FinalWin Prob.pScore
1919%85
89
181%97
101
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
100.08995.9
MIA logo MIA
114.88882.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA89
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MILBrockman 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)89
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MILBrockman REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)87
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MILDampier BLOCK (2 BLK)87
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0MILBucks Rebound87
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 2' Driving Layup87
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAJones Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T14)87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0MILMaggette Foul Turnover (P2.T9)87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01MILMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01MILMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)86
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17MIAMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19MIAMISS Chalmers 19' Jump Shot85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35MILBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35MILBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)83
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot83
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02MILBoykins 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)83
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)81
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22MILWade STEAL (1 STL)81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 9 AST)81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53MILChalmers STEAL (3 STL)81
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20MIAWade 1' Reverse Dunk (32 PTS) (James 8 AST)81
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:23MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:24MILMISS Mbah a Moute 14' Jump Shot81
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 7 AST)81
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 4:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)81
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 4:04MILMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot81
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 4:21MIAWade Free Throw 3 of 3 (30 PTS)81
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q4 - 4:21MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 3 (29 PTS)81
1.4%
90
98.6%
Q4 - 4:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 3 (28 PTS)81
1.5%
89
98.5%
Q4 - 4:38MILBogut 2' Tip Shot (16 PTS)81
2.6%
88
97.4%
Q4 - 4:38MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)79
1.9%
88
98.1%
Q4 - 4:38MILMISS Bogut 2' Tip Shot79
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q4 - 4:38MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)79
1.9%
88
98.1%
Q4 - 4:41MILMISS Salmons 2' Driving Layup79
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q4 - 4:57MIADampier Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)79
1.8%
88
98.2%
Q4 - 4:58MIADampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)79
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q4 - 4:59MILMISS Mbah a Moute 18' Jump Shot79
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q4 - 5:18MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
2.7%
88
97.3%
Q4 - 5:19MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 279
2.6%
88
97.4%
Q4 - 5:19MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)79
2.1%
88
97.9%
Q4 - 5:35MIADampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)79
2.6%
87
97.4%
Q4 - 5:36MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 279
2.7%
87
97.3%
Q4 - 5:36MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)79
3.2%
87
96.8%
Q4 - 5:50MIAJames 15' Jump Shot (24 PTS)78
2.7%
87
97.3%
Q4 - 6:09MILMaggette 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Salmons 6 AST)78
4.4%
85
95.6%
Q4 - 6:15MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
3.3%
85
96.7%
Q4 - 6:16MIAMISS Wade 2' Reverse Layup76
3.0%
85
97.0%
Q4 - 6:30MIAHEAT Rebound76
2.4%
85
97.6%
