FinalWin Prob.pScore
265%101
90
1835%96
87
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
100.09096.9
IND logo IND
100.08781.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASIND
Q4 - 0:00.0IND90
100%
87
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
96.5%
87
3.5%
Q4 - 0:04.0INDMISS Hibbert 6' Hook Shot88
95.2%
87
4.8%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)88
68.0%
87
32.0%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)87
65.3%
87
34.7%
Q4 - 0:23.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)86
51.6%
87
48.4%
Q4 - 0:24.0INDMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
43.2%
87
56.8%
Q4 - 0:36.0SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P2.T13)86
27.8%
87
72.2%
Q4 - 0:48.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)86
52.4%
87
47.6%
Q4 - 0:49.0INDMISS Hibbert 8' Turnaround Hook Shot86
46.7%
87
53.3%
Q4 - 1:07SASHill Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)86
37.7%
87
62.3%
Q4 - 1:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)83
16.0%
87
84.0%
Q4 - 1:11INDMISS Granger Free Throw 2 of 283
15.4%
87
84.6%
Q4 - 1:11INDCollison Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)83
9.4%
87
90.6%
Q4 - 1:11INDMISS Granger Free Throw 1 of 283
17.6%
86
82.4%
Q4 - 1:30INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)83
18.5%
86
81.5%
Q4 - 1:31SASMISS Duncan 7' Running Hook Shot83
21.8%
86
78.2%
Q4 - 1:45SASHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
31.1%
86
68.9%
Q4 - 1:46INDMISS Hansbrough 18' Jump Shot83
27.7%
86
72.3%
Q4 - 2:06SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)83
19.9%
86
80.1%
Q4 - 2:25INDCollison Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)83
33.0%
86
67.0%
Q4 - 2:25INDCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)83
34.3%
85
65.7%
Q4 - 2:44SASDuncan Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)83
39.8%
84
60.2%
Q4 - 2:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)83
58.0%
84
42.0%
Q4 - 2:57SASMISS McDyess 14' Jump Shot83
47.7%
84
52.3%
Q4 - 3:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)83
58.2%
84
41.8%
Q4 - 3:16INDMISS Collison 16' Jump Shot83
53.5%
84
46.5%
Q4 - 3:25INDCollison Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)83
42.5%
84
57.5%
Q4 - 3:49SASHill 2' Reverse Layup (13 PTS)83
57.3%
83
42.7%
Q4 - 3:51SASHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
48.5%
83
51.5%
Q4 - 3:53SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
41.3%
83
58.7%
Q4 - 3:57SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
48.4%
83
51.6%
Q4 - 4:00SASHansbrough BLOCK (2 BLK)81
41.2%
83
58.8%
Q4 - 4:15INDCollison Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)81
48.2%
83
51.8%
Q4 - 4:15INDCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)81
49.4%
82
50.6%
Q4 - 4:19SASDuncan 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Hill 4 AST)81
57.2%
81
42.8%
Q4 - 4:35SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
48.1%
81
51.9%
Q4 - 4:36INDMISS Hibbert 5' Jump Hook Shot79
44.9%
81
55.1%
Q4 - 4:52SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)79
37.6%
81
62.4%
Q4 - 4:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)76
22.0%
81
78.0%
Q4 - 4:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)76
22.0%
81
78.0%
Q4 - 4:57SASMISS Duncan 1' Tip Shot76
17.4%
81
82.6%
Q4 - 4:58SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot76
17.4%
81
82.6%
Q4 - 5:14INDRush Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)76
26.9%
81
73.1%
Q4 - 5:36SASGinobili Layup (20 PTS)76
20.2%
81
79.8%
Q4 - 5:40INDHansbrough Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)74
15.6%
81
84.4%
Q4 - 6:06SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)74
