| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 OKC | 107.1 | 98 | 105.2 |
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Scoring Opportunities
OKC
84
+4
-14
88
MEM
83
+17
-14
100
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
OKC
1.19 59.7%
MEM
1.08 53.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | OKC | MEM |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MEM | 105 0% | 110 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:05.0 | MEM | Randolph REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10) | 105 0.1% | 110 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:05.0 | OKC | MISS Westbrook 32' 3PT Jump Shot | 105 0.1% | 110 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:11.0 | MEM | Randolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS) | 105 1.0% | 110 99.0% |
| Q4 - 0:11.0 | MEM | Randolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS) | 105 1.2% | 109 98.8% |
| Q4 - 0:11.0 | MEM | Randolph REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9) | 105 2.1% | 108 97.9% |
| Q4 - 0:12.0 | OKC | MISS Durant 31' 3PT Jump Shot | 105 3.3% | 108 96.7% |
| Q4 - 0:15.0 | MEM | Allen Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS) | 105 9.2% | 108 90.8% |
| Q4 - 0:15.0 | MEM | Allen Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS) | 105 11.6% | 107 88.4% |
| Q4 - 0:16.0 | OKC | Westbrook 4' Driving Layup (28 PTS) | 105 17.9% | 106 82.1% |
| Q4 - 0:23.0 | OKC | Durant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8) | 103 11.0% | 106 89.0% |
| Q4 - 0:25.0 | MEM | MISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2 | 103 10.1% | 106 89.9% |
| Q4 - 0:25.0 | MEM | MISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2 | 103 6.2% | 106 93.8% |
| Q4 - 0:45.0 | OKC | Durant Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS) | 103 7.8% | 106 92.2% |
| Q4 - 0:45.0 | OKC | Durant Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS) | 102 7.3% | 106 92.7% |
| Q4 - 0:49.0 | MEM | Randolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS) | 101 4.5% | 106 95.5% |
| Q4 - 0:49.0 | MEM | Randolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS) | 101 5.2% | 105 94.8% |
| Q4 - 1:00 | OKC | Durant 20' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Westbrook 7 AST) | 101 10.1% | 104 89.9% |
| Q4 - 1:21 | MEM | Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Gay 4 AST) | 99 8.2% | 104 91.8% |
| Q4 - 1:45 | OKC | Durant 17' Jump Shot (24 PTS) | 99 23.3% | 101 76.7% |
| Q4 - 1:56 | MEM | Gay 1' Driving Slam Dunk (27 PTS) | 97 16.2% | 101 83.8% |
| Q4 - 2:20 | OKC | Ibaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 97 22.5% | 99 77.5% |
| Q4 - 2:20 | OKC | Ibaka 2' Putback Dunk (8 PTS) | 97 22.5% | 99 77.5% |
| Q4 - 2:21 | OKC | MISS Westbrook 4' Jump Shot | 95 11.5% | 99 88.5% |
| Q4 - 2:40 | OKC | Durant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 95 17.7% | 99 82.3% |
| Q4 - 2:40 | MEM | MISS Randolph 11' Jump Shot | 95 14.7% | 99 85.3% |
| Q4 - 2:54 | MEM | Randolph REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8) | 95 12.0% | 99 88.0% |
| Q4 - 2:54 | OKC | MISS Westbrook 15' Jump Shot | 95 13.9% | 99 86.1% |
| Q4 - 2:59 | OKC | Westbrook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 95 19.4% | 99 80.6% |
| Q4 - 3:00 | MEM | MISS Gay 11' Jump Shot | 95 16.7% | 99 83.3% |
| Q4 - 3:17 | OKC | Allen STEAL (3 STL) | 95 11.6% | 99 88.4% |
| Q4 - 3:30 | MEM | Randolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS) | 95 19.4% | 99 80.6% |
| Q4 - 3:30 | MEM | Randolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS) | 95 20.9% | 98 79.1% |
| Q4 - 3:30 | MEM | GRIZZLIES Rebound | 95 24.5% | 97 75.5% |
| Q4 - 3:31 | OKC | MISS Durant 16' Jump Shot | 95 32.6% | 97 67.4% |
| Q4 - 3:45 | OKC | Durant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 95 38.7% | 97 61.3% |
| Q4 - 3:47 | MEM | MISS Randolph 6' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot | 95 35.7% | 97 64.3% |
| Q4 - 4:13 | OKC | Westbrook 11' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Durant 3 AST) | 95 29.0% | 97 71.0% |
| Q4 - 4:29 | MEM | Randolph 2' Layup (25 PTS) (Conley 9 AST) | 93 22.1% | 97 77.9% |
| Q4 - 4:49 | MEM | Allen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 93 28.8% | 95 71.2% |