Q4 - 6:31MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 176
2.5%
85
97.5%
Q4 - 6:51MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)74
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 7:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)74
3.7%
82
96.3%
Q4 - 7:14MILMISS Salmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
4.1%
82
95.9%
Q4 - 7:31MIADampier 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T11)74
5.0%
82
95.0%
Q4 - 7:50MIADampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)74
3.7%
82
96.3%
Q4 - 7:51MILMISS Maggette 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
4.0%
82
96.0%
Q4 - 8:20MIAWade 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (24 PTS)74
5.5%
82
94.5%
Q4 - 8:28MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
7.1%
80
92.9%
Q4 - 8:29MILDampier BLOCK (1 BLK)74
7.6%
80
92.4%
Q4 - 8:45MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)74
8.9%
80
91.1%
Q4 - 8:46MIAMISS Chalmers 21' Jump Shot74
8.3%
80
91.7%
Q4 - 8:51MIAHEAT Rebound74
7.0%
80
93.0%
Q4 - 8:52MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup74
8.3%
80
91.7%
Q4 - 9:09MILMbah a Moute 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dooling 5 AST)74
7.7%
80
92.3%
Q4 - 9:21MILBucks Rebound72
6.1%
80
93.9%
Q4 - 9:22MILMISS Salmons 18' Jump Shot72
5.3%
80
94.7%
Q4 - 9:31MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)72
6.1%
80
93.9%
Q4 - 9:31MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)72
6.4%
79
93.6%
Q4 - 9:41MIAHEAT Rebound72
7.7%
78
92.3%
Q4 - 9:42MILMISS Dooling 12' Jump Shot72
8.2%
78
91.8%
Q4 - 10:03MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)72
10.0%
78
90.0%
Q4 - 10:03MIAHEAT Rebound72
8.1%
78
91.9%
Q4 - 10:05MIAMISS Chalmers 44' 3PT Jump Shot72
9.4%
78
90.6%
Q4 - 10:30MILSalmons 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS)72
8.1%
78
91.9%
Q4 - 10:37MIADampier Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)70
6.5%
78
93.5%
Q4 - 10:39MIADampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)70
5.3%
78
94.7%
Q4 - 10:40MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot70
6.1%
78
93.9%
Q4 - 10:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
5.3%
78
94.7%
Q4 - 10:59MILMISS Boykins 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
5.6%
78
94.4%
Q4 - 11:12MIADampier 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)70
6.9%
78
93.1%
Q4 - 11:23MILChalmers STEAL (2 STL)70
8.5%
76
91.5%
Q4 - 11:40MIAWade Free Throw 3 of 3 (20 PTS)70
10.3%
76
89.7%
Q4 - 11:40MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 3 (19 PTS)70
10.7%
75
89.3%
Q4 - 11:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 3 (18 PTS)70
11.2%
74
88.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL70
15.0%
73
85.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound70
18.0%
73
82.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Boykins 61' 3PT Jump Shot70
15.9%
73
84.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0MILBoykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
17.9%
73
82.1%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot70
17.1%
73
82.9%
Q3 - 0:26.0MILBoykins 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)70
15.3%
73
84.7%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)68
12.6%
73
87.4%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)68
13.1%
72
86.9%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
15.3%
71
84.7%
Q3 - 0:46.0MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 2' Reverse Layup68
16.1%
71
83.9%
Q3 - 1:07MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 6 AST)68
17.8%
71
82.2%
Q3 - 1:20MIAJones Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)68
24.6%
68
75.4%
Q3 - 1:20MIAHEAT Rebound68
28.5%
67
71.5%
Q3 - 1:21MIAMISS Arroyo 21' Jump Shot68
31.1%
67
68.9%
Q3 - 1:33MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
28.5%
67
71.5%
Q3 - 1:34MIAMISS James 2' Layup68
31.1%
67
68.9%
Q3 - 1:37MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
28.5%
67
71.5%
Q3 - 1:38MILArroyo BLOCK (1 BLK)68
29.6%
67
70.4%
Q3 - 2:00MILDouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
32.3%
67
67.7%
Q3 - 2:01MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot68
29.9%
67
70.1%
Q3 - 2:24MILDouglas-Roberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)68
