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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 30, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs54%9799
11Mavericks46%9593
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.6
36.7
32.8
14
41%
6
5
2
1
0
3
1
5
2-2
100%
6-14
6-13
43%
50%
0-2
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.7
31.8
27.1
17
70%
11
2
0
1
0
2
2
9
7-7
100%
5-9
5-10
56%
49%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 30.5
30.9
29.8
7
32%
4
1
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-2
0%
2-6
2-5
33%
49%
1-4
25%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.4
30.3
29.8
15
57%
8
3
0
1
1
3
0
8
3-5
60%
0-3
3-6
0%
49%
4-8
50%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21.7
12.3
25.2
4
67%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
4-8
67%
50%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.7
33.9
20.6
12
71%
6
2
0
1
0
1
0
6
1-1
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30.7
25.8
25.7
2
17%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-4
0%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.2
21.9
21.5
21
89%
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
4-4
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
5-8
63%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.3
16.1
5.8
7
90%
5
2
0
0
2
1
2
3
1-2
50%
3-3
1-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.4
0.2
6.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.3
0.2
6.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26.0
8.5
0
1-2
49%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 21.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 30.8
39.3
34.8
30
60%
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
9-9
100%
9-18
6-12
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 37.8
38.1
32.5
12
40%
10
13
2
2
2
3
2
8
0-0
-
3-10
1-3
30%
42%
2-5
40%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 28.2
36.5
27.1
8
90%
11
1
0
0
1
2
0
11
0-1
0%
4-4
3-4
100%
59%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.7
29.2
13.6
9
90%
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
42%
3-3
100%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 29.7
15.6
18.7
3
39%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.3
30.3
33.0
8
25%
2
4
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-11
5-9
9%
49%
2-5
40%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 32.6
24.9
29.5
10
63%
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
4-5
5-9
80%
52%
0-2
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.5
13.8
16.4
3
50%
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 22.7
11.5
3.5
7
47%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
3-5
1-1
60%
51%
0-2
0%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.5
0.8
0.2
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
1-1
100%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 31.1
13.7
0
1-2
55%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 24.2
5.4
0
1-2
53%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.2
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.8
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 32.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.