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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 29, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Nuggets60%108119
26Timberwolves40%105113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.2
38.1
35.5
17
62%
6
4
1
1
1
1
1
5
3-4
75%
4-6
3-6
67%
53%
2-6
33%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 34.3
37.2
32.2
36
91%
2
5
3
1
0
5
0
2
12-13
92%
3-8
3-6
38%
45%
6-6
100%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.3
30.6
33.9
12
32%
3
5
3
1
0
0
1
2
4-6
67%
4-11
4-8
36%
48%
0-5
0%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 32.7
20.1
4.4
4
67%
6
2
0
0
0
0
5
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
45%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.2
19.6
9.3
8
38%
3
2
4
0
0
3
1
2
0-1
0%
4-10
1-2
40%
48%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 23.2
33.2
27.4
19
53%
5
5
1
1
0
1
1
4
5-7
71%
7-12
4-7
58%
53%
0-3
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.5
29.7
21.3
11
58%
7
0
1
1
2
2
2
5
5-8
63%
3-6
2-3
50%
55%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.5
18.6
4.2
10
85%
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
2-2
100%
4-5
0-1
80%
53%
0-0
-
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.8
12.8
16.4
2
20%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
0-2
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28.3
31.3
1
5-8
59%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 33.0
18.9
1
3-5
49%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 35.5
4.0
0
0-1
48%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.9
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 22.3
39.5
38.0
26
58%
14
5
0
1
0
2
6
8
8-8
100%
9-18
6-12
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.0
38.5
40.0
33
70%
5
4
1
1
0
1
0
5
7-8
88%
10-18
9-18
56%
49%
2-2
100%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.9
36.5
28.8
20
88%
4
8
2
1
0
4
0
4
3-3
100%
7-9
3-6
78%
49%
1-1
100%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.5
30.9
29.2
10
45%
1
5
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
2-6
33%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 25.5
14.1
18.2
2
50%
3
1
0
0
3
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 24.1
24.1
26.3
17
67%
3
1
0
1
0
3
0
3
3-4
75%
4-6
3-5
67%
47%
2-5
40%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 25.0
19.6
8.7
4
40%
6
2
0
0
3
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
50%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 24.8
19.4
16.2
0
0%
3
2
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 21.9
11.5
18.1
0
0%
0
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.1
3.0
7.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.8
2.8
8.1
1
13%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
1-2
50%
0-3
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 25.6
3.9
0
0-1
45%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.6
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 24.7
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.