27.3%
67
72.7%
Q3 - 2:24MILMISS Douglas-Roberts Free Throw 1 of 267
26.7%
67
73.3%
Q3 - 2:41MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)67
27.3%
67
72.7%
Q3 - 2:41MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)67
27.9%
66
72.1%
Q3 - 2:53MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
31.3%
65
68.7%
Q3 - 2:54MILMISS Salmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
32.5%
65
67.5%
Q3 - 3:08MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)67
34.0%
65
66.0%
Q3 - 3:08MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 267
34.7%
64
65.3%
Q3 - 3:26MILDooling 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS)67
33.9%
64
66.1%
Q3 - 3:41MIAJames 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS)65
30.2%
64
69.8%
Q3 - 4:03MILBogut 10' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Salmons 5 AST)65
32.9%
62
67.1%
Q3 - 4:23MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
29.8%
62
70.2%
Q3 - 4:24MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Bank Shot63
28.5%
62
71.5%
Q3 - 4:43MILDooling 12' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)63
25.7%
62
74.3%
Q3 - 5:01MILDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
22.4%
62
77.6%
Q3 - 5:02MIAMISS James 3' Driving Layup61
21.5%
62
78.5%
Q3 - 5:23MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
19.4%
62
80.6%
Q3 - 5:24MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 261
19.8%
62
80.2%
Q3 - 5:24MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)61
21.1%
62
78.9%
Q3 - 5:39MIAWade 3' Layup (17 PTS) (James 5 AST)60
19.7%
62
80.3%
Q3 - 5:56MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
22.2%
60
77.8%
Q3 - 5:57MILMISS Ilyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
23.2%
60
76.8%
Q3 - 6:07MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
24.7%
60
75.3%
Q3 - 6:08MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot60
23.8%
60
76.2%
Q3 - 6:22MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
21.6%
60
78.4%
Q3 - 6:23MILMISS Salmons 5' Running Jump Shot60
22.6%
60
77.4%
Q3 - 6:42MIABosh 3' Driving Dunk (16 PTS)60
24.8%
60
75.2%
Q3 - 6:55MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
27.7%
58
72.3%
Q3 - 6:56MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot60
30.2%
58
69.8%
Q3 - 7:09MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
26.8%
58
73.2%
Q3 - 7:10MILMISS Mbah a Moute 20' Jump Shot60
27.7%
58
72.3%
Q3 - 7:28MIABosh 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 4 AST)60
30.1%
58
69.9%
Q3 - 7:48MILDooling Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)60
33.3%
56
66.7%
Q3 - 7:48MILSalmons 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)59
30.0%
56
70.0%
Q3 - 7:54MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
27.0%
56
73.0%
Q3 - 7:55MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup57
26.0%
56
74.0%
Q3 - 8:16MILBogut 3' Dunk (8 PTS) (Dooling 4 AST)57
23.5%
56
76.5%
Q3 - 8:28MIAWade 2' Putback Dunk (15 PTS)55
21.1%
56
78.9%
Q3 - 8:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
23.5%
54
76.5%
Q3 - 8:30MIAMISS Arroyo 8' Jump Shot55
25.6%
54
74.4%
Q3 - 8:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)55
23.5%
54
76.5%
Q3 - 8:37MIAMISS Arroyo 3PT Jump Shot55
25.6%
54
74.4%
Q3 - 8:52MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)55
23.5%
54
76.5%
Q3 - 8:52MILMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 254
22.8%
54
77.2%
Q3 - 9:07MIAJames 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (18 PTS)54
23.1%
54
76.9%
Q3 - 9:12MILBosh STEAL (2 STL)54
25.8%
52
74.2%
Q3 - 9:29MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)54
28.8%
52
71.2%
Q3 - 9:35MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
31.9%
50
68.1%
Q3 - 9:36MILJames BLOCK (2 BLK)54
32.9%
50
67.1%
Q3 - 9:48MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)54
35.3%
50
64.7%
Q3 - 9:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)54
36.0%
49
64.0%
Q3 - 10:14MILSalmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)54
37.2%
48
62.8%
Q3 - 10:22MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
30.9%
48
69.1%
Q3 - 10:23MIAMISS James 9' Jump Shot51
30.0%
48
70.0%
Q3 - 10:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)51
27.9%
48
72.1%
