FinalWin Prob.pScore
184%99
96
2816%86
82
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
106.79084.9
CHA logo CHA
92.18994.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BobcatsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BobcatsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA96
100%
82
0%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)96
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0CHAMISS Brown 1' Layup96
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAChalmers 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)96
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0CHAMISS Najera 17' Jump Shot94
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:01MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)94
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:01MIAHeat Rebound94
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:02MIAMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot94
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26CHACollins 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)94
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:43CHABrown REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)94
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 1:44MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:05CHABrown 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Collins 1 AST)94
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:20CHABrown REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)94
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:22MIAMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot94
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:45CHABrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)94
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:45CHABrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)94
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:56CHANajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:57MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 3:10MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)94
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 3:12MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot94
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 3:31CHADiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)94
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 3:49MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (31 PTS)94
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 4:06CHAAugustin 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS)91
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 4:14CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:16MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot91
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:38CHAAugustin 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)91
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:48CHABOBCATS Rebound91
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 4:48CHABrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)91
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 4:48CHAMISS Brown 1' Tip Shot91
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 4:49CHAMISS Livingston 8' Jump Shot91
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:13MIAJames 10' Driving Jump Shot (38 PTS)91
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:31MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)89
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:32CHAMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 289
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:32CHABrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)89
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 6:01MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (36 PTS)89
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 6:24CHAJackson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T14)87
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 6:31MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (28 PTS) (James 5 AST)87
