FinalWin Prob.pScore
1122%96
98
178%107
106
ORTG#PossPace
NYK logo NYK
108.99099.6
MIA logo MIA
115.29283.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatKnicksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatKnicksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNYKMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA98
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0NYKStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)98
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0NYKStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)97
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0NYKStoudemire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)96
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0NYKMISS Felton 3' Jump Shot96
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (40 PTS)96
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (39 PTS)96
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAHEAT Rebound96
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0NYKMISS Stoudemire 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (38 PTS)96
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (37 PTS)96
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)96
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 0:32.0NYKMISS Felton Free Throw 2 of 296
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 0:32.0NYKFelton Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)96
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAJames 4' Driving Layup (18 PTS)95
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 1:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)95
1.8%
100
98.2%
Q4 - 1:03NYKMISS Stoudemire 10' Jump Shot95
2.3%
100
97.7%
Q4 - 1:14NYKKnicks Rebound95
4.3%
100
95.7%
Q4 - 1:16MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
3.7%
100
96.3%
Q4 - 1:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)95
3.1%
100
96.9%
Q4 - 1:35NYKMISS Fields Free Throw 3 of 395
3.4%
100
96.6%
Q4 - 1:35NYKFields Free Throw 2 of 3 (3 PTS)95
4.7%
100
95.3%
Q4 - 1:35NYKMISS Fields Free Throw 1 of 394
4.1%
100
95.9%
Q4 - 1:45MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (36 PTS)94
3.7%
100
96.3%
Q4 - 2:02NYKFelton Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)94
9.1%
97
90.9%
Q4 - 2:02NYKStoudemire 3' Tip Shot (28 PTS)93
5.7%
97
94.3%
Q4 - 2:02NYKStoudemire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)91
4.1%
97
95.9%
Q4 - 2:03NYKMISS Felton 5' Driving Layup91
2.6%
97
97.4%
Q4 - 2:08NYKFields REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)91
4.2%
97
95.8%
Q4 - 2:09MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot91
3.4%
97
96.6%
Q4 - 2:37NYKChandler 9' Jump Bank Shot (21 PTS)91
2.1%
97
97.9%
Q4 - 2:56MIAWade 2' Driving Dunk (33 PTS) (James 8 AST)89
2.0%
97
98.0%
Q4 - 3:21NYKGallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Felton 5 AST)89
2.7%
95
97.3%
Q4 - 3:34NYKKnicks Rebound86
2.2%
95
97.8%
Q4 - 3:35MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot86
2.0%
95
98.0%
Q4 - 3:52NYKChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)86
1.4%
95
98.6%
Q4 - 3:52NYKChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)85
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q4 - 4:02MIAJames 12' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)84
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 4:20MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)84
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q4 - 4:22NYKMISS Gallinari 19' Jump Shot84
1.5%
93
98.5%
Q4 - 4:34NYKStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)84
2.0%
93
98.0%
Q4 - 4:35MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot84
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q4 - 5:00NYKStoudemire 2' Layup (26 PTS) (Felton 4 AST)84
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q4 - 5:09NYKFields REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)82
1.5%
93
98.5%
Q4 - 5:10MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 282
1.4%
93
98.6%
Q4 - 5:10MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)82
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q4 - 5:30NYKChandler 21' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)82
1.5%
92
98.5%
Q4 - 6:00MIAChalmers 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 7 AST)80
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 6:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)80
2.0%
90
98.0%