15.2%
81
84.8%
Q4 - 6:17INDGranger Foul Turnover (P3.T11)72
11.9%
81
88.1%
Q4 - 6:27INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)72
8.8%
81
91.2%
Q4 - 6:28SASMISS Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
9.6%
81
90.4%
Q4 - 6:42INDDunleavy 14' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)72
11.7%
81
88.3%
Q4 - 7:00SASMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)72
14.9%
79
85.1%
Q4 - 7:16SASSpurs Rebound70
14.8%
79
85.2%
Q4 - 7:22INDMISS Hibbert 11' Turnaround Jump Shot70
13.6%
79
86.4%
Q4 - 7:43INDPACERS Rebound70
11.3%
79
88.7%
Q4 - 7:44INDMISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot70
13.5%
79
86.5%
Q4 - 7:51SASGranger STEAL (1 STL)70
11.2%
79
88.8%
Q4 - 8:00INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)70
14.6%
79
85.4%
Q4 - 8:00INDMISS Hansbrough Free Throw 1 of 270
15.3%
78
84.7%
Q4 - 8:00INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)70
14.3%
78
85.7%
Q4 - 8:02INDMISS Granger 22' Jump Shot70
20.1%
78
79.9%
Q4 - 8:12SASGinobili Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T9)70
17.4%
78
82.6%
Q4 - 8:29INDDunleavy Free Throw 3 of 3 (12 PTS)70
21.2%
78
78.8%
Q4 - 8:29INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 3 (11 PTS)70
21.9%
77
78.1%
Q4 - 8:29INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 3 (10 PTS)70
22.8%
76
77.2%
Q4 - 8:53INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
31.1%
75
68.9%
Q4 - 8:54SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
32.8%
75
67.2%
Q4 - 9:13INDGranger Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)70
39.1%
75
60.9%
Q4 - 9:30SASBonner Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)70
33.5%
75
66.5%
Q4 - 9:36SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)70
39.0%
75
61.0%
Q4 - 9:36SASSpurs Rebound69
33.4%
75
66.6%
Q4 - 9:36SASMISS Bonner 13' Jump Shot69
29.9%
75
70.1%
Q4 - 10:00SASSpurs Rebound69
33.3%
75
66.7%
Q4 - 10:01SASMISS Neal 13' Pullup Jump Shot69
31.7%
75
68.3%
Q4 - 10:06INDGranger Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)69
35.2%
75
64.8%
Q4 - 10:12INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)69
30.2%
75
69.8%
Q4 - 10:13SASFoster BLOCK (1 BLK)69
31.7%
75
68.3%
Q4 - 10:21SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
35.2%
75
64.8%
Q4 - 10:24INDMISS Ford 6' Running Jump Shot69
33.6%
75
66.4%
Q4 - 10:50SASNeal 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)69
30.1%
75
69.9%
Q4 - 10:57SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)66
21.5%
75
78.5%
Q4 - 10:59INDMISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
20.3%
75
79.7%
Q4 - 11:15SASNeal 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)66
19.7%
75
80.3%
Q4 - 11:37SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
16.4%
75
83.6%
Q4 - 11:38INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
15.5%
75
84.5%
Q4 - 11:41INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)64
13.7%
75
86.3%
Q4 - 11:42INDMISS Dunleavy 18' Jump Shot64
15.5%
75
84.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS64
13.6%
75
86.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
16.3%
75
83.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0INDMISS Ford 17' Pullup Jump Shot64
17.2%
75
82.8%
Q3 - 0:11.0SASJefferson 1' Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Blair 3 AST)64
15.4%
75
84.6%
Q3 - 0:16.0INDRush Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)62
12.7%
75
87.3%
Q3 - 0:31.0SASNeal 11' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)62
10.7%
75
89.3%
Q3 - 0:53.0SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)60
8.7%
75
91.3%
Q3 - 0:54.0INDMISS Dunleavy 17' Pullup Jump Shot60
8.3%
75
