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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 6, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Thunder43%9499
13Mavericks57%9695
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.3
43.5
36.3
28
58%
2
3
3
1
0
3
0
2
4-5
80%
9-16
6-13
56%
49%
2-6
33%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.4
37.9
34.0
16
41%
9
2
2
1
0
0
2
7
2-6
33%
7-16
4-7
44%
47%
0-1
0%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.1
36.3
33.2
15
40%
5
9
1
1
0
4
3
2
5-6
83%
5-15
7-15
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.7
29.3
18.8
3
52%
6
2
2
1
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.5
20.7
21.0
6
50%
9
0
1
0
0
0
3
6
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 21.4
25.4
25.3
7
45%
4
3
3
1
0
2
0
4
4-4
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
1-5
20%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 21.3
24.6
25.5
13
89%
8
0
1
0
1
0
5
3
1-3
33%
6-6
4-7
100%
53%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.6
11.7
13.0
5
50%
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.2
10.6
20.8
6
100%
2
0
0
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
53%
0-0
-
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.4
4.9
0
1-2
48%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 29.0
4.1
0
0-1
40%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.9
3.1
0
0-1
47%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.7
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 22.2
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 33.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 37.8
39.8
35.6
0
0%
10
7
1
2
0
2
1
9
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
42%
0-4
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.3
38.0
34.1
19
58%
0
4
1
1
0
4
0
0
1-1
100%
9-14
5-10
64%
49%
0-2
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 32.7
36.5
24.2
25
70%
3
2
1
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
12-15
4-8
80%
53%
0-2
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 28.3
35.3
30.6
14
74%
18
0
0
0
2
1
6
12
8-10
80%
3-5
3-5
60%
61%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 29.8
35.0
27.8
14
58%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
42%
4-8
50%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.5
22.1
22.0
14
57%
2
2
1
0
0
5
0
2
2-3
67%
3-9
3-6
33%
48%
2-2
100%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.7
15.6
20.8
2
26%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 31.1
12.7
13.8
7
60%
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
1-2
50%
3-5
1-2
60%
56%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.2
3.7
10.5
0
0%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 24.2
1.3
2.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
55%
0-0
-
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 22.7
3.5
0
1-1
52%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 32.6
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.9
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 30.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.