FinalWin Prob.pScore
2011%91
107
189%108
114
ORTG#PossPace
GSW logo GSW
113.89495.3
MIA logo MIA
120.09593.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventGSWMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA107
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0GSWCurry 3' Driving Layup (15 PTS)107
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0GSWUdoh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)105
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2105
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)105
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)105
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 2105
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)105
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)105
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0GSWMISS Wright 26' 3PT Jump Shot105
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAAnthony Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)105
0.4%
112
99.6%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)105
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2105
0.4%
112
99.6%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)105
0.3%
112
99.7%
Q4 - 0:45.0GSWCurry 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)105
0.4%
111
99.6%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)102
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)102
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0GSWEllis 17' Jump Shot (25 PTS)102
0.3%
109
99.7%
Q4 - 1:02MIAJames 3' Tip Shot (22 PTS)100
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 1:03MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)100
0.4%
107
99.6%
Q4 - 1:04MIAMISS James 2' Layup100
0.7%
107
99.3%
Q4 - 1:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)100
0.7%
107
99.3%
Q4 - 1:24MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot100
1.1%
107
98.9%
Q4 - 1:52GSWCurry 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)100
1.1%
107
98.9%
Q4 - 2:00MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)98
0.6%
107
99.4%
Q4 - 2:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)98
0.4%
107
99.6%
Q4 - 2:06GSWMISS Curry 3' Driving Layup98
0.5%
107
99.5%
Q4 - 2:18MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)98
0.8%
107
99.2%
Q4 - 2:18MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)98
0.9%
106
99.1%
Q4 - 2:32GSWEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)98
1.0%
105
99.0%
Q4 - 2:32GSWEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)97
0.9%
105
99.1%
Q4 - 2:40MIAAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)96
0.8%
105
99.2%
Q4 - 2:43MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)96
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 2:44MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot96
0.6%
105
99.4%
Q4 - 2:49MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)96
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 2:50GSWMISS Lee 14' Jump Shot96
0.5%
105
99.5%
Q4 - 3:14MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)96
1.0%
105
99.0%
Q4 - 3:14MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)96
1.1%
104
98.9%
Q4 - 3:21MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
1.4%
103
98.6%
Q4 - 3:22GSWMISS Radmanovic 3' Tip Shot96
1.6%
103
98.4%
Q4 - 3:23GSWRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)96
2.5%
103
97.5%
Q4 - 3:24GSWMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
1.6%
103
98.4%
Q4 - 3:39GSWWarriors Rebound96
3.5%
103
96.5%
Q4 - 3:40GSWAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)96
2.6%
103
97.4%
Q4 - 3:56MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)96
3.3%
103
96.7%
Q4 - 3:57MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)96
6.7%
100
93.3%
Q4 - 3:58MIAMISS James 3' Driving Layup96
8.8%
100
91.2%
Q4 - 4:18GSWWright 2' Driving Layup (30 PTS)96
6.6%
100
93.4%
Q4 - 4:28GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)94
4.7%
100
95.3%
Q4 - 4:29MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
4.2%
100
95.8%
Q4 - 4:41MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)94
3.1%
100
96.9%
Q4 - 4:42GSWMISS Lee 19' Jump Shot94
3.5%
100
96.5%
Q4 - 5:00MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)94
4.6%
100
95.4%
Q4 - 5:18GSWWright 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Curry 6 AST)94
