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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 29, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Nets25%9193
8Thunder75%100114
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 26.3
30.9
32.9
12
56%
3
1
1
1
1
3
0
3
4-4
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
44%
0-2
0%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 22.7
30.6
33.7
19
56%
6
1
2
1
4
5
2
4
1-2
50%
9-16
7-14
56%
49%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.8
29.1
31.8
19
63%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
5-5
100%
7-13
5-10
54%
47%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.6
26.4
24.1
4
52%
3
0
1
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
47%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.9
21.0
25.6
4
52%
7
1
0
1
1
1
0
7
2-2
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
47%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 19.5
22.7
17.6
8
67%
2
0
1
0
0
3
2
0
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.8
19.3
22.9
11
63%
4
2
2
1
0
1
0
4
3-4
75%
1-4
2-4
25%
42%
2-3
67%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.1
16.6
21.7
2
20%
2
1
0
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
0-1
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 30.7
13.7
14.3
6
63%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
2-4
50%
2-2
1-3
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29.7
11.3
3.9
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
40%
0-0
-
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.8
10.9
3.8
6
63%
3
5
0
0
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
42%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 24.9
7.7
3.4
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.2
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.3
33.6
38.4
9
53%
3
5
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-1
0%
3-4
5-9
75%
50%
1-4
25%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.2
30.3
37.9
27
65%
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
2-4
50%
8-12
7-13
67%
52%
3-7
43%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.1
28.5
32.3
17
56%
4
7
3
1
0
3
0
4
5-5
100%
6-13
7-15
46%
47%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.7
23.3
22.9
4
50%
8
3
2
1
0
3
3
5
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
51%
0-2
0%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.4
21.4
17.8
10
83%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-6
3-5
83%
50%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 21.3
30.4
29.0
11
50%
1
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
1-4
25%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.2
20.1
17.9
10
68%
7
1
1
0
0
0
1
6
2-3
67%
4-6
2-3
67%
57%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.6
19.5
14.7
6
66%
0
7
1
0
1
3
0
0
6-8
75%
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 21.3
14.8
23.4
9
57%
3
0
0
0
1
2
2
1
1-2
50%
4-7
4-6
57%
56%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 29.0
7.1
2.0
5
125%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
44%
1-1
100%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.3
5.5
4.4
5
64%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
2-3
1-1
67%
53%
0-0
-
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.9
5.5
2.4
1
17%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
1-2
50%
0-2
0-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 22.2
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.7
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 33.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.