)81
94.1%
68
5.9%
Q4 - 10:55NOHJack Foul Turnover (P2.T10)81
95.3%
66
4.7%
Q4 - 11:18NOHJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
95.4%
66
4.6%
Q4 - 11:19DENMISS Forbes 6' Jump Shot81
95.1%
66
4.9%
Q4 - 11:36NOHJack 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)81
94.4%
66
5.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN78
91.6%
66
8.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
89.8%
66
10.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0NOHMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
89.0%
66
11.0%
Q3 - 0:17.0DENHarrington 1' Layup (15 PTS)78
90.3%
66
9.7%
Q3 - 0:18.0DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)78
92.1%
64
7.9%
Q3 - 0:19.0DENMISS Harrington 1' Reverse Layup78
93.0%
64
7.0%
Q3 - 0:21.0DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)78
92.1%
64
7.9%
Q3 - 0:23.0DENMISS Harrington 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup78
93.0%
64
7.0%
Q3 - 0:32.0NOHGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)78
92.1%
64
7.9%
Q3 - 0:44.0DENForbes 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)78
93.4%
64
6.6%
Q3 - 0:57.0NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)78
94.7%
62
5.3%
Q3 - 0:57.0NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)77
94.5%
62
5.5%
Q3 - 1:15DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)76
92.5%
62
7.5%
Q3 - 1:15DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)76
92.6%
61
7.4%
Q3 - 1:23NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)76
93.9%
60
6.1%
Q3 - 1:40DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)73
91.1%
60
8.9%
Q3 - 1:40DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 273
91.4%
59
8.6%
Q3 - 1:40DENNUGGETS Rebound73
91.2%
59
8.8%
Q3 - 1:40NOHMISS Green 19' Jump Shot73
91.6%
59
8.4%
Q3 - 1:48NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
92.5%
59
7.5%
Q3 - 1:49DENMISS Forbes 1' Layup73
92.2%
59
7.8%
Q3 - 1:52DENForbes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
91.2%
59
8.8%
Q3 - 1:54DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
92.2%
59
7.8%
Q3 - 2:04DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
89.8%
59
10.2%
Q3 - 2:06DENMISS Smith 29' 3PT Jump Shot73
90.9%
59
9.1%
Q3 - 2:35NOHPaul 3' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)73
89.9%
59
10.1%
Q3 - 2:52NOHGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
88.0%
59
12.0%
Q3 - 2:54NOHMISS Paul 27' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper71
86.6%
59
13.4%
Q3 - 3:25DENSmith 1' Driving Slam Dunk (6 PTS)71
86.8%
59
13.2%
Q3 - 3:40NOHWest 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)71
88.7%
57
11.3%
Q3 - 3:53DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)69
86.9%
57
13.1%
Q3 - 3:58DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
90.4%
54
9.6%
Q3 - 3:59NOHMISS Paul 19' Jump Shot69
90.9%
54
9.1%
Q3 - 4:14NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
91.3%
54
8.7%
Q3 - 4:16DENMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot69
90.8%
54
9.2%
Q3 - 4:22NOHNene STEAL (2 STL)69
89.5%
54
10.5%
Q3 - 4:29NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)69
91.3%
54
8.7%
Q3 - 4:30DENMISS Nene 1' Layup69
90.8%
54
9.2%
Q3 - 4:42DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
89.5%
54
10.5%
Q3 - 4:43NOHMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
90.1%
54
9.9%
Q3 - 4:49NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
91.3%
54
8.7%
Q3 - 4:50DENMISS Forbes 2' Driving Layup69
90.8%
54
9.2%
Q3 - 5:11NOHSmith 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)69
88.3%
54
11.7%
Q3 - 5:29DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)67
86.7%
54
13.3%
Q3 - 5:37DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
90.0%
51
10.0%
Q3 - 5:38NOHMISS Okafor 7' Jump Hook Shot67
90.5%
51
9.5%
Q3 - 5:58DENHarrington 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)67
91.6%
51
8.4%
Q3 - 6:08DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
91.7%
49
8.3%
Q3 - 6:09NOHMISS West 17' Jump Shot67
92.1%
49
7.9%
Q3 - 6:20NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)67
92.9%
49
7.1%
Q3 - 6:21DENMISS Anthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
92.6%
49
7.4%
Q3 - 6:35NOHAriza 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)67
91.7%
49
8.3%
Q3 - 6:50DENAnthony Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)65
90.5%
49
9.5%
Q3 - 7:04NOHWest Foul Turnover (P1.T7)65
90.5%
47
9.5%
Q3 - 7:07NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)65
91.8%
47
8.2%
Q3 - 7:08DENMISS Nene 3' Finger Roll Layup65
91.4%
47
8.6%
