FinalWin Prob.pScore
2130%93
93
1270%100
108
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
97.995100.3
ATL logo ATL
114.99489.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL93
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)93
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0INDGeorge 2' Putback Layup (10 PTS)93
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0INDMISS Rush 22' Jump Shot91
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0ATLCrawford Foul Turnover (P1.T15)91
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0ATLPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:33.0INDMISS Price 21' Jump Shot91
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:44.0ATLPowell Foul Turnover (P3.T14)91
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)91
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10ATLWilkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)89
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10ATLWilkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)89
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14INDWilkins STEAL (1 STL)89
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28ATLPachulia Traveling Turnover (P2.T13)89
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)89
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)88
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58INDPacers Rebound87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58ATLMISS Powell 15' Jump Shot87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00ATLMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21ATLHAWKS Rebound87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21INDMISS Price 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28ATLPachulia 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Wilkins 2 AST)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55INDHansbrough 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Price 1 AST)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02ATLPowell Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)85
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26INDPrice 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rush 1 AST)85
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36ATLCrawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)82
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57INDJones 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Granger 3 AST)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:28ATLHorford Dunk (14 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)80
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:40ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:41INDMISS Granger 19' Jump Shot80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:57ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Crawford 4 AST)80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:16ATLHAWKS Rebound80
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 5:16INDMISS Price 17' Jump Shot80
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 5:24INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)80
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 5:24ATLMISS Horford 1' Putback Layup80
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 5:25ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)80
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 5:27ATLMISS Horford 3' Driving Jump Shot80
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 5:37ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 5:38INDMISS Price 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 5:49ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)80
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 6:17INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)80
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q4 - 6:17INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)79
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q4 - 6:17INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 6:18INDMISS Collison 17' Jump Shot78
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 6:27INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 6:29ATLMISS Johnson 18' Fadeaway Jumper78
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 6:45ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)78
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 6:46INDMISS Dunleavy 20' Jump Shot78
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 7:05ATLCrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)78
1.1%
93
98.9%