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 6:55CHACarroll Foul Turnover (P1.T13)85
99.6%
71
0.4%
Q4 - 7:02CHABOBCATS Rebound85
99.3%
71
0.7%
Q4 - 7:02MIAMISS James 11' Jump Shot85
99.3%
71
0.7%
Q4 - 7:13CHAJackson 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS)85
99.5%
71
0.5%
Q4 - 7:37MIAJames Reverse Slam Dunk (34 PTS)85
99.6%
69
0.4%
Q4 - 7:41CHALivingston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)83
99.5%
69
0.5%
Q4 - 7:59MIAJames 34' 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS)83
99.3%
69
0.7%
Q4 - 8:27CHALivingston Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST)80
98.5%
69
1.5%
Q4 - 8:35CHAMcGuire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)80
98.9%
67
1.1%
Q4 - 8:36MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot80
98.9%
67
1.1%
Q4 - 8:58CHABrown Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)80
99.1%
67
0.9%
Q4 - 9:02MIALivingston STEAL (1 STL)80
99.1%
65
0.9%
Q4 - 9:09MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)80
99.3%
65
0.7%
Q4 - 9:10CHAMISS Carroll 16' Jump Shot80
99.3%
65
0.7%
Q4 - 9:23CHAMcGuire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)80
99.1%
65
0.9%
Q4 - 9:24CHAMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
99.3%
65
0.7%
Q4 - 9:34CHABOBCATS Rebound80
99.1%
65
0.9%
Q4 - 9:34MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup80
99.2%
65
0.8%
Q4 - 9:47CHAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)80
99.3%
65
0.7%
Q4 - 9:47CHAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)80
99.3%
64
0.7%
Q4 - 9:47CHACarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
99.5%
63
0.5%
Q4 - 9:48CHAMISS Brown 2' Layup80
99.5%
63
0.5%
Q4 - 9:54MIACarroll STEAL (1 STL)80
99.5%
63
0.5%
Q4 - 10:07CHAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)80
99.5%
63
0.5%
Q4 - 10:07CHAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)80
99.5%
62
0.5%
Q4 - 10:14CHABOBCATS Rebound80
99.6%
61
0.4%
Q4 - 10:14CHAMISS Thomas 17' Jump Shot80
99.6%
61
0.4%
Q4 - 10:20CHAMcGuire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
99.6%
61
0.4%
Q4 - 10:22MIAMISS Wade 2' Reverse Layup80
99.6%
61
0.4%
Q4 - 10:34MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
99.7%
61
0.3%
Q4 - 10:36CHAMISS Thomas 9' Jump Bank Shot80
99.6%
61
0.4%
Q4 - 10:47MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
99.6%
61
0.4%
Q4 - 10:47MIABosh Tip Shot (11 PTS)80
99.6%
61
0.4%
Q4 - 10:48MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
99.4%
61
0.6%
Q4 - 11:11CHAMcGuire Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)78
99.4%
61
0.6%
Q4 - 11:13CHAThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
99.2%
61
0.8%
Q4 - 11:15CHAMISS Livingston 3' Driving Dunk78
99.3%
61
0.7%
Q4 - 11:21CHAThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
99.2%
61
0.8%
Q4 - 11:24MIAMISS Bosh 17' Fadeaway Jumper78
99.3%
61
0.7%
Q4 - 11:41CHAMcGuire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
99.4%
61
0.6%
Q4 - 11:41CHAMcGuire Tip Shot (4 PTS)78
99.4%
61
0.6%
Q4 - 11:42CHAMISS McGuire 2' Layup78
99.6%
59
0.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA78
99.5%
59
0.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)78
99.6%
59
0.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0CHAMISS Thomas 16' Jump Shot78
99.5%
59
0.5%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)78
99.4%
59
0.6%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)77
99.4%
59
0.6%
Q3 - 0:34.0CHABrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
99.2%
59
0.8%
Q3 - 0:34.0CHABrown Putback Dunk (4 PTS)76
99.2%
59
0.8%
Q3 - 0:34.0CHAMISS Thomas 13' Jump Shot76
99.5%
57
0.5%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)76
99.4%
57
0.6%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAAnthony 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)76
99.4%
57
0.6%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
99.1%
57
0.9%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
99.2%
57
0.8%
Q3 - 0:52.0CHAMISS McGuire 18' Jump Shot74
99.2%
57
0.8%
Q3 - 1:05MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)74
99.0%
57
1.0%
Q3 - 1:05MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)73
98.9%
57
1.1%
