FinalWin Prob.pScore
144%96
96
256%98
80
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
111.68676.2
LAL logo LAL
94.18597.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIALAL
Q4 - 0:00.0LAL96
100%
80
0%
Q4 - 0:07.0LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)96
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)96
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0LALMISS Brown 20' Jump Shot96
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)96
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot96
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00LALBynum 2' Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)96
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 1:15LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)96
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:34LALBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)96
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:34LALBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)96
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:36LALBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:37MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot96
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)96
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:54LALMISS Bynum 6' Jump Shot96
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:20MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)96
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:20MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 295
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:34MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)95
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:37LALMISS Barnes 3' Dunk95
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:45MIABosh REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)95
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:45MIABosh Tip Shot (24 PTS)95
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:51MIABosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)93
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:51MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup93
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:54MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot93
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 3:13LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)93
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 3:13LALBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)93
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 3:13LALBryant 1' Layup (16 PTS)93
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 3:14LALMISS Brown 3' Layup93
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:25MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)93
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:25MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)92
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:41LALGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)91
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:51MIABryant STEAL (1 STL)91
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 4:05LALBryant Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)91
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 4:19MIADampier 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 10 AST)91
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 4:46LALBryant Foul Turnover (P3.T11)89
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 5:03MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)89
99.8%
70
0.2%
Q4 - 5:23MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
99.6%
70
0.4%
Q4 - 5:24LALMISS Gasol 2' Hook Shot86
99.6%
70
0.4%
Q4 - 5:45LALBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
99.5%
70
0.5%
Q4 - 5:46MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot86
99.5%
70
0.5%
Q4 - 6:12MIAHeat Rebound86
99.3%
70
0.7%
Q4 - 6:13LALMISS Bryant Free Throw 2 of 286
99.3%
70
0.7%
Q4 - 6:13LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)86
99.1%
70
0.9%
Q4 - 6:19LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
99.3%
69
0.7%
Q4 - 6:20MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot86
99.4%
69
0.6%
Q4 - 6:36MIAHeat Rebound86
99.5%
69
0.5%
Q4 - 6:38LALMISS Odom 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
99.4%
69
0.6%
Q4 - 6:44LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)86
99.3%
69
0.7%
Q4 - 6:45MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot86
99.4%
69
0.6%
Q4 - 7:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)86
99.2%
69
0.8%
Q4 - 7:03LALMISS Blake 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
99.1%
69
0.9%
Q4 - 7:24MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)86
