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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 5, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Warriors33%94110
14Hornets67%100103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.2
45.9
40.0
29
56%
5
4
2
2
0
1
2
3
6-7
86%
7-17
7-14
41%
48%
3-6
50%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.8
39.9
32.7
21
72%
3
5
4
2
0
2
1
2
8-8
100%
5-8
4-10
63%
47%
1-3
33%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 25.1
35.8
39.8
13
44%
4
2
2
1
1
3
0
4
0-4
0%
2-8
4-8
25%
46%
3-5
60%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 27.7
25.2
34.9
13
64%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
5-5
100%
4-8
6-12
50%
51%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.8
12.9
28.3
4
100%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
56%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.1
21.9
16.5
7
38%
12
2
0
0
0
0
5
7
1-3
33%
3-8
2-4
38%
50%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 23.6
17.6
16.6
6
100%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.1
16.6
23.0
8
82%
3
3
0
1
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-2
1-3
100%
44%
1-2
50%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.3
15.5
15.9
5
40%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
3-3
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 25.9
8.7
12.2
4
50%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
9.6
0
2-3
50%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.9
6.7
0
1-2
45%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.4
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.7
38.1
35.1
24
66%
6
13
1
2
0
2
0
6
10-14
71%
4-10
5-10
40%
53%
2-2
100%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 25.5
37.5
33.1
15
73%
10
2
2
2
0
3
2
8
1-3
33%
4-6
3-7
67%
49%
2-3
67%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.4
37.0
33.8
16
52%
9
5
1
1
1
3
4
5
2-3
67%
7-14
7-14
50%
52%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.8
28.9
27.6
16
67%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
5-6
3-5
83%
47%
2-6
33%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 28.3
23.4
34.8
6
45%
10
0
0
1
0
3
3
7
2-6
33%
2-4
5-8
50%
57%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.4
27.0
19.0
11
49%
5
1
0
0
0
2
1
4
3-3
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
50%
0-4
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24.8
20.8
12.5
4
34%
6
0
0
0
1
2
3
3
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
47%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.2
11.9
15.2
7
90%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
3-3
2-5
100%
49%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.8
11.0
9.0
4
33%
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
51%
0-1
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 23.6
4.3
11.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.1
2.9
0
0-1
52%
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 30.5
1.5
0
0-0
50%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.0
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.