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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 31, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Hawks43%9694
9Thunder57%99103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.5
39.6
35.8
16
37%
4
11
0
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
6-14
5-11
43%
47%
0-6
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 25.1
37.2
35.6
23
73%
9
1
1
1
1
7
0
9
4-4
100%
8-11
6-11
73%
50%
1-3
33%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.6
33.2
35.7
14
54%
7
1
0
1
2
0
1
6
2-2
100%
6-12
7-13
50%
55%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.6
26.0
29.0
5
63%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.1
22.2
11.7
0
0%
4
1
0
0
1
2
0
4
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.8
36.6
29.5
26
69%
2
3
5
1
0
0
1
1
7-9
78%
5-8
3-8
63%
46%
3-7
43%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 31.0
15.1
3.5
2
36%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
2-4
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.9
14.7
13.3
8
52%
5
0
1
0
0
0
3
2
4-4
100%
2-6
1-3
33%
47%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.1
11.3
12.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.6
4.0
8.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.9
4.5
0
1-1
45%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.8
2.5
0
0-1
50%
Pape Sy
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 22.7
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 22.2
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 24.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.3
41.6
34.4
33
67%
4
3
1
1
2
3
0
4
6-6
100%
6-13
6-12
46%
51%
5-9
56%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.1
36.6
30.4
23
48%
10
10
2
1
0
1
3
7
5-5
100%
9-21
6-14
43%
46%
0-1
0%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.4
23.9
19.2
6
50%
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.3
19.7
36.0
10
56%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
3-6
4-8
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.7
19.3
23.0
2
50%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 21.3
30.8
29.1
15
109%
2
2
2
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
45%
3-4
75%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 21.3
30.6
19.7
10
63%
10
1
0
0
3
3
2
8
0-0
-
5-8
3-5
63%
55%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.2
26.0
19.0
0
0%
6
1
0
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
56%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.6
11.4
16.6
4
41%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
2-3
0%
46%
1-2
50%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.3
5.3
0
1-2
51%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 29.0
4.3
0
0-1
42%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.9
3.9
0
1-1
51%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.7
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 22.2
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 33.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.