Q4 - 7:10ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 7:11INDMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q4 - 7:25ATLJohnson Dunk (18 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)78
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q4 - 7:45INDCollison 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)78
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q4 - 7:55ATLJohnson 5' Driving Jump Shot (16 PTS)76
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 8:01INDJohnson STEAL (1 STL)76
1.8%
89
98.2%
Q4 - 8:09INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
2.3%
89
97.7%
Q4 - 8:10ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot76
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q4 - 8:26INDDunleavy Foul Turnover (P2.T13)76
1.8%
89
98.2%
Q4 - 8:33ATLPachulia Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)76
2.3%
89
97.7%
Q4 - 8:48INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)76
1.8%
89
98.2%
Q4 - 8:48INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)75
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 9:05INDPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
1.8%
89
98.2%
Q4 - 9:06ATLMISS Evans 17' Jump Shot74
1.6%
89
98.4%
Q4 - 9:29INDGeorge 18' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)74
1.4%
89
98.6%
Q4 - 9:49INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)72
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 9:51ATLMISS Johnson 8' Driving Jump Shot72
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 10:05ATLHAWKS Rebound72
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 10:05INDMISS Collison 17' Jump Shot72
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 10:19ATLCrawford Free Throw 3 of 3 (17 PTS)72
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 10:19ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 3 (16 PTS)72
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q4 - 10:19ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 3 (15 PTS)72
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q4 - 10:36INDGeorge 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)72
2.0%
86
98.0%
Q4 - 10:41INDCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q4 - 10:42ATLMISS Johnson 16' Fadeaway Jumper70
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q4 - 11:10INDGeorge 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)70
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q4 - 11:32ATLJohnson 18' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)68
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q4 - 11:49INDEvans STEAL (1 STL)68
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL68
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPosey 1' Running Layup (5 PTS) (Ford 6 AST)68
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q3 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Crawford 5' Driving Jump Shot66
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q3 - 0:26.0INDGeorge 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)66
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q3 - 0:38.0INDPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q3 - 0:39.0ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot64
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q3 - 0:53.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)64
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q3 - 0:54.0INDMISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q3 - 1:10ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Horford 6 AST)64
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q3 - 1:25INDGranger 2' Putback Layup (16 PTS)64
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q3 - 1:26INDGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q3 - 1:28INDSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)62
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q3 - 1:29INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)62
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q3 - 1:30INDMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q3 - 1:36INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q3 - 1:37INDMISS George 20' Jump Shot62
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q3 - 1:51ATLSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Crawford 3 AST)62
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q3 - 2:09ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)62
1.9%
79
98.1%
Q3 - 2:10INDMISS Foster 19' Jump Shot62
2.0%
79
98.0%
Q3 - 2:21ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)62