Q3 - 10:30MILMISS Ilyasova 12' Jump Shot51
28.8%
48
71.2%
Q3 - 10:46MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
30.9%
48
69.1%
Q3 - 10:47MIAMISS Arroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
30.0%
48
70.0%
Q3 - 10:58MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
27.9%
48
72.1%
Q3 - 10:59MILMISS Ilyasova 16' Jump Shot51
28.8%
48
71.2%
Q3 - 11:16MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)51
30.1%
48
69.9%
Q3 - 11:16MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 251
30.7%
47
69.3%
Q3 - 11:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
30.0%
47
70.0%
Q3 - 11:19MILIlgauskas BLOCK (2 BLK)51
30.9%
47
69.1%
Q3 - 11:34MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
33.2%
47
66.8%
Q3 - 11:35MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot51
32.2%
47
67.8%
Q3 - 11:45MILBosh STEAL (1 STL)51
30.0%
47
70.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL51
33.2%
47
66.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)51
31.9%
47
68.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)51
32.5%
46
67.5%
Q2 - 0:09.0MILDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)51
35.6%
45
64.4%
Q2 - 0:09.0MILDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)50
35.1%
45
64.9%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)49
32.0%
45
68.0%
Q2 - 0:49.0MILDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)49
29.8%
45
70.2%
Q2 - 0:49.0MILDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)48
29.3%
45
70.7%
Q2 - 1:07MILDouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
26.0%
45
74.0%
Q2 - 1:08MIAMISS James 5' Jump Shot47
25.4%
45
74.6%
Q2 - 1:21MILSalmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)47
24.2%
45
75.8%
Q2 - 1:21MILSalmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)46
23.8%
45
76.2%
Q2 - 1:37MILBrockman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
21.3%
45
78.7%
Q2 - 1:38MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
20.8%
45
79.2%
Q2 - 1:47MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
19.8%
45
80.2%
Q2 - 1:48MILMISS Dooling 12' Jump Shot45
20.3%
45
79.8%
Q2 - 1:55MIAArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)45
21.3%
45
78.7%
Q2 - 2:08MILSalmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)45
19.2%
45
80.8%
Q2 - 2:08MILSalmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)44
18.9%
45
81.1%
Q2 - 2:21MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
17.4%
45
82.6%
Q2 - 2:22MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup43
16.8%
45
83.2%
Q2 - 2:39MILSalmons 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)43
15.6%
45
84.4%
Q2 - 2:48MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)41
14.0%
45
86.0%
Q2 - 2:48MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 241
14.3%
44
85.7%
Q2 - 2:50MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
14.0%
44
86.0%
Q2 - 2:51MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 17' Fadeaway Jumper41
14.5%
44
85.5%
Q2 - 2:59MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
15.6%
44
84.4%
Q2 - 3:00MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot41
15.1%
44
84.9%
Q2 - 3:17MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)41
13.7%
44
86.3%
Q2 - 3:17MILMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 240
13.3%
44
86.7%
Q2 - 3:34MIAWade 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)40
14.0%
44
86.0%
Q2 - 3:48MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)40
15.2%
42
84.8%
Q2 - 3:48MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)39
14.8%
42
85.2%
Q2 - 4:07MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)38
13.7%
42
86.3%
Q2 - 4:29MILDouglas-Roberts 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)38
12.2%
42
87.8%
Q2 - 4:44MILBrockman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
11.1%
42
88.9%
Q2 - 4:45MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
10.7%
42
89.3%
Q2 - 5:12MILDooling 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Salmons 4 AST)36
10.0%
42
90.0%
Q2 - 5:26MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)33
8.0%
42
92.0%
Q2 - 5:47MILBrockman 2' Putback Dunk (4 PTS)33
10.0%
39
90.0%
Q2 - 5:52MILBrockman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)31
8.9%
39
91.1%
Q2 - 5:53MILJames BLOCK (1 BLK)31