Q3 - 7:27NOHPaul 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (West 5 AST)65
90.5%
47
9.5%
Q3 - 7:46DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)63
89.3%
47
10.7%
Q3 - 7:46DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 263
89.6%
46
10.4%
Q3 - 7:56DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
89.2%
46
10.8%
Q3 - 7:57NOHMISS Belinelli 22' Jump Shot63
89.7%
46
10.3%
Q3 - 8:17DENHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)63
90.0%
46
10.0%
Q3 - 8:17DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)63
90.3%
45
9.7%
Q3 - 8:31NOHAriza Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)63
91.2%
44
8.8%
Q3 - 8:39NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)60
88.6%
44
11.4%
Q3 - 8:41NOHMISS West 20' Jump Shot60
87.4%
44
12.6%
Q3 - 8:51NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
88.6%
44
11.4%
Q3 - 8:52DENMISS Anthony 2' Driving Layup60
88.1%
44
11.9%
Q3 - 9:09DENNUGGETS Rebound60
86.1%
44
13.9%
Q3 - 9:10NOHMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
86.6%
44
13.4%
Q3 - 9:28DENNUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)60
87.8%
44
12.2%
Q3 - 9:53NOHWest 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)60
86.2%
44
13.8%
Q3 - 10:03NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)58
83.2%
44
16.8%
Q3 - 10:04DENMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot58
82.5%
44
17.5%
Q3 - 10:16NOHWest 2' Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)58
81.0%
44
19.0%
Q3 - 10:34NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
78.9%
44
21.1%
Q3 - 10:36DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
78.1%
44
21.9%
Q3 - 10:49NOHPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)56
76.3%
44
23.7%
Q3 - 11:00NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
78.9%
44
21.1%
Q3 - 11:01DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 256
77.4%
44
22.6%
Q3 - 11:01DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)56
75.9%
44
24.1%
Q3 - 11:10NOHBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)56
77.7%
43
22.3%
Q3 - 11:10NOHBelinelli Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)55
77.3%
43
22.7%
Q3 - 11:13DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)54
75.4%
43
24.6%
Q3 - 11:20NOHNene STEAL (1 STL)54
72.5%
43
27.5%
Q3 - 11:36NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
75.4%
43
24.6%
Q3 - 11:37DENMISS Afflalo 21' Jump Shot54
74.6%
43
25.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH54
72.6%
43
27.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
73.8%
43
26.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 254
73.5%
43
26.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)54
71.7%
43
28.3%
Q2 - 0:13.0NOHSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)54
74.4%
42
25.6%
Q2 - 0:13.0NOHSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)53
73.9%
42
26.1%
Q2 - 0:32.0NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
71.3%
42
28.7%
Q2 - 0:34.0DENMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 252
71.0%
42
29.0%
Q2 - 0:34.0DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)52
69.1%
42
30.9%
Q2 - 0:39.0NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)52
71.8%
41
28.2%
Q2 - 0:39.0NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)51
71.5%
41
28.5%
Q2 - 0:41.0NOHHornets Rebound50
68.5%
41
31.5%
Q2 - 0:41.0NOHShel. Williams BLOCK (1 BLK)50
66.9%
41
33.1%
Q2 - 0:49.0NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)50
68.5%
41
31.5%
Q2 - 0:50.0DENMISS Smith 15' Fadeaway Jumper50
67.8%
41
32.2%
Q2 - 0:59.0DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
66.2%
41
33.8%
Q2 - 1:00NOHMISS Okafor 6' Jump Hook Shot50
66.9%
41
33.1%
Q2 - 1:03NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
67.7%
41
32.3%
Q2 - 1:04NOHMISS West 21' Jump Shot50
66.2%
41
33.8%
Q2 - 1:17NOHPaul Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)50
67.7%
41
32.3%
Q2 - 1:18NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
64.8%
41
35.2%
Q2 - 1:19DENMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot49
64.1%
41
35.9%
Q2 - 1:34NOHPaul 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)49
62.6%
41
37.4%
Q2 - 1:43DENShel. Williams 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)46
55.4%
41
44.6%
Q2 - 2:03NOHGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (West 4 AST)46
58.2%
39
41.8%
Q2 - 2:21DENShel. Williams 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)43
52.1%
39
47.9%
Q2 - 2:38NOHAriza Foul Turnover (P1.T4)43
55.2%
37
44.8%
Q2 - 2:55DENNene 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)43