2.3%
79
97.7%
Q3 - 2:39INDPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)62
3.3%
76
96.7%
Q3 - 2:54ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)59
2.2%
76
97.8%
Q3 - 2:54ATLSmith 2' Putback Slam Dunk (19 PTS)59
2.2%
76
97.8%
Q3 - 2:56ATLMISS Crawford 7' Driving Jump Shot59
3.1%
74
96.9%
Q3 - 3:18ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)59
3.0%
74
97.0%
Q3 - 3:19INDMISS Granger 19' Jump Shot59
3.2%
74
96.8%
Q3 - 3:32ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)59
3.6%
74
96.4%
Q3 - 3:39ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
3.0%
74
97.0%
Q3 - 3:40INDMISS Rush 21' Jump Shot59
3.1%
74
96.9%
Q3 - 3:53ATLBibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)59
3.6%
74
96.4%
Q3 - 4:17INDFoster 1' Putback Layup (6 PTS)59
5.2%
71
94.8%
Q3 - 4:18INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
4.5%
71
95.5%
Q3 - 4:19INDMISS Posey 2' Layup57
4.0%
71
96.0%
Q3 - 4:36ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)57
4.5%
71
95.5%
Q3 - 4:42INDHorford STEAL (2 STL)57
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q3 - 4:55ATLBibby Free Throw 3 of 3 (12 PTS)57
4.5%
71
95.5%
Q3 - 4:55ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 3 (11 PTS)57
4.7%
70
95.3%
Q3 - 4:55ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 3 (10 PTS)57
4.9%
69
95.1%
Q3 - 5:11ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)57
6.5%
68
93.5%
Q3 - 5:12INDMISS Ford 18' Jump Shot57
6.9%
68
93.1%
Q3 - 5:21ATLBibby 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)57
7.7%
68
92.3%
Q3 - 5:26ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
10.3%
65
89.7%
Q3 - 5:27ATLMISS Horford 4' Driving Jump Shot57
11.6%
65
88.4%
Q3 - 5:45ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
10.3%
65
89.7%
Q3 - 5:47INDMISS Hansbrough 15' Jump Shot57
10.9%
65
89.1%
Q3 - 6:01INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
12.5%
65
87.5%
Q3 - 6:03ATLMISS Smith 3' Alley Oop Layup57
11.9%
65
88.1%
Q3 - 6:08ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
10.7%
65
89.3%
Q3 - 6:11INDMISS Granger 8' Driving Jump Shot57
11.2%
65
88.8%
Q3 - 6:29INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
12.5%
65
87.5%
Q3 - 6:30ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot57
11.9%
65
88.1%
Q3 - 6:40ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)57
10.7%
65
89.3%
Q3 - 6:50INDHansbrough 4' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS)57
12.3%
64
87.7%
Q3 - 7:14ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)55
11.1%
64
88.9%
Q3 - 7:14ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)55
11.6%
63
88.4%
Q3 - 7:14INDCollison Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)55
12.7%
62
87.3%
Q3 - 7:16ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
11.1%
62
88.9%
Q3 - 7:17INDMISS Collison 16' Jump Shot54
11.5%
62
88.5%
Q3 - 7:20INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
12.7%
62
87.3%
Q3 - 7:22INDHorford BLOCK (2 BLK)54
11.5%
62
88.5%
Q3 - 7:34INDPacers Rebound54
12.7%
62
87.3%
Q3 - 7:36INDMISS Collison 13' Jump Shot54
11.5%
62
88.5%
Q3 - 7:43INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
12.7%
62
87.3%
Q3 - 7:44ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot54
12.2%
62
87.8%
Q3 - 7:47ATLHAWKS Rebound54
11.0%
62
89.0%
Q3 - 7:48ATLMISS Smith 3' Driving Jump Shot54
12.2%
62
87.8%
Q3 - 8:05INDGranger Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)54
11.2%
62
88.8%
Q3 - 8:12INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
12.9%
62
87.1%
Q3 - 8:13ATLMISS Smith 4' Jump Shot54
12.4%
62
87.6%
Q3 - 8:26ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
11.2%
62
88.8%
Q3 - 8:28INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
11.7%
62
88.3%
Q3 - 8:35INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
12.9%
62
87.1%
Q3 - 8:36ATLMISS Evans 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
12.4%
62
87.6%
Q3 - 9:03INDCollison 6' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hansbrough 1 AST)54
11.4%
62
88.6%
Q3 - 9:19ATLHorford 3' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)52
10.0%
62
90.0%
Q3 - 9:38INDCollison Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)52
11.4%
60
88.6%
Q3 - 9:52ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)52
13.0%
60
87.0%
Q3 - 10:01ATLHAWKS Rebound52
14.9%
58
85.1%
Q3 - 10:01ATLMISS Horford 3' Putback Layup52
16.2%
58
83.8%
Q3 - 10:01ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
14.9%
58
85.1%
Q3 - 10:03ATLMISS Horford 1' Layup52
16.2%
58
83.8%
Q3 - 10:08ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
14.9%
58
85.1%