Q3 - 1:27CHALivingston 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)72
98.7%
57
1.3%
Q3 - 1:36MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (25 PTS)72
99.0%
55
1.0%
Q3 - 1:58CHAMcGuire Dunk (2 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)70
98.8%
55
1.3%
Q3 - 2:23MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (23 PTS)70
98.8%
53
1.2%
Q3 - 2:39CHAJackson Foul Turnover (P4.T10)68
98.6%
53
1.4%
Q3 - 2:49MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS)68
98.3%
53
1.7%
Q3 - 3:00MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)66
98.0%
53
2.0%
Q3 - 3:03CHAMISS Livingston 1' Reverse Layup66
97.8%
53
2.2%
Q3 - 3:09CHALivingston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
97.5%
53
2.5%
Q3 - 3:10CHAMISS Livingston 7' Jump Shot66
97.8%
53
2.2%
Q3 - 3:39MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)66
97.5%
53
2.5%
Q3 - 4:01CHAAugustin Free Throw 3 of 3 (12 PTS)64
96.9%
53
3.1%
Q3 - 4:01CHAAugustin Free Throw 2 of 3 (11 PTS)64
96.9%
52
3.1%
Q3 - 4:01CHAMISS Augustin Free Throw 1 of 364
97.0%
51
3.0%
Q3 - 4:01MIAHeat Turnover: Backcourt (T#13)64
97.3%
51
2.7%
Q3 - 4:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)64
97.8%
51
2.2%
Q3 - 4:13MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
97.5%
51
2.5%
Q3 - 4:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)64
97.8%
51
2.2%
Q3 - 4:19CHAMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
97.7%
51
2.3%
Q3 - 4:33MIAJames 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (17 PTS)64
97.3%
51
2.7%
Q3 - 4:49MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)61
96.3%
51
3.7%
Q3 - 4:51CHAMISS Thomas 17' Jump Shot61
96.1%
51
3.9%
Q3 - 5:07CHAThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
95.2%
51
4.8%
Q3 - 5:08MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
95.5%
51
4.5%
Q3 - 5:28CHAAugustin 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Livingston 1 AST)61
96.0%
51
4.0%
Q3 - 5:40MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)61
97.1%
48
2.9%
Q3 - 5:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)60
97.0%
48
3.0%
Q3 - 5:43MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)59
96.6%
48
3.4%
Q3 - 5:47CHAMISS Augustin 5' Floating Jump Shot59
96.4%
48
3.6%
Q3 - 6:05MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)59
95.8%
48
4.2%
Q3 - 6:05MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 258
95.7%
48
4.3%
Q3 - 6:25MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)58
95.9%
48
4.1%
Q3 - 6:28CHAMISS Thomas 11' Jump Shot58
95.7%
48
4.3%
Q3 - 6:48MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)58
95.2%
48
4.8%
Q3 - 6:58CHAAugustin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)55
93.5%
48
6.5%
Q3 - 7:10CHABOBCATS Rebound55
92.1%
48
7.9%
Q3 - 7:11MIAMISS James 2' Layup55
92.5%
48
7.5%
Q3 - 7:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)55
93.2%
48
6.8%
Q3 - 7:18CHAMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot55
92.9%
48
7.1%
Q3 - 7:37MIAWade 7' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (James 4 AST)55
92.1%
48
7.9%
Q3 - 7:46MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)53
91.0%
48
9.0%
Q3 - 7:47CHAMISS Henderson 16' Jump Shot53
90.6%
48
9.4%
Q3 - 7:56CHAAugustin Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)53
89.6%
48
10.4%
Q3 - 7:56CHAAugustin Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)53
91.0%
47
9.0%
Q3 - 8:18MIAJames 19' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)53
92.1%
46
7.9%
Q3 - 8:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)51
91.0%
46
9.0%
Q3 - 8:33CHAMISS Diaw 18' Jump Shot51
90.6%
46
9.4%
Q3 - 8:55CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
89.6%
46
10.4%
Q3 - 8:55MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Bank Shot51
90.0%
46
10.0%
Q3 - 8:59MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)51
91.0%
46
9.0%
Q3 - 9:03CHAMISS Henderson 3' Alley Oop Dunk51
90.6%
46
9.4%
Q3 - 9:08MIAJackson STEAL (2 STL)51
89.6%
46
10.4%
Q3 - 9:24MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
91.0%
46
9.0%
Q3 - 9:25CHAMISS Brown 8' Hook Shot51
90.6%
46
9.4%
Q3 - 9:37MIAJames Foul Turnover (P3.T11)51
89.6%
46
