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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 1, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Mavericks57%9187
21Bucks43%8899
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 37.8
38.2
34.2
14
54%
7
9
6
2
1
3
2
5
2-2
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
41%
2-5
40%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 28.2
33.9
30.6
11
87%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
3-3
100%
4-5
3-5
80%
59%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.7
33.6
20.4
7
45%
5
3
2
1
0
1
2
3
4-4
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
41%
1-5
20%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 29.7
28.8
17.1
8
42%
2
0
3
0
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
40%
2-8
25%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 30.8
9.2
35.9
5
42%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
6-12
25%
46%
1-2
50%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.5
35.6
15.4
29
61%
3
2
1
0
0
2
0
3
6-6
100%
10-17
2-4
59%
47%
1-4
25%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.3
31.8
31.5
7
23%
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-9
4-9
22%
48%
1-6
17%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 31.1
9.6
8.8
1
18%
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
4
1-4
25%
0-1
1-1
0%
54%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.6
8.2
0.3
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
67%
1-1
100%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 22.7
6.7
6.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 24.2
4.5
3.6
2
114%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 32.7
27.1
1
4-8
51%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 32.5
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.2
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 31.1
41.6
37.7
21
66%
6
5
2
1
0
2
0
6
1-2
50%
7-11
4-10
64%
45%
2-4
50%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.1
36.3
37.1
8
44%
8
5
0
1
3
4
1
7
0-0
-
4-9
7-13
44%
52%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.6
36.2
23.8
16
59%
17
1
0
1
0
2
3
14
6-6
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
48%
0-2
0%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.7
30.5
35.3
7
47%
4
3
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-1
0%
2-4
3-6
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.3
12.0
24.0
2
25%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 34.6
32.6
14.7
26
67%
3
6
0
0
0
3
0
3
7-8
88%
8-11
2-4
73%
44%
1-5
20%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 31.1
21.3
17.7
9
47%
6
2
1
0
0
4
1
5
5-6
83%
2-7
3-6
29%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 24.0
15.2
18.9
6
44%
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-2
0%
3-4
2-5
75%
45%
0-2
0%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 23.8
9.7
12.8
4
100%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 34.6
4.5
0.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 29.3
12.0
0
2-4
47%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 22.1
8.9
0
1-3
46%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 28.3
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 31.4
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 21.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.