Q4 - 6:07NYKMISS Chandler 14' Jump Shot80
2.2%
90
97.8%
Q4 - 6:26MIAWade 14' Jump Shot (30 PTS) (James 6 AST)80
2.7%
90
97.3%
Q4 - 6:45NYKGallinari 4' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)80
3.5%
88
96.5%
Q4 - 6:47NYKGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
2.6%
88
97.4%
Q4 - 6:48NYKMISS Chandler 18' Jump Shot78
2.1%
88
97.9%
Q4 - 7:06NYKKnicks Rebound78
3.2%
88
96.8%
Q4 - 7:07NYKWade BLOCK (1 BLK)78
2.6%
88
97.4%
Q4 - 7:12NYKChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)78
3.2%
88
96.8%
Q4 - 7:13MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
2.9%
88
97.1%
Q4 - 7:37NYKChandler 18' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS) (Gallinari 3 AST)78
2.3%
88
97.7%
Q4 - 7:48MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)76
1.8%
88
98.2%
Q4 - 7:48MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 276
1.9%
87
98.1%
Q4 - 8:15NYKGallinari 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)76
2.3%
87
97.7%
Q4 - 8:30MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)74
1.7%
87
98.3%
Q4 - 8:54MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
2.2%
85
97.8%
Q4 - 8:56NYKMISS Douglas Free Throw 1 of 174
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q4 - 9:07NYKGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 9:08MIAMISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper71
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q4 - 9:21MIAJones Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)71
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q4 - 9:21NYKDouglas Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)71
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q4 - 9:38MIAJames 8' Jump Shot (14 PTS)71
2.1%
84
97.9%
Q4 - 9:42MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)71
2.7%
82
97.3%
Q4 - 9:46NYKAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)71
2.9%
82
97.1%
Q4 - 9:52MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)71
3.3%
82
96.7%
Q4 - 10:10MIAHEAT Rebound71
3.0%
82
97.0%
Q4 - 10:12NYKMISS Turiaf Free Throw 2 of 271
3.1%
82
96.9%
Q4 - 10:12NYKTuriaf Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)71
3.5%
82
96.5%
Q4 - 10:25NYKChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
3.0%
82
97.0%
Q4 - 10:26MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot70
2.8%
82
97.2%
Q4 - 10:44NYKDouglas Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)70
2.4%
82
97.6%
Q4 - 10:44NYKDouglas Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)69
2.3%
82
97.7%
Q4 - 10:46MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)68
1.9%
82
98.1%
Q4 - 10:59MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)68
1.5%
82
98.5%
Q4 - 11:01NYKMISS Douglas 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
1.9%
82
98.1%
Q4 - 11:23MIAJames 19' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)68
2.2%
82
97.8%
Q4 - 11:46NYKGallinari Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)68
2.7%
80
97.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA65
1.8%
80
98.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound65
1.4%
80
98.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 14' Jump Shot65
1.7%
80
98.3%
Q3 - 0:08.0NYKStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)65
1.7%
80
98.3%
Q3 - 0:08.0NYKStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)64
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q3 - 0:08.0NYKKnicks Rebound63
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q3 - 0:09.0NYKMISS Douglas 7' Jump Shot63
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAJones Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)63
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)63
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)63
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
2.0%
77
98.0%
Q3 - 0:36.0NYKMISS Stoudemire 5' Jump Shot63
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)63
2.4%
77
97.6%
Q3 - 1:07NYKChandler 5' Driving Jump Shot (13 PTS)63
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q3 - 1:29MIAArroyo 14' Fadeaway Jumper (3 PTS)61
1.8%
77
98.2%
Q3 - 1:39MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)61
2.2%
75
97.8%
Q3 - 1:40NYKMISS Stoudemire 16' Jump Shot61
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 1:58NYKStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q3 - 1:59MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot61
2.5%
75
97.5%
Q3 - 2:23NYKStoudemire 5' Jump Shot (22 PTS)61
2.4%
