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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 28, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Lakers45%10082
3Spurs55%10197
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.1
37.2
37.2
9
46%
8
1
0
1
1
1
3
5
2-2
100%
2-7
5-10
29%
54%
1-2
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 30.5
34.4
34.9
9
48%
9
5
0
0
3
2
1
8
3-3
100%
3-8
7-13
38%
52%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 32.3
30.9
35.4
21
38%
5
1
1
1
0
5
1
4
2-2
100%
5-20
7-15
25%
48%
3-7
43%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 31.1
27.1
21.7
10
56%
1
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
2-5
40%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 36.4
24.8
25.8
2
25%
4
3
2
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 30.8
23.2
18.9
2
20%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
41%
0-2
0%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 23.2
21.9
18.0
10
66%
7
1
0
0
1
1
2
5
2-8
25%
4-4
3-5
100%
53%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 25.1
20.8
20.3
5
21%
11
2
0
1
0
2
4
7
2-2
100%
0-6
2-5
0%
46%
1-5
20%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 30.8
17.3
18.9
9
92%
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
53%
1-1
100%
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 22.7
2.5
1.7
5
108%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
3-3
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
48%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.8
5.3
0
0-1
42%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 35.4
1.2
0
0-0
43%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 37.7
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.6
34.0
32.5
23
58%
2
3
2
1
0
0
1
1
3-4
75%
10-16
7-13
63%
52%
0-2
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21.7
32.1
20.7
17
57%
15
0
2
1
1
2
6
9
1-2
50%
8-14
3-7
57%
51%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.4
31.6
28.8
9
35%
4
6
3
1
1
4
2
2
1-2
50%
1-5
3-6
20%
51%
2-7
29%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.7
29.5
25.6
2
14%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-6
5-10
17%
51%
0-1
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 30.5
28.9
31.2
15
50%
7
2
0
1
1
0
1
6
1-2
50%
4-6
2-5
67%
50%
2-8
25%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.7
27.1
14.5
10
62%
9
3
2
0
4
0
1
8
6-7
86%
2-3
1-3
67%
50%
0-2
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30.7
26.2
25.6
8
100%
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
2-3
67%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.2
17.8
24.8
9
45%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
3-9
33%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26.0
7.3
9.4
2
27%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
2-4
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.4
3.3
8.8
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.3
2.1
9.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.3
8.9
0
1-2
49%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 21.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.