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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 2, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Mavericks66%98104
28Cavaliers34%9295
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.3
35.9
31.6
18
60%
0
4
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
6-10
5-9
60%
50%
2-4
50%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 37.8
34.5
35.4
10
36%
4
8
2
2
1
4
1
3
2-2
100%
1-7
2-5
14%
43%
2-6
33%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 29.7
32.7
21.9
21
69%
3
4
0
1
1
0
1
2
4-5
80%
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
5-12
42%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 32.7
31.4
17.9
22
69%
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
11-16
3-6
69%
54%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 28.3
30.1
31.6
14
81%
14
0
0
1
1
3
4
10
2-6
33%
6-6
3-5
100%
61%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.2
21.0
4.0
9
37%
5
3
1
0
2
0
2
3
5-5
100%
2-8
0-1
25%
48%
0-2
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.5
19.9
24.0
4
25%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
49%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 31.1
17.9
9.7
3
80%
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
56%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.7
16.6
25.4
3
75%
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
1-2
50%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 22.7
7.0
0
1-2
52%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 24.2
4.4
0
1-1
55%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.6
3.6
0
0-0
51%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 32.5
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 30.8
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.6
39.2
34.2
35
72%
10
0
1
1
0
1
3
7
4-5
80%
11-16
5-10
69%
48%
3-6
50%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 28.0
33.0
16.6
5
23%
1
7
2
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-7
2-5
14%
46%
1-4
25%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 35.5
30.9
36.6
8
68%
0
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
2-4
2-6
50%
43%
1-1
100%
Manny Harris
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.3
22.5
17.3
2
20%
2
4
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
42%
0-1
0%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.9
14.0
17.3
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
30.1
27.4
19
68%
7
12
0
1
0
3
0
7
1-2
50%
9-13
4-9
69%
45%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 23.6
19.6
22.1
5
87%
5
1
1
1
0
2
2
3
1-2
50%
2-2
2-4
100%
43%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 22.3
18.7
26.7
7
32%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
3-9
5-10
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.2
17.1
2.6
8
80%
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
4-5
0-1
80%
54%
0-0
-
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 21.5
15.0
10.0
4
33%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
43%
0-4
0%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 30.6
11.3
0
1-1
53%
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 22.0
1.5
0
0-0
44%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 28.3
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.6
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.