FinalWin Prob.pScore
175%95
101
2225%86
95
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
97.110499.2
MIL logo MIL
96.09985.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
OT1 - 0:00.0MIL101
100%
95
0%
OT1 - 0:02.0MILMISS Ilyasova 11' Jump Shot99
99.8%
95
0.2%
OT1 - 0:04.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)99
99.6%
95
0.4%
OT1 - 0:05.0MILMISS Boykins 34' 3PT Jump Shot99
99.8%
95
0.2%
OT1 - 0:08.0MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)99
98.5%
95
1.5%
OT1 - 0:08.0MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)98
98.2%
95
1.8%
OT1 - 0:14.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)97
96.2%
95
3.8%
OT1 - 0:15.0MILMISS Boykins 26' 3PT Jump Shot97
94.5%
95
5.5%
OT1 - 0:36.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:7 Def:20)97
86.5%
95
13.5%
OT1 - 0:37.0MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot97
89.8%
95
10.2%
OT1 - 1:01MILBoykins 16' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)97
90.7%
95
9.3%
OT1 - 1:06MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)97
94.4%
93
5.6%
OT1 - 1:08MILMISS Douglas-Roberts Layup97
96.3%
93
3.7%
OT1 - 1:21MIAArroyo 1' Layup (13 PTS) (James 5 AST)97
93.4%
93
6.6%
OT1 - 1:24MILSalmons Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T23)95
89.2%
93
10.8%
OT1 - 1:41MILBogut REBOUND (Off:7 Def:19)95
80.4%
93
19.6%
OT1 - 1:42MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot95
82.9%
93
17.1%
OT1 - 2:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)95
87.9%
93
12.1%
OT1 - 2:04MILMISS Salmons 3PT Jump Shot95
85.7%
93
14.3%
OT1 - 2:28MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)95
78.6%
93
21.4%
OT1 - 2:28MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)94
77.3%
93
22.7%
OT1 - 2:43MILBoykins Traveling Turnover (P5.T22)93
73.3%
93
26.7%
OT1 - 3:04MILBogut REBOUND (Off:7 Def:18)93
59.5%
93
40.5%
OT1 - 3:05MIAMISS Arroyo 16' Jump Shot93
63.9%
93
36.1%
OT1 - 3:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)93
73.3%
93
26.7%
OT1 - 3:23MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot93
63.8%
93
36.2%
OT1 - 3:39MILSalmons Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T21)93
72.0%
93
28.0%
OT1 - 3:57MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)93
62.9%
93
37.1%
OT1 - 3:58MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot93
65.8%
93
34.2%
OT1 - 4:22MILSalmons 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS)93
72.0%
93
28.0%
OT1 - 4:41MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (24 PTS)93
78.7%
91
21.3%
OT1 - 5:00MILJump Ball Bogut vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Bosh91
72.0%
91
28.0%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T16)91
87.9%
89
12.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)91
96.4%
89
3.6%
Q4 - 0:18.0MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)91
97.5%
88
2.5%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)91
97.7%
87
2.3%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)90
97.4%
87
2.6%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)89
94.8%
87
5.2%
Q4 - 0:26.0MILMISS Douglas-Roberts Free Throw 2 of 289
94.1%
87
5.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0MILMISS Douglas-Roberts Free Throw 1 of 289
89.6%
87
10.4%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAMbah a Moute STEAL (3 STL)89
86.0%
87
14.0%
Q4 - 0:48.0MILJump Ball Mbah a Moute vs. Wade: Tip to89
91.9%
87
8.1%
Q4 - 1:04MILBogut REBOUND (Off:7 Def:17)89
82.9%
87
17.1%
Q4 - 1:05MIAMISS Arroyo 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
85.5%
87
14.5%
Q4 - 1:20MILSalmons Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T19)89
89.4%
87
10.6%
Q4 - 1:38MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)89
80.6%
87
19.4%
Q4 - 1:38MIABosh 1' Tip Shot (12 PTS)89
80.6%
87
19.4%
Q4 - 1:39MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 187
61.1%
87
38.9%
Q4 - 1:50MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)85
48.2%
87
51.8%