10.4%
Q3 - 9:41MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
91.0%
46
9.0%
Q3 - 9:42CHAMISS Augustin 17' Jump Shot51
90.6%
46
9.4%
Q3 - 9:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)51
89.6%
46
10.4%
Q3 - 9:58MIAWade 2' Tip Shot (22 PTS)51
89.6%
46
10.4%
Q3 - 9:59MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup49
87.1%
46
12.9%
Q3 - 10:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
88.5%
46
11.5%
Q3 - 10:08CHAMISS Henderson 1' Alley Oop Layup49
88.0%
46
12.0%
Q3 - 10:14CHAAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
86.9%
46
13.1%
Q3 - 10:15MIAMISS Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot49
87.4%
46
12.6%
Q3 - 10:26CHAAugustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)49
88.5%
46
11.5%
Q3 - 10:26CHAAugustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)49
88.6%
45
11.4%
Q3 - 10:29CHABrown REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)49
89.8%
44
10.2%
Q3 - 10:33CHAMISS Augustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
90.7%
44
9.3%
Q3 - 10:51MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)49
89.8%
44
10.2%
Q3 - 11:16CHABrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)49
91.2%
44
8.8%
Q3 - 11:16CHAMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 249
91.6%
43
8.4%
Q3 - 11:25CHABrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)49
91.1%
43
8.9%
Q3 - 11:26CHAMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
91.9%
43
8.1%
Q3 - 11:47MIAWade 1' Layup (20 PTS) (James 3 AST)49
91.1%
43
8.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA47
90.0%
43
10.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
90.0%
43
10.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0CHAMISS Brown 6' Jump Shot47
89.5%
43
10.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0CHABrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
88.8%
43
11.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0CHAMISS Augustin 2' Layup47
89.5%
43
10.5%
Q2 - 0:07.0CHABOBCATS Rebound47
88.8%
43
11.2%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Chalmers 9' Jump Shot47
89.1%
43
10.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0CHAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)47
89.8%
43
10.2%
Q2 - 0:30.0CHAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)47
90.0%
42
10.0%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)47
91.2%
41
8.8%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
88.5%
41
11.5%
Q2 - 0:54.0CHAMISS Jackson 2' Layup44
88.2%
41
11.8%
Q2 - 1:18MIAJames 2' Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)44
87.6%
41
12.4%
Q2 - 1:29MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
85.7%
41
14.3%
Q2 - 1:30CHAMISS Henderson 18' Jump Shot42
85.3%
41
14.7%
Q2 - 1:43CHAMcGuire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
84.5%
41
15.5%
Q2 - 1:45MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot42
84.8%
41
15.2%
Q2 - 2:02MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)42
86.0%
41
14.0%
Q2 - 2:06CHAMISS Jackson 9' Jump Shot42
85.5%
41
14.5%
Q2 - 2:24MIAJames 1' Dunk (7 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)42
84.4%
41
15.6%
Q2 - 2:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
82.7%
41
17.3%
Q2 - 2:33CHAMISS Augustin 13' Fadeaway Jumper40
82.1%
41
17.9%
Q2 - 2:48MIAHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)40
80.7%
41
19.3%
Q2 - 2:48MIAHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)39
80.3%
41
19.7%
Q2 - 3:03CHAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)38
79.7%
41
20.3%
Q2 - 3:16CHABrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
77.2%
41
22.8%
Q2 - 3:17CHAMISS Henderson 22' Jump Shot38
79.0%
41
21.0%
Q2 - 3:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)38
77.2%
41
22.8%
Q2 - 3:43MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)35
72.9%
41
27.1%
Q2 - 3:46MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
70.9%
41
29.1%
Q2 - 4:05CHAHenderson 16' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)35
73.5%
41
26.5%
Q2 - 4:24MIAHenderson STEAL (2 STL)35
75.6%
39
24.4%
Q2 - 4:44MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
78.0%
39
22.0%