| Q4 - 4:49 | MEM | MISS Gay 7' Jump Shot | 93 35.2% | 95 64.8% |
| Q4 - 5:13 | OKC | Collison 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Durant 2 AST) | 93 31.7% | 95 68.3% |
| Q4 - 5:20 | MEM | Gay Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15) | 91 25.2% | 95 74.8% |
| Q4 - 5:34 | OKC | Westbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS) | 91 18.9% | 95 81.1% |
| Q4 - 5:34 | OKC | Westbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS) | 90 18.2% | 95 81.8% |
| Q4 - 5:47 | MEM | Randolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS) | 89 14.5% | 95 85.5% |
| Q4 - 5:47 | MEM | Randolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS) | 89 15.4% | 94 84.6% |
| Q4 - 6:03 | MEM | Gay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 89 21.8% | 93 78.2% |
| Q4 - 6:04 | OKC | MISS Ibaka 18' Jump Shot | 89 23.5% | 93 76.5% |
| Q4 - 6:19 | MEM | Allen 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Conley 8 AST) | 89 27.7% | 93 72.3% |
| Q4 - 6:33 | MEM | Conley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 89 40.7% | 90 59.3% |
| Q4 - 6:33 | OKC | MISS Durant 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 89 43.2% | 90 56.8% |
| Q4 - 6:46 | MEM | Randolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS) | 89 48.8% | 90 51.2% |
| Q4 - 6:46 | MEM | MISS Randolph Free Throw 1 of 2 | 89 50.4% | 89 49.6% |
| Q4 - 6:59 | MEM | Gay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 89 48.2% | 89 51.8% |
| Q4 - 6:59 | OKC | MISS Westbrook 17' Jump Shot | 89 50.7% | 89 49.3% |
| Q4 - 7:19 | MEM | Conley 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 89 56.2% | 89 43.8% |
| Q4 - 7:43 | MEM | Arthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 89 62.4% | 87 37.6% |
| Q4 - 7:44 | OKC | MISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 89 64.6% | 87 35.4% |
| Q4 - 7:53 | OKC | Collison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 89 69.2% | 87 30.8% |
| Q4 - 7:53 | MEM | MISS Gay 18' Jump Shot | 89 67.2% | 87 32.8% |
| Q4 - 8:15 | OKC | Westbrook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) | 89 62.0% | 87 38.0% |
| Q4 - 8:38 | MEM | Allen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14) | 86 49.2% | 87 50.8% |
| Q4 - 9:00 | OKC | Durant Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS) | 86 42.9% | 87 57.1% |
| Q4 - 9:04 | OKC | Westbrook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 83 32.2% | 87 67.8% |
| Q4 - 9:04 | MEM | MISS Conley 11' Jump Shot | 83 30.7% | 87 69.3% |
| Q4 - 9:17 | OKC | Westbrook 3' Layup (19 PTS) | 83 27.3% | 87 72.7% |
| Q4 - 9:36 | MEM | Randolph 1' Layup (20 PTS) (Conley 7 AST) | 81 22.6% | 87 77.4% |
| Q4 - 9:50 | OKC | Harden Foul Turnover (P2.T13) | 81 27.2% | 85 72.8% |
| Q4 - 10:10 | MEM | Young Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 81 33.1% | 85 66.9% |
| Q4 - 10:10 | MEM | Young Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 81 34.0% | 84 66.0% |
| Q4 - 10:12 | OKC | Young STEAL (2 STL) | 81 38.2% | 83 61.8% |
| Q4 - 10:28 | MEM | GRIZZLIES Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13) | 81 43.7% | 83 56.3% |
| Q4 - 10:28 | MEM | GRIZZLIES Rebound | 81 38.2% | 83 61.8% |
| Q4 - 10:28 | MEM | MISS Allen 20' Jump Shot | 81 42.0% | 83 58.0% |
| Q4 - 10:30 | MEM | Young REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 81 38.2% | 83 61.8% |
| Q4 - 10:32 | MEM | MISS Young 11' Jump Shot | 81 42.0% | 83 58.0% |
| Q4 - 10:54 | OKC | Green 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 81 38.2% | 83 61.8% |
| Q4 - 11:08 | MEM | Allen Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 79 33.7% | 83 66.3% |
| Q4 - 11:08 | MEM | Allen Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 79 35.0% | 82 65.0% |
| Q4 - 11:27 | OKC | Harden 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) | 79 38.7% | 81 61.3% |
| Q4 - 11:43 | MEM | Arthur 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Young 1 AST) | 77 33.7% | 81 66.3% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MEM | 77 38.7% | 79 61.3% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MEM | GRIZZLIES Rebound | 77 38.7% | 79 61.3% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MEM | MISS Allen 51' 3PT Jump Shot | 77 42.3% | 79 57.7% |