8.3%
39
91.7%
Q2 - 6:00MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)31
8.9%
39
91.1%
Q2 - 6:19MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)31
8.2%
39
91.8%
Q2 - 6:19MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)30
8.0%
39
92.0%
Q2 - 6:26MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
7.5%
39
92.5%
Q2 - 6:27MIAMISS Wade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot29
7.2%
39
92.8%
Q2 - 6:51MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
6.6%
39
93.4%
Q2 - 6:52MILMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 229
6.7%
39
93.3%
Q2 - 6:52MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
7.2%
39
92.8%
Q2 - 7:08MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)28
6.7%
39
93.3%
Q2 - 7:12MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)28
6.0%
39
94.0%
Q2 - 7:13MILMISS Boykins 16' Jump Shot28
6.2%
39
93.8%
Q2 - 7:36MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)28
6.7%
39
93.3%
Q2 - 7:47MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)28
7.4%
37
92.6%
Q2 - 7:50MIADampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)28
8.2%
36
91.8%
Q2 - 7:51MIAMISS Wade 3' Dunk28
8.9%
36
91.1%
Q2 - 8:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)28
8.4%
36
91.6%
Q2 - 8:17MILMISS Maggette Free Throw 2 of 228
8.5%
36
91.5%
Q2 - 8:17MILMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
9.1%
36
90.9%
Q2 - 8:19MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
8.4%
36
91.6%
Q2 - 8:20MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
8.1%
36
91.9%
Q2 - 8:26MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
7.6%
36
92.4%
Q2 - 8:27MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 127
8.3%
36
91.7%
Q2 - 8:39MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
9.2%
34
90.8%
Q2 - 8:40MILMISS Boykins 11' Fadeaway Jumper27
9.5%
34
90.5%
Q2 - 8:59MIAChalmers 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
10.2%
34
89.8%
Q2 - 9:18MILBrockman 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Maggette 1 AST)27
11.2%
32
88.8%
Q2 - 9:35MIABosh 6' Turnaround Bank Shot (8 PTS)25
10.2%
32
89.8%
Q2 - 9:57MILDouglas-Roberts 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brockman 1 AST)25
11.2%
30
88.8%
Q2 - 10:13MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)22
9.5%
30
90.5%
Q2 - 10:15MILChalmers STEAL (1 STL)22
8.5%
30
91.5%
Q2 - 10:30MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)22
9.5%
30
90.5%
Q2 - 10:30MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
9.6%
29
90.4%
Q2 - 10:46MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
10.3%
28
89.7%
Q2 - 10:47MILMISS Maggette 17' Jump Shot22
10.6%
28
89.4%
Q2 - 11:09MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
11.5%
28
88.5%
Q2 - 11:09MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
11.6%
27
88.4%
Q2 - 11:20MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
12.5%
26
87.5%
Q2 - 11:21MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
13.3%
26
86.7%
Q2 - 11:41MILMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
12.5%
26
87.5%
Q2 - 11:41MILMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
12.3%
26
87.7%
Q2 - 11:47MILBrockman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
11.5%
26
88.5%
Q2 - 11:48MILMISS Boykins 14' Jump Shot20
10.7%
26
89.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA20
11.5%
26
88.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound20
10.4%
26
89.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot20
11.1%
26
88.9%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
10.6%
26
89.4%
Q1 - 0:23.0MILMISS Maggette 10' Running Jump Shot20
10.8%
26
89.2%
Q1 - 0:29.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
11.3%
26
88.7%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot20
11.1%
26
88.9%
Q1 - 0:52.0MILJones STEAL (1 STL)20
10.5%
26
89.5%
Q1 - 0:58.0MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
11.3%
26
88.7%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot20
11.1%
26
88.9%
Q1 - 1:09MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
10.7%
26
89.3%
Q1 - 1:10MILMISS Bogut 3' Layup20
10.9%
26
89.1%
Q1 - 1:30MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS)20
11.3%
26
88.7%
Q1 - 1:44MILArroyo STEAL (1 STL)20
12.6%
24
87.4%
