FinalWin Prob.pScore
159%101
125
1241%98
119
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
123.810194.1
HOU logo HOU
119.0100107.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA125
100%
119
0%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)125
99.9%
119
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0HOUMISS Scola 24' 3PT Jump Shot125
99.9%
119
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (45 PTS)125
99.7%
119
0.3%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (44 PTS)124
99.6%
119
0.4%
Q4 - 0:14.0HOULowry 30' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Brooks 9 AST)123
99.4%
119
0.6%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)123
99.9%
116
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)122
99.9%
116
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.0HOUBrooks 2' Driving Layup (20 PTS)121
99.6%
116
0.4%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)121
99.7%
114
0.3%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)120
99.7%
114
0.3%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)119
99.4%
114
0.6%
Q4 - 0:27.0HOUMISS Brooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot119
99.2%
114
0.8%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)119
98.4%
114
1.6%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)118
98.0%
114
2.0%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)117
96.7%
114
3.3%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAMISS James 5' Jump Shot117
93.9%
114
6.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0HOUMartin 11' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Lowry 7 AST)117
93.4%
114
6.6%
Q4 - 1:09MIAWade Foul Turnover (P6.T17)117
95.5%
112
4.5%
Q4 - 1:27HOULowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Budinger 1 AST)117
96.9%
112
3.1%
Q4 - 1:30HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)117
98.8%
109
1.2%
Q4 - 1:31HOUMISS Budinger 4' Layup117
99.2%
109
0.8%
Q4 - 1:34HOULowry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)117
98.7%
109
1.3%
Q4 - 1:37HOUMISS Martin 3' Driving Layup117
99.0%
109
1.0%
Q4 - 1:41MIAMartin STEAL (4 STL)117
98.5%
109
1.5%
Q4 - 1:58HOUBudinger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lowry 6 AST)117
99.0%
109
1.0%
Q4 - 2:09HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)117
99.6%
106
0.4%
Q4 - 2:09MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2117
99.6%
106
0.4%
Q4 - 2:09MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2117
99.7%
106
0.3%
Q4 - 2:16HOUMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)117
99.8%
106
0.2%
Q4 - 2:16HOUMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 2117
99.8%
105
0.2%
Q4 - 2:25HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)117
99.8%
105
0.2%
Q4 - 2:26MIAMISS Wade 4' Driving Layup117
99.8%
105
0.2%
Q4 - 2:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)117
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 2:34HOUMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot117
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 2:42MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)117
99.8%
105
0.2%
Q4 - 2:42MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)116
99.7%
105
0.3%
Q4 - 2:46MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)115
99.7%
105
0.3%
Q4 - 2:49HOUMISS Hill 5' Jump Shot115
99.6%
105
0.4%
Q4 - 2:51HOUHill REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)115
99.0%
105
1.0%
Q4 - 2:53HOUMISS Scola 3' Driving Layup115
99.3%
105
0.7%
Q4 - 3:08MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (43 PTS)115
99.0%
105
1.0%
Q4 - 3:22HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)112
97.9%
105
2.1%
Q4 - 3:22HOUScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)112
98.1%
104
1.9%
Q4 - 3:26MIABattier STEAL (2 STL)112
98.5%
103
1.5%
Q4 - 3:35HOUMartin Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)112
98.1%
103
1.9%
Q4 - 3:42MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (40 PTS)112
97.2%
103
2.8%
Q4 - 3:46HOUScola Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)110