75
97.6%
Q3 - 2:44MIAAnthony 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)59
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q3 - 2:46MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)59
2.4%
73
97.6%
Q3 - 2:48MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot59
2.7%
73
97.3%
Q3 - 3:10MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)59
2.6%
73
97.4%
Q3 - 3:12MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot59
2.9%
73
97.1%
Q3 - 3:22MIAHEAT Rebound59
2.6%
73
97.4%
Q3 - 3:22NYKMISS Fields 3PT Jump Shot59
2.7%
73
97.3%
Q3 - 3:41MIAWade 3' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (James 5 AST)59
3.1%
73
96.9%
Q3 - 3:45MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)59
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q3 - 3:46NYKMISS Stoudemire 16' Jump Shot59
3.9%
71
96.1%
Q3 - 4:16MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS)59
4.6%
71
95.4%
Q3 - 4:33NYKWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T8)59
5.3%
69
94.7%
Q3 - 4:42MIABosh 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (16 PTS)59
6.4%
69
93.6%
Q3 - 5:02NYKFelton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Douglas 1 AST)59
7.6%
67
92.4%
Q3 - 5:25MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)56
5.7%
67
94.3%
Q3 - 5:25MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)56
5.8%
66
94.2%
Q3 - 5:34NYKStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)56
6.5%
65
93.5%
Q3 - 5:34NYKMISS Stoudemire Free Throw 1 of 255
6.3%
65
93.7%
Q3 - 5:50MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (23 PTS)55
6.6%
65
93.4%
Q3 - 5:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)55
7.6%
63
92.4%
Q3 - 5:56NYKMISS Stoudemire 3' Layup55
8.0%
63
92.0%
Q3 - 6:06MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (James 4 AST)55
9.2%
63
90.8%
Q3 - 6:25NYKFelton 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)55
10.5%
61
89.5%
Q3 - 6:32NYKGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
9.2%
61
90.8%
Q3 - 6:34MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot53
8.7%
61
91.3%
Q3 - 6:47MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
7.8%
61
92.2%
Q3 - 6:49NYKMISS Stoudemire Free Throw 1 of 153
8.0%
61
92.0%
Q3 - 7:07MIABosh 9' Hook Shot (12 PTS)51
7.0%
61
93.0%
Q3 - 7:26NYKStoudemire 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Fields 1 AST)51
8.0%
59
92.0%
Q3 - 7:40MIABosh 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)49
7.0%
59
93.0%
Q3 - 7:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)49
8.0%
57
92.0%
Q3 - 7:51MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot49
8.9%
57
91.1%
Q3 - 8:12NYKChandler 1' Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Felton 3 AST)49
8.1%
57
91.9%
Q3 - 8:16NYKFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
7.1%
57
92.9%
Q3 - 8:18MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)47
6.1%
57
93.9%
Q3 - 8:18MIAMISS Ilgauskas 2' Tip Shot47
6.8%
57
93.2%
Q3 - 8:20MIAMISS James 3' Jump Shot47
6.8%
57
93.2%
Q3 - 8:33MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
6.1%
57
93.9%
Q3 - 8:34NYKMISS Felton 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
6.4%
57
93.6%
Q3 - 8:41NYKKnicks Rebound47
7.1%
57
92.9%
Q3 - 8:42NYKMISS Chandler 4' Jump Shot47
6.4%
57
93.6%
Q3 - 8:58MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)47
7.1%
57
92.9%
Q3 - 9:14NYKChandler 2' Driving Dunk (9 PTS)47
6.3%
57
93.7%
Q3 - 9:26NYKChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
5.5%
57
94.5%
Q3 - 9:28MIAMISS Arroyo 15' Jump Shot45
5.2%
57
94.8%
Q3 - 9:54NYKFields 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)45
4.7%
57
95.3%
Q3 - 9:56NYKFields REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
4.1%
57
95.9%
Q3 - 9:58NYKMISS Gallinari 3' Layup43
3.7%
57
96.3%
Q3 - 10:10NYKChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
4.3%
57
95.7%
Q3 - 10:11MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
4.1%
57
95.9%
Q3 - 10:20MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)43
3.7%
57
96.3%
Q3 - 10:21NYKMISS Gallinari 3PT Jump Shot43
3.9%
57
96.1%
Q3 - 10:33MIAWade 4' Driving Layup (19 PTS)43
4.3%
57
95.7%
Q3 - 10:55NYKStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)43
4.9%
55
95.1%
Q3 - 10:55NYKStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)42
4.7%
55
95.3%
Q3 - 10:55NYKGallinari Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)41
4.3%
55
95.7%
Q3 - 11:05MIAIlgauskas 6' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)40