4.1%
100
95.9%
Q4 - 5:32MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (18 PTS)91
2.2%
100
97.8%
Q4 - 5:55GSWLee 5' Driving Hook Shot (13 PTS)91
2.9%
98
97.1%
Q4 - 6:03GSWLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)89
2.6%
98
97.4%
Q4 - 6:04MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot89
2.4%
98
97.6%
Q4 - 6:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)89
1.9%
98
98.1%
Q4 - 6:14GSWMISS Radmanovic 12' Jump Shot89
2.1%
98
97.9%
Q4 - 6:27MIAWade 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (24 PTS)89
2.6%
98
97.4%
Q4 - 6:52GSWEllis 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS)89
3.4%
96
96.6%
Q4 - 7:00GSWWarriors Rebound87
2.6%
96
97.4%
Q4 - 7:01GSWAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)87
2.4%
96
97.6%
Q4 - 7:14MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)87
2.9%
96
97.1%
Q4 - 7:14MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 287
3.1%
95
96.9%
Q4 - 7:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)87
2.9%
95
97.1%
Q4 - 7:24GSWMISS Udoh 8' Jump Shot87
3.1%
95
96.9%
Q4 - 7:49MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)87
3.8%
95
96.2%
Q4 - 7:49MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)87
4.0%
94
96.0%
Q4 - 7:53MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)87
4.9%
93
95.1%
Q4 - 7:54GSWMISS Curry 17' Jump Shot87
5.3%
93
94.7%
Q4 - 8:10GSWLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)87
6.9%
93
93.1%
Q4 - 8:11MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 287
6.7%
93
93.3%
Q4 - 8:11MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 287
5.7%
93
94.3%
Q4 - 8:11MIAHEAT Rebound87
5.5%
93
94.5%
Q4 - 8:12GSWMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot87
5.9%
93
94.1%
Q4 - 8:36MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)87
6.9%
93
93.1%
Q4 - 8:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)87
7.2%
92
92.8%
Q4 - 8:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
8.8%
91
91.2%
Q4 - 8:39GSWMISS Lee 8' Jump Shot87
9.4%
91
90.6%
Q4 - 8:56GSWUdoh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
11.0%
91
89.0%
Q4 - 8:57MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
10.3%
91
89.7%
Q4 - 9:17MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
9.2%
91
90.8%
Q4 - 9:18GSWMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 287
9.5%
91
90.5%
Q4 - 9:18GSWEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)87
10.9%
91
89.1%
Q4 - 9:34GSWLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)86
9.2%
91
90.8%
Q4 - 9:35MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
8.6%
91
91.4%
Q4 - 9:54GSWEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)86
7.4%
91
92.6%
Q4 - 9:54GSWEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)85
7.0%
91
93.0%
Q4 - 10:13MIAChalmers 3' Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)84
6.2%
91
93.8%
Q4 - 10:21MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
7.6%
89
92.4%
Q4 - 10:22GSWMISS Carney 20' Jump Shot84
8.1%
89
91.9%
Q4 - 10:38GSWCarney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
9.4%
89
90.6%
Q4 - 10:39MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 284
9.1%
89
90.9%
Q4 - 10:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)84
8.0%
89
92.0%
Q4 - 10:43MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
9.4%
88
90.6%
Q4 - 10:44GSWMISS Curry 17' Jump Shot84
10.0%
88
90.0%
Q4 - 11:06MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)84
11.6%
88
88.4%
Q4 - 11:12GSWWade STEAL (2 STL)84
16.8%
85
83.2%
Q4 - 11:27MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)84
20.1%
85
79.9%
Q4 - 11:27MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)84
20.6%
84
79.4%
Q4 - 11:40GSWWade STEAL (1 STL)84
23.8%
83
76.2%
Q4 - 11:41GSWLaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
27.9%
83
72.1%
Q4 - 11:42MIAMISS Wade 10' Fadeaway Jumper84
26.6%
83
73.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA84
23.8%
83
76.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound84
23.8%
83
76.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
25.7%
83
74.3%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
23.4%
83
76.6%
Q3 - 0:23.0GSWMISS Law 2' Reverse Layup84
24.4%
83
75.6%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAHoward 3' Layup (4 PTS) (James 10 AST)84
26.9%
83