Q3 - 10:10INDHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)52
15.5%
58
84.5%
Q3 - 10:17INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)52
16.8%
58
83.2%
Q3 - 10:20ATLMISS Johnson 6' Driving Jump Shot52
16.2%
58
83.8%
Q3 - 10:30ATLHAWKS Rebound52
14.9%
58
85.1%
Q3 - 10:32ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
14.9%
58
85.1%
Q3 - 10:32ATLMISS Smith 2' Tip Shot52
16.2%
58
83.8%
Q3 - 10:34ATLMISS Horford 3' Driving Layup52
16.2%
58
83.8%
Q3 - 10:57INDHibbert 4' Driving Hook Shot (8 PTS)52
14.9%
58
85.1%
Q3 - 11:15INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
13.5%
58
86.5%
Q3 - 11:17ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
13.0%
58
87.0%
Q3 - 11:23INDBibby STEAL (2 STL)50
11.8%
58
88.2%
Q3 - 11:44ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)50
13.5%
58
86.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL50
16.9%
55
83.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDCollison 4' Running Layup (8 PTS)50
16.9%
55
83.1%
Q2 - 0:07.0ATLCrawford 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)48
15.3%
55
84.7%
Q2 - 0:27.0INDGranger 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)48
17.5%
53
82.5%
Q2 - 0:35.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)46
15.3%
53
84.7%
Q2 - 0:35.0ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 246
15.7%
52
84.3%
Q2 - 0:55.0INDRush Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)46
15.6%
52
84.4%
Q2 - 0:55.0INDMISS Rush Free Throw 1 of 245
15.2%
52
84.8%
Q2 - 1:03ATLHorford 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)45
15.4%
52
84.6%
Q2 - 1:18INDCollison Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)45
17.7%
50
82.3%
Q2 - 1:18INDCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)44
17.4%
50
82.6%
Q2 - 1:22INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
15.4%
50
84.6%
Q2 - 1:23ATLWilkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
14.2%
50
85.8%
Q2 - 1:23ATLMISS Wilkins 1' Tip Shot43
15.0%
50
85.0%
Q2 - 1:25ATLMISS Crawford 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot43
15.0%
50
85.0%
Q2 - 1:31ATLWilkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
14.2%
50
85.8%
Q2 - 1:32INDMISS Rush 3' Jump Shot43
14.5%
50
85.5%
Q2 - 1:43INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
15.4%
50
84.6%
Q2 - 1:45ATLMISS Horford 10' Turnaround Jump Shot43
15.0%
50
85.0%
Q2 - 2:02ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)43
14.1%
50
85.9%
Q2 - 2:03ATLMISS Crawford 4' Driving Jump Shot43
15.2%
50
84.8%
Q2 - 2:11ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
14.1%
50
85.9%
Q2 - 2:13INDMISS Rush 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
14.6%
50
85.4%
Q2 - 2:17INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
15.7%
50
84.3%
Q2 - 2:19ATLMISS Crawford 10' Turnaround Jump Shot43
15.2%
50
84.8%
Q2 - 2:27ATLCrawford Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)43
14.1%
50
85.9%
Q2 - 2:42INDDunleavy 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)43
15.7%
49
84.3%
Q2 - 2:46INDPacers Rebound41
14.1%
49
85.9%
Q2 - 2:47INDMISS Granger Free Throw 2 of 241
12.8%
49
87.2%
Q2 - 2:47INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)41
13.9%
49
86.1%
Q2 - 2:59INDPacers Rebound40
12.6%
49
87.4%
Q2 - 2:59INDMISS Collison 10' Floating Jump Shot40
11.7%
49
88.3%
Q2 - 3:10ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)40
12.9%
49
87.1%
Q2 - 3:28ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
15.6%
46
84.4%
Q2 - 3:29INDMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
16.2%
46
83.8%
Q2 - 3:32INDCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
17.7%
46
82.3%
Q2 - 3:33INDMISS Granger 2' Putback Layup40
16.2%
46
83.8%
Q2 - 3:37INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
17.7%
46
82.3%
Q2 - 3:38INDMISS Hibbert 6' Hook Shot40
16.2%
46
83.8%
Q2 - 3:40INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
17.7%
46
82.3%
Q2 - 3:42INDMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
16.2%
46
83.8%
Q2 - 3:53ATLCrawford 7' Driving Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wilkins 1 AST)40
17.7%
46
82.3%
Q2 - 4:10ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
19.2%
44
80.8%
Q2 - 4:11INDMISS Hibbert 11' Hook Shot40
19.8%
44
80.2%
Q2 - 4:19INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
21.3%
44
78.7%
Q2 - 4:20ATLMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
20.7%
44
79.3%
Q2 - 4:36INDCollison 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)40
19.2%
44
80.8%
Q2 - 4:40INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
17.6%
44
82.4%