91.7%
Q3 - 1:16INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
8.3%
75
91.7%
Q3 - 1:17SASHibbert BLOCK (2 BLK)60
8.8%
75
91.2%
Q3 - 1:32INDDunleavy 4' Layup (9 PTS) (Hansbrough 1 AST)60
9.8%
75
90.2%
Q3 - 1:36SASHansbrough STEAL (1 STL)60
11.8%
73
88.2%
Q3 - 1:46SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
13.8%
73
86.2%
Q3 - 1:47INDMISS Hansbrough 18' Jump Shot60
13.2%
73
86.8%
Q3 - 2:07SASJefferson Foul Turnover (P2.T6)60
13.3%
73
86.7%
Q3 - 2:19INDHansbrough 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)60
15.5%
73
84.5%
Q3 - 2:38INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)60
18.1%
71
81.9%
Q3 - 2:39SASMISS Hill 16' Jump Shot60
18.9%
71
81.1%
Q3 - 3:00INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)60
20.9%
71
79.1%
Q3 - 3:00INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)60
21.4%
70
78.6%
Q3 - 3:06SASDunleavy STEAL (1 STL)60
26.4%
69
73.6%
Q3 - 3:29INDHansbrough 16' Jump Shot (20 PTS)60
30.1%
69
69.9%
Q3 - 3:54INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)60
33.8%
67
66.2%
Q3 - 3:55SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
35.1%
67
64.9%
Q3 - 4:15INDHibbert Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)60
39.4%
67
60.6%
Q3 - 4:35INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)60
34.5%
67
65.5%
Q3 - 4:35SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 260
35.2%
67
64.8%
Q3 - 4:35SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)60
38.1%
67
61.9%
Q3 - 4:53INDHansbrough 1' Putback Layup (18 PTS)59
35.2%
67
64.8%
Q3 - 4:55INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)59
38.6%
65
61.4%
Q3 - 4:56INDMISS Collison 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
42.0%
65
58.0%
Q3 - 5:21INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)59
39.5%
65
60.5%
Q3 - 5:22SASMISS Parker 9' Running Jump Shot59
40.9%
65
59.1%
Q3 - 5:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)59
44.1%
65
55.9%
Q3 - 5:36INDMISS Rush 4' Jump Shot59
42.6%
65
57.4%
Q3 - 5:49SASParker 15' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)59
39.5%
65
60.5%
Q3 - 6:15INDRush 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)57
37.7%
65
62.3%
Q3 - 6:34SASParker 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)57
45.1%
62
54.9%
Q3 - 6:54INDGranger 4' Alley Oop Layup (15 PTS) (Hibbert 2 AST)55
41.5%
62
58.5%
Q3 - 7:07INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)55
46.2%
60
53.8%
Q3 - 7:07SASMISS Bonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
47.4%
60
52.6%
Q3 - 7:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)55
50.2%
60
49.8%
Q3 - 7:16SASMISS Ginobili 15' Jump Shot55
47.4%
60
52.6%
Q3 - 7:29INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Collison 6 AST)55
50.2%
60
49.8%
Q3 - 7:35INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
57.7%
57
42.3%
Q3 - 7:36SASMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot55
58.9%
57
41.1%
Q3 - 7:53INDHansbrough 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Collison 5 AST)55
61.6%
57
38.4%
Q3 - 8:10INDCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
65.2%
55
34.8%
Q3 - 8:11SASMISS Blair 2' Layup55
66.3%
55
33.7%
Q3 - 8:31INDHansbrough 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Collison 4 AST)55
68.7%
55
31.3%
Q3 - 8:43SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)55
71.7%
53
28.3%
Q3 - 8:54INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)52
65.4%
53
34.6%
Q3 - 8:54INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)52
66.1%
52
33.9%
Q3 - 9:10INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)52
68.7%
51
31.3%
Q3 - 9:11SASMISS Parker 11' Jump Shot52
69.7%
51
30.3%