96.1%
103
3.9%
Q4 - 4:05MIAHeat Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#14)110
94.5%
103
5.5%
Q4 - 4:14MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)110
96.3%
103
3.7%
Q4 - 4:14HOUMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 1110
96.1%
103
3.9%
Q4 - 4:26MIAJames 21' Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS)110
97.4%
101
2.6%
Q4 - 4:49HOUScola 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Brooks 8 AST)108
96.4%
101
3.6%
Q4 - 5:07MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 9 AST)108
96.1%
99
3.9%
Q4 - 5:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)105
92.8%
99
7.2%
Q4 - 5:16HOUMISS Scola 11' Jump Shot105
92.0%
99
8.0%
Q4 - 5:25HOUHill REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)105
90.0%
99
10.0%
Q4 - 5:26HOUMISS Scola 20' Jump Shot105
92.0%
99
8.0%
Q4 - 5:49MIABosh 5' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS)105
90.1%
99
9.9%
Q4 - 6:06HOUBrooks Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)103
85.2%
99
14.8%
Q4 - 6:06HOUBrooks Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)103
85.7%
98
14.3%
Q4 - 6:16MIALee STEAL (2 STL)103
88.4%
97
11.6%
Q4 - 6:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)103
91.4%
97
8.6%
Q4 - 6:30HOUMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
90.6%
97
9.4%
Q4 - 6:48HOULee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)103
88.5%
97
11.5%
Q4 - 6:49MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot103
89.5%
97
10.5%
Q4 - 7:06MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)103
90.2%
97
9.8%
Q4 - 7:09HOUMISS Hill 11' Fadeaway Jumper103
89.4%
97
10.6%
Q4 - 7:26HOUHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)103
87.3%
97
12.7%
Q4 - 7:28MIAMISS Wade 14' Step Back Jump Shot103
88.2%
97
11.8%
Q4 - 7:47HOUMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)103
90.3%
97
9.7%
Q4 - 7:47HOUMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)103
90.6%
96
9.4%
Q4 - 7:59MIAChalmers Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)103
92.3%
95
7.7%
Q4 - 7:59MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)102
92.0%
95
8.0%
Q4 - 7:59MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)101
91.6%
95
8.4%
Q4 - 8:13HOUBrooks Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)100
86.1%
95
13.9%
Q4 - 8:13HOUBrooks Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)100
86.5%
94
13.5%
Q4 - 8:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (38 PTS)100
89.0%
93
11.0%
Q4 - 8:35MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)97
82.8%
93
17.2%
Q4 - 8:35HOUMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 297
82.3%
93
17.7%
Q4 - 8:35HOUMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)97
79.4%
93
20.6%
Q4 - 8:45HOUBrooks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)97
82.9%
92
17.1%
Q4 - 8:46MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
84.0%
92
16.0%
Q4 - 9:09HOUMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Brooks 7 AST)97
85.0%
92
15.0%
Q4 - 9:17HOUHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)97
90.2%
89
9.8%
Q4 - 9:18HOUMISS Budinger 1' Reverse Layup97
91.5%
89
8.5%
Q4 - 9:29HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)97
90.2%
89
9.8%
Q4 - 9:30MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
90.8%
89
9.2%
Q4 - 9:39MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)97
92.1%
89
7.9%
Q4 - 9:40HOUMISS Budinger 20' Jump Shot97
91.6%
89
8.4%
Q4 - 9:51MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (35 PTS)97
90.2%
89
9.8%
Q4 - 9:58MIAWade Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (32 PTS)94
85.1%
89
14.9%
Q4 - 9:58MIAWade Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (31 PTS)93
84.3%
89
15.7%
Q4 - 10:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)92
77.8%
89
22.2%
Q4 - 10:01HOUMISS Miller 9' Running Jump Shot92
75.7%
89
24.3%
Q4 - 10:20MIALee STEAL (1 STL)92
72.7%
89
27.3%
Q4 - 10:38HOUHill 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)92
77.0%
89
23.0%
