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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 30, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Knicks33%102103
4Magic67%108112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.6
45.2
35.5
29
67%
9
2
1
1
2
1
4
5
4-6
67%
8-13
4-9
62%
50%
3-6
50%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.4
41.2
35.8
10
62%
7
0
1
1
1
3
3
4
6-7
86%
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 26.5
40.6
37.5
14
31%
4
6
2
2
0
6
0
4
1-2
50%
5-15
4-9
33%
47%
1-7
14%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.1
31.6
38.8
30
58%
4
4
0
1
4
0
2
2
6-9
67%
12-22
10-19
55%
53%
0-0
-
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.5
28.1
32.9
0
0%
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.9
21.6
12.6
15
95%
3
2
0
0
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
46%
3-5
60%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.8
20.3
19.8
5
63%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 28.0
6.0
14.5
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.2
5.4
3.8
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.3
1.9
0
0-0
42%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 24.5
1.7
0
0-0
46%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 21.5
1.6
0
0-1
44%
Andy Rautins
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.2
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.0
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 28.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.1
39.3
32.2
24
49%
18
3
1
1
1
5
9
9
8-13
62%
8-19
7-11
42%
60%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 31.8
38.2
31.9
17
58%
9
4
1
1
0
2
1
8
3-6
50%
4-6
2-5
67%
47%
2-6
33%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 29.9
35.1
29.0
9
42%
7
0
1
1
0
2
1
6
2-4
50%
2-3
4-7
67%
52%
1-6
17%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 28.9
27.9
28.5
10
45%
3
7
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-8
3-6
63%
51%
0-3
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 25.7
23.0
27.7
14
72%
7
0
0
0
0
2
4
3
4-4
100%
5-8
5-10
63%
53%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.5
35.9
25.1
14
68%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
48%
1-2
50%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 29.0
20.1
25.3
10
50%
0
6
2
1
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
2-5
40%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.7
19.3
20.8
14
79%
5
0
2
1
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
3-5
60%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.0
1.2
8.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 30.7
6.8
0
0-1
46%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.3
4.8
0
0-1
47%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 35.1
2.9
0
0-0
50%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.5
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 20.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.