Q3 - 9:33INDCollison 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)52
71.8%
51
28.2%
Q3 - 9:54SASDuncan 2' Dunk (11 PTS) (Blair 2 AST)52
74.7%
49
25.3%
Q3 - 10:04SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)50
72.1%
49
27.9%
Q3 - 10:05INDMISS Hibbert 6' Hook Shot50
71.2%
49
28.8%
Q3 - 10:13INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
69.1%
49
30.9%
Q3 - 10:14SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot50
70.0%
49
30.0%
Q3 - 10:26SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
72.1%
49
27.9%
Q3 - 10:27INDMISS Hibbert 19' Jump Shot50
71.2%
49
28.8%
Q3 - 10:51INDPACERS Rebound50
69.0%
49
31.0%
Q3 - 10:52SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
70.0%
49
30.0%
Q3 - 10:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
72.1%
49
27.9%
Q3 - 10:58INDMISS Dunleavy 11' Jump Shot50
71.2%
49
28.8%
Q3 - 11:05INDCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
69.4%
49
30.6%
Q3 - 11:06SASDunleavy BLOCK (2 BLK)50
70.3%
49
29.7%
Q3 - 11:18INDHibbert 7' Hook Shot (10 PTS)50
72.4%
49
27.6%
Q3 - 11:39SASDuncan 4' Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)50
74.9%
47
25.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS48
72.4%
47
27.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)48
72.0%
47
28.0%
Q2 - 0:12.0INDCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
77.6%
44
22.4%
Q2 - 0:13.0SASRush BLOCK (1 BLK)48
78.1%
44
21.9%
Q2 - 0:35.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
79.4%
44
20.6%
Q2 - 0:36.0INDMISS Collison 10' Running Jump Shot48
78.8%
44
21.2%
Q2 - 0:53.0INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
77.6%
44
22.4%
Q2 - 0:54.0SASMISS Neal 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
78.2%
44
21.8%
Q2 - 1:01SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
79.3%
44
20.7%
Q2 - 1:02INDMISS Collison 12' Jump Shot48
78.8%
44
21.2%
Q2 - 1:15INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)48
77.7%
44
22.3%
Q2 - 1:15SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 248
77.9%
44
22.1%
Q2 - 1:15SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)48
79.6%
44
20.4%
Q2 - 1:15SASSpurs Rebound47
77.1%
44
22.9%
Q2 - 1:15INDMISS Hibbert 19' Jump Shot47
76.6%
44
23.4%
Q2 - 1:29SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)47
75.4%
44
24.6%
Q2 - 1:36SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
69.5%
44
30.5%
Q2 - 1:37INDMISS Hibbert 11' Hook Shot44
68.8%
44
31.2%
Q2 - 1:50INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)44
67.4%
44
32.6%
Q2 - 1:51SASMISS Parker 1' Layup44
68.0%
44
32.0%
Q2 - 1:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
69.4%
44
30.6%
Q2 - 1:58INDMISS Granger 4' Jump Shot44
68.8%
44
31.2%
Q2 - 2:10SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)44
67.1%
44
32.9%
Q2 - 2:10SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)43
66.7%
44
33.3%
Q2 - 2:16INDRush Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)42
64.3%
44
35.7%
Q2 - 2:38SASGinobili 16' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS)42
61.3%
44
38.7%
Q2 - 2:43SASSpurs Rebound40
58.3%
44
41.7%
Q2 - 2:43SASDunleavy BLOCK (1 BLK)40
56.1%
44
43.9%
Q2 - 2:53INDHibbert Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)40
58.3%
44
41.7%
Q2 - 3:07SASGinobili 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)40
55.8%
44
44.2%
Q2 - 3:12SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
53.3%
44
46.7%
Q2 - 3:13INDMISS Hansbrough 21' Jump Shot38
52.2%
44
47.8%
Q2 - 3:27SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)38
49.6%
44
50.4%
Q2 - 3:27SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)37
49.1%
44
50.9%
Q2 - 3:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
47.0%
44
53.0%