| Q3 - 0:01.0 | OKC | Ibaka 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Collison 1 AST) | 77 39.5% | 79 60.5% |
| Q3 - 0:02.0 | OKC | Collison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 75 34.3% | 79 65.7% |
| Q3 - 0:03.0 | OKC | Allen BLOCK (2 BLK) | 75 31.5% | 79 68.5% |
| Q3 - 0:13.0 | MEM | Allen 1' Layup (9 PTS) | 75 34.3% | 79 65.7% |
| Q3 - 0:15.0 | MEM | Allen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 75 39.5% | 77 60.5% |
| Q3 - 0:15.0 | MEM | MISS Young 20' Jump Shot | 75 42.6% | 77 57.4% |
| Q3 - 0:18.0 | MEM | GRIZZLIES Rebound | 75 39.5% | 77 60.5% |
| Q3 - 0:18.0 | MEM | MISS Arthur 11' Jump Shot | 75 42.6% | 77 57.4% |
| Q3 - 0:33.0 | OKC | Maynor Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 75 39.5% | 77 60.5% |
| Q3 - 0:33.0 | OKC | Maynor Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 74 38.3% | 77 61.7% |
| Q3 - 0:40.0 | MEM | Allen 3' Driving Layup (7 PTS) | 73 34.3% | 77 65.7% |
| Q3 - 0:55.0 | OKC | Harden Dunk (15 PTS) | 73 39.4% | 75 60.6% |
| Q3 - 0:58.0 | MEM | Vasquez Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12) | 71 34.2% | 75 65.8% |
| Q3 - 1:15 | OKC | Green Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 71 30.8% | 75 69.2% |
| Q3 - 1:15 | OKC | Green Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 70 30.0% | 75 70.0% |
| Q3 - 1:15 | OKC | Thunder Rebound | 69 26.4% | 75 73.6% |
| Q3 - 1:15 | OKC | MISS Maynor 18' Jump Shot | 69 24.1% | 75 75.9% |
| Q3 - 1:32 | OKC | Ibaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 69 26.4% | 75 73.6% |
| Q3 - 1:33 | MEM | MISS Arthur Free Throw 2 of 2 | 69 25.9% | 75 74.1% |
| Q3 - 1:33 | MEM | Arthur Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 69 23.6% | 75 76.4% |
| Q3 - 1:40 | OKC | Arthur STEAL (1 STL) | 69 26.7% | 74 73.3% |
| Q3 - 2:00 | MEM | Conley Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 69 30.4% | 74 69.6% |
| Q3 - 2:00 | MEM | MISS Conley Free Throw 1 of 2 | 69 31.3% | 73 68.7% |
| Q3 - 2:12 | MEM | Gay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 69 31.3% | 73 68.7% |
| Q3 - 2:13 | OKC | MISS Durant 15' Jump Shot | 69 32.5% | 73 67.5% |
| Q3 - 2:30 | OKC | Ibaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 69 35.3% | 73 64.7% |
| Q3 - 2:31 | MEM | MISS Vasquez Free Throw 2 of 2 | 69 34.8% | 73 65.2% |
| Q3 - 2:31 | MEM | Vasquez Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 69 32.1% | 73 67.9% |
| Q3 - 2:32 | MEM | Vasquez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 69 35.4% | 72 64.6% |
| Q3 - 2:32 | OKC | MISS Durant 21' Jump Shot | 69 36.7% | 72 63.3% |
| Q3 - 2:48 | MEM | Gay Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS) | 69 39.8% | 72 60.2% |
| Q3 - 2:48 | MEM | Gay Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS) | 69 40.6% | 71 59.4% |
| Q3 - 2:49 | MEM | Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10) | 69 44.5% | 70 55.5% |
| Q3 - 2:51 | OKC | MISS Westbrook 1' Dunk | 69 45.9% | 70 54.1% |
| Q3 - 3:02 | OKC | Harden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 69 49.5% | 70 50.5% |
| Q3 - 3:03 | MEM | MISS Arthur 16' Jump Shot | 69 48.1% | 70 51.9% |
| Q3 - 3:14 | OKC | Westbrook Foul Turnover (P1.T10) | 69 44.8% | 70 55.2% |
| Q3 - 3:19 | OKC | Collison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 69 49.5% | 70 50.5% |
| Q3 - 3:20 | MEM | MISS Conley 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 69 48.1% | 70 51.9% |
| Q3 - 3:37 | MEM | GRIZZLIES Rebound | 69 44.8% | 70 55.2% |
| Q3 - 3:38 | OKC | MISS Durant 16' Jump Shot | 69 46.2% | 70 53.8% |
| Q3 - 3:57 | MEM | Conley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11) | 69 49.5% | 70 50.5% |
| Q3 - 4:18 | OKC | Westbrook 2' Dunk (17 PTS) (Harden 3 AST) | 69 44.6% | 70 55.4% |
| Q3 - 4:25 | OKC | Krstic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 67 41.0% | 70 59.0% |
| Q3 - 4:26 | MEM | MISS Allen 5' Jump Shot | 67 39.5% | 70 60.5% |
| Q3 - 4:43 | MEM | Gay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 67 36.2% | 70 63.8% |
| Q3 - 4:45 | MEM | MISS Conley 3PT Jump Shot | 67 39.5% | 70 60.5% |
| Q3 - 4:54 | OKC | Randolph STEAL (2 STL) | 67 36.2% | 70 63.8% |
| Q3 - 5:11 | OKC | Ibaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 67 40.9% | 70 59.1% |
| Q3 - 5:13 | MEM | MISS Gasol 9' Turnaround Jump Shot | 67 39.5% | 70 60.5% |