3.9%
55
96.1%
Q3 - 11:28MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
4.4%
53
95.6%
Q3 - 11:31NYKMISS Stoudemire 11' Running Jump Shot40
4.6%
53
95.4%
Q3 - 11:40MIAHEAT Turnover: Backcourt (T#7)40
5.1%
53
94.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA40
4.4%
53
95.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
4.4%
53
95.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0NYKMISS Felton 28' 3PT Jump Shot40
4.9%
53
95.1%
Q2 - 0:24.0NYKKnicks Rebound40
5.2%
53
94.8%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
5.1%
53
94.9%
Q2 - 0:47.0NYKChandler 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Felton 2 AST)40
4.7%
53
95.3%
Q2 - 0:50.0NYKFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
4.1%
53
95.9%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup38
3.9%
53
96.1%
Q2 - 1:01NYKWade STEAL (2 STL)38
3.8%
53
96.2%
Q2 - 1:10MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)38
4.2%
53
95.8%
Q2 - 1:10MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)38
4.3%
52
95.7%
Q2 - 1:10MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
4.9%
51
95.1%
Q2 - 1:10MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot38
5.2%
51
94.8%
Q2 - 1:28NYKStoudemire 6' Jump Shot (13 PTS)38
4.9%
51
95.1%
Q2 - 1:29NYKStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
4.2%
51
95.8%
Q2 - 1:31NYKMISS Stoudemire 9' Jump Shot36
3.9%
51
96.1%
Q2 - 1:47MIAJames 9' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)36
4.2%
51
95.8%
Q2 - 2:11NYKFelton 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)36
4.9%
49
95.1%
Q2 - 2:18NYKFelton Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)34
4.4%
49
95.6%
Q2 - 2:18NYKKnicks Rebound33
3.9%
49
96.1%
Q2 - 2:20MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
3.7%
49
96.3%
Q2 - 2:38NYKChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)33
3.4%
49
96.6%
Q2 - 2:38NYKMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 232
3.3%
49
96.7%
Q2 - 2:44NYKKnicks Rebound32
3.4%
49
96.6%
Q2 - 2:44MIAMISS Jones Free Throw Technical32
3.4%
49
96.6%
Q2 - 2:44NYKKnicks Rebound32
3.4%
49
96.6%
Q2 - 2:45NYKAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)32
3.1%
49
96.9%
Q2 - 2:54NYKGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
3.4%
49
96.6%
Q2 - 2:56MIAMISS James 9' Hook Shot32
3.3%
49
96.7%
Q2 - 3:21NYKStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)32
3.1%
49
96.9%
Q2 - 3:21NYKStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)31
3.0%
49
97.0%
Q2 - 3:30MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)30
2.8%
49
97.2%
Q2 - 3:49NYKStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)30
2.4%
49
97.6%
Q2 - 3:58NYKKnicks Rebound27
1.9%
49
98.1%
Q2 - 4:00MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
1.9%
49
98.1%
Q2 - 4:19MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
1.8%
49
98.2%
Q2 - 4:21NYKMISS Chandler 21' Jump Shot27
1.8%
49
98.2%
Q2 - 4:33MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)27
2.0%
49
98.0%
Q2 - 4:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)27
2.1%
48
97.9%
Q2 - 4:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)27
2.2%
47
97.8%
Q2 - 4:35MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot27
2.4%
47
97.6%
Q2 - 4:45MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
2.2%
47
97.8%
Q2 - 4:47NYKMISS Fields 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
2.3%
47
97.7%
Q2 - 5:01MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)27
2.7%
47
97.3%
Q2 - 5:14NYKFields Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)27
3.0%
45
97.0%
Q2 - 5:17MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)27
3.3%
45
96.7%
Q2 - 5:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
3.0%
45
97.0%
Q2 - 5:24NYKMISS Fields 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
3.1%
45
96.9%
Q2 - 5:38NYKStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
3.3%
45
96.7%
Q2 - 5:40MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 227
3.3%
45
96.7%
Q2 - 5:40MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)27
3.0%
45
97.0%
Q2 - 5:56MIAMISS James Free Throw Technical27
3.3%
44
96.7%
Q2 - 5:57MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
3.3%
44
96.7%
Q2 - 5:59NYKMISS Stoudemire 6' Jump Shot27
3.4%
44
96.6%
Q2 - 6:10MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)27
4.0%
44
96.0%
Q2 - 6:10MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)27
4.1%
43
95.9%
Q2 - 6:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