Q2 - 4:44CHAMISS Diaw 5' Hook Shot35
77.3%
39
22.7%
Q2 - 5:06MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)35
76.5%
39
23.5%
Q2 - 5:22CHAThomas 1' Dunk (8 PTS)32
71.9%
39
28.1%
Q2 - 5:42MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)32
74.2%
37
25.8%
Q2 - 5:42MIAHeat Rebound32
76.4%
37
23.6%
Q2 - 5:42MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot32
74.9%
37
25.1%
Q2 - 5:46MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)32
76.4%
37
23.6%
Q2 - 5:48MIAHenderson BLOCK (1 BLK)32
74.9%
37
25.1%
Q2 - 6:11CHAJackson 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Diaw 5 AST)32
76.8%
37
23.2%
Q2 - 6:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
78.4%
35
21.6%
Q2 - 6:31MIAWade Tip Shot (12 PTS)32
78.4%
35
21.6%
Q2 - 6:33MIAMISS Miller 1' Layup30
75.1%
35
24.9%
Q2 - 6:40CHALivingston Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)30
76.8%
35
23.2%
Q2 - 7:03MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)30
75.4%
35
24.6%
Q2 - 7:14CHAThomas 7' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)28
73.4%
35
26.6%
Q2 - 7:35MIAWade 7' Driving Bank Shot (8 PTS)28
75.3%
33
24.7%
Q2 - 7:54CHAThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)26
73.3%
33
26.7%
Q2 - 8:05CHACarroll Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)26
72.0%
33
28.0%
Q2 - 8:20MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)26
74.1%
32
25.9%
Q2 - 8:20MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 225
73.7%
32
26.3%
Q2 - 8:34CHAThomas 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Carroll 1 AST)25
74.1%
32
25.9%
Q2 - 8:39CHACarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
76.1%
30
23.9%
Q2 - 8:41MIAThomas BLOCK (1 BLK)25
76.7%
30
23.3%
Q2 - 9:02MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
78.4%
30
21.6%
Q2 - 9:03CHAMISS Thomas 16' Jump Shot25
77.9%
30
22.1%
Q2 - 9:17CHABrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
76.5%
30
23.5%
Q2 - 9:19MIAMISS Bosh 9' Fadeaway Jumper25
77.1%
30
22.9%
Q2 - 9:38CHABrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
78.4%
30
21.6%
Q2 - 9:38CHABrown 1' Putback Dunk (2 PTS)25
78.4%
30
21.6%
Q2 - 9:41CHAMISS Carroll 18' Jump Shot25
81.2%
28
18.8%
Q2 - 9:47CHALivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
80.0%
28
20.0%
Q2 - 9:49MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
80.6%
28
19.4%
Q2 - 10:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
81.6%
28
18.4%
Q2 - 10:09CHAMISS Thomas 21' Jump Shot25
81.1%
28
18.9%
Q2 - 10:38MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)25
79.8%
28
20.2%
Q2 - 10:49MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
78.3%
28
21.7%
Q2 - 10:50CHAMISS Thomas 17' Step Back Jump Shot23
77.7%
28
22.3%
Q2 - 11:02MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)23
76.4%
28
23.6%
Q2 - 11:24MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
78.2%
28
21.8%
Q2 - 11:25CHAMISS Thomas 3' Layup23
77.7%
28
22.3%
Q2 - 11:36CHAMcGuire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
76.3%
28
23.7%
Q2 - 11:37MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot23
76.9%
28
23.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA23
78.2%
28
21.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHAThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
76.3%
28
23.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James 10' Jump Shot23
77.4%
28
22.6%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
78.3%
28
21.7%
Q1 - 0:26.0CHAMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 223
78.1%
28
21.9%
Q1 - 0:26.0CHAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)23
76.9%
28
23.1%
Q1 - 0:39.0CHAThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
78.6%
27
21.4%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAMISS James 5' Jump Shot23
79.0%
27
21.0%
Q1 - 0:47.0CHACarroll Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)23
79.9%
27
20.1%
Q1 - 1:04MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)23
83.5%
24
16.5%
Q1 - 1:13MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
80.4%
24
19.6%
Q1 - 1:14MIAMISS Chalmers 16' Jump Shot20
79.6%
24
20.4%
Q1 - 1:19CHAThomas Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)20