Q4 - 1:53MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 2' Layup85
44.0%
87
56.0%
Q4 - 2:15MILBogut REBOUND (Off:7 Def:16)85
33.0%
87
67.0%
Q4 - 2:16MIAMISS Arroyo 28' 3PT Jump Shot85
37.8%
87
62.2%
Q4 - 2:23MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)85
49.8%
87
50.2%
Q4 - 2:24MILBogut REBOUND (Off:7 Def:15)85
32.8%
87
67.2%
Q4 - 2:24MILMISS Bogut Tip Shot85
44.4%
87
55.6%
Q4 - 2:25MILMISS Bogut 1' Layup85
44.4%
87
55.6%
Q4 - 2:43MIAWade 4' Layup (12 PTS)85
32.6%
87
67.4%
Q4 - 3:05MILBoykins 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS)83
29.9%
87
70.1%
Q4 - 3:16MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
36.6%
85
63.4%
Q4 - 3:18MIAMISS James 2' Layup83
41.0%
85
59.0%
Q4 - 3:24MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)83
51.9%
85
48.1%
Q4 - 3:25MILMISS Bogut 6' Jump Shot83
47.0%
85
53.0%
Q4 - 3:47MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)83
44.1%
85
55.9%
Q4 - 3:56MILBoykins Foul Turnover (P4.T18)81
35.4%
85
64.6%
Q4 - 4:11MILBogut REBOUND (Off:6 Def:15)81
26.2%
85
73.8%
Q4 - 4:13MIAMbah a Moute BLOCK (2 BLK)81
28.7%
85
71.3%
Q4 - 4:26MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
34.8%
85
65.2%
Q4 - 4:27MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 17' Jump Shot81
32.0%
85
68.0%
Q4 - 4:48MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)81
25.8%
85
74.2%
Q4 - 4:50MIAMISS James 13' Jump Shot81
28.3%
85
71.7%
Q4 - 4:57MIAHeat Rebound81
34.6%
85
65.4%
Q4 - 4:58MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup81
28.2%
85
71.8%
Q4 - 5:04MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
39.9%
85
60.1%
Q4 - 5:05MILMISS Ilyasova 27' 3PT Jump Shot81
37.3%
85
62.7%
Q4 - 5:26MILBogut REBOUND (Off:6 Def:14)81
31.4%
85
68.6%
Q4 - 5:27MILMISS Ilyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
37.1%
85
62.9%
Q4 - 5:47MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
31.3%
85
68.7%
Q4 - 5:48MIAIlyasova BLOCK (1 BLK)81
33.7%
85
66.3%
Q4 - 6:25MILDouglas-Roberts 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Boykins 4 AST)81
44.6%
85
55.4%
Q4 - 6:47MILBoykins Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)81
59.0%
82
41.0%
Q4 - 6:47MIAChalmers Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T14)81
66.1%
81
33.9%
Q4 - 7:00MILJump Ball Douglas-Roberts vs. James: Tip to Bosh81
73.1%
81
26.9%
Q4 - 7:09MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)81
68.0%
81
32.0%
Q4 - 7:21MILDouglas-Roberts 8' Running Jump Shot (27 PTS)81
74.2%
81
25.8%
Q4 - 7:39MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
78.8%
79
21.2%
Q4 - 7:40MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot81
80.3%
79
19.7%
Q4 - 7:58MILIlyasova Layup (9 PTS)81
83.4%
79
16.6%
Q4 - 7:59MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)81
86.7%
77
13.3%
Q4 - 8:00MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 20' Jump Shot81
88.9%
77
11.1%
Q4 - 8:39MILBoykins Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)81
86.4%
77
13.6%
Q4 - 8:39MILBoykins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
89.1%
76
10.9%
Q4 - 8:39MIADouglas-Roberts BLOCK (4 BLK)81
89.9%
76
10.1%
Q4 - 8:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)81
91.4%
76
8.6%
Q4 - 8:44MILMISS Ilyasova 3' Layup81
90.7%
76
9.3%
Q4 - 8:45MILDouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
89.1%
76
10.9%
Q4 - 8:47MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 3' Layup81
90.7%
76
9.3%
Q4 - 9:10MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)81
88.4%
76
11.6%
Q4 - 9:10MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)80
87.9%
76
12.1%
Q4 - 9:25MILDouglas-Roberts 5' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Boykins 3 AST)79
85.7%
76
14.3%
Q4 - 9:35MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:14)79
88.5%
74
11.5%
Q4 - 9:36MIAMISS Wade 3' Jump Shot79
89.2%
74
10.8%
Q4 - 9:42MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
90.7%
74
9.3%
Q4 - 9:43MILMISS Boykins 5' Jump Shot79
90.0%
74
10.0%
Q4 - 10:02MILBoykins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)79
