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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 27, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2076ers41%9995
22Warriors59%102110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 20.5
43.6
28.1
23
69%
2
11
1
1
1
7
0
2
5-6
83%
6-11
4-8
55%
47%
2-3
67%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.4
43.3
30.2
19
54%
3
4
1
1
1
1
1
2
5-6
83%
4-6
2-5
67%
45%
2-9
22%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 31.8
30.4
34.9
16
50%
16
3
0
1
0
0
7
9
2-2
100%
7-15
6-12
47%
50%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 31.1
25.4
12.7
6
36%
2
0
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-1
0%
3-5
1-2
60%
45%
0-3
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 22.7
24.0
21.2
9
41%
12
2
1
0
1
3
2
10
1-2
50%
4-10
3-6
40%
49%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.5
31.7
26.7
15
50%
8
4
0
1
0
2
4
4
1-2
50%
7-13
5-9
54%
53%
0-1
0%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 22.2
28.5
20.3
5
30%
8
1
0
1
0
2
2
6
1-1
100%
2-8
2-5
25%
46%
0-0
-
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
10.7
3.2
2
25%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 23.4
2.5
5.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.9
37.4
1
5-9
50%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 34.9
10.9
0
1-3
48%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 32.9
4.1
0
1-1
49%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.9
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.2
43.5
42.3
22
53%
1
12
2
2
0
5
0
1
4-4
100%
6-15
8-16
40%
51%
2-4
50%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 25.1
43.3
32.4
28
96%
6
4
2
1
0
0
0
6
7-8
88%
3-4
3-7
75%
47%
5-7
71%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 27.7
40.7
39.5
21
53%
16
2
0
1
2
3
5
11
3-4
75%
9-18
7-13
50%
54%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.8
28.3
28.6
17
59%
5
8
1
1
0
2
0
5
3-3
100%
1-7
4-9
14%
50%
4-6
67%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.1
13.0
15.9
4
29%
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
2
0-2
0%
2-6
2-4
33%
53%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.1
25.6
17.8
8
100%
6
2
3
1
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
2-2
100%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 23.6
13.6
16.0
2
33%
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
50%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 25.9
12.5
12.1
2
33%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.3
11.7
25.1
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 26.7
7.9
11.9
6
75%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
2-2
100%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.2
3.8
0
1-1
53%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.3
2.4
0
0-1
44%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.7
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.9
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.