Q2 - 4:43ATLMISS Crawford 2' Driving Layup38
17.0%
44
83.0%
Q2 - 5:03INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)38
16.0%
44
84.0%
Q2 - 5:03INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
15.7%
44
84.3%
Q2 - 5:24ATLWilkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)36
14.4%
44
85.6%
Q2 - 5:24ATLWilkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)36
14.7%
43
85.3%
Q2 - 5:24INDCollison Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)36
16.0%
42
84.0%
Q2 - 5:30ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)36
17.6%
42
82.4%
Q2 - 5:30ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)36
18.1%
41
81.9%
Q2 - 5:51INDDunleavy 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Collison 4 AST)36
19.4%
40
80.6%
Q2 - 5:56ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)34
17.6%
40
82.4%
Q2 - 6:09ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
16.1%
40
83.9%
Q2 - 6:11INDMISS Hibbert 21' Jump Shot34
16.7%
40
83.3%
Q2 - 6:26ATLBibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)34
18.0%
40
82.0%
Q2 - 6:43INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)34
21.3%
37
78.7%
Q2 - 6:43INDMISS Granger Free Throw 1 of 233
21.1%
37
78.9%
Q2 - 7:04ATLHorford 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)33
21.4%
37
78.6%
Q2 - 7:20INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)33
23.3%
35
76.7%
Q2 - 7:41INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
19.6%
35
80.4%
Q2 - 7:42ATLMISS Bibby 3PT Jump Shot30
19.1%
35
80.9%
Q2 - 8:08INDHibbert Traveling Turnover (P3.T6)30
18.0%
35
82.0%
Q2 - 8:18INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
19.7%
35
80.3%
Q2 - 8:19ATLMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot30
19.2%
35
80.8%
Q2 - 8:22ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
18.0%
35
82.0%
Q2 - 8:23ATLMISS Crawford 20' Pullup Jump Shot30
19.2%
35
80.8%
Q2 - 8:37INDRush Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)30
18.0%
35
82.0%
Q2 - 8:37INDRush Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)29
17.6%
35
82.4%
Q2 - 8:39ATLCrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)28
16.5%
35
83.5%
Q2 - 8:46ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)28
15.1%
35
84.9%
Q2 - 8:48INDMISS Hibbert 4' Hook Shot28
15.5%
35
84.5%
Q2 - 9:13ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)28
16.6%
35
83.4%
Q2 - 9:13ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 228
17.1%
34
82.9%
Q2 - 9:24INDHibbert Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)28
16.6%
34
83.4%
Q2 - 9:31INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
18.1%
34
81.9%
Q2 - 9:33ATLMISS Crawford 20' Jump Shot28
17.7%
34
82.3%
Q2 - 9:36ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
16.6%
34
83.4%
Q2 - 9:37ATLMISS Johnson 7' Hook Shot28
17.7%
34
82.3%
Q2 - 9:47ATLHAWKS Rebound28
16.6%
34
83.4%
Q2 - 9:47ATLMISS Teague 9' Jump Shot28
17.7%
34
82.3%
Q2 - 9:55ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
16.6%
34
83.4%
Q2 - 9:56INDMISS George 16' Jump Shot28
17.0%
34
83.0%
Q2 - 10:09INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
18.3%
34
81.7%
Q2 - 10:13ATLMISS Johnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot28
17.8%
34
82.2%
Q2 - 10:27ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
16.7%
34
83.3%
Q2 - 10:28INDMISS Rush 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
17.2%
34
82.8%
Q2 - 10:33INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
18.3%
34
81.7%
Q2 - 10:36ATLMISS Powell 9' Hook Shot28
17.8%
34
82.2%
Q2 - 10:42ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
16.7%
34
83.3%
Q2 - 10:46ATLMISS Powell 11' Turnaround Jump Shot28
17.8%
34
82.2%
Q2 - 11:05INDFoster 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)28
16.9%
34
83.1%
Q2 - 11:19ATLJohnson 20' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)26
15.6%
34
84.4%
Q2 - 11:38INDGranger 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS)26
16.9%
32
83.1%
Q2 - 11:49ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)24
15.6%
32
84.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND24
18.3%
29
81.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLCrawford Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)24
20.0%
29
80.0%
Q1 - 0:05.0INDRush 19' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)24
18.6%
29
81.4%
Q1 - 0:28.0ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)22
16.9%
29
83.1%
Q1 - 0:49.0INDFoster 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)22
15.8%
29
84.2%
Q1 - 0:59.0ATLCrawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Powell 1 AST)20
14.3%
29
85.7%