98.9%
69
1.1%
Q4 - 7:24MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)85
98.9%
69
1.1%
Q4 - 7:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)84
98.6%
69
1.4%
Q4 - 7:38LALMISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
98.5%
69
1.5%
Q4 - 8:04MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 9 AST)84
97.5%
69
2.5%
Q4 - 8:21LALBryant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)81
95.9%
69
4.1%
Q4 - 8:32MIAJames 2' Putback Layup (23 PTS)81
94.8%
69
5.2%
Q4 - 8:33MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)79
93.4%
69
6.6%
Q4 - 8:35MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup79
92.2%
69
7.8%
Q4 - 8:41LALBynum Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)79
93.4%
69
6.6%
Q4 - 8:54MIADampier 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T9)79
91.7%
69
8.3%
Q4 - 9:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
92.0%
69
8.0%
Q4 - 9:08LALMISS Bryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
91.5%
69
8.5%
Q4 - 9:31LALBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
90.2%
69
9.8%
Q4 - 9:32MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
90.8%
69
9.2%
Q4 - 9:53MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
92.1%
69
7.9%
Q4 - 9:55LALMISS Blake 3PT Jump Shot79
91.6%
69
8.4%
Q4 - 10:12MIAChalmers 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)79
88.8%
69
11.2%
Q4 - 10:32LALBrown 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)77
86.5%
69
13.5%
Q4 - 10:49MIABosh 1' Layup (22 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)77
91.0%
66
9.0%
Q4 - 11:06LALOdom 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS)75
87.6%
66
12.4%
Q4 - 11:14LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)75
89.8%
64
10.2%
Q4 - 11:15MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot75
90.3%
64
9.7%
Q4 - 11:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)75
91.6%
64
8.4%
Q4 - 11:38LALMISS Bryant 19' Jump Shot75
91.1%
64
8.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0LAL75
89.8%
64
10.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0LALGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)75
89.8%
64
10.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
90.4%
64
9.6%
Q3 - 0:08.0LALGasol 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)75
90.5%
64
9.5%
Q3 - 0:10.0LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
92.2%
62
7.8%
Q3 - 0:13.0LALMISS Bynum 4' Hook Shot75
93.1%
62
6.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0LALBrown Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)75
92.3%
62
7.7%
Q3 - 0:39.0LALGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)75
93.6%
61
6.4%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot75
94.0%
61
6.0%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
94.7%
61
5.3%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
94.0%
61
6.0%
Q3 - 1:01MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
93.9%
61
6.1%
Q3 - 1:02LALMISS Brown 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
93.6%
61
6.4%
Q3 - 1:19MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)75
92.9%
61
7.1%
Q3 - 1:46LALBrown 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (World Peace 4 AST)72
89.6%
61
10.4%
Q3 - 1:50LALLAKERS Rebound72
91.5%
59
8.5%
Q3 - 1:51LALMISS Brown 6' Jump Shot72
92.4%
59
7.6%
Q3 - 2:05LALBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
90.2%
59
9.8%
Q3 - 2:06MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
90.7%
59
9.3%
Q3 - 2:14MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)72
91.8%
59
8.2%
Q3 - 2:15LALMISS Blake 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
91.3%
59
8.7%
Q3 - 2:34MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)72
90.3%
59
9.7%
Q3 - 2:34MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)71
90.0%
59
10.0%
Q3 - 2:46LALGasol 2' Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (World Peace 3 AST)70
88.5%
59
11.5%
Q3 - 2:57LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
90.4%
57
9.6%
Q3 - 2:58MIAMISS Arroyo 3PT Jump Shot70
90.8%
57
9.2%
Q3 - 3:24LALOdom 2' Layup (12 PTS) (World Peace 2 AST)70
91.0%
57
9.0%
Q3 - 3:39MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)70
92.3%
55
7.7%
Q3 - 4:01LALFisher 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)68
90.4%
55
9.6%
Q3 - 4:20MIAIlgauskas 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 8 AST)68
92.9%
52
7.1%
Q3 - 4:41LALOdom 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)66
91.9%
52
8.1%
Q3 - 4:55MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)66
92.9%
50
7.1%
Q3 - 5:03MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)64
90.8%
50
9.2%
Q3 - 5:04LALMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 264
90.6%
50
9.4%
Q3 - 5:04LALMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 264
