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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 26, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Bulls59%9795
25Pistons41%9392
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.7
43.8
38.0
10
30%
6
2
1
1
0
0
2
4
1-4
25%
3-12
4-9
25%
49%
1-3
33%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.2
41.2
37.2
23
45%
12
8
2
1
0
6
1
11
5-6
83%
9-20
8-15
45%
51%
0-3
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 29.1
36.5
37.8
31
65%
11
3
1
1
0
2
5
6
7-9
78%
12-20
9-17
60%
54%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 38.2
29.0
25.0
3
34%
8
2
1
1
0
1
2
6
1-1
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 30.6
14.5
15.3
6
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
50%
2-2
100%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 25.8
32.4
25.2
8
46%
2
0
0
1
0
1
2
0
2-4
50%
3-7
3-5
43%
54%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.5
30.2
11.7
5
28%
9
0
0
0
2
0
3
6
1-2
50%
2-8
2-4
25%
50%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 29.8
15.3
18.3
2
26%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
2-3
-
48%
0-3
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.7
11.9
11.3
3
30%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.5
9.9
9.8
4
100%
4
0
0
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.8
0.3
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.8
4.1
0
0-1
51%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.8
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 28.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.7
38.1
24.2
16
56%
5
4
1
1
0
0
2
3
4-5
80%
6-12
4-9
50%
44%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 30.8
34.1
30.7
17
55%
4
6
1
0
2
3
2
2
1-1
100%
8-15
5-10
53%
48%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 26.3
28.8
27.5
12
38%
10
1
2
1
1
0
3
7
2-2
100%
5-10
3-7
50%
48%
0-5
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 36.3
22.3
21.6
0
0%
2
1
0
1
3
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.7
18.4
25.1
7
58%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 32.9
36.4
22.1
15
50%
4
3
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
5-11
4-8
45%
45%
1-3
33%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 31.6
28.7
21.0
15
58%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
6-11
2-4
55%
44%
1-2
50%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 20.6
21.8
21.3
4
29%
7
0
0
1
0
0
2
5
2-2
100%
1-6
2-5
17%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.9
21.6
13.5
2
36%
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
2-4
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.0
14.9
19.1
4
33%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.3
7.4
0
1-2
50%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 22.6
5.1
0
1-1
47%
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.9
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 23.8
Terrico White
G · 6'5" 213 · 20.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.