Q1 - 1:12ATLPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
17.4%
26
82.6%
Q1 - 1:13INDMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
17.7%
26
82.3%
Q1 - 1:28ATLPowell Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)20
18.4%
26
81.6%
Q1 - 1:31ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
17.4%
26
82.6%
Q1 - 1:32INDMISS Hansbrough 18' Jump Shot20
17.7%
26
82.3%
Q1 - 1:48INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
18.4%
26
81.6%
Q1 - 1:50ATLMISS Smith 9' Hook Shot20
18.1%
26
81.9%
Q1 - 1:56ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
17.3%
26
82.7%
Q1 - 1:58INDTeague BLOCK (1 BLK)20
17.7%
26
82.3%
Q1 - 2:13INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
18.7%
26
81.3%
Q1 - 2:15ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 220
18.5%
26
81.5%
Q1 - 2:15ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)20
17.7%
26
82.3%
Q1 - 2:28INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
18.8%
25
81.2%
Q1 - 2:28INDFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
18.6%
25
81.4%
Q1 - 2:42ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)18
17.3%
25
82.7%
Q1 - 2:42ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 218
17.6%
24
82.4%
Q1 - 2:57ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
17.5%
24
82.5%
Q1 - 2:58INDMISS Rush 15' Jump Shot18
17.8%
24
82.2%
Q1 - 3:12ATLHorford 7' Driving Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)18
18.8%
24
81.2%
Q1 - 3:31INDRush 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)18
20.2%
22
79.8%
Q1 - 3:36INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
17.4%
22
82.6%
Q1 - 3:38ATLMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
17.0%
22
83.0%
Q1 - 3:44INDSmith STEAL (1 STL)15
16.1%
22
83.9%
Q1 - 4:08ATLCrawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)15
17.3%
22
82.7%
Q1 - 4:17INDHorford STEAL (1 STL)15
19.9%
19
80.1%
Q1 - 4:26ATLHorford 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)15
21.5%
19
78.5%
Q1 - 4:34ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
22.9%
17
77.1%
Q1 - 4:35INDMISS Granger 22' Jump Shot15
23.4%
17
76.6%
Q1 - 4:49ATLSmith 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)15
24.7%
17
75.3%
Q1 - 5:11INDCollison 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
26.1%
15
73.9%
Q1 - 5:19INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
24.7%
15
75.3%
Q1 - 5:20ATLMISS Smith 8' Running Jump Shot13
24.2%
15
75.8%
Q1 - 5:27ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
23.0%
15
77.0%
Q1 - 5:28INDMISS Dunleavy 18' Jump Shot13
23.5%
15
76.5%
Q1 - 5:47ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
24.7%
15
75.3%
Q1 - 5:47ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
25.0%
14
75.0%
Q1 - 6:09INDHansbrough 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Collison 3 AST)13
25.9%
13
74.1%
Q1 - 6:18INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
24.4%
13
75.6%
Q1 - 6:19ATLMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot11
24.0%
13
76.0%
Q1 - 6:42INDHansbrough 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
22.9%
13
77.1%
Q1 - 6:53INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
21.5%
13
78.5%
Q1 - 6:54ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot9
21.1%
13
78.9%
Q1 - 7:19INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)9
20.0%
13
80.0%
Q1 - 7:26ATLSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)6
17.6%
13
82.4%
Q1 - 7:38ATLHAWKS Rebound6
16.4%
13
83.6%
Q1 - 7:40INDMISS Hibbert 11' Hook Shot6
16.7%
13
83.3%
Q1 - 7:47INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
17.6%
13
82.4%
Q1 - 7:49ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot6
17.2%
13
82.8%
Q1 - 8:15INDHibbert Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
16.4%
13
83.6%
Q1 - 8:28ATLJohnson 21' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)6
17.5%
13
82.5%
Q1 - 8:44INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
18.7%
11
81.3%
Q1 - 8:44INDHibbert 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)6
18.7%
11
81.3%
Q1 - 8:46INDMISS Collison 27' 3PT Jump Shot4
16.8%
11
83.2%
Q1 - 9:12ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
17.9%
11
82.1%
Q1 - 9:16ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
16.8%
11
83.2%
Q1 - 9:17INDMISS Collison 14' Jump Shot4
17.1%
11
82.9%
Q1 - 9:27ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)4
17.8%
11
82.2%
Q1 - 9:46INDHibbert 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)4
19.0%
9
81.0%
Q1 - 10:06ATLSmith 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
18.3%
9
81.7%