89.7%
50
10.3%
Q3 - 5:16MIAIlgauskas 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)64
89.2%
50
10.8%
Q3 - 5:42LALGasol 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bryant 7 AST)62
87.7%
50
12.3%
Q3 - 6:02MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)62
88.2%
48
11.8%
Q3 - 6:02MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)61
87.8%
48
12.2%
Q3 - 6:19LALWorld Peace Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)60
86.6%
48
13.4%
Q3 - 6:23MIAWorld Peace STEAL (1 STL)60
84.5%
48
15.5%
Q3 - 6:40MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)60
86.7%
48
13.3%
Q3 - 6:42LALMISS Bryant 18' Jump Shot60
86.0%
48
14.0%
Q3 - 7:02MIABosh 4' Jump Shot (20 PTS)60
83.1%
48
16.9%
Q3 - 7:05MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)58
80.9%
48
19.1%
Q3 - 7:06MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup58
79.2%
48
20.8%
Q3 - 7:22MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
81.0%
48
19.0%
Q3 - 7:22LALMISS World Peace 2' Layup58
80.3%
48
19.7%
Q3 - 7:38MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)58
78.5%
48
21.5%
Q3 - 8:03LALWorld Peace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)55
72.3%
48
27.7%
Q3 - 8:21MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)55
77.8%
45
22.2%
Q3 - 8:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)54
77.2%
45
22.8%
Q3 - 8:35MIAHeat Rebound53
75.3%
45
24.7%
Q3 - 8:35LALMISS Odom 3' Jump Shot53
74.3%
45
25.7%
Q3 - 8:43LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)53
72.1%
45
27.9%
Q3 - 8:44MIAMISS Arroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
73.1%
45
26.9%
Q3 - 9:08LALFisher Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)53
74.4%
45
25.6%
Q3 - 9:23MIAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 7 AST)53
71.5%
45
28.5%
Q3 - 9:29MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
68.5%
45
31.5%
Q3 - 9:30LALMISS World Peace 2' Layup51
67.5%
45
32.5%
Q3 - 9:42MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)51
65.2%
45
34.8%
Q3 - 10:13LALBryant 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Fisher 3 AST)51
67.7%
45
32.3%
Q3 - 10:20LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
73.5%
42
26.5%
Q3 - 10:22MIAMISS Arroyo 3PT Jump Shot51
74.4%
42
25.6%
Q3 - 10:42LALGasol 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Fisher 2 AST)51
76.3%
42
23.7%
Q3 - 10:59MIAIlgauskas 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 6 AST)51
78.8%
40
21.2%
Q3 - 11:22LALBryant 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)49
75.6%
40
24.4%
Q3 - 11:42MIAWade 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS) (James 5 AST)49
77.9%
38
22.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0LAL47
75.6%
38
24.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAFisher STEAL (2 STL)47
72.8%
38
27.2%
Q2 - 0:05.0LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)47
74.3%
38
25.7%
Q2 - 0:05.0LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)47
74.6%
37
25.4%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
74.4%
36
25.7%
Q2 - 0:33.0LALMISS Bryant 1' Layup45
73.7%
36
26.3%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)45
72.3%
36
27.7%
Q2 - 0:59.0LALGasol 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Bryant 6 AST)43
69.0%
36
31.0%
Q2 - 1:09LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)43
71.9%
34
28.1%
Q2 - 1:10MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot43
72.4%
34
27.6%
Q2 - 1:27LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)43
73.7%
34
26.3%
Q2 - 1:27LALWorld Peace 2' Tip Shot (5 PTS)43
73.7%
34
26.3%
Q2 - 1:29LALMISS World Peace 2' Layup43
78.0%
32
22.0%
Q2 - 1:40MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T5)43
76.8%
32
23.2%
Q2 - 1:45LALGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)43
78.5%
32
21.5%
Q2 - 1:54MIAIlgauskas Foul Turnover (P1.T4)43
76.8%
32
23.2%
Q2 - 1:54MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
78.5%
32
21.5%
Q2 - 1:57LALMISS World Peace Layup43
78.0%
32
22.0%
Q2 - 1:57LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
76.8%
32
23.2%
Q2 - 1:58LALMISS Odom 2' Layup43
78.0%
32
22.0%
Q2 - 2:10MIABosh 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)43
75.7%
32
24.3%
Q2 - 2:25LALWorld Peace 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bryant 5 AST)41
73.4%
32
26.6%
Q2 - 2:44MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)41
78.1%
29
21.9%
Q2 - 2:59MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)38
73.5%
29
26.5%
Q2 - 2:59LALBryant Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)37
70.9%
29
29.1%
Q2 - 3:10LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
67.4%
29
32.6%
Q2 - 3:12MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
68.4%
29
31.6%
