FinalWin Prob.pScore
746%101
106
1154%102
114
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
114.093106.3
OKC logo OKC
120.09584.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

ThunderNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

ThunderNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENOKC
Q4 - 0:00.0OKC106
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)106
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0DENMISS Lawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot106
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)106
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0OKCMISS Durant Free Throw 2 of 2106
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (44 PTS)106
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0DENNene 1' Dunk (21 PTS)106
0.2%
113
99.8%
Q4 - 0:30.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)104
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0DENIbaka BLOCK (3 BLK)104
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)104
0.2%
113
99.8%
Q4 - 0:45.0OKCMISS Westbrook 11' Jump Shot104
0.2%
113
99.8%
Q4 - 1:04DENBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS)104
0.3%
113
99.7%
Q4 - 1:11OKCHarden 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Durant 4 AST)101
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)101
0.5%
110
99.5%
Q4 - 1:26DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)100
0.5%
110
99.5%
Q4 - 1:41OKCDurant 25' 3PT Jump Shot (43 PTS) (Westbrook 4 AST)99
0.5%
110
99.5%
Q4 - 1:52DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)99
1.4%
107
98.6%
Q4 - 1:52DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)98
1.3%
107
98.7%
Q4 - 1:58OKCWestbrook 1' Finger Roll Layup (19 PTS) (Green 6 AST)97
0.9%
107
99.1%
Q4 - 2:13DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)97
1.3%
105
98.7%
Q4 - 2:13DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 296
1.1%
105
98.9%
Q4 - 2:29OKCIbaka 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)96
1.5%
105
98.5%
Q4 - 2:30OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)96
2.1%
103
97.9%
Q4 - 2:31OKCMISS Westbrook 16' Jump Shot96
3.4%
103
96.6%
Q4 - 2:48OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)96
2.1%
103
97.9%
Q4 - 2:49DENMISS Lawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
2.6%
103
97.4%
Q4 - 3:07DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
5.3%
103
94.7%
Q4 - 3:08OKCMISS Green Free Throw 2 of 296
4.9%
103
95.1%
Q4 - 3:08OKCGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)96
3.6%
103
96.4%
Q4 - 3:27DENBillups Foul Turnover (P2.T18)96
4.6%
102
95.4%
Q4 - 3:43OKCGreen 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Durant 3 AST)96
11.2%
102
88.8%
Q4 - 3:58OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)96
14.8%
100
85.2%
Q4 - 3:59OKCMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
18.8%
100
81.2%
Q4 - 4:23OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)96
14.5%
100
85.5%
Q4 - 4:25DENIbaka BLOCK (2 BLK)96
16.2%
100
83.8%
Q4 - 4:34DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)96
20.5%
100
79.5%
Q4 - 4:35OKCMISS Durant 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
18.5%
100
81.5%
Q4 - 5:06DENLawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Nene 3 AST)96
17.6%
100
82.4%
Q4 - 5:33OKCIbaka 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Green 5 AST)93
9.9%
100
90.1%
Q4 - 5:55OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
13.0%
98
87.0%
Q4 - 5:56DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
14.3%
98
85.7%
Q4 - 6:09OKCWestbrook 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS)93
20.3%
98
79.7%
Q4 - 6:28OKCTHUNDER Rebound93
25.1%
96
74.9%
Q4 - 6:28DENMISS Billups 23' Jump Shot93
27.0%
96
73.0%
Q4 - 6:32DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)93
31.7%
96
68.3%
Q4 - 6:34OKCMISS Westbrook 3' Driving Jump Shot93
29.6%
96
70.4%
Q4 - 6:54DENLawson 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS)93
25.0%
96
75.0%
Q4 - 7:14OKCTHUNDER Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)91