Q2 - 3:31INDMISS Granger 15' Fadeaway Jumper36
45.9%
44
54.1%
Q2 - 3:40INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
43.4%
44
56.6%
Q2 - 3:41SASMISS Parker 10' Jump Shot36
44.5%
44
55.5%
Q2 - 3:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
47.0%
44
53.0%
Q2 - 3:55SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
44.5%
44
55.5%
Q2 - 4:24INDHansbrough 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS)36
47.6%
44
52.4%
Q2 - 4:50SASDuncan 11' Turnaround Bank Shot (7 PTS)36
50.3%
42
49.7%
Q2 - 5:08INDGranger 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Foster 2 AST)34
48.4%
42
51.6%
Q2 - 5:11INDPACERS Rebound34
51.4%
40
48.6%
Q2 - 5:11INDMISS Hansbrough 3' Layup34
53.4%
40
46.6%
Q2 - 5:24SASHill Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)34
51.4%
40
48.6%
Q2 - 5:43INDGranger 18' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)34
54.2%
40
45.8%
Q2 - 5:51INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)34
57.2%
38
42.8%
Q2 - 5:52SASMISS Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
58.0%
38
42.0%
Q2 - 6:10INDHibbert 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS)34
60.4%
38
39.6%
Q2 - 6:12INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)34
62.7%
36
37.3%
Q2 - 6:13INDMISS Hansbrough 15' Jump Shot34
64.8%
36
35.2%
Q2 - 6:31SASNeal Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
62.7%
36
37.3%
Q2 - 6:31SASNeal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
62.3%
36
37.7%
Q2 - 6:47INDCollison 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)32
60.4%
36
39.6%
Q2 - 6:55INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
62.7%
34
37.3%
Q2 - 6:57SASMISS Blair 10' Jump Shot32
63.7%
34
36.3%
Q2 - 7:20INDHibbert 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)32
66.1%
34
33.9%
Q2 - 7:39SASGinobili Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)32
63.3%
34
36.7%
Q2 - 7:39SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)31
63.0%
34
37.0%
Q2 - 7:39SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)30
62.7%
34
37.3%
Q2 - 7:52INDHibbert 3' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)29
58.2%
34
41.8%
Q2 - 8:04SASBlair 3' Layup (4 PTS)29
61.3%
32
38.7%
Q2 - 8:17INDCollison 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
58.8%
32
41.2%
Q2 - 8:29INDPACERS Rebound27
61.3%
30
38.7%
Q2 - 8:30INDMISS Granger 16' Pullup Jump Shot27
63.1%
30
36.9%
Q2 - 8:41INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
61.3%
30
38.7%
Q2 - 8:42SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 127
61.7%
30
38.3%
Q2 - 8:55SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw Technical25
58.8%
30
41.2%
Q2 - 9:07INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)25
59.2%
30
40.8%
Q2 - 9:15INDPACERS Rebound25
64.0%
27
36.0%
Q2 - 9:16SASMISS Neal 13' Floating Jump Shot25
64.8%
27
35.2%
Q2 - 9:24SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
66.5%
27
33.5%
Q2 - 9:25INDMISS Hibbert 8' Jump Shot25
65.7%
27
34.3%
Q2 - 9:34INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)25
64.0%
27
36.0%
Q2 - 9:37SASMISS Ginobili 4' Layup25
64.8%
27
35.2%
Q2 - 9:45SASSpurs Rebound25
66.5%
27
33.5%
Q2 - 9:45SASHibbert BLOCK (1 BLK)25
64.8%
27
35.2%
Q2 - 9:57INDHibbert 2' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Rush 1 AST)25
66.5%
27
33.5%
Q2 - 10:16SASHill 12' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)25
68.4%
25
31.6%
Q2 - 10:24SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
66.3%
25
33.7%
Q2 - 10:25INDMISS Ford 15' Jump Shot23
65.6%
25
34.4%
Q2 - 10:31SASHill 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)23
63.8%
25
36.2%
Q2 - 10:50INDHibbert 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)21