Q1 - 10:30INDGranger 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
19.2%
7
80.8%
Q1 - 10:40ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)0
18.2%
7
81.8%
Q1 - 10:48INDBibby STEAL (1 STL)0
20.3%
4
79.7%
Q1 - 11:08ATLJohnson 2' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)0
21.6%
4
78.4%
Q1 - 11:12ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.8%
2
77.2%
Q1 - 11:13INDMISS Dunleavy 3' Driving Layup0
23.2%
2
76.8%
Q1 - 11:22ATLJohnson 19' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)0
23.9%
2
76.1%
Q1 - 11:41ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.3%
0
74.7%
Q1 - 11:43INDMISS Collison 17' Jump Shot0
25.6%
0
74.4%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Hibbert: Tip to Granger0
26.5%
0
73.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.98 48.9%
ATL
1.10 55.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
11
19
58%
ATL
11
25
44%
Midrange
IND
18
47
38%
ATL
14
37
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
ATL
11
16.5
22
50%
75%
Free Throws
IND
20
23
87%
ATL
25
29
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Granger1657%8.0 / 14
D. Collison1343%6.5 / 15
T. Hansbrough1063%5.0 / 8
P. George1050%5.0 / 10
R. Hibbert844%4.0 / 9
B. Rush840%4.0 / 10
M. Dunleavy650%3.0 / 6
J. Foster660%3.0 / 5
S. Jones6100%3.0 / 3
J. Posey542%2.5 / 6
A. Price330%1.5 / 5
T. Ford233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2761%13.5 / 22
J. Johnson2463%12.0 / 19
J. Crawford2063%10.0 / 16
M. Bibby1594%7.5 / 8
A. Horford1447%7.0 / 15
Z. Pachulia467%2.0 / 3
D. Wilkins467%2.0 / 3
M. Evans0-0.0 / 4
J. Powell0-0.0 / 3
J. Teague0-0.0 / 1
J. Crawford0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
80
+14
-15
94
ATL
79
+16
-15
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.98 48.9%
ATL
1.10 55.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.1
105.9
IND 97.9 +17.0
ATL 114.9
Pace
94.5
89.5
IND 100.3 +11.0
ATL 89.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
16.4
IND 14.4 +1.8
ATL 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.6%
50.1%
IND 44.0%
ATL 49.4% +5.4%
TO %
15.5%
14.2%
IND 13.9%
ATL 13.4% +0.5%
ORB %
25.9%
23.5%
IND 25.6%
ATL 27.3% +1.7%
FTrt
30.0
26.9
IND 27.7
ATL 34.5 +6.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.6%
60.7%
IND 50.0%
ATL 75.0% +25.0%
STL %
7.5%
6.8%
IND 4.2%
ATL 8.5% +4.3%
BLK %
8.4%
6.6%
IND 8.1% +2.0%
ATL 6.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
52.8%
IND 48.9%
ATL 55.1% +6.2%
Rim FG%
56.8%
60.0%
IND 57.9% +13.9%
ATL 44.0%
Mid FG%
39.2%
42.5%
IND 38.3% +0.5%
ATL 37.8%
3P %
35.4%
35.2%
IND 29.4%
ATL 50.0% +20.6%
FT %
78.2%
78.0%
IND 87.0% +0.8%
ATL 86.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
30.4%
IND 22.9%
ATL 29.8% +6.9%
Mid Att. %
41.9%
47.4%
IND 56.6%
ATL 44.0% +12.6%
3P Att. %
24.4%
22.2%
IND 20.5%
ATL 26.2% +5.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDATL
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes22.725.3
Points93108
Rebounds4344
Assists1727
Steals48
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)32 (4)
Field Goals34-8336-84
At-the-Rim FG11-1911-25
Midrange FG18-4714-37
2-Point FG29-6625-62
3-Point FG5-1711-22
Free Throws20-2325-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 222 · 28
37.1
16
57%
4
3
0
1
3
2
2
2
2-4
50%
4-9
44%
2-3
67%
G · 6'9" 230 · 30
30.0
6
50%
7
0
0
0
2
4
0
7
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 23
28.3
13
43%
2
4
1
1
3
2
1
1
3-3
100%
5-13
38%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 25
22.9
10
63%
5
1
1
0
1
3
1
4
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 270 · 24
19.2
8
44%
7
0
0
1
4
1
2
5
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 21
21.3
10
50%
6
0
2
0
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
5-7
71%
0-3
0%
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 34
20.0
6
60%
6
1
0
0
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26
19.8
8
40%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
3-4
75%
1-5
20%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 217 · 34
14.6
5
42%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'0" 165 · 28
13.4
2
33%
2
6
0
0
2
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 26
7.1
6
100%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 24
6.3
3
30%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
#1 · G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · · 6'10" 240 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · G · 6'6" 230 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
49%
43
17
4
5
15
0
11
32
20-23
87%
29-66
44%
5-17
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.