87.8%
74
12.2%
Q4 - 10:03MILMISS Boykins 5' Jump Shot79
89.5%
74
10.5%
Q4 - 10:20MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
87.9%
74
12.1%
Q4 - 10:21MIAMISS Wade 7' Running Jump Shot79
88.6%
74
11.4%
Q4 - 10:41MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)79
90.1%
74
9.9%
Q4 - 10:43MILMISS Bogut 4' Hook Shot79
89.5%
74
10.5%
Q4 - 11:05MIABosh 10' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)79
87.4%
74
12.6%
Q4 - 11:24MILDouglas-Roberts 16' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Ilyasova 1 AST)77
84.8%
74
15.2%
Q4 - 11:42MIADampier 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)77
87.4%
72
12.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA75
84.8%
72
15.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)75
84.4%
72
15.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)75
84.8%
71
15.2%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIAJames 12' Jump Shot (22 PTS)75
87.1%
70
12.9%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
84.4%
70
15.6%
Q3 - 0:35.0MILMISS Ilyasova 27' 3PT Jump Shot73
83.6%
70
16.4%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)73
81.7%
70
18.3%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)72
81.2%
70
18.8%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
78.2%
70
21.8%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIABogut BLOCK (2 BLK)71
75.9%
70
24.1%
Q3 - 0:51.0MILSalmons Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)71
78.2%
70
21.8%
Q3 - 1:04MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:13)71
75.0%
70
25.0%
Q3 - 1:06MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot71
76.0%
70
24.0%
Q3 - 1:20MILDouglas-Roberts 21' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)71
78.2%
70
21.8%
Q3 - 1:41MIAArroyo 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)71
81.7%
68
18.3%
Q3 - 1:49MIAMISS James Free Throw Technical69
78.2%
68
21.8%
Q3 - 2:08MILIlyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bogut 3 AST)69
78.4%
68
21.6%
Q3 - 2:25MIAIlyasova STEAL (1 STL)69
84.1%
65
15.9%
Q3 - 2:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)69
86.4%
65
13.6%
Q3 - 2:38MILMISS Bogut 16' Jump Shot69
85.8%
65
14.2%
Q3 - 3:05MIAArroyo 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)69
84.3%
65
15.7%
Q3 - 3:16MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)67
81.9%
65
18.1%
Q3 - 3:16MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)67
82.9%
64
17.1%
Q3 - 3:26MIAMbah a Moute STEAL (2 STL)67
84.3%
63
15.7%
Q3 - 3:39MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
86.6%
63
13.4%
Q3 - 3:40MILMISS Mbah a Moute 1' Layup67
86.0%
63
14.0%
Q3 - 4:00MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS)67
84.3%
63
15.7%
Q3 - 4:14MILDouglas-Roberts Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)65
82.0%
63
18.0%
Q3 - 4:39MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 4 AST)65
78.7%
63
21.3%
Q3 - 4:55MILSalmons Layup (13 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)63
76.2%
63
23.8%
Q3 - 4:58MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:12)63
78.7%
61
21.3%
Q3 - 4:59MIAMbah a Moute BLOCK (1 BLK)63
79.8%
61
20.2%
Q3 - 5:14MILDouglas-Roberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)63
81.5%
61
18.5%
Q3 - 5:14MILDouglas-Roberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)63
81.9%
60
18.1%
Q3 - 5:15MIADouglas-Roberts STEAL (2 STL)63
83.6%
59
16.4%
Q3 - 5:28MILMbah a Moute Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)63
86.0%
59
14.0%
Q3 - 5:49MIABosh 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)63
83.6%
59
16.4%
Q3 - 6:07MILBogut 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS)61
81.7%
59
18.3%
Q3 - 6:29MIASalmons STEAL (2 STL)61
83.8%
57
16.2%
Q3 - 6:41MILSalmons 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Dooling 7 AST)61
86.1%
57
13.9%
Q3 - 6:48MILDouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
87.7%
55
12.3%
Q3 - 6:51MIAMISS Wade 28' 3PT Jump Shot61
88.3%
55
11.7%