61.6%
25
38.4%
Q2 - 11:00INDPACERS Rebound21
63.8%
23
36.2%
Q2 - 11:02INDMISS Ford 12' Running Jump Shot21
65.4%
23
34.6%
Q2 - 11:17SASNeal 21' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)21
63.8%
23
36.2%
Q2 - 11:22SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)19
61.5%
23
38.5%
Q2 - 11:23SASMISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 219
59.3%
23
40.7%
Q2 - 11:23SASMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 219
61.0%
23
39.0%
Q2 - 11:36INDDunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)19
61.5%
23
38.5%
Q2 - 11:46SASBlair 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)19
66.0%
20
34.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS19
68.4%
20
31.6%
Q1 - 0:06.0INDFord 12' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)19
68.1%
20
31.9%
Q1 - 0:29.0SASHill 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)19
70.6%
18
29.4%
Q1 - 0:37.0SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)16
66.0%
18
34.0%
Q1 - 0:37.0INDMISS Foster Free Throw 2 of 216
65.7%
18
34.3%
Q1 - 0:37.0INDMISS Foster Free Throw 1 of 216
64.5%
18
35.5%
Q1 - 0:37.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
64.1%
18
35.9%
Q1 - 0:38.0INDMISS Ford 30' 3PT Jump Shot16
65.4%
18
34.6%
Q1 - 1:02INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)16
64.7%
18
35.3%
Q1 - 1:03SASHansbrough BLOCK (1 BLK)16
65.2%
18
34.8%
Q1 - 1:15INDRush Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
66.2%
18
33.8%
Q1 - 1:15INDRush Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
66.8%
17
33.2%
Q1 - 1:33INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)16
68.8%
16
31.2%
Q1 - 1:33SASMISS Ginobili 5' Layup16
69.3%
16
30.7%
Q1 - 1:43SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
70.3%
16
29.7%
Q1 - 1:44INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)16
68.8%
16
31.2%
Q1 - 1:44INDMISS Hibbert 2' Tip Shot16
69.9%
16
30.1%
Q1 - 1:46INDMISS George 5' Turnaround Jump Shot16
69.9%
16
30.1%
Q1 - 2:02INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
68.8%
16
31.2%
Q1 - 2:04INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
68.8%
16
31.2%
Q1 - 2:04INDMISS Hibbert 1' Putback Dunk16
70.0%
16
30.0%
Q1 - 2:05INDMISS Rush 11' Turnaround Jump Shot16
70.0%
16
30.0%
Q1 - 2:12INDPACERS Rebound16
68.8%
16
31.2%
Q1 - 2:12INDMISS Hansbrough 2' Layup16
70.0%
16
30.0%
Q1 - 2:14INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
68.8%
16
31.2%
Q1 - 2:15INDMISS Hansbrough 16' Jump Shot16
70.0%
16
30.0%
Q1 - 2:37SASBlair 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)16
68.8%
16
31.2%
Q1 - 2:54INDRush 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
66.6%
16
33.4%
Q1 - 3:03INDPACERS Rebound14
69.0%
14
31.0%
Q1 - 3:04INDMISS Rush 3' Jump Shot14
70.4%
14
29.6%
Q1 - 3:20SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)14
69.0%
14
31.0%
Q1 - 3:32INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)11
65.0%
14
35.0%
Q1 - 3:32INDPACERS Rebound11
62.8%
14
37.2%
Q1 - 3:32INDMISS Ford 3PT Jump Shot11
64.4%
14
35.6%
Q1 - 3:38INDFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
62.8%
14
37.2%
Q1 - 3:39INDMISS Hibbert 3' Layup11
64.3%
14
35.7%
Q1 - 3:58SASParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)11
62.8%
14
37.2%
Q1 - 4:16INDFord 19' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
65.4%
14
34.6%
Q1 - 4:24INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
67.2%
12
32.8%
Q1 - 4:25SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot11
67.8%
12
32.2%
Q1 - 4:38SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)11
69.3%
12
30.7%
Q1 - 4:39INDMISS Granger 1' Reverse Layup11
68.6%
12
31.4%
Q1 - 4:50INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