Q4 - 10:52MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS)92
80.8%
87
19.2%
Q4 - 11:05HOUBrooks Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)90
76.1%
87
23.9%
Q4 - 11:05HOUBrooks Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)90
76.7%
86
23.3%
Q4 - 11:28MIAWade 3' Layup (30 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)90
79.9%
85
20.1%
Q4 - 11:41MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
76.2%
85
23.8%
Q4 - 11:41HOUMISS Lowry Free Throw 2 of 288
75.7%
85
24.3%
Q4 - 11:41HOULowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)88
72.9%
85
27.1%
Q4 - 11:43HOULowry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)88
76.2%
84
23.8%
Q4 - 11:46MIAMISS Wade 18' Pullup Jump Shot88
77.4%
84
22.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU88
79.9%
84
20.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound88
76.2%
84
23.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Brooks 2' Driving Reverse Layup88
78.8%
84
21.2%
Q3 - 0:06.0HOUMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
75.7%
84
24.3%
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot88
76.7%
84
23.3%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
79.0%
84
21.0%
Q3 - 0:32.0HOUMISS Lowry 11' Running Jump Shot88
78.1%
84
21.9%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)88
75.8%
84
24.3%
Q3 - 1:12HOUScola 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Brooks 6 AST)85
66.8%
84
33.2%
Q3 - 1:31MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)85
71.4%
82
28.6%
Q3 - 1:39MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
62.3%
82
37.7%
Q3 - 1:40HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)82
58.0%
82
42.0%
Q3 - 1:40HOUMISS Battier 2' Tip Shot82
61.0%
82
39.0%
Q3 - 1:41HOUMISS Scola 13' Turnaround Hook Shot82
61.0%
82
39.0%
Q3 - 2:04MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)82
57.9%
82
42.1%
Q3 - 2:14MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
53.1%
82
46.9%
Q3 - 2:16HOUMISS Brooks 18' Step Back Jump Shot80
51.7%
82
48.3%
Q3 - 2:33HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)80
48.5%
82
51.5%
Q3 - 2:35MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Pullup Jump Shot80
49.9%
82
50.1%
Q3 - 2:44MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
53.1%
82
46.9%
Q3 - 2:45HOUMISS Martin 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
51.7%
82
48.3%
Q3 - 3:07MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)80
49.5%
82
50.5%
Q3 - 3:17HOUHayes Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)78
45.2%
82
54.8%
Q3 - 3:17HOUHayes Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)78
46.4%
81
53.6%
Q3 - 3:17HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)78
49.4%
80
50.6%
Q3 - 3:18HOUMISS Hayes 3' Layup78
52.7%
80
47.3%
Q3 - 3:31HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
49.4%
80
50.6%
Q3 - 3:32MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
50.8%
80
49.2%
Q3 - 3:58HOULowry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)78
54.1%
80
45.9%
Q3 - 4:03MIALowry STEAL (1 STL)78
49.4%
80
50.6%
Q3 - 4:20MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
54.6%
80
45.4%
Q3 - 4:22HOUMISS Martin 14' Pullup Jump Shot78
53.0%
80
47.0%
Q3 - 4:37MIAWade 7' Turnaround Bank Shot (28 PTS)78
49.4%
80
50.6%
Q3 - 4:47MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)76
45.8%
80
54.2%
Q3 - 4:48HOUMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
44.3%
80
55.7%
Q3 - 5:12MIAWade 16' Pullup Bank Shot (26 PTS)76
41.3%
80
58.7%
Q3 - 5:36HOUMartin 15' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Battier 4 AST)74
37.7%
80
62.3%
Q3 - 6:02MIAJames Driving Dunk (12 PTS)74
42.6%
78
57.4%
Q3 - 6:05HOUMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)72
39.0%
78
61.0%
Q3 - 6:26HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
34.8%
78
65.2%
Q3 - 6:27MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
36.0%
78
64.0%
Q3 - 6:48HOUScola 6' Jump Shot (16 PTS)72
38.9%
78
61.1%
Q3 - 7:14MIAArroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)72
43.2%
76
56.8%
