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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 5, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Lakers45%10199
6Suns55%10395
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 32.4
35.6
30.8
24
61%
7
5
1
1
0
3
2
5
4-6
67%
7-11
7-14
64%
49%
2-6
33%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 30.5
35.0
33.3
6
30%
9
6
2
0
2
1
2
7
0-0
-
3-10
6-11
30%
54%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 31.1
28.6
25.8
11
55%
4
4
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
46%
3-5
60%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 23.2
27.2
25.1
14
54%
7
1
0
0
2
0
4
3
2-7
29%
6-10
4-7
60%
56%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 36.4
27.0
24.7
4
29%
0
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
0-2
0%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.2
23.7
29.9
12
50%
10
3
0
1
0
0
4
6
0-0
-
6-10
5-8
60%
55%
0-2
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 30.8
21.4
17.4
6
60%
5
0
0
1
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
54%
0-2
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 30.9
21.0
19.4
7
58%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
43%
1-4
25%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 25.1
16.6
19.5
13
64%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
7-7
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
0-2
0%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.8
3.8
6.3
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 22.7
4.2
0
1-1
51%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 35.4
4.1
0
1-1
44%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 37.7
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.9
34.9
30.8
12
62%
9
0
1
1
1
2
1
8
4-6
67%
4-7
4-6
57%
55%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 38.3
34.6
28.9
10
39%
4
2
0
1
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
4-12
5-9
33%
51%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 36.9
31.1
31.1
11
62%
2
10
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
54%
1-2
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 33.9
27.6
32.0
13
50%
2
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
5-9
4-10
56%
46%
1-4
25%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 22.8
11.9
13.5
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
54%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.5
30.8
25.0
21
82%
6
2
2
1
0
1
2
4
2-4
50%
5-7
2-3
71%
50%
3-4
75%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 27.6
26.7
22.9
10
59%
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
3-6
50%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
16.9
16.9
5
63%
1
4
0
1
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 28.9
14.7
28.5
8
67%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
2-5
40%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 28.5
10.8
5.4
3
52%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 27.5
7.5
0
1-2
57%
Gani Lawal
F · 6'9" 234 · 22.2
0.9
0
0-0
48%
Garret Siler
C · 6'11" 305 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.