Q3 - 6:54MILBogut Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)61
89.5%
55
10.5%
Q3 - 6:56MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)61
87.7%
55
12.3%
Q3 - 6:57MIAMISS Bosh 5' Jump Shot61
88.3%
55
11.7%
Q3 - 7:08MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
89.0%
55
11.0%
Q3 - 7:09MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
87.9%
55
12.1%
Q3 - 7:28MILSalmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Douglas-Roberts 2 AST)61
89.1%
55
10.9%
Q3 - 7:40MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
91.7%
52
8.3%
Q3 - 7:41MIAMISS Bosh 6' Hook Shot61
92.1%
52
7.9%
Q3 - 7:55MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
92.9%
52
7.1%
Q3 - 7:57MILMISS Dooling 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
92.5%
52
7.5%
Q3 - 8:13MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)61
91.5%
52
8.5%
Q3 - 8:13MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)60
91.3%
52
8.7%
Q3 - 8:22MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
90.4%
52
9.6%
Q3 - 8:23MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
89.9%
52
10.1%
Q3 - 8:40MIAIlgauskas 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)59
88.9%
52
11.1%
Q3 - 9:00MILMbah a Moute 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Dooling 6 AST)57
87.4%
52
12.6%
Q3 - 9:22MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)57
88.8%
50
11.2%
Q3 - 9:23MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot57
89.3%
50
10.7%
Q3 - 9:45MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
90.2%
50
9.8%
Q3 - 9:46MILMISS Bogut 8' Hook Shot57
89.8%
50
10.2%
Q3 - 10:00MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)57
88.8%
50
11.2%
Q3 - 10:02MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot57
89.2%
50
10.8%
Q3 - 10:19MILDouglas-Roberts 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Dooling 5 AST)57
90.2%
50
9.8%
Q3 - 10:21MILDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
91.3%
48
8.7%
Q3 - 10:23MIADouglas-Roberts BLOCK (3 BLK)57
91.7%
48
8.3%
Q3 - 10:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)57
92.4%
48
7.6%
Q3 - 10:40MILMISS Salmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
92.1%
48
7.9%
Q3 - 10:51MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)57
91.3%
48
8.7%
Q3 - 10:52MIAMISS Ilgauskas 5' Hook Shot57
91.7%
48
8.3%
Q3 - 11:02MIAHeat Rebound57
92.3%
48
7.7%
Q3 - 11:02MIADouglas-Roberts BLOCK (2 BLK)57
91.6%
48
8.4%
Q3 - 11:07MILDooling Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)57
92.3%
48
7.7%
Q3 - 11:21MIAArroyo 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)57
91.2%
48
8.8%
Q3 - 11:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
90.1%
48
9.9%
Q3 - 11:38MILMISS Bogut 1' Layup55
89.7%
48
10.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA55
88.8%
48
11.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound55
90.1%
48
9.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
89.2%
48
10.8%
Q2 - 0:07.0MILDouglas-Roberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)55
89.7%
48
10.3%
Q2 - 0:07.0MILDouglas-Roberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)55
89.9%
47
10.1%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAJames Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)55
91.1%
46
8.9%
Q2 - 0:15.0MILDouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
90.0%
46
10.0%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIABogut BLOCK (1 BLK)54
90.3%
46
9.7%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
92.9%
44
7.1%
Q2 - 0:45.0MILMISS Dooling 1' Layup54
92.7%
44
7.3%
Q2 - 0:46.0MILDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
92.2%
44
7.8%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Dampier 1' Layup54
92.4%
44
7.6%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)54
92.9%
44
7.1%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup54
92.4%
44
7.6%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)54
92.9%
44
7.1%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIADouglas-Roberts BLOCK (1 BLK)54