Q3 - 7:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
36.0%
76
64.0%
Q3 - 7:23HOUMISS Scola 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot69
34.8%
76
65.2%
Q3 - 7:43MIABosh 1' Reverse Layup (17 PTS)69
32.3%
76
67.7%
Q3 - 7:47MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
29.2%
76
70.8%
Q3 - 7:48MIAMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot67
26.9%
76
73.1%
Q3 - 8:13HOUMartin 2' Dunk (14 PTS)67
29.9%
76
70.1%
Q3 - 8:16MIAMartin STEAL (3 STL)67
33.0%
74
67.0%
Q3 - 8:25HOUMartin Free Throw 3 of 3 (12 PTS)67
36.6%
74
63.4%
Q3 - 8:25HOUMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 367
37.0%
73
63.0%
Q3 - 8:25HOUMartin Free Throw 1 of 3 (11 PTS)67
34.0%
73
66.0%
Q3 - 8:32HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
39.9%
72
60.1%
Q3 - 8:33MIAMISS Wade 5' Driving Layup67
41.1%
72
58.9%
Q3 - 8:50HOUScola 2' Reverse Layup (14 PTS)67
43.8%
72
56.2%
Q3 - 9:00MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T9)67
47.3%
70
52.7%
Q3 - 9:02MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
51.6%
70
48.4%
Q3 - 9:03HOUMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
50.4%
70
49.6%
Q3 - 9:16MIAIlgauskas 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)67
47.8%
70
52.2%
Q3 - 9:37HOUHayes 5' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)65
44.2%
70
55.8%
Q3 - 9:53MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)65
47.8%
68
52.2%
Q3 - 9:53MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)64
47.2%
68
52.8%
Q3 - 10:08MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
45.1%
68
54.9%
Q3 - 10:10HOUMISS Scola 19' Jump Shot63
44.0%
68
56.0%
Q3 - 10:25MIABosh 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (13 PTS)63
41.5%
68
58.5%
Q3 - 10:51HOUMartin 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)61
38.1%
68
61.9%
Q3 - 10:56MIAArroyo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)61
44.9%
65
55.1%
Q3 - 11:20HOULowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)61
49.4%
65
50.6%
Q3 - 11:24HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)61
56.0%
62
44.0%
Q3 - 11:25HOUMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
58.6%
62
41.4%
Q3 - 11:40MIAArroyo 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 8 AST)61
56.0%
62
44.0%
Q3 - 11:54HOUMartin Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)59
52.8%
62
47.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU59
49.1%
62
50.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound59
49.1%
62
50.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Lowry 15' Running Jump Shot59
51.7%
62
48.3%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAWade 14' Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS)59
50.4%
62
49.6%
Q2 - 0:11.0HOUMartin 2' Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Hayes 3 AST)57
46.2%
62
53.8%
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAMartin STEAL (2 STL)57
50.3%
60
49.7%
Q2 - 0:29.0HOUScola 6' Jump Bank Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)57
52.9%
60
47.1%
Q2 - 0:35.0HOULowry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
56.9%
58
43.1%
Q2 - 0:37.0HOUMISS Battier 28' 3PT Jump Shot57
58.7%
58
41.3%
Q2 - 0:43.0HOULowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
56.9%
58
43.1%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot57
57.6%
58
42.4%
Q2 - 1:00HOUMartin 4' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Scola 1 AST)57
59.4%
58
40.6%
Q2 - 1:10MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)57
63.5%
56
36.5%
Q2 - 1:10MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)56
62.9%
56
37.1%
Q2 - 1:16HOUHayes Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)55
59.6%
56
40.4%
Q2 - 1:16HOUHayes Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)55
60.5%
55
39.5%
Q2 - 1:17HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
63.5%
54
36.5%
Q2 - 1:18HOUMISS Martin 16' Jump Shot55
65.0%
54
35.0%
Q2 - 1:21HOUROCKETS Rebound55
63.5%
54
36.5%
Q2 - 1:22HOUMISS Hayes 3' Layup55
65.0%
54
35.0%
Q2 - 1:33HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