73.1%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
31.5%
81
68.5%
Q3 - 0:59.0GSWMISS Amundson 15' Jump Shot84
32.8%
81
67.2%
Q3 - 1:18GSWAmundson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
34.2%
81
65.8%
Q3 - 1:20MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
33.0%
81
67.0%
Q3 - 1:32MIAHEAT Rebound84
30.3%
81
69.7%
Q3 - 1:33MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
33.0%
81
67.0%
Q3 - 1:42GSWChalmers STEAL (1 STL)84
30.3%
81
69.7%
Q3 - 2:01MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)84
32.3%
81
67.7%
Q3 - 2:01MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 284
33.2%
80
66.8%
Q3 - 2:04GSWEllis Foul Turnover (P4.T9)84
32.4%
80
67.6%
Q3 - 2:07MIAAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)84
36.6%
80
63.4%
Q3 - 2:19MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
32.5%
80
67.5%
Q3 - 2:20GSWMISS Wright 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
33.8%
80
66.2%
Q3 - 2:26GSWLaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
36.7%
80
63.3%
Q3 - 2:28GSWMISS Wright 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
33.8%
80
66.2%
Q3 - 2:45MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 9 AST)84
36.8%
80
63.2%
Q3 - 3:02GSWUdoh 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)84
43.0%
77
57.0%
Q3 - 3:24MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)82
39.0%
77
61.0%
Q3 - 3:24MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)82
40.1%
76
59.9%
Q3 - 3:24MIAHEAT Rebound82
43.1%
75
56.9%
Q3 - 3:25MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
46.4%
75
53.6%
Q3 - 3:49GSWWright 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Curry 5 AST)82
43.2%
75
56.8%
Q3 - 4:05MIAArroyo Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)79
34.0%
75
66.0%
Q3 - 4:16GSWWright 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS)79
29.5%
75
70.5%
Q3 - 4:38MIAIlgauskas 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (James 8 AST)77
26.6%
75
73.4%
Q3 - 4:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)77
29.6%
73
70.4%
Q3 - 4:50GSWMISS Ellis 18' Fadeaway Jumper77
30.9%
73
69.1%
Q3 - 5:02MIAIlgauskas 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T8)77
32.4%
73
67.6%
Q3 - 5:23GSWAmundson 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)77
28.5%
73
71.5%
Q3 - 5:44MIAWade 2' Dunk (16 PTS) (James 7 AST)75
25.6%
73
74.4%
Q3 - 5:47MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
28.6%
71
71.4%
Q3 - 5:48GSWWade BLOCK (1 BLK)75
29.8%
71
70.2%
Q3 - 6:08MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)75
30.7%
71
69.3%
Q3 - 6:25GSWCurry 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS)75
37.7%
68
62.3%
Q3 - 6:39GSWWarriors Rebound73
34.3%
68
65.7%
Q3 - 6:39MIAMISS James 14' Jump Shot73
33.1%
68
66.9%
Q3 - 6:54GSWLee Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)73
30.5%
68
69.5%
Q3 - 6:58GSWLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)73
34.4%
68
65.6%
Q3 - 6:59GSWMISS Radmanovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
31.7%
68
68.3%
Q3 - 7:14MIAWade 17' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)73
32.4%
68
67.6%
Q3 - 7:29GSWRadmanovic Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)73
35.8%
66
64.2%
Q3 - 7:57MIAJames 3' Dunk (12 PTS)73
39.7%
66
60.3%
Q3 - 8:01GSWIlgauskas STEAL (2 STL)73
41.8%
64
58.2%
Q3 - 8:08GSWLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)73
45.8%
64
54.2%
Q3 - 8:09MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
44.6%
64
55.4%
Q3 - 8:22MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
41.9%
64
58.1%
Q3 - 8:23GSWBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)73
43.1%
64
56.9%
Q3 - 8:37GSWWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
45.8%
64
54.2%
Q3 - 8:38MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 273
45.3%
64
54.7%
Q3 - 8:38MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)73
42.9%
64
57.1%
Q3 - 8:48MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
45.6%
63
54.4%
Q3 - 8:49GSWMISS Ellis 19' Jump Shot73
46.8%
63
53.2%
Q3 - 8:52GSWWarriors Rebound73
49.6%
63
50.4%
Q3 - 8:53GSWIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)73
46.8%
63
53.2%
Q3 - 8:57GSWRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
49.6%
63
50.4%
Q3 - 8:58MIAMISS Bosh 3' Dunk73
48.4%
63
51.6%
Q3 - 9:05GSWIlgauskas STEAL (1 STL)73
44.0%
63
56.0%
