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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 27, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Magic71%99104
27Nets29%9288
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 31.8
33.4
28.9
20
77%
8
5
1
1
0
2
1
7
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
45%
4-7
57%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.1
32.3
34.8
19
60%
13
3
0
1
6
1
1
12
9-13
69%
5-10
7-12
50%
60%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 25.7
32.1
31.0
11
74%
4
0
0
1
1
1
3
1
1-1
100%
5-6
6-11
83%
52%
0-1
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 29.9
31.3
29.0
14
57%
4
4
1
1
0
1
1
3
3-3
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
51%
1-4
25%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 28.9
24.2
28.8
6
75%
1
7
3
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
50%
2-4
50%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.6
28.3
15.3
10
39%
11
3
2
0
1
2
5
6
1-2
50%
3-9
1-3
33%
48%
1-3
33%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.5
28.0
28.2
15
54%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
48%
3-7
43%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 29.0
20.5
24.1
9
50%
5
3
1
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
46%
1-4
25%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 30.7
3.3
10.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.3
3.3
5.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.9
3.3
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 35.1
3.1
0
0-0
50%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.5
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 20.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 22.7
36.4
31.8
20
57%
7
0
3
1
0
1
3
4
4-6
67%
8-15
6-13
53%
48%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 26.3
34.5
33.1
10
49%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
5-5
100%
1-5
3-7
20%
44%
1-3
33%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.8
33.1
31.5
24
68%
2
6
0
1
0
3
0
2
5-6
83%
8-11
5-10
73%
47%
1-4
25%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.9
27.5
24.1
7
45%
11
0
2
1
2
3
2
9
3-4
75%
2-6
3-6
33%
47%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.5
26.3
23.2
2
20%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
47%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.8
24.2
22.5
5
32%
2
1
2
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
43%
1-3
33%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.1
22.9
20.4
10
49%
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
3-5
60%
2-7
2-4
29%
45%
1-1
100%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 19.5
17.4
18.5
2
33%
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
51%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 30.7
14.9
14.2
2
20%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
49%
0-0
-
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.8
3.0
4.4
6
40%
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0-1
0%
3-7
1-1
43%
42%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 24.9
5.6
0
1-1
46%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29.7
5.0
0
0-1
40%
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.2
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.