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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 29, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Pacers51%9890
25Wizards49%97104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 27.7
33.2
38.4
15
39%
9
3
2
1
2
2
2
7
0-3
0%
6-14
6-12
43%
47%
1-4
25%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 30.3
32.3
23.5
20
85%
6
2
1
1
0
3
0
6
4-4
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
4-7
57%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.4
32.1
29.8
9
36%
4
5
0
1
0
3
0
4
1-1
100%
4-12
5-9
33%
49%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 23.8
27.3
17.4
13
60%
8
2
1
1
1
1
3
5
3-4
75%
5-6
2-3
83%
53%
0-3
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 24.0
15.2
26.8
5
51%
4
1
0
0
2
0
2
2
1-2
50%
2-4
5-11
50%
48%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.5
29.1
31.6
8
80%
4
0
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
2-2
100%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 25.2
21.4
5.3
7
33%
7
0
0
0
0
0
5
2
3-4
75%
2-9
1-2
22%
45%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.5
19.0
12.6
2
20%
3
1
1
0
2
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
49%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 27.8
13.5
17.5
8
50%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 34.0
12.3
18.0
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-3
0%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.7
2.3
4.8
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.2
2.3
4.3
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
1-2
50%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 20.3
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 33.9
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.6
43.0
35.8
25
47%
9
3
3
1
0
1
2
7
2-2
100%
7-17
6-12
41%
48%
3-9
33%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 24.4
38.8
36.2
22
43%
11
4
1
1
2
1
5
6
4-6
67%
9-23
7-15
39%
48%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.4
33.2
37.7
10
50%
6
3
0
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
48%
2-4
50%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 22.9
21.6
24.9
16
70%
10
0
0
1
4
0
6
4
8-10
80%
4-7
3-6
57%
53%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.0
12.1
35.7
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
4-9
0%
47%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.3
34.9
22.7
10
40%
7
12
1
1
0
2
2
5
1-1
100%
3-11
3-7
27%
44%
1-1
100%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 30.7
24.3
21.8
4
22%
4
1
3
1
2
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
0-3
0%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.1
13.5
2.2
11
92%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
44%
3-3
100%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 26.1
11.2
20.9
4
60%
4
0
0
1
1
1
2
2
2-3
67%
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.1
7.5
8.4
2
53%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-2
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.1
19.3
0
3-6
48%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 21.1
5.1
0
1-1
47%
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.4
Jianlian Yi
F · 7'0" 250 · 23.2
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.