4.4%
42
95.6%
Q2 - 6:25NYKMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
4.5%
42
95.5%
Q2 - 6:46MIAWade 3' Running Dunk (13 PTS) (James 2 AST)27
5.0%
42
95.0%
Q2 - 6:48MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
5.4%
40
94.6%
Q2 - 6:51NYKBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)27
5.6%
40
94.4%
Q2 - 7:06MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)27
6.2%
40
93.8%
Q2 - 7:29NYKDouglas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)27
7.6%
37
92.4%
Q2 - 7:45NYKFields REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
6.2%
37
93.8%
Q2 - 7:46MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot24
6.0%
37
94.0%
Q2 - 8:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
5.8%
37
94.2%
Q2 - 8:10NYKMISS Douglas 4' Finger Roll Layup24
5.9%
37
94.1%
Q2 - 8:23MIAWade 2' Layup (11 PTS)24
6.4%
37
93.6%
Q2 - 8:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)24
7.0%
35
93.0%
Q2 - 8:26MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot24
7.6%
35
92.4%
Q2 - 8:50NYKDouglas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)24
7.0%
35
93.0%
Q2 - 9:09NYKTuriaf REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
7.9%
35
92.1%
Q2 - 9:11NYKMISS Fields 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
7.4%
35
92.6%
Q2 - 9:19NYKFields REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
7.9%
35
92.1%
Q2 - 9:20MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
7.7%
35
92.3%
Q2 - 9:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
7.2%
35
92.8%
Q2 - 9:28NYKMISS Douglas 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
7.4%
35
92.6%
Q2 - 9:37NYKFields REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
7.9%
35
92.1%
Q2 - 9:38MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot24
7.7%
35
92.3%
Q2 - 9:55NYKStoudemire 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Turiaf 2 AST)24
7.2%
35
92.8%
Q2 - 10:14MIABosh Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)22
6.7%
35
93.3%
Q2 - 10:27NYKDouglas 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turiaf 1 AST)22
6.0%
35
94.0%
Q2 - 10:36NYKTuriaf REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
5.0%
35
95.0%
Q2 - 10:38NYKMISS Williams 7' Running Jump Shot19
4.6%
35
95.4%
Q2 - 10:43NYKDouglas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
5.0%
35
95.0%
Q2 - 10:45MIAMISS Anthony 11' Jump Shot19
4.8%
35
95.2%
Q2 - 11:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
4.7%
35
95.3%
Q2 - 11:06NYKMISS Turiaf Free Throw 2 of 219
4.7%
35
95.3%
Q2 - 11:06NYKTuriaf Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
5.0%
35
95.0%
Q2 - 11:13MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)18
4.7%
35
95.3%
Q2 - 11:13MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 218
4.8%
34
95.2%
Q2 - 11:28NYKTuriaf Foul Turnover (P2.T4)18
4.6%
34
95.4%
Q2 - 11:44NYKFields REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
5.1%
34
94.9%
Q2 - 11:46MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup18
5.0%
34
95.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0NYK18
4.6%
34
95.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0NYKChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
5.1%
34
94.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Howard 2' Driving Layup18
5.1%
34
94.9%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
4.9%
34
95.1%
Q1 - 0:08.0NYKMISS Douglas 11' Jump Shot18
5.0%
34
95.0%
Q1 - 0:12.0NYKDouglas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
5.2%
34
94.8%
Q1 - 0:14.0NYKMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
5.0%
34
95.0%
Q1 - 0:28.0NYKWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
5.2%
34
94.8%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot18
5.1%
34
94.9%
Q1 - 0:41.0NYKWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)18
4.8%
34
95.2%
Q1 - 1:00MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)15
3.9%
34
96.1%
Q1 - 1:14MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
5.0%
31
95.0%
Q1 - 1:16NYKMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
5.1%
31
94.9%
Q1 - 1:25NYKChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
5.4%
31
94.6%
Q1 - 1:26MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot15
5.3%
31
94.7%
Q1 - 1:40NYKTuriaf Foul Turnover (P1.T3)15
5.0%
31
95.0%
Q1 - 1:45MIAHoward 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
5.4%
31
94.6%
Q1 - 1:48MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
6.0%
29
94.0%