67.2%
12
32.8%
Q1 - 4:51SASMISS Jefferson 20' Jump Shot11
67.8%
12
32.2%
Q1 - 5:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
69.1%
12
30.9%
Q1 - 5:03INDMISS Hansbrough 6' Jump Shot11
68.4%
12
31.6%
Q1 - 5:16INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
67.0%
12
33.0%
Q1 - 5:17SASMISS Parker 19' Pullup Jump Shot11
67.6%
12
32.4%
Q1 - 5:40INDFord 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
69.1%
12
30.9%
Q1 - 6:04SASDuncan 13' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)11
70.9%
10
29.1%
Q1 - 6:23SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)9
69.2%
10
30.8%
Q1 - 6:24SASMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot9
67.9%
10
32.1%
Q1 - 6:31SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
69.2%
10
30.8%
Q1 - 6:32INDMISS Collison 15' Pullup Jump Shot9
68.6%
10
31.4%
Q1 - 6:41SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)9
67.3%
10
32.7%
Q1 - 6:59INDHansbrough 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Collison 3 AST)7
65.5%
10
34.5%
Q1 - 7:10INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
67.5%
8
32.5%
Q1 - 7:10INDMISS Hansbrough 18' Jump Shot7
68.9%
8
31.1%
Q1 - 7:24SASParker 17' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
67.5%
8
32.5%
Q1 - 7:37SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
65.9%
8
34.1%
Q1 - 7:39INDMISS Foster 4' Jump Shot5
65.3%
8
34.7%
Q1 - 7:58SASHill 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)5
63.9%
8
36.1%
Q1 - 8:02SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
62.6%
8
37.4%
Q1 - 8:03INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
62.1%
8
37.9%
Q1 - 8:13SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)3
60.8%
8
39.2%
Q1 - 8:13SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
60.4%
8
39.6%
Q1 - 8:30INDDunleavy 2' Running Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)1
58.8%
8
41.2%
Q1 - 8:46INDPACERS Rebound1
60.8%
6
39.2%
Q1 - 8:46INDMISS Collison 1' Layup1
62.0%
6
38.0%
Q1 - 8:51INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)1
60.7%
6
39.3%
Q1 - 8:52SASMISS Duncan 11' Turnaround Bank Shot1
61.3%
6
38.7%
Q1 - 9:09INDCollison Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)1
63.5%
6
36.5%
Q1 - 9:17SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
61.7%
6
38.3%
Q1 - 9:17SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 20
61.2%
6
38.8%
Q1 - 9:28SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
61.6%
6
38.4%
Q1 - 9:29SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
60.4%
6
39.6%
Q1 - 9:42INDHansbrough 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)0
61.6%
6
38.4%
Q1 - 9:56SASJefferson Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
63.4%
4
36.6%
Q1 - 10:16INDHansbrough 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)0
65.7%
4
34.3%
Q1 - 10:28INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)0
67.0%
2
33.0%
Q1 - 10:30SASMISS Blair 14' Jump Shot0
67.6%
2
32.4%
Q1 - 10:42INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)0
68.9%
2
31.1%
Q1 - 10:42INDPACERS Rebound0
67.0%
2
33.0%
Q1 - 10:43INDMISS Collison 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
68.3%
2
31.7%
Q1 - 11:06INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
67.7%
2
32.3%
Q1 - 11:07SASMISS Parker 6' Floating Jump Shot0
68.1%
2
31.9%
Q1 - 11:13SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
69.0%
2
31.0%
Q1 - 11:15INDMISS Granger 3' Layup0
68.6%
2
31.4%
Q1 - 11:31INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
67.7%
2
32.3%
Q1 - 11:32SASMISS Duncan 20' Jump Shot0
68.1%
2
31.9%
Q1 - 11:47INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
69.0%
2
31.0%
Q1 - 11:47INDHansbrough 1' Putback Dunk (2 PTS)0