22.0%
96
78.0%
Q4 - 7:14OKCTHUNDER Rebound91
17.3%
96
82.7%
Q4 - 7:14OKCMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
20.5%
96
79.5%
Q4 - 7:39DENLawson 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)91
17.2%
96
82.8%
Q4 - 7:56DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
13.8%
96
86.2%
Q4 - 7:57OKCMISS Green 9' Running Jump Shot89
12.7%
96
87.3%
Q4 - 8:18DENBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)89
12.4%
96
87.6%
Q4 - 8:44OKCMaynor 3' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)86
7.7%
96
92.3%
Q4 - 8:50OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
9.8%
94
90.2%
Q4 - 8:52DENIbaka BLOCK (1 BLK)86
10.5%
94
89.5%
Q4 - 9:05DENBillups Free Throw Technical (22 PTS)86
13.9%
94
86.1%
Q4 - 9:16DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
11.2%
94
88.8%
Q4 - 9:17OKCMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
10.5%
94
89.5%
Q4 - 9:39OKCTHUNDER Rebound85
9.0%
94
91.0%
Q4 - 9:39DENMISS Afflalo 3' Driving Jump Shot85
9.6%
94
90.4%
Q4 - 10:03DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
12.3%
94
87.7%
Q4 - 10:04OKCMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 185
11.9%
94
88.1%
Q4 - 10:11OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
14.9%
92
85.1%
Q4 - 10:13DENMISS Lawson 2' Driving Layup85
15.8%
92
84.2%
Q4 - 10:22DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)85
18.0%
92
82.0%
Q4 - 10:23OKCMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
17.0%
92
83.0%
Q4 - 10:37DENMaynor STEAL (2 STL)85
14.8%
92
85.2%
Q4 - 10:40OKCDurant Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T8)85
18.0%
92
82.0%
Q4 - 10:55OKCMaynor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
14.8%
92
85.2%
Q4 - 10:56DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot85
15.7%
92
84.3%
Q4 - 11:14OKCMaynor 4' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)85
19.0%
92
81.0%
Q4 - 11:34DENHarrington Foul Turnover (P5.T16)85
22.5%
90
77.5%
Q4 - 11:44OKCMaynor 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)85
26.4%
90
73.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0OKC85
30.8%
88
69.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0OKCTHUNDER Rebound85
30.8%
88
69.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0OKCMISS Harden 17' Jump Shot85
34.1%
88
65.9%
Q3 - 0:21.0DENSefolosha STEAL (2 STL)85
31.7%
88
68.3%
Q3 - 0:29.0DENNuggets Rebound85
35.9%
88
64.1%
Q3 - 0:30.0OKCMISS Durant 29' 3PT Jump Shot85
34.6%
88
65.4%
Q3 - 0:37.0DENLawson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T14)85
31.7%
88
68.3%
Q3 - 0:43.0OKCHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)85
35.9%
88
64.1%
Q3 - 0:43.0OKCHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)85
36.6%
87
63.4%
Q3 - 0:46.0DENHarden STEAL (1 STL)85
41.2%
86
58.8%
Q3 - 1:15OKCDurant 18' Step Back Jump Shot (40 PTS)85
45.7%
86
54.3%
Q3 - 1:38DENHarrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)85
51.1%
84
48.9%
Q3 - 1:50OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (38 PTS)82
40.8%
84
59.2%
Q3 - 1:50OKCMISS Durant Free Throw 1 of 282
41.3%
83
58.7%
Q3 - 2:00DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)82
41.3%
83
58.7%
Q3 - 2:00DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 281
39.9%
83
60.1%
Q3 - 2:00DENNuggets Rebound81
40.8%
83
59.2%
Q3 - 2:01OKCMISS Maynor 8' Fadeaway Jumper81
39.6%
83
60.4%
Q3 - 2:22DENForbes 4' Hook Shot (6 PTS)81
36.6%
83
63.4%
Q3 - 2:37DENNuggets Rebound79
32.2%
83
67.8%
Q3 - 2:37OKCMISS Westbrook 2' Layup79
31.0%
83
69.0%
Q3 - 2:58OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
28.3%
83
71.7%
Q3 - 2:59DENMISS Forbes 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
29.5%
83
70.5%
Q3 - 3:16OKCDurant 7' Floating Jump Shot (37 PTS)79
33.0%
83
67.0%
Q3 - 3:34DENBillups Free Throw 3 of 3 (21 PTS)79
36.9%
81
63.1%
Q3 - 3:34DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 3 (20 PTS)78
36.5%
81
63.5%
Q3 - 3:34DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 3 (19 PTS)77
36.1%
81
63.9%