58.4%
37
41.6%
Q2 - 3:02DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
60.4%
35
39.6%
Q2 - 3:03NOHMISS Okafor 2' Layup43
61.5%
35
38.5%
Q2 - 3:26DENNene 2' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)43
63.9%
35
36.1%
Q2 - 3:46NOHAriza Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)43
66.2%
33
33.8%
Q2 - 4:00NOHHornets Rebound40
61.0%
33
39.0%
Q2 - 4:00NOHMISS West 6' Jump Hook Shot40
58.6%
33
41.4%
Q2 - 4:15NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
59.9%
33
40.1%
Q2 - 4:16DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot40
59.0%
33
41.0%
Q2 - 4:32NOHOkafor 2' Dunk (9 PTS)40
56.7%
33
43.3%
Q2 - 4:35NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
54.1%
33
45.9%
Q2 - 4:36NOHMISS West 1' Layup38
51.8%
33
48.2%
Q2 - 4:57NOHHornets Rebound38
54.1%
33
45.9%
Q2 - 4:58DENMISS Billups 3' Driving Layup38
53.1%
33
46.9%
Q2 - 5:22NOHSmith 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)38
50.6%
33
49.4%
Q2 - 5:41DENAfflalo 8' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)36
47.6%
33
52.4%
Q2 - 5:58DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
50.6%
31
49.4%
Q2 - 6:00NOHMISS Jack 20' Jump Shot36
51.4%
31
48.6%
Q2 - 6:08NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
53.0%
31
47.0%
Q2 - 6:10DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
52.0%
31
48.0%
Q2 - 6:27NOHOkafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)36
49.7%
31
50.3%
Q2 - 6:27NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 235
48.7%
31
51.3%
Q2 - 6:44NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
50.2%
31
49.8%
Q2 - 6:45DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
49.2%
31
50.8%
Q2 - 6:57NOHGreen 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jack 2 AST)35
46.9%
31
53.1%
Q2 - 7:04DENSmith 3' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)33
43.9%
31
56.1%
Q2 - 7:25NOHOkafor 4' Jump Bank Hook Shot (6 PTS)33
46.6%
29
53.4%
Q2 - 7:43NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
44.0%
29
56.0%
Q2 - 7:44DENMISS Harrington 17' Turnaround Jump Shot31
43.1%
29
56.9%
Q2 - 7:48DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
41.1%
29
58.9%
Q2 - 7:49DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
43.1%
29
56.9%
Q2 - 7:58DENNUGGETS Rebound31
41.1%
29
58.9%
Q2 - 7:59NOHMISS Jack 15' Jump Shot31
42.0%
29
58.0%
Q2 - 8:14DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)31
43.6%
29
56.4%
Q2 - 8:20DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
48.8%
26
51.2%
Q2 - 8:23NOHEly BLOCK (1 BLK)31
49.7%
26
50.3%
Q2 - 8:39DENCarter Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)31
51.6%
26
48.4%
Q2 - 8:44NOHGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)31
48.9%
26
51.1%
Q2 - 8:44NOHGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
48.4%
26
51.6%
Q2 - 8:49NOHGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
46.3%
26
53.7%
Q2 - 8:50DENMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot29
45.4%
26
54.6%
Q2 - 9:10NOHJack 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
43.1%
26
56.9%
Q2 - 9:16NOHGray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
40.6%
26
59.4%
Q2 - 9:17DENMISS Smith Driving Layup27
39.8%
26
60.2%
Q2 - 9:27NOHHarrington STEAL (1 STL)27
38.0%
26
62.0%
Q2 - 9:39DENHarrington 15' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)27
40.6%
26
59.4%
Q2 - 10:01NOHGreen 7' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
42.8%
24
57.2%
Q2 - 10:24DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
40.5%
24
59.5%
Q2 - 10:24DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
40.9%
23
59.1%
Q2 - 10:37NOHHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)25
42.8%
22
57.2%
Q2 - 11:00DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)25
45.6%
22
54.4%
Q2 - 11:15NOHWest 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)25
42.6%
22
57.4%
Q2 - 11:35NOHJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
40.4%
22
59.6%
Q2 - 11:36DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot23
39.6%
22
60.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH23
37.8%
22
62.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHHornets Rebound23
40.4%
22
59.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Green 28' 3PT Jump Shot23
38.6%
22
61.4%
Q1 - 0:21.0DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)23
39.7%
22
60.3%
Q1 - 0:36.0NOHPondexter 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)23
37.8%
22
62.2%
Q1 - 0:46.0NOHGray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
35.1%
22
64.9%
Q1 - 0:47.0DENMISS Harrington 2' Driving Layup21