Q3 - 9:07MIAJames Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)73
47.7%
63
52.3%
Q3 - 9:10GSWJames STEAL (1 STL)73
44.0%
63
56.0%
Q3 - 9:24MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T6)73
47.8%
63
52.2%
Q3 - 9:28MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
44.1%
63
55.9%
Q3 - 9:29GSWMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
45.2%
63
54.8%
Q3 - 9:51MIAWade 2' Dunk (11 PTS) (James 6 AST)73
47.9%
63
52.1%
Q3 - 10:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
48.8%
61
51.2%
Q3 - 10:03GSWMISS Lee 18' Jump Shot73
49.9%
61
50.1%
Q3 - 10:14GSWWarriors Rebound73
52.6%
61
47.4%
Q3 - 10:14GSWMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
50.0%
61
50.0%
Q3 - 10:30GSWRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
52.7%
61
47.3%
Q3 - 10:32MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot73
51.6%
61
48.4%
Q3 - 10:52MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
49.1%
61
50.9%
Q3 - 10:54GSWMISS Radmanovic 3' Tip Shot73
50.2%
61
49.8%
Q3 - 10:54GSWRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
52.8%
61
47.2%
Q3 - 10:56GSWMISS Wright 3' Driving Layup73
50.2%
61
49.8%
Q3 - 11:12MIAArroyo 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)73
50.5%
61
49.5%
Q3 - 11:25GSWRadmanovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)73
53.8%
59
46.2%
Q3 - 11:25GSWMISS Radmanovic Free Throw 1 of 272
53.1%
59
46.9%
Q3 - 11:43GSWRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
54.1%
59
45.9%
Q3 - 11:44MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 272
53.6%
59
46.4%
Q3 - 11:44MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)72
51.3%
59
48.7%
Q3 - 11:48GSWBosh STEAL (1 STL)72
53.9%
58
46.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSW72
57.5%
58
42.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSWWarriors Rebound72
57.5%
58
42.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0GSWMISS Wright 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
52.9%
58
47.1%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)72
54.8%
58
45.2%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
62.0%
55
38.0%
Q2 - 0:27.0GSWMISS Curry 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
62.7%
55
37.3%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAJames 7' Running Hook Shot (9 PTS)72
64.5%
55
35.5%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAJones Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)72
68.1%
53
31.9%
Q2 - 1:02GSWCurry 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)72
69.2%
52
30.8%
Q2 - 1:12MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)70
65.6%
52
34.4%
Q2 - 1:12MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 270
66.2%
51
33.8%
Q2 - 1:16GSWEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)70
66.4%
51
33.6%
Q2 - 1:16GSWEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)69
65.8%
51
34.2%
Q2 - 1:24GSWWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
62.7%
51
37.3%
Q2 - 1:25MIAMISS Arroyo 3PT Jump Shot68
62.0%
51
38.0%
Q2 - 1:47GSWEllis Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)68
60.5%
51
39.5%
Q2 - 1:58MIABosh Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)68
62.7%
51
37.3%
Q2 - 1:59MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
60.5%
51
39.5%
Q2 - 2:00MIAMISS Bosh 2' Tip Shot68
62.1%
51
37.9%
Q2 - 2:01MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
58.0%
51
42.0%
Q2 - 2:02MIAMISS Wade 11' Fadeaway Jumper68
60.3%
51
39.7%
Q2 - 2:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
58.2%
51
41.8%
Q2 - 2:24GSWMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
59.2%
51
40.8%
Q2 - 2:45MIAArroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)68
61.4%
51
38.6%
Q2 - 3:02GSWCurry 5' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)68
64.7%
48
35.3%
Q2 - 3:04GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
62.3%
48
37.7%
Q2 - 3:05GSWMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
59.9%
48
40.1%
Q2 - 3:24MIAJames 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)66
62.4%
48
37.6%
Q2 - 3:33GSWEllis 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS)66
64.8%
46
35.2%
Q2 - 3:50MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)64
62.5%
46
37.5%
Q2 - 3:50MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)64
63.0%
45
37.0%