Q1 - 2:09MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)20
13.6%
24
86.4%
Q1 - 2:20MIAHEAT Rebound20
14.8%
22
85.2%
Q1 - 2:21MILMISS Salmons 2' Driving Layup20
15.2%
22
84.8%
Q1 - 2:36MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)20
15.9%
22
84.1%
Q1 - 2:59MILIlyasova 10' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Salmons 3 AST)20
17.3%
20
82.7%
Q1 - 3:25MIAWade 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)18
15.8%
20
84.2%
Q1 - 3:27MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
17.0%
18
83.0%
Q1 - 3:29MILMISS Bogut 5' Tip Shot18
17.4%
18
82.6%
Q1 - 3:30MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
18.4%
18
81.6%
Q1 - 3:31MILMISS Mbah a Moute 18' Jump Shot18
17.4%
18
82.6%
Q1 - 3:39MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
18.4%
18
81.6%
Q1 - 3:42MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup18
18.0%
18
82.0%
Q1 - 3:43MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)18
17.0%
18
83.0%
Q1 - 3:44MIAMISS Bosh 3' Driving Layup18
18.0%
18
82.0%
Q1 - 4:02MILDooling 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)18
16.5%
18
83.5%
Q1 - 4:16MIAJump Ball Wade vs. Ilyasova: Tip to Bogut16
15.4%
18
84.6%
Q1 - 4:16MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup16
15.1%
18
84.9%
Q1 - 4:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
14.2%
18
85.8%
Q1 - 4:27MILMISS Salmons 4' Jump Shot16
14.6%
18
85.4%
Q1 - 4:28MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
15.5%
18
84.5%
Q1 - 4:29MILMISS Salmons 2' Driving Layup16
14.6%
18
85.4%
Q1 - 4:37MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)16
15.5%
18
84.5%
Q1 - 4:54MILIlyasova 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 1 AST)16
14.2%
18
85.8%
Q1 - 5:14MIABosh 2' Reverse Dunk (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)14
13.4%
18
86.6%
Q1 - 5:29MILBogut 3' Dunk (6 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)14
14.3%
16
85.7%
Q1 - 5:40MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
13.4%
16
86.6%
Q1 - 5:40MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
13.6%
15
86.4%
Q1 - 5:43MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
14.3%
14
85.7%
Q1 - 5:44MILIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)12
14.7%
14
85.3%
Q1 - 6:03MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
15.2%
14
84.8%
Q1 - 6:04MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 112
15.1%
14
84.9%
Q1 - 6:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
16.3%
12
83.7%
Q1 - 6:22MILMISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
16.7%
12
83.3%
Q1 - 6:48MIAArroyo 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
17.6%
12
82.4%
Q1 - 7:13MILBogut 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Salmons 2 AST)12
18.3%
10
81.7%
Q1 - 7:29MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)10
17.3%
10
82.7%
Q1 - 7:45MILSalmons 3' Driving Reverse Layup (5 PTS)10
16.0%
10
84.0%
Q1 - 8:01MIAIlgauskas 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS)8
14.7%
10
85.3%
Q1 - 8:02MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
15.8%
8
84.2%
Q1 - 8:03MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot8
16.5%
8
83.5%
Q1 - 8:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
15.8%
8
84.2%
Q1 - 8:22MILMISS Salmons 13' Fadeaway Jumper8
16.1%
8
83.9%
Q1 - 8:27MILBucks Rebound8
16.9%
8
83.1%
Q1 - 8:28MILMISS Bogut 14' Jump Shot8
16.1%
8
83.9%
Q1 - 8:47MIAWade 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
16.9%
8
83.1%
Q1 - 9:12MILBogut 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS)8
17.9%
6
82.1%
Q1 - 9:31MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
16.8%
6
83.2%
Q1 - 9:32MIAMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot6
16.4%
6
83.6%
Q1 - 9:42MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
15.7%
6
84.3%
Q1 - 9:43MILMISS Salmons 19' Jump Shot6
16.0%
6
84.0%
Q1 - 10:00MIAWade 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)6
16.8%
6
83.2%
Q1 - 10:17MILSalmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)6
17.6%
4
82.4%
Q1 - 10:34MIAIlgauskas 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)3
15.7%
4
84.3%
Q1 - 10:51MILIlyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Salmons 1 AST)3
16.6%
2
83.4%
Q1 - 11:04MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.4%