Q3 - 3:48OKCGreen Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)76
29.1%
81
70.9%
Q3 - 3:57OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)76
36.9%
78
63.1%
Q3 - 3:59DENSefolosha BLOCK (3 BLK)76
38.2%
78
61.8%
Q3 - 4:10DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)76
41.7%
78
58.3%
Q3 - 4:12OKCMISS Durant 19' Jump Shot76
40.2%
78
59.8%
Q3 - 4:25OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
36.8%
78
63.2%
Q3 - 4:27DENMISS Nene 5' Jump Shot76
38.3%
78
61.7%
Q3 - 4:42DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)76
41.7%
78
58.3%
Q3 - 4:43OKCMISS Westbrook Free Throw 1 of 176
41.0%
78
59.0%
Q3 - 4:47OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
45.3%
76
54.7%
Q3 - 4:48DENMISS Martin 17' Jump Shot76
46.8%
76
53.2%
Q3 - 5:12OKCDurant 25' 3PT Jump Shot (35 PTS)76
49.6%
76
50.4%
Q3 - 5:25DENMartin 8' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)76
57.6%
73
42.4%
Q3 - 5:35DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
53.9%
73
46.1%
Q3 - 5:37OKCMISS Westbrook 3' Jump Shot74
52.5%
73
47.5%
Q3 - 5:43DENWestbrook STEAL (3 STL)74
49.2%
73
50.8%
Q3 - 6:00OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)74
53.9%
73
46.1%
Q3 - 6:00OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)74
54.3%
72
45.7%
Q3 - 6:10DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)74
57.1%
71
42.9%
Q3 - 6:10DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 273
55.8%
71
44.2%
Q3 - 6:28OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)73
57.5%
71
42.5%
Q3 - 6:28OKCGreen 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)73
57.5%
71
42.5%
Q3 - 6:28OKCMISS Krstic 2' Layup73
63.9%
69
36.1%
Q3 - 6:41DENBillups 1' Driving Reverse Layup (18 PTS)73
61.1%
69
38.9%
Q3 - 7:08OKCDurant 16' Jump Shot (30 PTS)71
56.5%
69
43.5%
Q3 - 7:21DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)71
60.1%
67
39.9%
Q3 - 7:26OKCDurant Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)68
52.8%
67
47.2%
Q3 - 7:37OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)68
48.7%
67
51.3%
Q3 - 7:39DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
50.0%
67
50.0%
Q3 - 7:47OKCDurant Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)68
52.8%
67
47.2%
Q3 - 7:48DENDurant STEAL (2 STL)68
48.7%
67
51.3%
Q3 - 7:53OKCDurant Free Throw 3 of 3 (28 PTS)68
52.8%
67
47.2%
Q3 - 7:53OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 3 (27 PTS)68
53.1%
66
46.9%
Q3 - 7:53OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 3 (26 PTS)68
53.6%
65
46.4%
Q3 - 8:07DENSmith 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)68
59.8%
64
40.2%
Q3 - 8:29OKCDurant 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Krstic 2 AST)66
56.3%
64
43.7%
Q3 - 8:45DENBillups 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)66
63.3%
61
36.7%
Q3 - 8:53DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
60.0%
61
40.0%
Q3 - 8:54OKCMISS Westbrook 13' Jump Bank Shot64
58.8%
61
41.2%
Q3 - 9:03DENNene 1' Dunk (19 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)64
55.8%
61
44.2%
Q3 - 9:33OKCDurant 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Green 4 AST)62
52.2%
61
47.8%
Q3 - 9:46OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
59.4%
58
40.6%
Q3 - 9:47DENMISS Afflalo 13' Step Back Jump Shot62
60.5%
58
39.5%
Q3 - 10:07OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)62
62.4%
58
37.6%
Q3 - 10:07OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)62
62.9%
57
37.1%
Q3 - 10:28DENNene 7' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS)62
65.6%
56
34.4%
Q3 - 10:40DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
62.4%
56
37.6%
Q3 - 10:41OKCMISS Green 15' Jump Shot60
61.4%
56
38.6%
Q3 - 11:00OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
58.9%
56
41.1%
Q3 - 11:02DENMISS Martin 2' Layup60
59.6%
56
40.4%
Q3 - 11:15OKCKrstic 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)60
62.0%
56
38.0%
Q3 - 11:36DENMartin 1' Putback Dunk (6 PTS)60
58.5%
56
41.5%
Q3 - 11:37DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)58
55.3%
56
44.7%
Q3 - 11:39DENMISS Martin 2' Layup58