92.4%
44
7.6%
Q2 - 0:55.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)54
92.9%
44
7.1%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot54
92.4%
44
7.6%
Q2 - 1:10MILSalmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)54
92.8%
44
7.2%
Q2 - 1:10MILSalmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)54
92.9%
43
7.1%
Q2 - 1:21MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)54
93.8%
42
6.2%
Q2 - 1:24MILDooling Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)51
91.9%
42
8.1%
Q2 - 1:44MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)51
91.1%
42
8.9%
Q2 - 1:45MIAMISS James 6' Jump Shot51
91.4%
42
8.6%
Q2 - 2:07MILDouglas-Roberts 1' Layup (11 PTS)51
91.8%
42
8.2%
Q2 - 2:25MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)51
92.7%
40
7.3%
Q2 - 2:27MIAMISS James 4' Running Hook Shot51
93.0%
40
7.0%
Q2 - 2:45MILBogut 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 2 AST)51
93.6%
40
6.4%
Q2 - 2:57MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)51
94.3%
38
5.7%
Q2 - 2:58MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot51
94.5%
38
5.5%
Q2 - 3:26MILSalmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dooling 4 AST)51
94.9%
38
5.1%
Q2 - 3:37MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)51
95.9%
35
4.1%
Q2 - 3:38MIAMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot51
96.1%
35
3.9%
Q2 - 4:01MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
96.3%
35
3.7%
Q2 - 4:02MILMISS Salmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
96.1%
35
3.9%
Q2 - 4:24MIAJames 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS)51
95.8%
35
4.2%
Q2 - 4:36MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
95.3%
35
4.7%
Q2 - 4:37MILMISS Salmons 15' Jump Shot49
95.1%
35
4.9%
Q2 - 4:55MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)49
94.7%
35
5.3%
Q2 - 4:56MIAMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot49
94.9%
35
5.1%
Q2 - 5:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
95.2%
35
4.8%
Q2 - 5:06MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 249
95.1%
35
4.9%
Q2 - 5:06MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 249
94.8%
35
5.2%
Q2 - 5:17MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)49
94.6%
35
5.4%
Q2 - 5:17MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)48
94.5%
35
5.5%
Q2 - 5:29MILDooling Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)47
94.0%
35
6.0%
Q2 - 5:45MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)47
93.3%
35
6.7%
Q2 - 5:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
91.7%
35
8.3%
Q2 - 5:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
91.7%
35
8.3%
Q2 - 5:50MIAMISS Wade 1' Tip Shot44
91.0%
35
9.0%
Q2 - 5:52MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup44
91.0%
35
9.0%
Q2 - 6:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
91.3%
35
8.7%
Q2 - 6:06MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)44
90.2%
35
9.8%
Q2 - 6:06MILMISS Bogut 1' Tip Shot44
91.0%
35
9.0%
Q2 - 6:07MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 2' Layup44
91.0%
35
9.0%
Q2 - 6:25MIABosh Layup (2 PTS)44
90.3%
35
9.7%
Q2 - 6:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
89.4%
35
10.6%
Q2 - 6:30MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot42
88.5%
35
11.5%
Q2 - 6:49MILMbah a Moute 1' Dunk (8 PTS)42
89.4%
35
10.6%
Q2 - 6:55MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
90.3%
33
9.7%
Q2 - 6:56MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot42
90.6%
33
9.4%
Q2 - 7:14MILDouglas-Roberts 1' Layup (9 PTS)42
91.3%
33
8.7%
Q2 - 7:20MIABogut STEAL (2 STL)42
92.1%
31
7.9%
Q2 - 7:33MILDouglas-Roberts 15' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)42
92.9%
31
7.1%
Q2 - 7:38MILDouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
93.6%
29
6.4%
Q2 - 7:39MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot42
93.8%
29
6.2%
Q2 - 7:58MILDouglas-Roberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)42
94.2%
29