34.6%
22
65.4%
Q1 - 0:53.0DENEly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
33.3%
22
66.7%
Q1 - 0:54.0NOHMISS Pondexter 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
33.9%
22
66.1%
Q1 - 1:17NOHGray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
35.0%
22
65.0%
Q1 - 1:19DENMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 221
34.8%
22
65.2%
Q1 - 1:19DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)21
33.4%
22
66.6%
Q1 - 1:34DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
35.6%
21
64.4%
Q1 - 1:35NOHMISS Gray 5' Jump Hook Shot21
36.1%
21
63.9%
Q1 - 1:56NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
37.2%
21
62.8%
Q1 - 1:58DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 221
37.0%
21
63.0%
Q1 - 1:58DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 221
35.4%
21
64.6%
Q1 - 2:02DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
35.5%
21
64.5%
Q1 - 2:03NOHAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)21
36.1%
21
63.9%
Q1 - 2:24DENHarrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)21
37.4%
21
62.6%
Q1 - 2:41NOHPaul 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)21
42.1%
18
57.9%
Q1 - 3:01DENNene 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)19
39.6%
18
60.4%
Q1 - 3:20NOHGreen 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (West 3 AST)19
41.8%
16
58.2%
Q1 - 3:43DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
39.6%
16
60.4%
Q1 - 3:43DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
40.0%
15
60.0%
Q1 - 3:45DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
41.8%
14
58.2%
Q1 - 3:48NOHAfflalo BLOCK (1 BLK)17
42.5%
14
57.5%
Q1 - 4:05DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)17
43.5%
14
56.5%
Q1 - 4:05DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)17
43.7%
13
56.3%
Q1 - 4:22DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
45.5%
12
54.5%
Q1 - 4:23NOHMISS West 16' Fadeaway Jumper17
46.3%
12
53.7%
Q1 - 4:45DENShel. Williams 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)17
48.0%
12
52.0%
Q1 - 5:00NOHWest 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
50.0%
10
50.0%
Q1 - 5:24NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
47.4%
10
52.6%
Q1 - 5:26DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 215
47.1%
10
52.9%
Q1 - 5:26DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 215
45.8%
10
54.2%
Q1 - 5:38DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
45.0%
10
55.0%
Q1 - 5:40NOHMISS Belinelli 19' Jump Shot15
45.7%
10
54.3%
Q1 - 5:54NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
47.4%
10
52.6%
Q1 - 5:56DENMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot15
46.7%
10
53.3%
Q1 - 6:09NOHOkafor Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)15
44.6%
10
55.4%
Q1 - 6:28DENNene Layup (4 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)15
46.8%
10
53.2%
Q1 - 6:39NOHOkafor 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)15
48.8%
8
51.2%
Q1 - 6:53NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
46.8%
8
53.2%
Q1 - 6:55DENMISS Afflalo 1' Layup13
46.2%
8
53.8%
Q1 - 7:01DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
44.1%
8
55.9%
Q1 - 7:02NOHMISS Paul 18' Jump Shot13
44.8%
8
55.2%
Q1 - 7:11DENNene 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)13
46.3%
8
53.7%
Q1 - 7:21NOHOkafor 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)13
48.1%
6
51.9%
Q1 - 7:27NOHHornets Rebound11
46.3%
6
53.7%
Q1 - 7:28NOHMISS Okafor 7' Running Hook Shot11
44.8%
6
55.2%
Q1 - 7:44DENNene Foul Turnover (P1.T2)11
46.3%
6
53.7%
Q1 - 7:50DENNUGGETS Rebound11
44.1%
6
55.9%
Q1 - 7:51DENMISS Nene 2' Layup11
45.7%
6
54.3%
Q1 - 7:58DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
44.1%
6
55.9%
Q1 - 7:59DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot11
45.7%
6
54.3%
Q1 - 8:13NOHAriza 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Okafor 1 AST)11
43.9%
6
56.1%
Q1 - 8:26DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
41.9%
6
58.1%
Q1 - 8:26DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
42.1%
5
57.9%
Q1 - 8:46NOHWest 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
43.9%
4
56.1%
Q1 - 9:00NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
42.0%
4
58.0%
Q1 - 9:01DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot7
41.2%
4
58.8%
Q1 - 9:14DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
39.9%
4
60.1%
Q1 - 9:15NOHMISS Belinelli 17' Jump Shot7
40.5%
4
59.5%
Q1 - 9:29DENAfflalo 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
41.8%
4
58.2%