2
85.6%
Q1 - 11:05MIAMISS Bosh 3' Layup0
14.2%
2
85.8%
Q1 - 11:09MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
13.7%
2
86.3%
Q1 - 11:10MIAMISS Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot0
14.2%
2
85.8%
Q1 - 11:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.7%
2
86.3%
Q1 - 11:24MILMISS Bogut 9' Hook Shot0
13.9%
2
86.1%
Q1 - 11:43MIAIlgauskas 3' Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)0
14.5%
2
85.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Bogut: Tip to James0
15.4%
0
84.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.98 48.9%
MIA
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
14
28
50%
MIA
17
30
57%
Midrange
MIL
10
33
30%
MIA
12
32
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
5
7.5
12
42%
63%
MIA
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIL
26
34
76%
MIA
31
37
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Salmons1845%9.0 / 20
A. Bogut1653%8.0 / 15
K. Dooling1470%7.0 / 10
L. Mbah a Moute941%4.5 / 11
E. Ilyasova750%3.5 / 7
C. Maggette750%3.5 / 7
C. Douglas-Roberts643%3.0 / 7
J. Brockman6100%3.0 / 3
E. Boykins633%3.0 / 9
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3468%17.0 / 25
L. James2563%12.5 / 20
C. Bosh1956%9.5 / 17
M. Chalmers950%4.5 / 9
Z. Ilgauskas660%3.0 / 5
J. Jones4100%2.0 / 2
C. Arroyo214%1.0 / 7
E. Dampier2100%1.0 / 1
J. Howard0-0.0 / 2
M. Miller0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
80
+11
-9
91
MIA
75
+16
-13
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.98 48.9%
MIA
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.9
111.4
MIL 100.0
MIA 114.8 +14.8
Pace
89.6
91.3
MIL 95.9 +13.9
MIA 82.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.6
16.2
MIL 15.0 +2.5
MIA 17.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.7%
52.4%
MIL 43.2%
MIA 47.3% +4.1%
TO %
13.9%
14.4%
MIL 9.3% +4.1%
MIA 13.4%
ORB %
24.8%
25.2%
MIL 16.7%
MIA 30.8% +14.1%
FTrt
28.7
36.3
MIL 46.6
MIA 50.0 +3.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.9%
54.1%
MIL 48.3% +5.9%
MIA 42.4%
STL %
8.3%
7.3%
MIL 9.0%
MIA 9.1% +0.1%
BLK %
7.9%
8.5%
MIL 6.5%
MIA 11.5% +5.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.5%
55.7%
MIL 48.9%
MIA 54.9% +6.0%
Rim FG%
53.9%
64.7%
MIL 50.0%
MIA 56.7% +6.7%
Mid FG%
39.0%
42.2%
MIL 30.3%
MIA 37.5% +7.2%
3P %
34.2%
37.0%
MIL 41.7% +8.4%
MIA 33.3%
FT %
75.7%
76.9%
MIL 76.5%
MIA 83.8% +7.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.9%
31.6%
MIL 38.4%
MIA 40.5% +2.2%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
44.9%
MIL 45.2%
MIA 43.2% +2.0%
3P Att. %
21.6%
23.5%
MIL 16.4% +0.2%
MIA 16.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes22.325.7
Points89101
Rebounds3447
Assists1414
Steals88
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (4)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)35 (3)
Field Goals29-7333-74
At-the-Rim FG14-2817-30
Midrange FG10-3312-32
2-Point FG24-6129-62
3-Point FG5-124-12
Free Throws26-3431-37
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 230 · 24
42.1
9
41%
7
1
1
1
1
3
0
7
7-10
70%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 210 · 31
39.6
18
45%
4
6
1
0
2
4
1
3
4-4
100%
4-14
29%
2-4
50%
G · 6'3" 195 · 31
33.4
14
70%
1
5
2
0
1
2
0
1
5-5
100%
3-6
50%
1-2
50%
C · 7'0" 260 · 26
32.8
16
53%
8
0
1
2
2
4
3
5
2-5
40%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 24
23.2
7
50%
3
0
1
1
0
5
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-2
50%
G · 6'7" 210 · 24
19.7
6
43%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
1-1
100%
F · 6'6" 225 · 31
17.7
7
50%
3
1
0
0
2
4
0
3
5-6
83%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 255 · 24
16.9
6
100%
5
1
1
0
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
G · 5'5" 133 · 35
14.6
6
33%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 170 · 21
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 22
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 35
#10 · G-F · 6'6" 230 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#0 · F · 6'10" 250 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#22 · G · 6'6" 215 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
49%
34
14
8
4
9
0
7
27
26-34
76%
24-61
39%
5-12
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.