63.5%
54
36.5%
Q2 - 1:35MIAMISS Arroyo 17' Fadeaway Jumper55
64.2%
54
35.8%
Q2 - 1:53HOUBattier 3' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Hayes 2 AST)55
65.6%
54
34.4%
Q2 - 2:08MIAJames 7' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)55
68.7%
52
31.3%
Q2 - 2:18MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
66.0%
52
34.0%
Q2 - 2:19HOUMISS Battier 5' Jump Shot53
65.1%
52
34.9%
Q2 - 2:32HOULowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
63.0%
52
37.0%
Q2 - 2:34MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot53
64.0%
52
36.0%
Q2 - 2:46MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
66.0%
52
34.0%
Q2 - 2:48HOUMISS Hill 6' Hook Shot53
65.1%
52
34.9%
Q2 - 3:12MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)53
63.2%
52
36.8%
Q2 - 3:14MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
57.8%
52
42.2%
Q2 - 3:15HOUMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
56.7%
52
43.3%
Q2 - 3:39MIAWade 5' Driving Layup (19 PTS)50
54.1%
52
45.9%
Q2 - 3:49HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)48
51.6%
52
48.4%
Q2 - 3:49HOUROCKETS Rebound48
47.9%
52
52.1%
Q2 - 3:49HOUMISS Budinger 12' Jump Shot48
50.5%
52
49.5%
Q2 - 3:55HOUBrooks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)48
47.9%
52
52.1%
Q2 - 3:56HOUMISS Brooks 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
50.5%
52
49.5%
Q2 - 4:14HOULee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
48.4%
52
51.6%
Q2 - 4:15MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot48
49.4%
52
50.6%
Q2 - 4:29HOULee Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)48
51.7%
52
48.3%
Q2 - 4:29HOULee Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)48
52.2%
51
47.8%
Q2 - 4:55MIAWade 9' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS) (James 7 AST)48
54.4%
50
45.6%
Q2 - 5:11HOUMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)46
52.1%
50
47.9%
Q2 - 5:11HOUMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)46
52.6%
49
47.4%
Q2 - 5:30MIAMiller 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)46
55.1%
48
44.9%
Q2 - 5:49HOUBrooks 3' Layup (12 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)44
52.1%
48
47.9%
Q2 - 6:07MIAWade 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS)44
54.9%
46
45.1%
Q2 - 6:12HOUHill Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)42
52.6%
46
47.4%
Q2 - 6:14HOUHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
49.2%
46
50.8%
Q2 - 6:15HOUMISS Lee 2' Alley Oop Layup42
51.5%
46
48.5%
Q2 - 6:20HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
49.2%
46
50.8%
Q2 - 6:21MIAMISS Wade 16' Pullup Jump Shot42
50.2%
46
49.8%
Q2 - 6:42HOUBudinger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Brooks 5 AST)42
52.5%
46
47.5%
Q2 - 6:53HOUHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
57.8%
43
42.2%
Q2 - 6:54MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
58.7%
43
41.3%
Q2 - 7:13HOUBudinger 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Brooks 4 AST)42
61.1%
43
38.9%
Q2 - 7:27MIABosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)42
63.5%
41
36.5%
Q2 - 7:44HOUBrooks 14' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)42
66.2%
41
33.8%
Q2 - 7:48MIAMiller STEAL (1 STL)42
68.5%
39
31.5%
Q2 - 7:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
71.0%
39
29.0%
Q2 - 7:52HOUMISS Brooks 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
70.2%
39
29.8%
Q2 - 8:01HOUMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
68.4%
39
31.6%
Q2 - 8:03MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
69.2%
39
30.8%
Q2 - 8:14HOUBrooks Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)42
70.8%
39
29.2%
Q2 - 8:14HOUBrooks Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)42
71.1%
38
28.9%
Q2 - 8:31MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)42
72.9%
37
27.1%
Q2 - 8:43MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
70.8%
37
29.2%
Q2 - 8:46HOUMISS Lee 2' Driving Layup40
70.1%
37
29.9%
Q2 - 8:51HOUHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
