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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 5, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Bulls65%9394
28Nets35%8896
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.7
42.9
39.0
17
43%
8
2
0
1
0
2
4
4
3-6
50%
7-15
5-10
47%
49%
0-2
0%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.3
32.8
33.5
21
65%
1
1
0
1
0
5
0
1
5-7
71%
5-8
6-12
63%
50%
2-5
40%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 38.3
26.9
21.6
7
72%
6
0
2
1
0
2
2
4
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 29.1
26.2
29.4
12
46%
9
5
0
1
0
2
3
6
4-7
57%
4-10
7-13
40%
54%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 30.7
13.7
15.0
3
150%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
1-1
100%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 25.8
30.2
23.6
9
51%
4
3
1
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
4-7
3-5
57%
53%
0-1
0%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.5
19.6
15.7
4
69%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
54%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.7
19.2
14.0
9
51%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
1-3
33%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 29.8
17.2
19.5
6
43%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
48%
2-6
33%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.5
11.4
20.2
6
38%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
49%
0-1
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.9
3.5
0
0-1
49%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.8
1.9
0
0-0
44%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.6
39.3
27.1
11
66%
4
0
1
1
0
2
0
4
3-3
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
48%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.9
36.8
32.0
18
51%
4
11
1
1
0
3
2
2
5-6
83%
5-14
5-10
36%
47%
1-1
100%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 22.8
34.7
31.7
14
45%
3
2
2
1
1
1
2
1
4-8
50%
5-12
6-13
42%
49%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 26.3
27.2
32.4
7
51%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
44%
1-3
33%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 19.5
9.0
15.5
7
72%
5
0
0
0
1
1
2
3
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
51%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.9
38.2
23.6
20
63%
11
2
1
1
0
3
5
6
0-2
0%
10-15
3-6
67%
47%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.8
28.4
27.1
13
54%
4
1
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
43%
3-7
43%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.1
13.5
9.4
2
50%
1
2
3
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 24.9
13.0
13.4
4
50%
4
2
0
0
3
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.8
14.2
0
2-4
40%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 30.7
6.4
0
1-1
49%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29.7
4.7
0
0-1
40%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.3
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.