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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 31, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Pistons22%9775
6Suns78%10792
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.7
41.4
29.0
19
47%
6
3
1
1
0
2
1
5
2-3
67%
7-14
3-6
50%
48%
1-5
20%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 31.6
35.1
22.6
7
35%
4
2
1
1
2
5
2
2
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
46%
1-3
33%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 30.8
28.5
32.0
12
57%
4
3
0
0
0
2
2
2
0-1
0%
6-9
6-11
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 26.4
25.6
27.5
10
45%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-8
3-7
63%
50%
0-3
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 36.3
21.6
21.8
2
53%
6
1
3
1
1
0
2
4
0-2
0%
1-1
1-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 32.9
20.9
26.2
5
28%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
4-9
17%
46%
1-3
33%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 22.6
20.1
7.9
9
56%
8
1
0
0
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
49%
1-3
33%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.0
14.1
14.8
3
85%
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 20.6
13.3
13.9
2
27%
4
2
0
0
1
1
3
1
2-6
33%
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.3
13.0
18.5
3
39%
4
2
2
0
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
1-3
3-6
33%
52%
0-0
-
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.9
6.3
4.0
3
38%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.9
8.6
0
1-2
52%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.7
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 23.8
Terrico White
G · 6'5" 213 · 20.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 33.9
37.6
30.7
19
56%
8
3
0
1
0
4
1
7
0-0
-
5-11
4-9
45%
48%
3-6
50%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 28.9
26.8
23.5
11
43%
4
0
2
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
2-6
1-2
33%
50%
2-6
33%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 38.2
23.7
33.8
12
82%
2
3
3
1
0
1
1
1
2-3
67%
5-6
6-11
83%
53%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 36.9
19.1
34.6
7
102%
1
2
0
1
0
5
0
1
1-1
100%
0-1
5-9
0%
55%
2-2
100%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 22.7
12.5
15.4
4
41%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
1-4
3-5
25%
57%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.5
31.6
27.0
19
75%
5
2
0
1
0
1
2
3
4-6
67%
3-4
2-3
75%
51%
3-6
50%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.9
29.7
28.5
4
52%
8
5
1
1
0
1
2
6
0-2
0%
2-3
3-6
67%
56%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
28.9
14.8
8
44%
2
5
1
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
50%
2-4
50%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 27.6
28.2
25.5
8
51%
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
0-3
0%
Gani Lawal
F · 6'9" 234 · 22.1
1.9
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 28.5
11.2
0
2-3
52%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 27.5
7.3
0
1-2
58%
Garret Siler
C · 6'11" 305 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.