Q2 - 4:06GSWLee 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ellis 7 AST)64
62.6%
44
37.4%
Q2 - 4:20GSWLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)62
60.1%
44
39.9%
Q2 - 4:21MIAMISS Bosh 6' Jump Hook Shot62
59.1%
44
40.9%
Q2 - 4:37GSWWright 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Curry 4 AST)62
57.0%
44
43.0%
Q2 - 4:53MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)59
51.3%
44
48.7%
Q2 - 5:24GSWWright 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Ellis 6 AST)59
52.5%
42
47.5%
Q2 - 5:41GSWWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
46.6%
42
53.4%
Q2 - 5:42MIAMISS Arroyo 3' Driving Layup56
45.7%
42
54.3%
Q2 - 5:59GSWLee 3' Dunk (9 PTS) (Ellis 5 AST)56
43.7%
42
56.3%
Q2 - 6:16MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)54
39.7%
42
60.3%
Q2 - 6:16MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)54
40.2%
41
59.8%
Q2 - 6:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
42.0%
40
58.0%
Q2 - 6:25GSWMISS Law 3PT Jump Shot54
43.0%
40
57.0%
Q2 - 6:45MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)54
45.3%
40
54.7%
Q2 - 7:05GSWEllis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)54
48.6%
37
51.4%
Q2 - 7:09GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
43.2%
37
56.8%
Q2 - 7:10GSWMISS Carney 16' Jump Shot51
41.3%
37
58.7%
Q2 - 7:19GSWLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
43.3%
37
56.7%
Q2 - 7:20MIAMISS Wade 6' Driving Hook Shot51
42.4%
37
57.6%
Q2 - 7:39GSWAmundson 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Lee 3 AST)51
40.5%
37
59.5%
Q2 - 7:48GSWCarney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
38.1%
37
61.9%
Q2 - 7:49MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
37.2%
37
62.8%
Q2 - 7:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
35.3%
37
64.7%
Q2 - 7:56GSWMISS Carney 21' Jump Shot49
36.1%
37
63.9%
Q2 - 8:10GSWMISS Ellis Free Throw Technical49
36.4%
37
63.6%
Q2 - 8:10MIABosh 2' Dunk (13 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)49
36.4%
37
63.6%
Q2 - 8:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
38.8%
35
61.2%
Q2 - 8:18GSWMISS Lee 22' Jump Shot49
39.6%
35
60.4%
Q2 - 8:38MIAChalmers Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)49
41.5%
35
58.5%
Q2 - 8:59GSWLaw 3' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)49
38.9%
35
61.1%
Q2 - 9:05GSWLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
35.0%
35
65.0%
Q2 - 9:06MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup47
34.3%
35
65.7%
Q2 - 9:18GSWLee 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Udoh 1 AST)47
32.6%
35
67.4%
Q2 - 9:32MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)45
30.5%
35
69.5%
Q2 - 9:48GSWCarney 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)45
35.0%
32
65.0%
Q2 - 10:03GSWUdoh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
30.2%
32
69.8%
Q2 - 10:04MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 142
29.9%
32
70.1%
Q2 - 10:16GSWLaw 2' Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Carney 1 AST)42
32.2%
30
67.8%
Q2 - 10:25GSWLaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
30.2%
30
69.8%
Q2 - 10:26MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
29.5%
30
70.5%
Q2 - 10:43GSWUdoh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)40
27.9%
30
72.1%
Q2 - 10:43GSWUdoh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)39
27.4%
30
72.6%
Q2 - 11:07MIAHoward 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)38
25.7%
30
74.3%
Q2 - 11:29GSWLee Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)38
27.6%
28
72.4%
Q2 - 11:29GSWMISS Lee Free Throw 1 of 237
27.2%
28
72.8%
Q2 - 11:44GSWEllis Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)37
27.7%
28
72.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA36
25.8%
28
74.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSWEllis 45' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)36
23.8%
28
76.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 4 AST)33
19.6%
28
80.4%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
23.2%
25
76.8%
Q1 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Howard 2' Layup33
24.2%
25
75.8%
Q1 - 0:27.0GSWLaw Foul Turnover (P1.T1)33
23.2%
25
76.8%
Q1 - 0:42.0GSWLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
24.7%
25
75.3%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Chalmers 19' Jump Shot33
24.3%
25