| Q3 - 5:29 | MEM | Randolph REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7) | 67 36.4% | 70 63.6% |
| Q3 - 5:33 | OKC | MISS Durant 8' Turnaround Jump Shot | 67 37.8% | 70 62.2% |
| Q3 - 5:56 | MEM | Conley 1' Layup (6 PTS) | 67 40.9% | 70 59.1% |
| Q3 - 6:00 | MEM | Conley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 67 44.5% | 68 55.5% |
| Q3 - 6:01 | OKC | Allen BLOCK (1 BLK) | 67 46.3% | 68 53.7% |
| Q3 - 6:21 | MEM | Gay 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS) | 67 49.3% | 68 50.7% |
| Q3 - 6:43 | OKC | Durant Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T8) | 67 53.0% | 66 47.0% |
| Q3 - 6:58 | MEM | Conley 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 67 57.3% | 66 42.7% |
| Q3 - 7:09 | MEM | GRIZZLIES Rebound | 67 60.2% | 64 39.8% |
| Q3 - 7:10 | MEM | MISS Allen 5' Jump Shot | 67 62.8% | 64 37.2% |
| Q3 - 7:17 | MEM | Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9) | 67 60.2% | 64 39.8% |
| Q3 - 7:17 | OKC | MISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 67 61.4% | 64 38.6% |
| Q3 - 7:37 | MEM | Gay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 67 64.0% | 64 36.0% |
| Q3 - 7:37 | MEM | Gay 2' Putback Dunk (21 PTS) | 67 64.0% | 64 36.0% |
| Q3 - 7:38 | MEM | MISS Randolph 9' Turnaround Jump Shot | 67 69.8% | 62 30.2% |
| Q3 - 7:56 | OKC | Durant 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) | 67 67.4% | 62 32.6% |
| Q3 - 8:01 | OKC | Krstic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 64 60.2% | 62 39.8% |
| Q3 - 8:03 | MEM | MISS Allen 1' Driving Reverse Layup | 64 59.0% | 62 41.0% |
| Q3 - 8:18 | OKC | Westbrook 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) | 64 56.3% | 62 43.7% |
| Q3 - 8:31 | MEM | Gay Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T10) | 62 52.8% | 62 47.2% |
| Q3 - 8:51 | OKC | Allen STEAL (2 STL) | 62 48.7% | 62 51.3% |
| Q3 - 9:02 | OKC | Westbrook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 62 52.5% | 62 47.5% |
| Q3 - 9:05 | MEM | Randolph REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6) | 62 48.8% | 62 51.2% |
| Q3 - 9:05 | MEM | MISS Randolph 1' Tip Shot | 62 51.4% | 62 48.6% |
| Q3 - 9:07 | MEM | MISS Conley 3' Jump Shot | 62 51.4% | 62 48.6% |
| Q3 - 9:25 | OKC | Green Foul Turnover (P1.T6) | 62 48.8% | 62 51.2% |
| Q3 - 9:36 | MEM | Allen 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Conley 6 AST) | 62 52.6% | 62 47.4% |
| Q3 - 9:37 | MEM | Conley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 62 56.1% | 60 43.9% |
| Q3 - 9:40 | MEM | MISS Conley 15' Jump Shot | 62 58.7% | 60 41.3% |
| Q3 - 9:56 | OKC | Westbrook Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS) | 62 56.1% | 60 43.9% |
| Q3 - 10:06 | MEM | Gay Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS) | 59 49.0% | 60 51.0% |
| Q3 - 10:06 | MEM | MISS Gay Free Throw 1 of 2 | 59 49.7% | 59 50.3% |
| Q3 - 10:21 | OKC | Durant 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) | 59 48.9% | 59 51.1% |
| Q3 - 10:25 | OKC | Durant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 57 45.4% | 59 54.6% |
| Q3 - 10:26 | OKC | MISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 57 42.9% | 59 57.1% |
| Q3 - 10:45 | MEM | Randolph 2' Layup (18 PTS) (Allen 2 AST) | 57 45.4% | 59 54.6% |
| Q3 - 11:01 | MEM | Conley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 57 49.0% | 57 51.0% |
| Q3 - 11:02 | OKC | MISS Sefolosha 14' Jump Shot | 57 50.1% | 57 49.9% |
| Q3 - 11:29 | MEM | Gay 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Conley 5 AST) | 57 52.7% | 57 47.3% |
| Q3 - 11:45 | OKC | Durant 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 57 55.9% | 55 44.1% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | OKC | 55 52.7% | 55 47.3% | |
| Q2 - 0:08.0 | MEM | Gay 2' Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Vasquez 6 AST) | 55 52.2% | 55 47.8% |
| Q2 - 0:12.0 | MEM | Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8) | 55 56.2% | 53 43.8% |
| Q2 - 0:12.0 | OKC | MISS Sefolosha 3PT Jump Shot | 55 57.0% | 53 43.0% |
| Q2 - 0:30.0 | MEM | Young 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Vasquez 5 AST) | 55 58.8% | 53 41.2% |
| Q2 - 0:36.0 | MEM | Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 55 62.6% | 51 37.4% |