Q1 - 1:49MIAMISS Chalmers 11' Jump Shot15
6.3%
29
93.7%
Q1 - 1:59MIAHEAT Rebound15
6.0%
29
94.0%
Q1 - 2:00NYKMISS Felton 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
6.1%
29
93.9%
Q1 - 2:13MIAHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)15
6.7%
29
93.3%
Q1 - 2:21MIAArroyo Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)15
6.2%
29
93.8%
Q1 - 2:34MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
6.7%
28
93.3%
Q1 - 2:36MIAMISS Wade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot15
7.1%
28
92.9%
Q1 - 2:42MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
6.7%
28
93.3%
Q1 - 2:43NYKMISS Felton 20' Jump Shot15
6.9%
28
93.1%
Q1 - 2:58MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)15
7.2%
28
92.8%
Q1 - 2:58MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)15
7.4%
27
92.6%
Q1 - 3:15NYKStoudemire 3' Hook Shot (4 PTS)15
7.9%
26
92.1%
Q1 - 3:20NYKStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
7.3%
26
92.7%
Q1 - 3:21NYKMISS Stoudemire 11' Jump Shot13
6.9%
26
93.1%
Q1 - 3:36MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)13
7.3%
26
92.7%
Q1 - 3:44MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)13
8.6%
23
91.4%
Q1 - 3:46NYKMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
8.9%
23
91.1%
Q1 - 4:01MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)13
9.4%
23
90.6%
Q1 - 4:05NYKWade STEAL (1 STL)13
10.1%
21
89.9%
Q1 - 4:13MIAWade 3' Layup (7 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)13
11.0%
21
89.0%
Q1 - 4:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
11.8%
19
88.2%
Q1 - 4:26NYKMISS Stoudemire 18' Jump Shot13
12.1%
19
87.9%
Q1 - 4:41MIAWade 2' Driving Dunk (5 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)13
12.9%
19
87.1%
Q1 - 4:44MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)13
13.8%
17
86.2%
Q1 - 4:46NYKMISS Gallinari 18' Jump Shot13
14.2%
17
85.8%
Q1 - 5:00MIAIlgauskas 3' Tip Shot (12 PTS)13
15.0%
17
85.0%
Q1 - 5:04MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)13
16.1%
15
83.9%
Q1 - 5:05MIAMISS Bosh 9' Jump Shot13
17.1%
15
82.9%
Q1 - 5:31NYKChandler 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
16.1%
15
83.9%
Q1 - 5:49MIAIlgauskas 4' Hook Shot (10 PTS)11
15.1%
15
84.9%
Q1 - 5:51MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)11
16.1%
13
83.9%
Q1 - 5:55MIAMISS Bosh 10' Turnaround Hook Shot11
17.0%
13
83.0%
Q1 - 6:09MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)11
16.0%
13
84.0%
Q1 - 6:10NYKMISS Felton 27' 3PT Jump Shot11
16.3%
13
83.7%
Q1 - 6:22MIAIlgauskas Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)11
17.2%
13
82.8%
Q1 - 6:32MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
16.0%
13
84.0%
Q1 - 6:34NYKIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)11
16.3%
13
83.7%
Q1 - 6:49MIAIlgauskas 2' Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)11
17.2%
13
82.8%
Q1 - 6:53MIAHEAT Rebound11
18.4%
11
81.6%
Q1 - 6:53MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Dunk11
19.3%
11
80.7%
Q1 - 7:08NYKGallinari 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)11
18.1%
11
81.9%
Q1 - 7:28MIAJames 2' Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)9
17.0%
11
83.0%
Q1 - 7:49NYKStoudemire 15' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Felton 1 AST)9
18.1%
9
81.9%
Q1 - 7:54MIAIlgauskas 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)7
17.0%
9
83.0%
Q1 - 7:56MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)7
18.1%
7
81.9%
Q1 - 7:57MIAMISS Wade 9' Turnaround Jump Shot7
19.0%
7
81.0%
Q1 - 8:15NYKFelton 5' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stoudemire 1 AST)7
17.9%
7
82.1%
Q1 - 8:27MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)5
16.7%
7
83.3%
Q1 - 8:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
15.7%
7
84.3%
Q1 - 8:46NYKMISS Gallinari 14' Jump Shot5
16.0%
7
84.0%
Q1 - 9:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)5
16.7%
7
83.3%
Q1 - 9:13MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 25
16.9%
6
83.1%
Q1 - 9:30NYKFelton 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)5
16.7%
6
83.3%
Q1 - 9:36MIAWade 3' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)2
14.7%
6
85.3%
Q1 - 9:57MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
15.7%
4
84.3%
Q1 - 9:59NYKMISS Stoudemire 18' Jump Shot2
16.0%
4
84.0%
Q1 - 10:25MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)2
16.8%
4
83.2%
Q1 - 10:25MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)2
17.0%
3
83.0%
