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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 26, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Hawks41%9386
14Hornets59%9693
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.6
41.0
32.8
7
39%
2
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-2
2-5
0%
44%
2-6
33%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.5
38.8
35.8
23
63%
5
4
1
1
0
0
0
5
4-5
80%
5-10
5-11
50%
46%
3-6
50%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 24.5
33.1
33.8
18
64%
5
0
0
1
0
2
2
3
7-7
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.6
28.2
35.9
8
40%
6
2
0
1
1
3
2
4
0-0
-
4-10
7-13
40%
54%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 25.1
28.0
37.3
10
43%
12
2
0
1
1
0
2
10
4-4
100%
3-7
6-12
43%
49%
0-3
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.8
34.3
31.1
10
53%
2
3
1
1
0
5
0
2
1-1
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.1
12.1
12.2
6
100%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
2-3
67%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.9
9.8
12.6
3
45%
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
1-3
33%
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.1
8.3
10.5
1
27%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.9
6.5
7.1
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.5
13.5
1
1-3
43%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 31.0
7.0
0
0-1
43%
Pape Sy
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 22.7
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 22.2
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 25.5
39.6
32.6
12
55%
10
0
3
1
0
1
1
9
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
47%
2-6
33%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.6
36.7
34.2
22
60%
4
8
0
2
0
1
1
3
2-3
67%
10-15
4-8
67%
52%
0-2
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.3
36.4
34.5
18
57%
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-4
50%
8-14
7-14
57%
51%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 28.2
32.8
31.9
14
63%
15
1
0
1
0
1
5
10
2-5
40%
6-9
4-7
67%
55%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.8
20.0
26.7
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
47%
0-3
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 23.6
22.4
17.5
6
38%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.2
22.2
17.6
10
42%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24.8
12.9
16.5
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.0
7.2
4.9
2
100%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.8
5.6
7.3
5
102%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
2-2
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 30.5
4.3
3.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.1
4.2
0
1-1
51%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.4
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.3
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.