52.8%
56
47.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0OKC58
55.3%
56
44.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)58
51.7%
56
48.3%
Q2 - 0:24.0DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
54.6%
56
45.4%
Q2 - 0:25.0OKCMISS Green 2' Driving Layup58
53.8%
56
46.2%
Q2 - 0:33.0DENAfflalo 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)58
52.0%
56
48.0%
Q2 - 0:53.0OKCWestbrook Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Green 3 AST)56
48.0%
56
52.0%
Q2 - 0:56.0OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
52.0%
54
48.0%
Q2 - 0:57.0DENSefolosha BLOCK (2 BLK)56
52.8%
54
47.2%
Q2 - 1:11DENNuggets Rebound56
54.3%
54
45.7%
Q2 - 1:12OKCMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
53.6%
54
46.4%
Q2 - 1:29DENNene 4' Jump Shot (15 PTS)56
52.0%
54
48.0%
Q2 - 1:44OKCIbaka Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T4)54
47.8%
54
52.2%
Q2 - 1:56DENWestbrook STEAL (2 STL)54
45.5%
54
54.5%
Q2 - 2:11DENNuggets Rebound54
48.2%
54
51.8%
Q2 - 2:12DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
45.9%
54
54.1%
Q2 - 2:18DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)54
48.2%
54
51.8%
Q2 - 2:19OKCMISS Westbrook 1' Reverse Layup54
47.2%
54
52.8%
Q2 - 2:43DENHarrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)54
44.9%
54
55.1%
Q2 - 3:02OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)51
39.3%
54
60.7%
Q2 - 3:02OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)51
39.6%
53
60.4%
Q2 - 3:15DENWestbrook STEAL (1 STL)51
41.7%
52
58.3%
Q2 - 3:28OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)51
45.3%
52
54.7%
Q2 - 3:33OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
51.0%
49
49.0%
Q2 - 3:34DENDurant BLOCK (2 BLK)51
52.1%
49
47.9%
Q2 - 3:48OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)51
54.6%
49
45.4%
Q2 - 3:48OKCMISS Durant Free Throw 1 of 251
54.9%
48
45.1%
Q2 - 3:51DENDurant STEAL (1 STL)51
54.1%
48
45.9%
Q2 - 4:11OKCDurant 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)51
57.0%
48
43.0%
Q2 - 4:26DENSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T6)51
59.7%
46
40.3%
Q2 - 4:53OKCDurant 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (14 PTS) (Westbrook 3 AST)51
62.9%
46
37.1%
Q2 - 5:12DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)51
65.2%
44
34.8%
Q2 - 5:12DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)50
64.5%
44
35.5%
Q2 - 5:24OKCDurant 3' Running Bank Shot (12 PTS)49
62.4%
44
37.6%
Q2 - 5:43DENLawson 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)49
65.1%
42
34.9%
Q2 - 5:54DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)46
59.6%
42
40.4%
Q2 - 5:55OKCMISS Collison 3' Layup46
58.7%
42
41.3%
Q2 - 5:58OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
56.7%
42
43.3%
Q2 - 5:59OKCMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
58.7%
42
41.3%
Q2 - 6:11DENLawson 2' Layup (7 PTS)46
56.0%
42
44.0%
Q2 - 6:16OKCGreen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)44
53.6%
42
46.4%
Q2 - 6:34OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
50.4%
42
49.6%
Q2 - 6:35DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 244
50.8%
42
49.2%
Q2 - 6:35DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)44
52.5%
42
47.5%
Q2 - 6:52OKCHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
50.8%
42
49.2%
Q2 - 6:52OKCHarden 2' Putback Layup (14 PTS)43
50.8%
42
49.2%
Q2 - 6:54OKCMISS Green 3' Layup43
55.5%
40
44.5%
Q2 - 6:58OKCHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
53.2%
40
46.8%
Q2 - 6:59DENMISS Forbes 6' Floating Jump Shot43
54.2%
40
45.8%
Q2 - 7:16OKCHarden Free Throw 3 of 3 (12 PTS)43
56.0%
40
44.0%
Q2 - 7:16OKCHarden Free Throw 2 of 3 (11 PTS)43
56.4%
39
43.6%
Q2 - 7:16OKCHarden Free Throw 1 of 3 (10 PTS)43
56.9%
38
43.1%
Q2 - 7:32DENForbes 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)43
61.3%
37
38.7%
Q2 - 7:56OKCHarden 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Maynor 1 AST)41
58.8%
37
41.2%
Q2 - 8:00DENMaynor STEAL (1 STL)41
61.3%
35
38.7%
Q2 - 8:16DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