69.0%
2
31.0%
Q1 - 11:48INDMISS Collison 16' Pullup Jump Shot0
71.4%
0
28.6%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball Hibbert vs. Duncan: Tip to Granger0
70.5%
0
29.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.99 49.5%
IND
0.87 43.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
10
21
48%
IND
10
24
42%
Midrange
SAS
16
38
42%
IND
18
49
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
IND
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
Free Throws
SAS
20
27
74%
IND
16
21
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili2563%12.5 / 20
G. Hill1653%8.0 / 15
T. Duncan1550%7.5 / 15
G. Neal1161%5.5 / 9
T. Parker1038%5.0 / 13
D. Blair429%2.0 / 7
R. Jefferson450%2.0 / 4
M. Bonner350%1.5 / 3
A. McDyess250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Hansbrough2355%11.5 / 21
D. Granger1550%7.5 / 15
M. Dunleavy1470%7.0 / 10
D. Collison1246%6.0 / 13
R. Hibbert1029%5.0 / 17
B. Rush758%3.5 / 6
T. Ford633%3.0 / 9
J. Foster0-0.0 / 2
P. George0-0.0 / 2
J. Posey0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
77
+14
-13
91
IND
76
+22
-11
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.99 49.5%
IND
0.87 43.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.5
105.1
SAS 100.0
IND 100.0
Pace
92.7
94.5
SAS 96.9 +15.7
IND 81.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
14.9
SAS 14.9 +2.9
IND 17.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
48.6%
SAS 45.5% +5.2%
IND 40.3%
TO %
13.8%
15.5%
SAS 12.8%
IND 11.8% +1.0%
ORB %
25.0%
25.9%
SAS 23.3%
IND 26.7% +3.4%
FTrt
29.9
30.0
SAS 35.1 +11.2
IND 23.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.3%
53.6%
SAS 53.1% +1.6%
IND 51.5%
STL %
7.9%
7.5%
SAS 8.9% +5.5%
IND 3.4%
BLK %
6.7%
8.4%
SAS 11.0%
IND 13.6% +2.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
52.0%
SAS 49.5% +6.0%
IND 43.5%
Rim FG%
60.3%
56.8%
SAS 47.6% +5.9%
IND 41.7%
Mid FG%
41.6%
39.2%
SAS 42.1% +5.4%
IND 36.7%
3P %
39.7%
35.4%
SAS 33.3%
IND 33.3%
FT %
76.7%
78.2%
SAS 74.1%
IND 76.2% +2.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.3%
33.8%
SAS 27.3%
IND 27.3%
Mid Att. %
39.7%
41.9%
SAS 49.4% +6.3%
IND 55.7%
3P Att. %
26.1%
24.4%
SAS 23.4% +6.3%
IND 17.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsSASIND
Possessions9087
Possession Minutes22.325.7
Points9087
Rebounds4345
Assists1717
Steals83
Blocks88
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)11 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)12 (10)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)33 (2)
Field Goals32-7733-88
At-the-Rim FG10-2110-24
Midrange FG16-3818-49
2-Point FG26-5928-73
3-Point FG6-185-15
Free Throws20-2716-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 205 · 33
34.5
25
63%
4
4
3
0
2
3
1
3
10-13
77%
3-7
43%
3-8
38%
G · 6'2" 185 · 29
33.9
10
38%
5
2
2
0
2
0
0
5
4-4
100%
3-11
27%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 250 · 35
33.2
15
50%
15
1
0
5
2
1
5
10
1-2
50%
7-14
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'7" 270 · 22
25.4
4
29%
9
3
1
1
1
3
3
6
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 233 · 31
19.6
4
50%
1
1
0
0
2
4
0
1
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 188 · 25
36.9
16
53%
4
4
0
1
2
1
1
3
3-5
60%
5-9
56%
1-4
25%
G · 6'4" 210 · 26
24.2
11
61%
2
1
1
0
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 31
17.7
3
50%
1
0
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36
14.7
2
50%
2
1
1
0
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26
G · 6'2" 175 · 27
#25 · G-F · 6'6" 213 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
50%
43
17
8
8
13
0
10
33
20-27
74%
26-59
44%
6-18
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.