75.7%
Q1 - 1:10GSWWright 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS)33
22.6%
25
77.4%
Q1 - 1:25MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
20.6%
25
79.4%
Q1 - 1:25MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
20.9%
24
79.1%
Q1 - 1:32MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
22.6%
23
77.4%
Q1 - 1:33GSWMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot31
23.0%
23
77.0%
Q1 - 1:50GSWWarriors Rebound31
23.9%
23
76.1%
Q1 - 1:51MIAMISS James 5' Jump Shot31
23.5%
23
76.5%
Q1 - 2:04MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Law: Tip to Anthony31
22.3%
23
77.7%
Q1 - 2:07GSWMISS Law 2' Driving Layup31
22.7%
23
77.3%
Q1 - 2:14GSWLaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
23.7%
23
76.3%
Q1 - 2:15MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot31
23.3%
23
76.7%
Q1 - 2:35GSWLaw 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)31
22.3%
23
77.7%
Q1 - 2:51GSWLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
19.1%
23
80.9%
Q1 - 2:52MIAMISS Anthony 9' Jump Shot28
18.7%
23
81.3%
Q1 - 3:10GSWEllis 2' Dunk (5 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)28
17.3%
23
82.7%
Q1 - 3:14MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)26
16.1%
23
83.9%
Q1 - 3:15MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
14.8%
23
85.2%
Q1 - 3:17GSWMISS Ellis 3' Reverse Layup26
15.2%
23
84.8%
Q1 - 3:31MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)26
16.1%
23
83.9%
Q1 - 3:48GSWWright 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Curry 3 AST)26
18.7%
20
81.3%
Q1 - 4:14MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)23
15.5%
20
84.5%
Q1 - 4:34GSWWright 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)23
16.6%
18
83.4%
Q1 - 4:44GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
14.4%
18
85.6%
Q1 - 4:45MIAMISS Bosh 2' Dunk20
14.0%
18
86.0%
Q1 - 4:59MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
13.2%
18
86.8%
Q1 - 5:00MIAMISS James 8' Jump Shot20
14.0%
18
86.0%
Q1 - 5:28GSWEllis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)20
13.1%
18
86.9%
Q1 - 5:41MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)17
11.4%
18
88.6%
Q1 - 6:01GSWRadmanovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)17
11.9%
16
88.1%
Q1 - 6:21MIAJames 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)14
10.3%
16
89.7%
Q1 - 6:26MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
11.1%
14
88.9%
Q1 - 6:27GSWMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot14
11.4%
14
88.6%
Q1 - 6:48MIAArroyo 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)14
12.0%
14
88.0%
Q1 - 7:06GSWRadmanovic 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Curry 2 AST)14
13.4%
11
86.6%
Q1 - 7:19MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
12.6%
11
87.4%
Q1 - 7:19MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
12.8%
10
87.2%
Q1 - 7:40GSWWright 2' Dunk (6 PTS)12
13.4%
9
86.6%
Q1 - 7:44MIAArroyo Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
12.6%
9
87.4%
Q1 - 7:53MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
11.7%
9
88.3%
Q1 - 7:54GSWJames BLOCK (1 BLK)10
11.9%
9
88.1%
Q1 - 7:55GSWLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
12.6%
9
87.4%
Q1 - 7:56GSWMISS Radmanovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
11.9%
9
88.1%
Q1 - 8:06GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
12.2%
9
87.8%
Q1 - 8:07MIAMISS Ilgauskas 10' Fadeaway Jumper10
11.9%
9
88.1%
Q1 - 8:31GSWWright 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)10
11.4%
9
88.6%
Q1 - 8:39MIAArroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
10.6%
9
89.4%
Q1 - 9:01MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
12.0%
6
88.0%
Q1 - 9:02GSWMISS Lee 19' Jump Shot8
12.3%
6
87.7%
Q1 - 9:20MIAIlgauskas 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)8
12.9%
6
87.1%
Q1 - 9:36GSWLee 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)8
13.8%
4
86.2%
Q1 - 9:51MIABosh 3' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
12.9%
4
87.1%
Q1 - 10:08GSWCurry 2' Layup (2 PTS)6
13.4%
2
86.6%
Q1 - 10:12MIAIlgauskas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
12.7%
2
87.3%
Q1 - 10:26GSWWright 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
11.8%
2
88.2%
Q1 - 10:32GSWRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
11.2%
2
88.8%