| Q2 - 0:37.0 | OKC | MISS Durant 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 55 63.4% | 51 36.6% |
| Q2 - 0:56.0 | MEM | Arthur Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Vasquez 4 AST) | 55 65.1% | 51 34.9% |
| Q2 - 1:08 | OKC | Westbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 55 68.4% | 49 31.6% |
| Q2 - 1:08 | OKC | Westbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 54 68.0% | 49 32.0% |
| Q2 - 1:10 | OKC | Krstic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 53 64.7% | 49 35.3% |
| Q2 - 1:12 | MEM | MISS Arthur 5' Jump Shot | 53 64.1% | 49 35.9% |
| Q2 - 1:32 | OKC | Durant 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Westbrook 5 AST) | 53 62.6% | 49 37.4% |
| Q2 - 1:45 | MEM | Gasol 2' Dunk (10 PTS) (Vasquez 3 AST) | 51 58.6% | 49 41.4% |
| Q2 - 2:02 | OKC | Westbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 51 61.7% | 47 38.3% |
| Q2 - 2:02 | OKC | MISS Westbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 | 50 61.2% | 47 38.8% |
| Q2 - 2:07 | MEM | Randolph Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9) | 50 61.8% | 47 38.2% |
| Q2 - 2:20 | OKC | Durant 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Krstic 1 AST) | 50 58.7% | 47 41.3% |
| Q2 - 2:38 | OKC | Westbrook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 48 55.7% | 47 44.3% |
| Q2 - 2:39 | MEM | MISS Randolph 18' Jump Shot | 48 54.7% | 47 45.3% |
| Q2 - 3:04 | OKC | Krstic 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Harden 2 AST) | 48 52.3% | 47 47.7% |
| Q2 - 3:10 | MEM | Gasol Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8) | 46 49.8% | 47 50.2% |
| Q2 - 3:27 | MEM | GRIZZLIES Rebound | 46 46.1% | 47 53.9% |
| Q2 - 3:27 | OKC | MISS Durant 23' Jump Shot | 46 47.2% | 47 52.8% |
| Q2 - 3:51 | MEM | Gasol 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 46 49.8% | 47 50.2% |
| Q2 - 4:14 | MEM | Vasquez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 46 52.2% | 45 47.8% |
| Q2 - 4:14 | OKC | Conley BLOCK (1 BLK) | 46 53.2% | 45 46.8% |
| Q2 - 4:36 | MEM | Randolph REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6) | 46 55.5% | 45 44.5% |
| Q2 - 4:36 | MEM | Randolph 1' Tip Shot (16 PTS) | 46 55.5% | 45 44.5% |
| Q2 - 4:37 | MEM | MISS Randolph 2' Layup | 46 60.4% | 43 39.6% |
| Q2 - 4:43 | MEM | Conley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 46 58.2% | 43 41.8% |
| Q2 - 4:45 | OKC | Gay BLOCK (1 BLK) | 46 59.2% | 43 40.8% |
| Q2 - 4:58 | MEM | Randolph 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 46 61.4% | 43 38.6% |
| Q2 - 5:15 | MEM | Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 46 63.9% | 41 36.1% |
| Q2 - 5:17 | OKC | MISS Green 9' Running Jump Shot | 46 64.8% | 41 35.2% |
| Q2 - 5:35 | MEM | Vasquez Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7) | 46 66.6% | 41 33.4% |
| Q2 - 5:52 | OKC | Durant 1' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Westbrook 4 AST) | 46 63.9% | 41 36.1% |
| Q2 - 5:56 | MEM | Gay Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6) | 44 61.1% | 41 38.9% |
| Q2 - 6:08 | MEM | Randolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6) | 44 57.7% | 41 42.3% |
| Q2 - 6:08 | OKC | MISS Westbrook 2' Driving Layup | 44 58.6% | 41 41.4% |
| Q2 - 6:20 | MEM | Randolph 4' Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 44 60.9% | 41 39.1% |
| Q2 - 6:25 | MEM | Randolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5) | 44 63.2% | 39 36.8% |
| Q2 - 6:25 | MEM | MISS Arthur 21' Jump Shot | 44 65.3% | 39 34.7% |
| Q2 - 6:39 | OKC | Harden 7' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 44 63.2% | 39 36.8% |
| Q2 - 6:50 | OKC | Collison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 42 60.9% | 39 39.1% |
| Q2 - 6:51 | MEM | MISS Gay 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 42 60.0% | 39 40.0% |
| Q2 - 7:00 | MEM | Randolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 42 57.8% | 39 42.2% |
| Q2 - 7:00 | OKC | MISS Green 19' Jump Shot | 42 58.7% | 39 41.3% |
| Q2 - 7:14 | OKC | Durant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 42 60.5% | 39 39.5% |
| Q2 - 7:16 | MEM | MISS Arthur Free Throw 1 of 1 | 42 60.2% | 39 39.8% |
| Q2 - 7:27 | OKC | Maynor 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 42 63.0% | 37 37.0% |
| Q2 - 7:51 | MEM | Randolph 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Vasquez 2 AST) | 40 60.6% | 37 39.4% |
