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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 7, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat75%95101
22Bucks25%8695
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 26.0
45.3
36.3
26
47%
10
5
6
1
1
5
1
9
9-11
82%
7-19
7-13
37%
53%
1-4
25%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.0
44.0
34.4
14
32%
7
5
3
1
0
1
4
3
6-7
86%
4-18
7-14
22%
52%
0-1
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.8
36.6
35.3
16
45%
12
0
0
1
1
2
3
9
4-4
100%
6-16
6-12
38%
51%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.4
36.5
23.2
15
63%
3
3
1
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
47%
1-3
33%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.6
31.2
15.6
6
61%
8
1
0
0
3
2
2
6
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.5
21.8
10.0
4
52%
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-2
0%
2-3
1-1
67%
56%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.3
16.8
17.8
6
87%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
0-1
0-1
0%
39%
2-2
100%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.6
16.6
23.9
7
70%
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
1-2
50%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.9
16.4
10.8
7
55%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
3-3
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
46%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.4
21.1
0
1-1
49%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.9
7.1
0
1-1
50%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.7
1.6
0
0-0
41%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 22.9
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.6
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.1
47.9
32.3
12
29%
27
3
3
1
2
4
7
20
4-8
50%
4-17
5-10
24%
51%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.3
41.2
25.6
10
71%
4
2
3
1
2
3
1
3
0-0
-
5-7
2-5
71%
46%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 31.1
39.0
34.5
15
55%
3
1
2
1
0
4
1
2
3-4
75%
3-5
4-10
60%
44%
2-7
29%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.7
25.5
27.7
3
38%
4
7
0
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.6
23.5
22.4
9
51%
7
1
1
1
1
0
3
4
2-2
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 24.0
41.5
21.6
30
69%
5
2
2
1
4
2
1
4
4-6
67%
10-16
2-5
63%
44%
2-3
67%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 34.6
27.4
20.8
14
55%
2
4
0
1
0
5
1
1
4-4
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
43%
0-2
0%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 23.8
9.4
12.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 31.2
6.7
20.2
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 22.1
3.1
15.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
46%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 28.4
8.9
0
1-1
43%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 29.3
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 31.4
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 21.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.