Q1 - 10:31MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
17.6%
2
82.4%
Q1 - 10:32NYKMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
18.0%
2
82.0%
Q1 - 10:39MIAIlgauskas 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
18.9%
2
81.1%
Q1 - 10:41MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
19.8%
0
80.2%
Q1 - 10:45MIAMISS Ilgauskas 3' Tip Shot2
20.8%
0
79.2%
Q1 - 11:10NYKChandler Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
19.4%
0
80.6%
Q1 - 11:17NYKFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
20.4%
0
79.6%
Q1 - 11:18MIAMISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper2
20.1%
0
79.9%
Q1 - 11:39NYKChandler 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
19.5%
0
80.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Stoudemire: Tip to Chandler0
18.4%
0
81.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NYK
1.03 51.6%
MIA
1.09 54.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NYK
14
25
56%
MIA
20
28
71%
Midrange
NYK
13
33
39%
MIA
15
38
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NYK
7
10.5
24
29%
44%
MIA
3
4.5
13
23%
35%
Free Throws
NYK
23
32
72%
MIA
27
34
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
NYK logo Knicks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Stoudemire3054%15.0 / 28
W. Chandler2162%10.5 / 17
R. Felton1554%7.5 / 14
D. Gallinari1354%6.5 / 12
T. Douglas1155%5.5 / 10
L. Fields321%1.5 / 7
S. Williams338%1.5 / 4
R. Turiaf250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade4056%20.0 / 36
L. James1850%9.0 / 18
C. Bosh1860%9.0 / 15
Z. Ilgauskas1478%7.0 / 9
M. Chalmers563%2.5 / 4
J. Jones450%2.0 / 4
C. Arroyo375%1.5 / 2
J. Anthony250%1.0 / 2
J. Howard233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NYK
81
+14
-9
95
MIA
82
+15
-10
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NYK
1.03 51.6%
MIA
1.09 54.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.0
111.4
NYK 108.9
MIA 115.2 +6.3
Pace
95.6
91.3
NYK 99.6 +15.7
MIA 83.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
16.2
NYK 14.5 +2.7
MIA 17.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.3%
52.4%
NYK 45.7%
MIA 50.0% +4.3%
TO %
13.9%
14.4%
NYK 8.6% +1.9%
MIA 10.5%
ORB %
24.3%
25.2%
NYK 19.6%
MIA 36.1% +16.5%
FTrt
30.4
36.3
NYK 39.0
MIA 43.0 +4.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.0%
54.1%
NYK 41.2% +1.7%
MIA 39.5%
STL %
7.9%
7.3%
NYK 4.4% +2.2%
MIA 2.2%
BLK %
8.8%
8.5%
NYK 7.6%
MIA 8.6% +1.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.0%
55.7%
NYK 51.6%
MIA 54.6% +3.0%
Rim FG%
59.5%
64.7%
NYK 56.0%
MIA 71.4% +15.4%
Mid FG%
39.8%
42.2%
NYK 39.4%
MIA 39.5% +0.1%
3P %
36.8%
37.0%
NYK 29.2% +6.1%
MIA 23.1%
FT %
80.9%
76.9%
NYK 71.9%
MIA 79.4% +7.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
31.6%
NYK 30.5%
MIA 35.4% +5.0%
Mid Att. %
34.9%
44.9%
NYK 40.2% +7.9%
MIA 48.1%
3P Att. %
30.3%
23.5%
NYK 29.3% +12.8%
MIA 16.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsNYKMIA
Possessions9092
Possession Minutes21.726.3
Points98106
Rebounds3250
Assists1415
Steals42
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (5)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (5)37 (4)
Field Goals34-8238-79
At-the-Rim FG14-2520-28
Midrange FG13-3315-38
2-Point FG27-5835-66
3-Point FG7-243-13
Free Throws23-3227-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'10" 245 · 28
43.1
30
54%
7
1
2
2
1
1
4
3
10-12
83%
10-22
45%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 24
39.7
21
62%
6
1
0
0
2
6
0
6
3-4
75%
9-14
64%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 205 · 27
39.1
15
54%
3
5
0
0
0
3
0
3
3-4
75%
3-7
43%
2-6
33%
F · 6'10" 225 · 22
37.8
13
54%
4
3
0
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'7" 215 · 23
32.3
3
21%
7
1
1
0
1
1
1
6
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
0-4
0%
G · 6'2" 195 · 25
19.4
11
55%
2
1
0
0
2
1
1
1
2-3
67%
0-4
0%
3-5
60%
C · 6'10" 249 · 28
15.1
2
50%
2
2
1
2
2
4
2
0
2-4
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 230 · 25
9.0
3
38%
1
0
0
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
F · 6'6" 235 · 23
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 275 · 24
G · 6'5" 205 · 30
· 6'10" 225 · 21
#7 · G · 6'5" 215 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#34 · C · 7'0" 295 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 6'4" 190 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
52%
32
14
4
5
9
0
9
23
23-32
72%
27-58
47%
7-24
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.