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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 4, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs59%105115
14Knicks41%102128
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 30.5
34.9
26.4
13
67%
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-4
50%
4-5
2-5
80%
51%
1-3
33%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.4
33.6
27.9
15
59%
5
5
1
1
1
3
0
5
4-4
100%
4-7
3-5
57%
51%
1-4
25%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.6
31.9
31.8
26
66%
2
6
2
1
0
2
0
2
8-11
73%
9-14
7-13
64%
52%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.7
29.1
28.0
14
44%
6
1
1
1
1
3
2
4
4-4
100%
5-14
6-11
36%
51%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21.7
17.6
21.8
17
66%
8
0
1
1
0
0
4
4
1-2
50%
8-12
4-8
67%
52%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.7
29.6
24.2
13
94%
2
1
0
1
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
4-5
3-5
80%
51%
1-1
100%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.3
22.5
20.6
8
35%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
1-7
14%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.3
18.4
6.9
4
100%
4
0
0
0
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30.7
12.8
25.0
2
100%
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26.0
3.2
11.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
52%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.4
3.2
10.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.3
3.2
5.5
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
1-2
50%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 21.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.5
40.0
21.6
13
57%
6
3
3
1
1
0
4
2
3-3
100%
5-7
2-3
71%
53%
0-3
0%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.7
38.8
37.8
31
78%
9
4
1
1
0
2
2
7
2-2
100%
10-13
5-9
77%
51%
3-6
50%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 26.5
37.0
37.0
28
71%
4
7
0
2
0
0
0
4
6-6
100%
8-12
5-10
67%
47%
2-5
40%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.1
36.1
35.1
28
68%
9
6
0
1
3
2
1
8
6-8
75%
11-17
10-18
65%
53%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 28.0
20.6
19.0
4
100%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.8
29.1
24.0
9
40%
1
3
3
1
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
2-6
2-4
33%
47%
1-4
25%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.9
20.7
16.5
9
45%
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.2
17.8
7.9
6
47%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
53%
1-5
20%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.3
1.8
0
0-0
43%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 21.5
1.5
0
0-1
43%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 24.5
1.5
0
0-0
47%
Andy Rautins
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.2
1.2
0
0-0
42%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 28.1
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.1
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.