5.8%
Q2 - 8:19MIAChalmers 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dampier 2 AST)42
95.1%
26
4.9%
Q2 - 8:32MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
94.6%
26
5.4%
Q2 - 8:33MILMISS Bogut 4' Hook Shot40
94.4%
26
5.6%
Q2 - 8:47MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)40
94.0%
26
6.0%
Q2 - 8:47MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)39
93.9%
26
6.1%
Q2 - 8:47MIAMISS Jones Free Throw Technical38
93.4%
26
6.6%
Q2 - 8:49MILBoykins Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)38
93.4%
26
6.6%
Q2 - 9:07MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)38
92.5%
26
7.5%
Q2 - 9:29MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)35
90.9%
26
9.1%
Q2 - 9:29MILBogut 2' Layup (4 PTS)35
90.9%
26
9.1%
Q2 - 9:31MILMISS Boykins 2' Layup35
92.3%
24
7.7%
Q2 - 9:42MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)35
91.7%
24
8.3%
Q2 - 9:43MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot35
92.0%
24
8.0%
Q2 - 9:53MILMbah a Moute 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)35
92.5%
24
7.5%
Q2 - 10:10MIAChalmers 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)35
92.9%
22
7.1%
Q2 - 10:13MILBoykins Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)33
92.3%
22
7.7%
Q2 - 10:25MILDouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
91.4%
22
8.6%
Q2 - 10:26MIAMISS Dampier Free Throw 2 of 233
91.5%
22
8.5%
Q2 - 10:26MIAMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 233
91.9%
22
8.1%
Q2 - 10:42MILDouglas-Roberts 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)33
92.3%
22
7.7%
Q2 - 11:07MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)33
92.7%
20
7.3%
Q2 - 11:29MILBoykins Layup (6 PTS) (Douglas-Roberts 1 AST)30
91.3%
20
8.7%
Q2 - 11:33MIADouglas-Roberts STEAL (1 STL)30
92.0%
18
8.0%
Q2 - 11:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
92.7%
18
7.3%
Q2 - 11:44MILMISS Boykins 1' Layup30
92.5%
18
7.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL30
92.0%
18
8.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)30
92.0%
18
8.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)29
91.8%
18
8.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
90.9%
18
9.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot28
90.4%
18
9.6%
Q1 - 0:26.0MILBoykins Palming Turnover (P1.T7)28
90.9%
18
9.1%
Q1 - 0:29.0MILBrockman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
90.2%
18
9.8%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot28
90.4%
18
9.6%
Q1 - 0:37.0MILBoykins 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
90.9%
18
9.1%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIADampier 1' Layup (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)28
91.8%
16
8.2%
Q1 - 0:55.0MILMaggette Foul Turnover (P1.T6)26
90.9%
16
9.1%
Q1 - 1:04MIAHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)26
90.2%
16
9.8%
Q1 - 1:25MILBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
88.1%
16
11.9%
Q1 - 1:25MILBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
88.2%
15
11.8%
Q1 - 1:49MIAHoward 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)23
89.3%
14
10.7%
Q1 - 2:02MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
88.1%
14
11.9%
Q1 - 2:04MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 221
87.9%
14
12.1%
Q1 - 2:04MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 221
87.4%
14
12.6%
Q1 - 2:04MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)21
87.1%
14
12.9%
Q1 - 2:04MILMISS Bogut 1' Layup21
87.8%
14
12.2%
Q1 - 2:05MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
87.1%
14
12.9%
Q1 - 2:06MILMISS Dooling 18' Jump Shot21
87.8%
14
12.2%
Q1 - 2:15MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
87.2%
14
12.8%
Q1 - 2:16MILMISS Salmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
87.8%
14
12.2%
Q1 - 2:36MIAArroyo 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 1 AST)21
87.2%
14
12.8%
Q1 - 2:49MILDooling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)19
86.0%
14
14.0%