63.4%
35
36.6%
Q2 - 8:18OKCMISS Collison 5' Hook Shot41
62.6%
35
37.4%
Q2 - 8:39DENLawson 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)41
60.8%
35
39.2%
Q2 - 8:50OKCHarden 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Krstic 1 AST)39
58.3%
35
41.7%
Q2 - 8:54OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
63.4%
32
36.6%
Q2 - 8:55OKCMISS Maynor 7' Floating Jump Shot39
65.1%
32
34.9%
Q2 - 9:09DENHarrington 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)39
62.7%
32
37.3%
Q2 - 9:22OKCHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
57.8%
32
42.2%
Q2 - 9:22OKCHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
58.2%
31
41.8%
Q2 - 9:41OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
60.2%
30
39.8%
Q2 - 9:41DENMISS Harrington 16' Step Back Jump Shot36
61.0%
30
39.0%
Q2 - 10:07OKCKrstic 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)36
62.4%
30
37.6%
Q2 - 10:20DENAndersen 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)36
64.5%
28
35.5%
Q2 - 10:31OKCHarden 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)34
62.4%
28
37.6%
Q2 - 10:44DENHarrington Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)34
64.6%
26
35.4%
Q2 - 10:51DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
67.1%
26
32.9%
Q2 - 10:52OKCMISS Collison 5' Turnaround Jump Shot34
66.3%
26
33.7%
Q2 - 11:07OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
64.2%
26
35.8%
Q2 - 11:08DENMISS Andersen 20' Jump Shot34
64.9%
26
35.1%
Q2 - 11:18DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
66.6%
26
33.4%
Q2 - 11:20OKCMISS Green 5' Hook Shot34
65.9%
26
34.1%
Q2 - 11:40OKCHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
64.2%
26
35.8%
Q2 - 11:41DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
64.9%
26
35.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN34
66.6%
26
33.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0OKCDurant 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS)34
66.6%
26
33.4%
Q1 - 0:07.0DENForbes Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)34
68.1%
24
31.9%
Q1 - 0:07.0DENForbes Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)33
67.5%
24
32.5%
Q1 - 0:09.0OKCDurant 8' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)32
65.5%
24
34.5%
Q1 - 0:31.0DENLawson 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
68.1%
22
31.9%
Q1 - 0:37.0OKCDurant Foul Turnover (P2.T2)30
65.6%
22
34.4%
Q1 - 0:45.0DENHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)30
63.8%
22
36.2%
Q1 - 0:59.0OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
65.6%
22
34.4%
Q1 - 0:59.0OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
65.8%
21
34.2%
Q1 - 1:15DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)30
67.6%
20
32.4%
Q1 - 1:15DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 229
67.1%
20
32.9%
Q1 - 1:28DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
67.1%
20
32.9%
Q1 - 1:29OKCMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
66.6%
20
33.4%
Q1 - 1:45DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)29
65.5%
20
34.5%
Q1 - 2:01DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
60.5%
20
39.5%
Q1 - 2:03OKCMISS Westbrook 2' Driving Layup26
59.9%
20
40.1%
Q1 - 2:19DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Forbes 1 AST)26
58.5%
20
41.5%
Q1 - 2:25DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
53.7%
20
46.3%
Q1 - 2:26OKCMISS Westbrook 9' Floating Jump Shot23
53.1%
20
46.9%
Q1 - 2:38OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
51.6%
20
48.4%
Q1 - 2:39DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 123
51.9%
20
48.1%
Q1 - 2:39DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)21
49.1%
20
50.9%
Q1 - 2:40DENMISS Nene 3' Dunk21
47.6%
20
52.4%
Q1 - 2:49DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
49.1%
20
50.9%
Q1 - 2:50OKCMISS Durant 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
48.4%
20
51.6%
Q1 - 3:08DENBillups 15' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)21
46.8%
20
53.2%