| Q2 - 8:09 | MEM | GRIZZLIES Rebound | 40 62.7% | 35 37.3% |
| Q2 - 8:09 | OKC | Arthur BLOCK (1 BLK) | 40 63.5% | 35 36.5% |
| Q2 - 8:18 | OKC | Collison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 40 65.2% | 35 34.8% |
| Q2 - 8:21 | MEM | MISS Conley 3' Jump Shot | 40 64.5% | 35 35.5% |
| Q2 - 8:40 | OKC | Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 40 62.7% | 35 37.3% |
| Q2 - 8:48 | OKC | Harden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 37 57.6% | 35 42.4% |
| Q2 - 8:49 | MEM | MISS Gay 6' Jump Shot | 37 56.8% | 35 43.2% |
| Q2 - 9:02 | OKC | Green Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 37 54.6% | 35 45.4% |
| Q2 - 9:02 | OKC | Green Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 36 54.2% | 35 45.8% |
| Q2 - 9:14 | MEM | Vasquez Foul Turnover (P1.T5) | 35 52.2% | 35 47.8% |
| Q2 - 9:38 | OKC | Ibaka 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Maynor 1 AST) | 35 49.4% | 35 50.6% |
| Q2 - 9:43 | OKC | Maynor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 33 46.9% | 35 53.1% |
| Q2 - 9:43 | MEM | MISS Arthur 16' Jump Shot | 33 46.1% | 35 53.9% |
| Q2 - 10:03 | OKC | Collison 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Harden 1 AST) | 33 44.1% | 35 55.9% |
| Q2 - 10:23 | MEM | Gay 18' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 31 41.8% | 35 58.2% |
| Q2 - 10:30 | MEM | Randolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 31 44.1% | 33 55.9% |
| Q2 - 10:31 | MEM | MISS Arthur 2' Layup | 31 46.0% | 33 54.0% |
| Q2 - 10:48 | OKC | Young STEAL (1 STL) | 31 44.1% | 33 55.9% |
| Q2 - 10:59 | OKC | Maynor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 31 46.9% | 33 53.1% |
| Q2 - 11:00 | MEM | MISS Randolph 19' Jump Shot | 31 46.0% | 33 54.0% |
| Q2 - 11:15 | OKC | Randolph STEAL (1 STL) | 31 44.2% | 33 55.8% |
| Q2 - 11:36 | MEM | Arthur 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Vasquez 1 AST) | 31 46.8% | 33 53.2% |
| Q2 - 11:48 | OKC | Harden Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS) | 31 49.1% | 31 50.9% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MEM | 27 41.8% | 31 58.2% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MEM | GRIZZLIES Rebound | 27 39.2% | 31 60.8% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MEM | MISS Vasquez 50' 3PT Jump Shot | 27 41.0% | 31 59.0% |
| Q1 - 0:02.0 | OKC | Durant Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 27 39.7% | 31 60.3% |
| Q1 - 0:02.0 | OKC | Durant Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 26 39.5% | 31 60.5% |
| Q1 - 0:09.0 | MEM | Conley 11' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 25 36.9% | 31 63.1% |
| Q1 - 0:29.0 | MEM | Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 25 39.7% | 29 60.3% |
| Q1 - 0:30.0 | OKC | MISS Westbrook 18' Jump Shot | 25 40.3% | 29 59.7% |
| Q1 - 0:37.0 | MEM | Gay 17' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS) | 25 41.6% | 29 58.4% |
| Q1 - 0:48.0 | OKC | Ibaka 2' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Westbrook 3 AST) | 25 44.4% | 27 55.6% |
| Q1 - 0:58.0 | MEM | Gay 2' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Arthur 1 AST) | 23 41.6% | 27 58.4% |
| Q1 - 1:02 | OKC | Gay STEAL (1 STL) | 23 44.8% | 25 55.2% |
| Q1 - 1:15 | MEM | Gay 19' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 23 46.5% | 25 53.5% |
| Q1 - 1:33 | OKC | Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ibaka 1 AST) | 23 49.5% | 23 50.5% |
| Q1 - 1:50 | MEM | Gasol 1' Driving Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Conley 4 AST) | 20 44.2% | 23 55.8% |
| Q1 - 2:05 | MEM | Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 20 47.1% | 21 52.9% |
| Q1 - 2:06 | OKC | MISS Harden Free Throw 2 of 2 | 20 47.4% | 21 52.6% |
| Q1 - 2:06 | OKC | Harden Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 20 49.1% | 21 50.9% |
| Q1 - 2:08 | OKC | Durant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 19 46.9% | 21 53.1% |
| Q1 - 2:09 | MEM | MISS Conley 5' Jump Shot | 19 46.3% | 21 53.7% |
| Q1 - 2:36 | OKC | Durant 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 19 44.8% | 21 55.2% |
| Q1 - 2:41 | OKC | Durant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 17 42.3% | 21 57.7% |