68.5%
37
31.5%
Q2 - 8:52MIAMISS Bosh 12' Fadeaway Jumper40
69.2%
37
30.8%
Q2 - 9:05MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
70.5%
37
29.5%
Q2 - 9:07HOUMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot40
69.8%
37
30.2%
Q2 - 9:25MIABosh 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (9 PTS)40
68.2%
37
31.8%
Q2 - 9:48MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
66.0%
37
34.0%
Q2 - 9:48MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 238
63.9%
37
36.1%
Q2 - 9:48MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)38
65.6%
37
34.4%
Q2 - 10:06HOUHill Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Brooks 3 AST)37
63.4%
37
36.6%
Q2 - 10:12HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
65.5%
35
34.5%
Q2 - 10:13MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
66.3%
35
33.7%
Q2 - 10:36HOUBrooks 3' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)37
68.1%
35
31.9%
Q2 - 10:52MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)37
70.1%
33
29.9%
Q2 - 11:11HOUBudinger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brooks 2 AST)35
67.8%
33
32.2%
Q2 - 11:23HOULee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
71.9%
30
28.1%
Q2 - 11:24MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot35
72.5%
30
27.5%
Q2 - 11:48HOUHill 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)35
74.0%
30
26.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU35
75.8%
28
24.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)35
75.8%
28
24.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
77.7%
28
22.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0HOUMISS Brooks 3' Driving Layup35
76.5%
28
23.5%
Q1 - 0:11.0MIAJames 3' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
75.6%
28
24.4%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
73.4%
28
26.6%
Q1 - 0:28.0HOUMISS Lee 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
72.9%
28
27.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)33
71.8%
28
28.2%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
71.4%
28
28.6%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAHeat Rebound31
69.4%
28
30.6%
Q1 - 0:49.0HOUMISS Miller 3' Layup31
68.9%
28
31.1%
Q1 - 0:51.0HOUMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
67.7%
28
32.3%
Q1 - 0:53.0HOUMISS Brooks 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
68.9%
28
31.1%
Q1 - 1:07MIADampier 7' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (James 6 AST)31
67.7%
28
32.3%
Q1 - 1:20HOUHayes Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)29
65.1%
28
34.9%
Q1 - 1:20HOUHayes Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)29
65.7%
27
34.3%
Q1 - 1:32MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)29
67.7%
26
32.3%
Q1 - 1:50MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
62.9%
26
37.1%
Q1 - 1:51HOUMISS Scola 18' Jump Shot26
62.4%
26
37.6%
Q1 - 2:12MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)26
61.2%
26
38.8%
Q1 - 2:12MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)25
60.7%
26
39.3%
Q1 - 2:16MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
58.7%
26
41.3%
Q1 - 2:17HOUMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
58.1%
26
41.9%
Q1 - 2:30MIAJames 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
56.7%
26
43.3%
Q1 - 2:54HOUScola 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)22
54.1%
26
45.9%
Q1 - 3:05HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
56.9%
24
43.1%
Q1 - 3:07MIAMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot22
57.6%
24
42.4%
Q1 - 3:20HOUBrooks 12' Running Bank Shot (4 PTS)22
59.2%
24
40.8%
Q1 - 3:34MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS)22
61.3%
22
38.7%
Q1 - 3:43MIAHeat Rebound20
59.2%
22
40.8%
Q1 - 3:44MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup20
57.6%
22
42.4%
Q1 - 4:01HOUScola 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Brooks 1 AST)20
59.3%
22
40.7%
Q1 - 4:06MIABattier STEAL (1 STL)20
61.3%
20
38.7%
Q1 - 4:14MIAArroyo Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)20