80.4%
24
19.6%
Q1 - 1:33MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)20
79.2%
24
20.8%
Q1 - 1:36MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
80.3%
24
19.7%
Q1 - 1:38CHAMISS Carroll 3' Layup20
80.0%
24
20.0%
Q1 - 1:54CHAMcGuire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
79.2%
24
20.8%
Q1 - 1:55MIAMISS James 8' Jump Shot20
79.5%
24
20.5%
Q1 - 2:25CHAThomas 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)20
80.7%
24
19.3%
Q1 - 2:31CHABOBCATS Rebound20
82.2%
22
17.8%
Q1 - 2:31CHAMISS Carroll 3PT Jump Shot20
83.0%
22
17.0%
Q1 - 2:48MIAJames 13' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)20
82.2%
22
17.8%
Q1 - 3:10CHAJackson 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Augustin 3 AST)18
81.3%
22
18.7%
Q1 - 3:22MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)18
82.6%
20
17.4%
Q1 - 3:26CHADiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)18
83.9%
20
16.1%
Q1 - 3:54MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)18
82.5%
20
17.5%
Q1 - 4:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
80.4%
20
19.6%
Q1 - 4:07CHAMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
79.9%
20
20.1%
Q1 - 4:21CHAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
78.8%
20
21.2%
Q1 - 4:22MIAMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot15
79.3%
20
20.7%
Q1 - 4:42CHADiaw 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
80.4%
20
19.6%
Q1 - 5:00MIAIlgauskas Dunk (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)15
81.6%
18
18.4%
Q1 - 5:15CHAJackson Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)13
80.4%
18
19.6%
Q1 - 5:19MIAHenderson STEAL (1 STL)13
78.8%
18
21.2%
Q1 - 5:21CHABrown 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)13
80.4%
18
19.6%
Q1 - 5:37CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
78.8%
18
21.2%
Q1 - 5:39MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
79.3%
18
20.7%
Q1 - 5:51CHAJackson 1' Driving Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Diaw 4 AST)13
80.4%
18
19.6%
Q1 - 6:20MIAArroyo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)13
82.0%
16
18.0%
Q1 - 6:33CHADiaw 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)11
80.7%
16
19.3%
Q1 - 6:40MIAAugustin STEAL (1 STL)11
81.9%
14
18.1%
Q1 - 6:57CHAAugustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)11
83.2%
14
16.8%
Q1 - 7:12MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)11
85.6%
11
14.4%
Q1 - 7:14MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
83.6%
11
16.4%
Q1 - 7:15CHAMISS Henderson 2' Layup8
83.3%
11
16.7%
Q1 - 7:34MIAWade 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)8
82.4%
11
17.6%
Q1 - 7:45CHAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
81.3%
11
18.7%
Q1 - 7:48MIAJackson STEAL (1 STL)6
79.9%
11
20.1%
Q1 - 8:05CHAHenderson 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)6
81.8%
11
18.2%
Q1 - 8:13CHAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
83.0%
9
17.0%
Q1 - 8:15MIAMISS Arroyo 16' Jump Shot6
83.3%
9
16.7%
Q1 - 8:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
84.0%
9
16.0%
Q1 - 8:22CHAMISS Augustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
83.7%
9
16.3%
Q1 - 8:41MIABosh 12' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)6
82.9%
9
17.1%
Q1 - 8:59CHAJackson 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)4
81.8%
9
18.2%
Q1 - 9:15MIABrown STEAL (1 STL)4
83.6%
7
16.4%
Q1 - 9:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
84.6%
7
15.4%
Q1 - 9:22CHAMISS Brown 2' Layup4
84.3%
7
15.7%
Q1 - 9:42MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)4
83.5%
7
16.5%
Q1 - 9:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
82.4%
7
17.6%
Q1 - 9:51CHAMISS Jackson 2' Layup2
82.1%
7
17.9%
Q1 - 10:12CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
81.7%
7
18.3%
Q1 - 10:13MIAMISS James 15' Jump Shot2
82.0%
7
18.0%
Q1 - 10:28CHAJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)2
82.9%
7
17.1%
Q1 - 10:47CHABrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
84.7%
4
15.3%
Q1 - 10:48MIAMISS Bosh 9' Fadeaway Jumper2
85.0%
4
15.0%
Q1 - 11:02CHAJackson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