| Q1 - 2:43 | MEM | MISS Gasol 5' Hook Shot | 17 41.7% | 21 58.3% |
| Q1 - 3:05 | OKC | Westbrook 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS) | 17 40.4% | 21 59.6% |
| Q1 - 3:16 | MEM | Conley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4) | 15 38.3% | 21 61.7% |
| Q1 - 3:32 | OKC | Durant 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Westbrook 2 AST) | 15 36.1% | 21 63.9% |
| Q1 - 3:46 | MEM | Gasol 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) | 13 34.0% | 21 66.0% |
| Q1 - 4:14 | OKC | Sefolosha 2' Dunk (4 PTS) | 13 36.2% | 19 63.8% |
| Q1 - 4:18 | MEM | Conley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3) | 11 34.3% | 19 65.7% |
| Q1 - 4:43 | OKC | Westbrook 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS) | 11 32.2% | 19 67.8% |
| Q1 - 4:52 | MEM | Randolph 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 9 30.4% | 19 69.6% |
| Q1 - 5:21 | OKC | Krstic 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Durant 1 AST) | 9 32.6% | 17 67.4% |
| Q1 - 5:38 | MEM | Gay 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Allen 1 AST) | 7 31.0% | 17 69.0% |
| Q1 - 5:52 | OKC | Green Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 7 32.6% | 15 67.4% |
| Q1 - 5:52 | OKC | Green Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 6 32.3% | 15 67.7% |
| Q1 - 5:56 | OKC | Sefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 5 30.9% | 15 69.1% |
| Q1 - 5:57 | MEM | MISS Gay 2' Layup | 5 30.3% | 15 69.7% |
| Q1 - 6:18 | MEM | Randolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 5 29.4% | 15 70.6% |
| Q1 - 6:18 | OKC | MISS Durant 17' Jump Shot | 5 30.0% | 15 70.0% |
| Q1 - 6:35 | MEM | Randolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 5 31.3% | 15 68.7% |
| Q1 - 6:35 | MEM | Randolph 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS) | 5 31.3% | 15 68.7% |
| Q1 - 6:36 | MEM | Randolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 5 33.0% | 13 67.0% |
| Q1 - 6:36 | MEM | MISS Randolph 1' Layup | 5 34.4% | 13 65.6% |
| Q1 - 6:37 | MEM | MISS Allen 2' Layup | 5 34.4% | 13 65.6% |
| Q1 - 6:43 | MEM | Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 5 33.0% | 13 67.0% |
| Q1 - 6:45 | OKC | MISS Westbrook 2' Layup | 5 33.6% | 13 66.4% |
| Q1 - 6:51 | OKC | Sefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 5 35.0% | 13 65.0% |
| Q1 - 6:52 | MEM | MISS Randolph 2' Layup | 5 34.4% | 13 65.6% |
| Q1 - 7:09 | MEM | Randolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 5 33.4% | 13 66.6% |
| Q1 - 7:11 | OKC | MISS Westbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 | 5 33.7% | 13 66.3% |
| Q1 - 7:11 | OKC | Westbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 5 35.0% | 13 65.0% |
| Q1 - 7:23 | MEM | Gasol 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Conley 3 AST) | 4 33.6% | 13 66.4% |
| Q1 - 7:32 | MEM | Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 4 35.2% | 11 64.8% |
| Q1 - 7:33 | OKC | MISS Sefolosha 20' Jump Shot | 4 35.9% | 11 64.1% |
| Q1 - 7:51 | MEM | Randolph 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gay 2 AST) | 4 37.3% | 11 62.7% |
| Q1 - 8:21 | OKC | Sefolosha 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Westbrook 1 AST) | 4 39.4% | 9 60.6% |
| Q1 - 8:34 | MEM | Gay 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 2 37.5% | 9 62.5% |
| Q1 - 8:45 | MEM | Randolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 2 39.4% | 7 60.6% |
| Q1 - 8:45 | OKC | MISS Krstic 19' Jump Shot | 2 40.0% | 7 60.0% |
| Q1 - 8:51 | OKC | Durant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 2 41.3% | 7 58.7% |
| Q1 - 8:54 | MEM | MISS Allen 3' Layup | 2 40.7% | 7 59.3% |
| Q1 - 8:59 | OKC | Allen STEAL (1 STL) | 2 39.4% | 7 60.6% |
| Q1 - 9:07 | OKC | Durant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 42.0% | 7 58.0% |
| Q1 - 9:08 | MEM | MISS Gasol 6' Running Jump Shot | 2 41.4% | 7 58.6% |
| Q1 - 9:23 | OKC | Westbrook 6' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) | 2 40.1% | 7 59.9% |
| Q1 - 9:36 | MEM | Allen Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 0 38.3% | 7 61.7% |
| Q1 - 9:43 | MEM | Randolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 41.9% | 4 58.1% |
| Q1 - 9:43 | OKC | MISS Westbrook 21' Jump Shot | 0 42.5% | 4 57.5% |