63.5%
20
36.5%
Q1 - 4:28HOUBrooks 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)19
61.5%
20
38.5%
Q1 - 4:41MIAWade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 5 AST)19
63.4%
18
36.6%
Q1 - 4:56HOUMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)17
61.5%
18
38.5%
Q1 - 4:56HOUMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 217
61.7%
17
38.3%
Q1 - 5:07MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
61.0%
17
39.0%
Q1 - 5:07MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
60.7%
17
39.3%
Q1 - 5:16HOUMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
59.2%
17
40.8%
Q1 - 5:16HOUMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
59.5%
16
40.5%
Q1 - 5:19MIAMartin STEAL (1 STL)15
61.0%
15
39.0%
Q1 - 5:40HOUHayes 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)15
63.3%
15
36.7%
Q1 - 5:44MIAHayes STEAL (1 STL)15
65.1%
13
34.9%
Q1 - 6:00HOUHayes Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)15
67.2%
13
32.8%
Q1 - 6:00HOUMISS Hayes Free Throw 1 of 215
67.7%
12
32.3%
Q1 - 6:00HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
67.0%
12
33.0%
Q1 - 6:00HOUMISS Hayes 11' Jump Shot15
68.4%
12
31.6%
Q1 - 6:14MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)15
67.0%
12
33.0%
Q1 - 6:14MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)14
66.7%
12
33.3%
Q1 - 6:30HOUBattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)13
65.2%
12
34.8%
Q1 - 6:36HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
68.8%
9
31.2%
Q1 - 6:38MIAMISS Ilgauskas 22' Jump Shot13
69.4%
9
30.6%
Q1 - 6:56HOUHayes 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)13
70.7%
9
29.3%
Q1 - 7:05HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
72.1%
7
27.9%
Q1 - 7:06MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot13
72.6%
7
27.4%
Q1 - 7:24HOUScola 3' Layup (6 PTS)13
73.8%
7
26.2%
Q1 - 7:26HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
75.2%
5
24.8%
Q1 - 7:27HOUMISS Martin 29' 3PT Jump Shot13
76.4%
5
23.6%
Q1 - 7:46MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
75.2%
5
24.8%
Q1 - 7:50MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
73.8%
5
26.2%
Q1 - 7:53HOUMISS Martin 18' Pullup Jump Shot11
73.3%
5
26.7%
Q1 - 8:22MIAArroyo 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)11
72.3%
5
27.7%
Q1 - 8:33HOULowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)8
68.9%
5
31.1%
Q1 - 8:33HOUMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 28
69.2%
4
30.8%
Q1 - 8:33HOULowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
68.9%
4
31.1%
Q1 - 8:34HOUMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
70.1%
4
29.9%
Q1 - 8:41MIAIlgauskas 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 4 AST)8
68.9%
4
31.1%
Q1 - 9:03HOUScola 5' Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)6
67.4%
4
32.6%
Q1 - 9:08HOULowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
69.0%
2
31.0%
Q1 - 9:09MIAMISS Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot6
69.5%
2
30.5%
Q1 - 9:19MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
70.6%
2
29.4%
Q1 - 9:21HOUMISS Scola 3' Driving Reverse Layup6
70.1%
2
29.9%
Q1 - 9:36MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)6
69.0%
2
31.0%
Q1 - 9:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
67.3%
2
32.7%
Q1 - 9:55HOUMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
66.8%
2
33.2%
Q1 - 10:06HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
65.3%
2
34.7%
Q1 - 10:07MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
65.9%
2
34.1%
Q1 - 10:23MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
67.2%
2
32.8%
Q1 - 10:24MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot4
65.9%
2
34.1%
Q1 - 10:41HOUScola 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)4
67.2%
2
32.8%
Q1 - 11:01MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)4
68.4%
0
31.6%
Q1 - 11:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
66.8%
0
33.2%
Q1 - 11:07HOUMISS Scola 17' Jump Shot2
66.4%
0
33.6%
Q1 - 11:16HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
