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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 2, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Grizzlies19%92104
2Lakers81%10485
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.9
38.1
32.8
4
20%
10
6
3
1
4
3
2
8
0-0
-
2-10
5-9
20%
53%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.4
35.7
23.1
27
62%
5
2
3
1
0
1
1
4
5-6
83%
8-15
4-8
53%
48%
2-4
50%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.5
34.2
36.4
21
56%
8
1
1
1
0
1
2
6
3-4
75%
9-17
8-16
53%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.2
32.4
36.0
12
68%
5
6
1
2
0
0
0
5
3-4
75%
3-6
4-8
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 29.0
28.2
18.0
10
42%
5
4
3
1
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
5-11
3-5
45%
48%
0-1
0%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.2
25.9
36.3
15
66%
3
5
2
1
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
3-5
4-10
60%
46%
2-5
40%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 24.0
15.6
10.8
5
125%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
1-1
100%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.8
14.2
14.4
9
60%
3
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1-1
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 23.9
9.5
6.9
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-4
0-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 25.6
6.3
19.0
1
17%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
3-6
0%
46%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 19.8
6.0
0
1-2
45%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 25.6
3.1
0
0-1
48%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 30.5
31.7
33.5
10
56%
8
0
0
1
2
5
1
7
0-0
-
5-9
6-11
56%
55%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 32.4
30.8
32.1
28
55%
2
2
2
1
0
3
0
2
7-8
88%
9-15
7-14
60%
50%
1-7
14%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 23.2
26.9
26.9
9
51%
11
1
0
0
5
1
3
8
1-2
50%
4-8
4-7
50%
56%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 31.1
24.7
24.9
0
0%
1
2
1
1
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 36.4
22.9
27.2
5
42%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
44%
1-2
50%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.2
28.1
32.5
7
36%
7
2
0
1
2
1
1
6
1-4
25%
3-7
5-9
43%
56%
0-1
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 30.9
21.3
18.5
8
100%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
2-2
100%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 25.1
21.1
17.9
11
56%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
48%
1-3
33%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 30.8
18.7
20.1
3
75%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
55%
1-2
50%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.8
4.6
2.6
4
100%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 22.7
4.6
1.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 35.4
4.6
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.2
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 37.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.