86.0%
4
14.0%
Q1 - 11:21MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
86.8%
2
13.2%
Q1 - 11:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
86.7%
2
13.3%
Q1 - 11:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
86.0%
2
14.0%
Q1 - 11:21MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup0
85.5%
2
14.5%
Q1 - 11:42CHAHenderson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)0
86.0%
2
14.0%
Q1 - 12:00CHAJump Ball Brown vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Augustin0
86.8%
0
13.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.05 52.7%
CHA
0.92 46.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
24
71%
CHA
17
34
50%
Midrange
MIA
15
37
41%
CHA
10
35
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
CHA
3
4.5
10
30%
45%
Free Throws
MIA
17
19
89%
CHA
19
23
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3868%19.0 / 28
D. Wade3170%15.5 / 22
C. Bosh1150%5.5 / 11
J. Jones675%3.0 / 4
C. Arroyo250%1.0 / 2
Z. Ilgauskas233%1.0 / 3
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
M. Chalmers214%1.0 / 7
J. Howard233%1.0 / 3
M. Miller0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Bobcats
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Jackson2258%11.0 / 19
D. Augustin1667%8.0 / 12
T. Thomas829%4.0 / 14
D. Brown750%3.5 / 7
G. Henderson633%3.0 / 9
K. Brown542%2.5 / 6
B. Diaw450%2.0 / 4
S. Livingston433%2.0 / 6
D. McGuire450%2.0 / 4
M. Carroll440%2.0 / 5
S. Collins2100%1.0 / 1
E. Najera0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+12
-11
91
CHA
74
+15
-15
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.05 52.7%
CHA
0.92 46.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
103.6
MIA 106.7
CHA 92.1 +14.5
Pace
91.3
89.5
MIA 84.9
CHA 94.7 +9.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.2
MIA 17.0
CHA 15.2 +1.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
48.2%
MIA 52.0% +12.1%
CHA 39.9%
TO %
14.4%
15.2%
MIA 15.9%
CHA 14.4% +1.5%
ORB %
25.2%
25.7%
MIA 30.3% +5.3%
CHA 25.0%
FTrt
36.3
31.4
MIA 25.0
CHA 29.1 +4.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
60.1%
MIA 40.5%
CHA 63.3% +22.8%
STL %
7.3%
7.1%
MIA 5.6%
CHA 9.0% +3.4%
BLK %
8.5%
8.9%
MIA 7.2% +3.9%
CHA 3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
51.3%
MIA 52.7% +6.6%
CHA 46.1%
Rim FG%
64.7%
55.8%
MIA 70.8% +20.8%
CHA 50.0%
Mid FG%
42.2%
40.3%
MIA 40.5% +11.9%
CHA 28.6%
3P %
37.0%
32.7%
MIA 33.3% +3.3%
CHA 30.0%
FT %
76.9%
75.6%
MIA 89.5% +6.9%
CHA 82.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
40.6%
MIA 31.6%
CHA 43.0% +11.5%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
40.5%
MIA 48.7%
CHA 44.3% +4.4%
3P Att. %
23.5%
18.9%
MIA 19.7% +7.1%
CHA 12.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions9089
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points9682
Rebounds4635
Assists1519
Steals58
Blocks52
Turnovers (Team)11 (5)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (0)23 (4)
Field Goals37-7630-79
At-the-Rim FG17-2417-34
Midrange FG15-3710-35
2-Point FG32-6127-69
3-Point FG5-153-10
Free Throws17-1919-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
36.6
38
68%
9
5
1
0
3
3
0
9
6-6
100%
13-22
59%
2-4
50%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
33.9
11
50%
4
2
1
0
2
0
1
3
3-5
60%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
30.6
31
70%
11
4
0
1
4
4
4
7
6-6
100%
11-16
69%
1-4
25%
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
19.2
2
50%
0
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'3" 260 · 36
12.7
2
33%
1
0
0
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
35.3
2
100%
11
1
0
3
0
1
4
7
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
28.8
2
14%
4
1
2
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-3
0%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
19.7
6
75%
3
0
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
14.1
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
9.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 35
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
53%
46
15
5
5
11
0
10
36
17-19
89%
32-61
52%
5-15
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.