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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 1, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Warriors11%91107
1Heat89%108114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.2
46.6
39.9
25
61%
3
7
1
2
0
5
1
2
8-10
80%
4-11
7-15
36%
47%
3-5
60%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 25.1
39.7
37.4
30
71%
2
1
2
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
6-8
3-7
75%
44%
6-13
46%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 27.7
36.5
35.0
13
44%
12
3
1
1
0
2
2
10
1-2
50%
6-14
6-12
43%
49%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.8
35.9
31.2
15
63%
2
6
3
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
6-10
4-10
60%
45%
1-2
50%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.1
21.6
25.5
6
38%
6
0
0
1
0
1
2
4
1-2
50%
1-4
1-3
25%
42%
1-3
33%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 23.6
17.1
13.7
4
69%
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 25.9
14.0
12.0
7
58%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
41%
1-2
50%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.1
13.3
16.1
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 26.7
7.8
6.6
3
38%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.3
7.5
18.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-1
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.2
4.0
0
1-1
48%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.8
1.8
0
0-0
41%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.8
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.4
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 26.0
41.5
37.4
25
56%
7
10
1
2
1
3
2
5
11-17
65%
7-12
7-13
58%
56%
0-3
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.0
39.4
37.1
25
50%
6
8
2
2
1
0
0
6
11-16
69%
7-16
8-15
44%
55%
0-2
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.8
39.3
36.7
20
72%
11
3
1
1
1
3
5
6
8-9
89%
6-10
8-14
60%
54%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.4
26.9
21.6
11
79%
2
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
3-4
75%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.6
16.7
16.2
4
67%
5
0
2
0
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.4
22.4
22.8
4
72%
7
0
0
0
2
3
2
5
4-4
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.6
21.6
25.7
8
57%
4
0
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
2-5
40%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.2
21.3
17.1
13
87%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
0-0
0-1
-
43%
4-7
57%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.9
10.9
9.3
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.5
8.0
0
1-1
59%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.9
5.9
0
1-1
53%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.6
1.7
0
0-0
46%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.6
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.6
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.