Q1 - 10:33MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot2
10.9%
2
89.1%
Q1 - 10:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
10.4%
2
89.6%
Q1 - 10:49GSWMISS Ellis 19' Jump Shot2
10.6%
2
89.4%
Q1 - 11:07MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
10.7%
2
89.3%
Q1 - 11:26GSWLee 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)2
11.5%
0
88.5%
Q1 - 11:47GSWLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
10.8%
0
89.2%
Q1 - 11:48MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot0
10.6%
0
89.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Lee: Tip to Arroyo0
10.2%
0
89.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.13 56.3%
MIA
1.20 60.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
GSW
17
30
57%
MIA
16
25
64%
Midrange
GSW
11
30
37%
MIA
10
25
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
GSW
13
19.5
27
48%
72%
MIA
9
13.5
21
43%
64%
Free Throws
GSW
12
16
75%
MIA
35
47
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wright3071%15.0 / 21
M. Ellis2563%12.5 / 20
S. Curry1563%7.5 / 12
D. Lee1343%6.5 / 15
A. Law758%3.5 / 6
V. Radmanovic638%3.0 / 8
E. Udoh467%2.0 / 3
L. Amundson450%2.0 / 4
R. Carney338%1.5 / 4
R. Williams0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2554%12.5 / 23
D. Wade2550%12.5 / 25
C. Bosh2071%10.0 / 14
J. Jones1393%6.5 / 7
C. Arroyo1179%5.5 / 7
M. Chalmers857%4.0 / 7
Z. Ilgauskas467%2.0 / 3
J. Anthony4100%2.0 / 2
J. Howard467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

GSW
82
+12
-12
94
MIA
81
+13
-14
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.13 56.3%
MIA
1.20 60.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.4
111.4
GSW 113.8
MIA 120.0 +6.2
Pace
94.8
91.3
GSW 95.3 +1.5
MIA 93.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.2
GSW 15.1 +0.2
MIA 15.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.0%
52.4%
GSW 54.6%
MIA 55.6% +1.0%
TO %
14.8%
14.4%
GSW 11.3% +1.9%
MIA 13.2%
ORB %
26.6%
25.2%
GSW 17.5%
MIA 25.6% +8.1%
FTrt
24.1
36.3
GSW 18.4
MIA 66.2 +47.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.8%
54.1%
GSW 46.3%
MIA 68.6% +22.3%
STL %
9.4%
7.3%
GSW 7.4%
MIA 7.4%
BLK %
7.8%
8.5%
GSW 4.0%
MIA 10.0% +6.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.2%
55.7%
GSW 56.3%
MIA 60.0% +3.7%
Rim FG%
59.3%
64.7%
GSW 56.7%
MIA 64.0% +7.3%
Mid FG%
38.7%
42.2%
GSW 36.7%
MIA 40.0% +3.3%
3P %
39.2%
37.0%
GSW 48.1% +5.2%
MIA 42.9%
FT %
76.1%
76.9%
GSW 75.0% +0.5%
MIA 74.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.5%
31.6%
GSW 34.5%
MIA 35.2% +0.7%
Mid Att. %
39.7%
44.9%
GSW 34.5% +0.7%
MIA 35.2%
3P Att. %
24.8%
23.5%
GSW 31.0% +1.5%
MIA 29.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsGSWMIA
Possessions9495
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points107114
Rebounds3643
Assists1924
Steals77
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (5)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)33 (2)
Field Goals41-8735-71
At-the-Rim FG17-3016-25
Midrange FG11-3010-25
2-Point FG28-6026-50
3-Point FG13-279-21
Free Throws12-1635-47
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 185 · 25
46.6
25
63%
3
7
1
0
5
3
1
2
8-10
80%
4-11
36%
3-5
60%
F · 6'9" 205 · 25
39.7
30
71%
2
1
2
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
6-8
75%
6-13
46%
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
36.5
13
43%
12
3
1
0
2
2
2
10
1-2
50%
6-14
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 23
35.9
15
63%
2
6
3
0
1
5
1
1
0-0
-
6-10
60%
1-2
50%
F · 6'10" 235 · 30
21.6
6
38%
6
0
0
0
1
4
2
4
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
1-3
33%
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 24
17.1
4
67%
3
1
0
1
0
5
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 202 · 26
14.0
7
58%
4
0
0
0
2
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 220 · 28
13.3
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 205 · 27
7.8
3
38%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'6" 205 · 24
7.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23
G · 6'3" 200 · 32
#15 · C · 7'0" 250 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · G · 6'3" 200 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#50 · C · 6'11" 240 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
56%
36
19
7
2
12
0
7
29
12-16
75%
28-60
47%
13-27
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.