Q1 - 3:01MIAHoward Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)19
85.0%
14
15.0%
Q1 - 3:18MILBogut Foul Turnover (P2.T4)19
86.2%
14
13.8%
Q1 - 3:30MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)19
85.0%
14
15.0%
Q1 - 3:51MILBogut Dunk (2 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)17
83.9%
14
16.1%
Q1 - 4:15MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
85.1%
12
14.9%
Q1 - 4:15MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
84.8%
12
15.2%
Q1 - 4:29MILDooling 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 1 AST)15
84.0%
12
16.0%
Q1 - 4:50MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)15
86.2%
9
13.8%
Q1 - 4:50MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 214
85.9%
9
14.1%
Q1 - 5:07MILMaggette Layup (2 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)14
85.9%
9
14.1%
Q1 - 5:10MILDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
86.7%
7
13.3%
Q1 - 5:11MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup14
87.1%
7
12.9%
Q1 - 5:21MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
87.8%
7
12.2%
Q1 - 5:22MILMISS Maggette 17' Jump Shot14
87.5%
7
12.5%
Q1 - 5:41MIAMbah a Moute STEAL (1 STL)14
86.8%
7
13.2%
Q1 - 5:49MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
87.8%
7
12.2%
Q1 - 5:51MILMISS Bogut 5' Hook Shot14
87.5%
7
12.5%
Q1 - 6:16MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Layup (7 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)14
86.8%
7
13.2%
Q1 - 6:19MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)12
85.8%
7
14.2%
Q1 - 6:21MILMISS Maggette 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
85.5%
7
14.5%
Q1 - 6:40MIAArroyo 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)12
84.7%
7
15.3%
Q1 - 6:54MILMbah a Moute Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)9
82.5%
7
17.5%
Q1 - 7:08MIAWade 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)9
81.4%
7
18.6%
Q1 - 7:10MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)7
80.2%
7
19.8%
Q1 - 7:12MILMISS Salmons 12' Jump Shot7
79.8%
7
20.2%
Q1 - 7:29MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
78.8%
7
21.2%
Q1 - 7:30MILMISS Bogut 4' Hook Shot7
79.8%
7
20.2%
Q1 - 7:52MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)7
78.8%
7
21.2%
Q1 - 7:52MIAIlgauskas 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)7
78.8%
7
21.2%
Q1 - 7:55MIAMISS James 9' Jump Shot5
76.4%
7
23.6%
Q1 - 8:15MILIlyasova 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Salmons 1 AST)5
77.9%
7
22.1%
Q1 - 8:30MIAArroyo Palming Turnover (P1.T3)5
79.3%
5
20.7%
Q1 - 8:33MILBogut Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)5
80.5%
5
19.5%
Q1 - 8:54MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)5
79.3%
5
20.7%
Q1 - 9:02MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
77.2%
5
22.8%
Q1 - 9:03MILMISS Salmons Free Throw 2 of 22
77.0%
5
23.0%
Q1 - 9:03MILSalmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
76.0%
5
24.0%
Q1 - 9:05MIASalmons STEAL (1 STL)2
77.2%
4
22.8%
Q1 - 9:09MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
78.5%
4
21.5%
Q1 - 9:11MILMISS Mbah a Moute Layup2
78.1%
4
21.9%
Q1 - 9:31MILDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
77.1%
4
22.9%
Q1 - 9:32MIAMISS Ilgauskas 20' Jump Shot2
77.5%
4
22.5%
Q1 - 9:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
78.4%
4
21.6%
Q1 - 9:43MILMISS Bogut 3' Layup2
78.0%
4
22.0%
Q1 - 9:53MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
77.1%
4
22.9%
Q1 - 9:54MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot2
77.5%
4
22.5%
Q1 - 10:04MILMbah a Moute 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)2
78.7%
4
21.3%
Q1 - 10:18MIABogut STEAL (1 STL)2
79.7%
2
20.3%
Q1 - 10:35MILMbah a Moute Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
81.0%
2
19.0%
Q1 - 10:53MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
79.7%
2
20.3%
Q1 - 11:03MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
78.9%
2
21.1%
Q1 - 11:04MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot0
