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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 28, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Bucks25%8677
12Bulls75%9590
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 31.0
41.6
36.6
18
45%
4
2
0
1
1
0
0
4
6-7
86%
3-12
4-10
25%
44%
2-5
40%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.6
37.9
35.4
11
56%
2
6
2
1
1
4
1
1
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
42%
1-2
50%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.1
36.1
38.6
4
16%
16
2
0
1
4
0
6
10
0-2
0%
2-12
7-13
17%
51%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.3
34.2
17.6
12
61%
10
0
1
1
1
2
6
4
2-2
100%
5-8
2-3
63%
45%
0-1
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.6
28.8
20.8
10
36%
7
0
1
1
0
3
2
5
2-2
100%
4-11
2-5
36%
47%
0-2
0%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 31.1
26.6
12.3
15
60%
4
1
0
0
0
3
1
3
6-10
60%
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 24.0
15.8
21.3
5
23%
4
0
0
1
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
1-9
2-5
11%
44%
1-2
50%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 23.8
14.2
12.6
2
33%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 22.1
4.8
11.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 34.6
23.1
1
3-7
42%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 29.3
15.6
0
3-6
45%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 34.6
0.9
0
0-0
43%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 28.3
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 21.3
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 31.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.7
42.3
38.0
24
68%
5
2
1
1
1
0
1
4
5-6
83%
8-11
4-9
73%
49%
1-4
25%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.2
39.8
36.6
18
52%
6
12
1
1
0
2
1
5
1-1
100%
4-13
8-15
31%
51%
3-4
75%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 29.1
36.4
35.2
24
64%
9
3
1
1
1
4
1
8
4-6
67%
10-16
9-16
63%
55%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 38.2
30.3
24.6
2
25%
7
1
0
1
1
2
1
6
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 30.6
18.5
14.2
3
38%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
1-3
33%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 29.8
22.4
16.3
7
44%
3
4
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 25.8
16.4
26.2
4
67%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
53%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.5
15.4
17.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
5
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-5
3-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.5
10.3
9.3
1
57%
4
0
0
0
3
1
2
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.7
8.2
10.8
7
79%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
49%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.9
3.3
0
0-1
49%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.8
1.2
0
0-0
45%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.8
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 28.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.