Q1 - 9:54NOHWest 10' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)7
43.7%
2
56.3%
Q1 - 10:14DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
41.4%
2
58.6%
Q1 - 10:40NOHBelinelli 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (West 2 AST)5
39.4%
2
60.6%
Q1 - 10:57DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
36.3%
2
63.7%
Q1 - 10:57DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
36.4%
1
63.6%
Q1 - 11:04DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
37.4%
0
62.6%
Q1 - 11:06NOHMISS West 19' Jump Shot2
37.8%
0
62.2%
Q1 - 11:23NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
38.9%
0
61.1%
Q1 - 11:24DENMISS Billups 22' Jump Shot2
38.4%
0
61.6%
Q1 - 11:44NOHAriza 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)2
37.4%
0
62.6%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Okafor: Tip to Paul0
35.8%
0
64.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.10 55.2%
DEN
0.96 47.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOH
12
19
63%
DEN
20
35
57%
Midrange
NOH
17
40
43%
DEN
5
18
28%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOH
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
DEN
5
7.5
21
24%
36%
Free Throws
NOH
20
21
95%
DEN
22
33
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Paul2067%10.0 / 15
D. West1959%9.5 / 16
T. Ariza1267%6.0 / 9
W. Green1150%5.5 / 11
J. Jack1063%5.0 / 8
E. Okafor945%4.5 / 10
M. Belinelli758%3.5 / 6
J. Smith6100%3.0 / 3
Q. Pondexter233%1.0 / 3
A. Gray0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Harrington2067%10.0 / 15
C. Billups1341%6.5 / 16
Nene1255%6.0 / 11
A. Afflalo950%4.5 / 9
J. Smith938%4.5 / 12
C. Anthony831%4.0 / 13
S. Williams6100%3.0 / 3
A. Carter6100%3.0 / 3
G. Forbes429%2.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH
76
+11
-13
87
DEN
80
+11
-8
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.10 55.2%
DEN
0.96 47.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
112.7
NOH 107.9
DEN 98.9 +9.0
Pace
88.9
95.2
NOH 83.7
DEN 93.9 +10.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
14.3
NOH 17.2
DEN 15.3 +1.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.3%
52.6%
NOH 51.4% +7.5%
DEN 43.9%
TO %
13.6%
14.5%
NOH 15.3%
DEN 9.2% +6.1%
ORB %
25.1%
23.8%
NOH 21.9% +4.5%
DEN 17.4%
FTrt
29.6
36.7
NOH 28.4
DEN 44.6 +16.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.4%
57.6%
NOH 51.4%
DEN 60.0% +8.6%
STL %
8.5%
7.7%
NOH 2.2%
DEN 5.7% +3.5%
BLK %
7.6%
6.8%
NOH 7.5% +0.7%
DEN 6.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
56.3%
NOH 55.2% +7.4%
DEN 47.8%
Rim FG%
57.5%
58.5%
NOH 63.2% +6.1%
DEN 57.1%
Mid FG%
42.1%
40.0%
NOH 42.5% +14.7%
DEN 27.8%
3P %
36.0%
38.8%
NOH 40.0% +16.2%
DEN 23.8%
FT %
76.5%
76.6%
NOH 95.2% +28.5%
DEN 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.2%
42.5%
NOH 25.7%
DEN 47.3% +21.6%
Mid Att. %
48.6%
31.8%
NOH 54.1%
DEN 24.3% +29.7%
3P Att. %
19.2%
25.8%
NOH 20.3%
DEN 28.4% +8.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsNOHDEN
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes25.522.5
Points9687
Rebounds4533
Assists1818
Steals25
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)8 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (4)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (2)25 (3)
Field Goals35-7430-74
At-the-Rim FG12-1920-35
Midrange FG17-405-18
2-Point FG29-5925-53
3-Point FG6-155-21
Free Throws20-2122-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 30
40.4
19
59%
8
5
0
2
2
3
1
7
3-3
100%
8-15
53%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 26
34.4
20
67%
3
6
0
1
4
5
0
3
6-6
100%
4-10
40%
2-3
67%
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
31.9
12
67%
7
1
0
0
1
3
0
7
2-2
100%
5-7
71%
0-2
0%
C · 6'10" 255 · 28
28.5
9
45%
13
1
0
0
1
3
4
9
1-2
50%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
25.1
7
58%
3
2
1
0
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
1-1
100%
G · 6'3" 205 · 29
24.9
11
50%
3
1
0
0
1
3
2
1
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 200 · 27
22.3
10
63%
2
2
1
1
3
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
2-3
67%
F · 6'7" 230 · 23
13.5
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25
9.9
6
100%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 270 · 26
5.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 24
4.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
· 6'11" 247 · 31
#15 · G · 6'2" 205 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#28 · C · 7'0" 255 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
55%
45
18
2
4
13
0
7
38
20-21
95%
29-59
49%
6-15
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.