Q1 - 3:27OKCWestbrook 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Green 2 AST)19
44.7%
20
55.3%
Q1 - 3:44DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)19
46.8%
18
53.2%
Q1 - 3:44DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)18
46.3%
18
53.7%
Q1 - 4:00DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
44.6%
18
55.4%
Q1 - 4:01OKCMISS Westbrook 6' Jump Bank Shot17
43.7%
18
56.3%
Q1 - 4:19DENMISS Martin 4' Turnaround Jump Shot17
42.8%
18
57.2%
Q1 - 4:19DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)17
42.1%
18
57.9%
Q1 - 4:19DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)14
38.0%
18
62.0%
Q1 - 4:36OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
38.0%
18
62.0%
Q1 - 4:36OKCMISS Westbrook Free Throw 1 of 214
38.3%
17
61.7%
Q1 - 4:43DENMartin Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T2)14
37.8%
17
62.2%
Q1 - 4:59OKCSefolosha Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
40.1%
17
59.9%
Q1 - 4:59OKCSefolosha Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
40.6%
16
59.4%
Q1 - 5:03OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
42.0%
15
58.0%
Q1 - 5:05DENMISS Nene 3' Jump Bank Shot14
42.7%
15
57.3%
Q1 - 5:14DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
44.4%
15
55.6%
Q1 - 5:15OKCMISS Krstic 15' Jump Shot14
43.7%
15
56.3%
Q1 - 5:31DENBillups 16' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
42.0%
15
58.0%
Q1 - 5:40DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
40.2%
15
59.8%
Q1 - 5:41OKCMISS Durant 19' Jump Shot12
39.5%
15
60.5%
Q1 - 6:01DENBillups 14' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)12
38.1%
15
61.9%
Q1 - 6:27OKCGreen 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Westbrook 2 AST)10
36.2%
15
63.8%
Q1 - 6:30OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
38.0%
13
62.0%
Q1 - 6:33DENSefolosha BLOCK (1 BLK)10
38.7%
13
61.3%
Q1 - 6:40DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
40.1%
13
59.9%
Q1 - 6:41OKCMISS Durant 14' Jump Shot10
39.5%
13
60.5%
Q1 - 6:51OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
38.0%
13
62.0%
Q1 - 6:53DENMISS Billups 1' Driving Layup10
38.7%
13
61.3%
Q1 - 7:16OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)10
40.3%
13
59.7%
Q1 - 7:30DENNene 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS)10
44.0%
10
56.0%
Q1 - 7:35DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
42.2%
10
57.8%
Q1 - 7:37OKCMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot8
41.6%
10
58.4%
Q1 - 7:52OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
40.1%
10
59.9%
Q1 - 7:53DENMISS Billups 23' Jump Shot8
40.7%
10
59.3%
Q1 - 8:21OKCGreen 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Durant 1 AST)8
42.2%
10
57.8%
Q1 - 8:35OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
44.2%
8
55.8%
Q1 - 8:37OKCMISS Westbrook 4' Floating Jump Shot8
45.5%
8
54.5%
Q1 - 8:43OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
44.2%
8
55.8%
Q1 - 8:44DENDurant BLOCK (1 BLK)8
44.8%
8
55.2%
Q1 - 9:05DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
46.3%
8
53.7%
Q1 - 9:06OKCMISS Westbrook 7' Running Jump Shot8
45.7%
8
54.3%
Q1 - 9:30DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
44.4%
8
55.6%
Q1 - 9:30DENMartin 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)8
44.4%
8
55.6%
Q1 - 9:31DENMISS Nene 3' Hook Shot6
41.2%
8
58.8%
Q1 - 9:47OKCKrstic 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Westbrook 1 AST)6
42.5%
8
57.5%
Q1 - 10:08DENBillups 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)6
44.2%
6
55.8%
Q1 - 10:26OKCDurant 6' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)4
42.7%
6
57.3%
Q1 - 10:39DENMartin 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)4
44.2%
4
55.8%
Q1 - 10:43OKCDurant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
42.7%
4
57.3%
Q1 - 10:46OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
40.7%
4
59.3%
Q1 - 10:49OKCMISS Sefolosha 2' Layup2
42.1%
4
57.9%
Q1 - 10:54DENSefolosha STEAL (1 STL)2
40.7%
4
59.3%
Q1 - 11:05OKCSefolosha 1' Layup (2 PTS)2
42.6%
4
57.4%