65.4%
0
34.6%
Q1 - 11:17MIAMISS Ilgauskas 17' Jump Shot2
65.8%
0
34.2%
Q1 - 11:28MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
66.8%
0
33.2%
Q1 - 11:29HOUMISS Martin 8' Jump Shot2
66.4%
0
33.6%
Q1 - 11:45MIABosh 16' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
65.4%
0
34.6%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Scola vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Bosh0
63.8%
0
36.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.39 69.4%
HOU
1.03 51.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
20
80%
HOU
18
33
55%
Midrange
MIA
22
38
58%
HOU
12
33
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
HOU
9
13.5
27
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
34
37
92%
HOU
32
40
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade4587%22.5 / 26
C. Bosh2162%10.5 / 17
L. James2059%10.0 / 17
C. Arroyo1192%5.5 / 6
M. Chalmers8100%4.0 / 4
Z. Ilgauskas750%3.5 / 7
J. Anthony467%2.0 / 3
J. Jones350%1.5 / 3
J. Howard250%1.0 / 2
E. Dampier2100%1.0 / 1
M. Miller250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Scola2252%11.0 / 21
K. Martin2153%10.5 / 20
A. Brooks2059%10.0 / 17
C. Hayes1365%6.5 / 10
K. Lowry1169%5.5 / 8
C. Budinger1169%5.5 / 8
B. Miller850%4.0 / 8
J. Hill643%3.0 / 7
S. Battier528%2.5 / 9
C. Lee225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
85
+5
-16
90
HOU
94
+20
-6
114
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.39 69.4%
HOU
1.03 51.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
111.3
MIA 123.8 +4.8
HOU 119.0
Pace
91.3
94.2
MIA 94.1
HOU 107.9 +13.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.4
MIA 15.3
HOU 13.3 +2.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
50.3%
MIA 61.5% +14.7%
HOU 46.8%
TO %
14.4%
13.4%
MIA 15.8%
HOU 6.0% +9.8%
ORB %
25.2%
27.5%
MIA 12.5%
HOU 30.8% +18.3%
FTrt
36.3
29.9
MIA 50.0 +7.0
HOU 43.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
61.7%
MIA 46.5%
HOU 74.4% +27.9%
STL %
7.3%
7.4%
MIA 3.0%
HOU 11.0% +8.0%
BLK %
8.5%
6.5%
MIA 13.6% +13.6%
HOU 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
53.6%
MIA 69.4% +18.1%
HOU 51.3%
Rim FG%
64.7%
58.5%
MIA 80.0% +25.5%
HOU 54.5%
Mid FG%
42.2%
39.6%
MIA 57.9% +21.5%
HOU 36.4%
3P %
37.0%
36.7%
MIA 31.3%
HOU 33.3% +2.0%
FT %
76.9%
80.1%
MIA 91.9% +11.9%
HOU 80.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
34.9%
MIA 27.0%
HOU 35.5% +8.5%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
38.7%
MIA 51.4%
HOU 35.5% +15.9%
3P Att. %
23.5%
26.4%
MIA 21.6%
HOU 29.0% +7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIAHOU
Possessions101100
Possession Minutes25.822.2
Points125119
Rebounds4044
Assists2029
Steals311
Blocks90
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)6 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (1)16 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (1)28 (0)
Field Goals43-7439-93
At-the-Rim FG16-2018-33
Midrange FG22-3812-33
2-Point FG38-5830-66
3-Point FG5-169-27
Free Throws34-3732-40
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
39.1
20
59%
6
9
1
0
3
3
0
6
4-4
100%
8-11
73%
0-4
0%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
38.8
21
62%
4
2
0
2
5
3
1
3
5-6
83%
8-13
62%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
38.1
45
87%
7
1
2
0
6
3
0
7
10-10
100%
16-21
76%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
23.7
11
92%
1
3
0
0
1
3
0
1
3-3
100%
1-3
33%
2-2
100%
C · 7'3" 260 · 36
18.9
7
50%
5
0
0
2
0
3
1
4
1-1
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
23.9
8
100%
3
4
0
1
1
4
0
3
5-5
100%
0-0
-
1-2
50%
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
22.1
4
67%
7
0
0
2
0
4
2
5
4-6
67%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
12.4
3
50%
2
1
0
2
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
9.2
2
50%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 35
7.0
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
6.8
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
125
69%
40
20
3
9
16
0
4
36
34-37
92%
38-58
66%
5-16
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.