| Q1 - 10:08 | MEM | Gay Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 0 44.3% | 4 55.7% |
| Q1 - 10:21 | MEM | Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 42.2% | 4 57.8% |
| Q1 - 10:21 | OKC | MISS Durant 14' Jump Shot | 0 42.8% | 4 57.2% |
| Q1 - 10:43 | MEM | Gay 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Conley 1 AST) | 0 44.3% | 4 55.7% |
| Q1 - 11:00 | OKC | Durant Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1) | 0 45.8% | 2 54.2% |
| Q1 - 11:05 | MEM | Conley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 0 47.7% | 2 52.3% |
| Q1 - 11:20 | MEM | GRIZZLIES Rebound | 0 46.2% | 2 53.8% |
| Q1 - 11:21 | OKC | MISS Krstic 20' Jump Shot | 0 46.7% | 2 53.3% |
| Q1 - 11:41 | MEM | Randolph 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gay 1 AST) | 0 47.8% | 2 52.2% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MEM | Jump Ball Gasol vs. Krstic: Tip to Conley | 0 49.5% | 0 50.5% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
OKC
1.19 59.7%
MEM
1.08 53.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
OKC
20
28
71%
MEM
25
41
61%
Midrange
OKC
14
35
40%
MEM
16
36
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
OKC
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
MEM
2
3.0
7
29%
43%
Free Throws
OKC
22
25
88%
MEM
22
30
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Thunder| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Durant | 28 | 54% | 14.0 / 26 | |
| R. Westbrook | 28 | 58% | 14.0 / 24 | |
| J. Harden | 17 | 106% | 8.5 / 8 | |
| J. Green | 8 | 50% | 4.0 / 8 | |
| S. Ibaka | 8 | 67% | 4.0 / 6 | |
| N. Krstic | 4 | 50% | 2.0 / 4 | |
| T. Sefolosha | 4 | 40% | 2.0 / 5 | |
| N. Collison | 4 | 67% | 2.0 / 3 | |
| E. Maynor | 4 | 67% | 2.0 / 3 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Grizzlies| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Randolph | 31 | 62% | 15.5 / 25 | |
| R. Gay | 27 | 68% | 13.5 / 20 | |
| T. Allen | 19 | 63% | 9.5 / 15 | |
| M. Gasol | 10 | 56% | 5.0 / 9 | |
| M. Conley | 9 | 38% | 4.5 / 12 | |
| D. Arthur | 9 | 41% | 4.5 / 11 | |
| S. Young | 4 | 50% | 2.0 / 4 | |
| G. Vasquez | 1 | 25% | 0.5 / 2 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
OKC
84
+4
-14
88
MEM
83
+17
-14
100
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
OKC
1.19 59.7%
MEM
1.08 53.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 110.8 108.3 | OKC 107.1 MEM 113.4 +6.3 |
| Pace | 93.1 91.5 | OKC 105.2 +14.5 MEM 90.8 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 15.2 15.6 | OKC 13.7 +2.2 MEM 15.9 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 50.1% 49.3% | OKC 54.6% +2.2% MEM 52.4% |
| TO % | 14.2% 14.5% | OKC 13.9% MEM 13.4% +0.5% |
| ORB % | 27.4% 28.8% | OKC 9.1% MEM 30.0% +20.9% |
| FTrt | 36.3 29.1 | OKC 32.9 MEM 35.7 +2.8 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 54.5% 52.8% | OKC 46.2% MEM 53.5% +7.3% |
| STL % | 8.4% 10.2% | OKC 8.2% MEM 9.3% +1.1% |
| BLK % | 8.9% 9.0% | OKC 10.4% +2.5% MEM 7.9% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.7 and 2.7.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 54.5% 52.1% | OKC 59.7% +5.8% MEM 53.9% |
| Rim FG% | 61.9% 59.4% | OKC 71.4% +10.4% MEM 61.0% |
| Mid FG% | 39.2% 39.8% | OKC 40.0% MEM 44.4% +4.4% |
| 3P % | 34.7% 33.4% | OKC 38.5% +9.9% MEM 28.6% |
| FT % | 82.4% 75.0% | OKC 88.0% +14.7% MEM 73.3% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 35.9% 41.6% | OKC 36.8% MEM 48.8% +12.0% |
| Mid Att. % | 42.9% 44.8% | OKC 46.1% MEM 42.9% +3.2% |
| 3P Att. % | 21.2% 13.6% | OKC 17.1% +8.8% MEM 8.3% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.22 and 2.22.
| Game Totals | OKC | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 98 | 97 |
| Possession Minutes | 22.4 | 25.6 |
| Points | 105 | 110 |
| Rebounds | 31 | 42 |
| Assists | 18 | 23 |
| Steals | 8 | 9 |
| Blocks | 8 | 5 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 14 (0) | 14 (1) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 3 (1) | 12 (5) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 28 (1) | 30 (5) |
| Field Goals | 39-76 | 43-84 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 20-28 | 25-41 |
| Midrange FG | 14-35 | 16-36 |
| 2-Point FG | 34-63 | 41-77 |
| 3-Point FG | 5-13 | 2-7 |
| Free Throws | 22-25 | 22-30 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.