Q1 - 11:09OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
44.3%
2
55.7%
Q1 - 11:10OKCMISS Green 14' Jump Shot2
45.4%
2
54.6%
Q1 - 11:28DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
44.3%
2
55.7%
Q1 - 11:28DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
44.0%
2
56.0%
Q1 - 11:44OKCDurant 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)0
42.6%
2
57.4%
Q1 - 12:00OKCJump Ball Krstic vs. Nene: Tip to Green0
44.3%
0
55.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.26 63.1%
OKC
1.15 57.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
20
35
57%
OKC
20
34
59%
Midrange
DEN
9
18
50%
OKC
14
30
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
8
12.0
17
47%
71%
OKC
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
Free Throws
DEN
24
30
80%
OKC
28
35
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups3083%15.0 / 18
Nene2170%10.5 / 15
T. Lawson1963%9.5 / 15
K. Martin1056%5.0 / 9
A. Harrington990%4.5 / 5
J. Smith650%3.0 / 6
G. Forbes660%3.0 / 5
C. Andersen338%1.5 / 4
A. Afflalo225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Durant4481%22.0 / 27
J. Harden2175%10.5 / 14
R. Westbrook1945%9.5 / 21
J. Green1238%6.0 / 16
E. Maynor660%3.0 / 5
T. Sefolosha467%2.0 / 3
N. Krstic450%2.0 / 4
S. Ibaka4100%2.0 / 2
N. Collison0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
76
+6
-17
82
OKC
87
+11
-8
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.26 63.1%
OKC
1.15 57.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.7
110.8
DEN 114.0
OKC 120.0 +6.0
Pace
95.2
93.1
DEN 106.3 +21.8
OKC 84.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
15.2
DEN 13.5 +3.5
OKC 17.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.6%
50.1%
DEN 58.6% +5.5%
OKC 53.1%
TO %
14.5%
14.2%
DEN 17.8%
OKC 8.5% +9.3%
ORB %
23.8%
27.4%
DEN 15.6%
OKC 23.1% +7.5%
FTrt
36.7
36.3
DEN 42.9
OKC 43.2 +0.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
54.5%
DEN 40.5%
OKC 55.0% +14.5%
STL %
7.7%
8.4%
DEN 5.4%
OKC 10.5% +5.1%
BLK %
6.8%
8.9%
DEN 1.6%
OKC 15.1% +13.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.3%
54.5%
DEN 63.1% +5.5%
OKC 57.6%
Rim FG%
58.5%
61.9%
DEN 57.1%
OKC 58.8% +1.7%
Mid FG%
40.0%
39.2%
DEN 50.0% +3.3%
OKC 46.7%
3P %
38.8%
34.7%
DEN 47.1% +11.8%
OKC 35.3%
FT %
76.6%
82.4%
DEN 80.0%
OKC 80.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.5%
35.9%
DEN 50.0% +8.0%
OKC 42.0%
Mid Att. %
31.8%
42.9%
DEN 25.7% +11.3%
OKC 37.0%
3P Att. %
25.8%
21.2%
DEN 24.3% +3.3%
OKC 21.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsDENOKC
Possessions9395
Possession Minutes21.027.0
Points106114
Rebounds3536
Assists1522
Steals510
Blocks18
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)8 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (1)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (4)27 (2)
Field Goals37-7040-81
At-the-Rim FG20-3520-34
Midrange FG9-1814-30
2-Point FG29-5334-64
3-Point FG8-176-17
Free Throws24-3028-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 210 · 34
38.9
30
83%
3
3
2
0
2
4
0
3
7-7
100%
7-12
58%
3-4
75%
C · 6'11" 250 · 28
36.4
21
70%
12
3
0
1
1
2
3
9
5-7
71%
8-13
62%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
28.8
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 225 · 25
28.1
6
50%
3
0
1
0
2
5
0
3
4-4
100%
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 33
21.4
10
56%
4
1
0
0
1
2
2
2
2-4
50%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 195 · 23
32.5
19
63%
0
5
1
0
4
1
0
0
3-4
75%
5-8
63%
2-5
40%
F · 6'9" 245 · 31
22.0
9
90%
8
2
1
0
6
2
0
8
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-4
75%
F · 6'7" 220 · 26
16.4
6
60%
0
1
0
0
1
3
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32
15.4
3
38%
5
0
0
0
0
2
0
5
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27
G · 6'1" 190 · 36
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 33
#15 · F · 6'8" 240 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · F · 6'8" 225 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
63%
35
15
5
1
17
0
5
30
24-30
80%
29-53
55%
8-17
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.