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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 28, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Trail Blazers34%9777
6Nuggets66%10395
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 22.0
37.4
30.5
14
59%
5
2
2
1
1
2
1
4
1-2
50%
5-7
3-6
71%
54%
1-4
25%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 25.4
36.8
38.5
18
53%
13
4
3
1
7
1
6
7
0-0
-
9-17
8-17
53%
48%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.7
35.0
24.0
6
33%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-9
3-6
33%
48%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 24.2
31.8
36.8
6
32%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
0-6
5-9
0%
51%
1-2
50%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 34.8
24.6
31.3
9
39%
3
5
1
1
0
3
1
2
1-1
100%
4-11
4-10
36%
47%
0-0
-
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 25.7
20.2
25.7
11
70%
4
1
0
1
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
44%
3-4
75%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 35.3
18.6
7.6
5
83%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.4
16.8
15.2
2
25%
2
2
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 21.8
12.0
1.4
4
29%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-7
0-0
29%
44%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.5
6.8
3.4
2
33%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
48%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 36.8
20.9
1
2-5
46%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 26.4
10.7
0
2-3
48%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 22.9
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 31.2
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 21.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.2
39.6
33.1
15
55%
4
2
3
1
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
4-8
3-5
50%
53%
1-4
25%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.3
37.0
32.0
17
51%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-4
50%
3-9
3-7
33%
49%
3-6
50%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 34.3
30.0
33.9
18
76%
4
9
0
1
1
2
0
4
2-2
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
45%
2-3
67%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28.3
26.6
34.3
17
88%
7
1
1
1
1
1
1
6
5-6
83%
6-7
5-9
86%
59%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 33.0
16.3
20.3
10
100%
3
3
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-5
3-5
100%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.5
25.9
17.9
8
59%
12
1
0
0
2
1
4
8
4-4
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
55%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 23.2
22.0
31.0
2
14%
1
1
1
1
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
4-7
17%
54%
0-1
0%
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.8
21.7
12.7
8
32%
3
2
0
0
0
2
0
3
4-6
67%
2-8
2-3
25%
51%
0-2
0%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.2
10.6
7.4
0
0%
6
0
0
0
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 32.7
6.1
2.4
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
46%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.5
4.3
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 35.5
4.0
0
0-1
48%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.9
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.