78.3%
2
21.7%
Q1 - 11:18MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
78.9%
2
21.1%
Q1 - 11:18MILMbah a Moute Layup (2 PTS)0
78.9%
2
21.1%
Q1 - 11:19MILMISS Salmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
80.8%
0
19.2%
Q1 - 11:39MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
80.1%
0
19.9%
Q1 - 11:41MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot0
80.4%
0
19.6%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Bogut vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Bosh0
81.1%
0
18.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 48.1%
MIL
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
31
39%
MIL
17
39
44%
Midrange
MIA
18
46
39%
MIL
13
23
57%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
12
42%
63%
MIL
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
Free Throws
MIA
26
32
81%
MIL
17
24
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2648%13.0 / 27
C. Bosh1644%8.0 / 18
C. Arroyo1563%7.5 / 12
D. Wade1432%7.0 / 22
M. Chalmers770%3.5 / 5
J. Howard758%3.5 / 6
Z. Ilgauskas660%3.0 / 5
J. Jones6100%3.0 / 3
E. Dampier450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Douglas-Roberts3068%15.0 / 22
J. Salmons1554%7.5 / 14
E. Boykins1458%7.0 / 12
A. Bogut1229%6.0 / 21
L. Mbah a Moute1071%5.0 / 7
E. Ilyasova950%4.5 / 9
K. Dooling338%1.5 / 4
C. Maggette233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
88
+17
-16
105
MIL
76
+14
-23
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 48.1%
MIL
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
101.9
MIA 97.1 +1.2
MIL 96.0
Pace
91.3
89.6
MIA 99.2 +13.9
MIL 85.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.6
MIA 14.5 +2.4
MIL 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
46.7%
MIA 42.1%
MIL 48.1% +6.0%
TO %
14.4%
13.9%
MIA 13.4% +6.7%
MIL 20.1%
ORB %
25.2%
24.8%
MIA 25.0%
MIL 28.6% +3.6%
FTrt
36.3
28.7
MIA 36.0 +6.4
MIL 29.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
54.9%
MIA 57.1% +1.5%
MIL 55.6%
STL %
7.3%
8.3%
MIA 10.6%
MIL 11.1% +0.5%
BLK %
8.5%
7.9%
MIA 9.7%
MIL 11.7% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
49.5%
MIA 48.1%
MIL 50.5% +2.4%
Rim FG%
64.7%
53.9%
MIA 38.7%
MIL 43.6% +4.9%
Mid FG%
42.2%
39.0%
MIA 39.1%
MIL 56.5% +17.4%
3P %
37.0%
34.2%
MIA 41.7% +10.1%
MIL 31.6%
FT %
76.9%
75.7%
MIA 81.3% +10.5%
MIL 70.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
33.9%
MIA 34.8%
MIL 48.1% +13.3%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
44.5%
MIA 51.7%
MIL 28.4% +23.3%
3P Att. %
23.5%
21.6%
MIA 13.5%
MIL 23.5% +10.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions10499
Possession Minutes25.127.9
Points10195
Rebounds4853
Assists2020
Steals1111
Blocks69
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)23 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (4)14 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (0)39 (0)
Field Goals35-8936-81
At-the-Rim FG12-3117-39
Midrange FG18-4613-23
2-Point FG30-7730-62
3-Point FG5-126-19
Free Throws26-3217-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
45.3
26
48%
10
5
6
1
5
2
1
9
9-11
82%
7-19
37%
1-4
25%
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
44.0
14
32%
7
5
3
0
1
4
4
3
6-7
86%
4-18
22%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
36.6
16
44%
12
0
0
1
2
4
3
9
4-4
100%
6-16
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
36.5
15
63%
3
3
1
0
3
1
1
2
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
1-3
33%
C · 7'3" 260 · 36
31.2
6
60%
8
1
0
3
2
4
2
6
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 35
21.8
4
50%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
16.8
6
100%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
2-2
100%
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
16.6
7
70%
0
2
0
0
2
4
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
16.4
7
58%
4
1
0
0
1
1
1
3
3-3
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
101
48%
48
20
11
6
16
0
13
35
26-32
81%
30-77
39%
5-12
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.