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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 26, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Wizards16%9380
4Spurs84%10694
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.4
42.4
24.5
21
54%
12
2
1
1
1
1
2
10
1-1
100%
4-11
2-4
36%
46%
4-8
50%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.6
36.1
36.4
10
26%
4
1
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
5-17
5-11
29%
46%
0-2
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.0
35.4
36.8
15
75%
2
7
2
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
6-9
4-8
67%
45%
1-1
100%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 26.1
28.9
12.5
6
44%
13
2
0
0
0
0
5
8
4-4
100%
1-5
1-2
20%
47%
0-0
-
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.1
28.2
28.3
11
51%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
5-9
4-8
56%
46%
0-1
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 30.7
23.9
20.3
11
40%
6
0
1
1
0
1
2
4
3-4
75%
4-11
3-7
36%
44%
0-1
0%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.3
19.3
17.7
4
22%
6
4
0
1
1
4
0
6
0-0
-
2-8
2-5
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.1
15.3
9.8
2
33%
5
0
0
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 21.1
9.0
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.4
1.6
9.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-1
0%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.1
4.3
0
0-1
41%
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 24.0
0.9
0
0-0
47%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 22.9
Jianlian Yi
F · 7'0" 250 · 23.2
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.6
35.6
30.4
20
61%
6
14
1
1
0
3
0
6
3-3
100%
7-13
7-12
54%
53%
1-2
50%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 30.5
31.8
31.5
5
50%
9
3
1
1
0
1
0
9
0-0
-
1-1
3-5
100%
52%
1-4
25%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.4
29.0
28.9
21
81%
0
1
3
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
53%
5-7
71%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.7
25.3
25.9
5
25%
9
4
0
1
3
2
0
9
1-2
50%
2-9
5-10
22%
53%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21.7
22.4
19.6
8
36%
4
1
2
1
0
0
4
0
0-0
-
4-11
3-6
36%
54%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30.7
27.8
24.3
9
56%
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
52%
1-3
33%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.2
23.8
26.4
9
43%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
50%
0-5
0%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.6
16.0
10.8
11
116%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
2-2
100%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.4
11.2
7.4
2
33%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.3
8.4
9.3
2
33%
6
1
0
0
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
51%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26.0
5.2
13.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
55%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.2
3.6
14.6
2
114%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 21.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.