Q2 - 3:45LALGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)37
70.6%
29
29.4%
Q2 - 3:45LALGasol 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)37
70.6%
29
29.4%
Q2 - 3:48LALMISS Bryant 1' Layup37
74.6%
27
25.4%
Q2 - 4:01MIAWade 2' Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (James 3 AST)37
71.9%
27
28.1%
Q2 - 4:24LALBryant 13' Fadeaway Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)35
69.7%
27
30.3%
Q2 - 4:41LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)35
72.0%
25
28.0%
Q2 - 4:43MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
72.8%
25
27.2%
Q2 - 4:53MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
74.6%
25
25.4%
Q2 - 4:54MIAMISS James 3' Layup35
72.8%
25
27.2%
Q2 - 5:01MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
73.9%
25
26.1%
Q2 - 5:02LALMISS Gasol 7' Jump Shot35
73.2%
25
26.8%
Q2 - 5:19LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)35
71.6%
25
28.4%
Q2 - 5:20MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot35
72.3%
25
27.7%
Q2 - 5:42LALGasol 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Fisher 1 AST)35
73.9%
25
26.1%
Q2 - 5:55LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
76.1%
23
23.9%
Q2 - 5:57MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
76.8%
23
23.2%
Q2 - 6:04LALWorld Peace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)35
77.3%
23
22.7%
Q2 - 6:16MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)35
75.0%
23
25.0%
Q2 - 6:16MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)34
74.5%
23
25.5%
Q2 - 6:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)33
73.2%
23
26.8%
Q2 - 6:33LALMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 233
72.8%
23
27.2%
Q2 - 6:33LALOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)33
71.5%
23
28.5%
Q2 - 6:38LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
72.8%
22
27.2%
Q2 - 6:39MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot33
73.6%
22
26.4%
Q2 - 7:02LALBryant 2' Layup (4 PTS)33
74.5%
22
25.5%
Q2 - 7:14LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
76.5%
20
23.5%
Q2 - 7:15MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot33
77.1%
20
22.9%
Q2 - 7:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)33
78.5%
20
21.5%
Q2 - 7:23LALMISS Odom 1' Layup33
77.9%
20
22.1%
Q2 - 7:43MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)33
76.5%
20
23.5%
Q2 - 8:04LALOdom 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Bryant 4 AST)30
71.5%
20
28.5%
Q2 - 8:29MIAWade 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)30
73.6%
18
26.4%
Q2 - 8:58LALBrown 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Bryant 3 AST)28
71.6%
18
28.4%
Q2 - 9:08LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
72.7%
16
27.3%
Q2 - 9:10MIABynum BLOCK (1 BLK)28
73.4%
16
26.6%
Q2 - 9:20LALBlake Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)28
74.9%
16
25.1%
Q2 - 9:32MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)28
72.8%
16
27.2%
Q2 - 9:59LALBryant 2' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)25
68.6%
16
31.4%
Q2 - 10:17MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)25
70.0%
14
30.0%
Q2 - 10:29MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
68.1%
14
31.9%
Q2 - 10:30LALMISS Bryant 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
67.3%
14
32.7%
Q2 - 10:41LALBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
65.6%
14
34.4%
Q2 - 10:43MIAMISS Wade 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot23
66.3%
14
33.7%
Q2 - 10:55LALOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)23
68.1%
14
31.9%
Q2 - 11:19MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)23
65.2%
14
34.8%
Q2 - 11:32MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
63.0%
14
37.0%
Q2 - 11:33LALMISS Blake 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
62.2%
14
37.8%
Q2 - 11:51LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
60.5%
14
39.5%
Q2 - 11:52MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 221
60.8%
14
39.2%
Q2 - 11:52MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)21
62.5%
14
37.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0LAL20
60.6%
14
39.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0LALLAKERS Rebound20
58.0%
14
42.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0LALMISS Blake 90' 3PT Jump Shot20
59.9%
14
40.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)20
58.0%
14
42.0%
Q1 - 0:15.0LALBynum 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)18
54.8%
14
45.2%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)18
57.7%
12
42.3%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 217
57.3%
12
42.7%
Q1 - 0:57.0LALBynum 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)17
57.3%
12
42.7%
Q1 - 1:10LALBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
59.7%
10
40.3%
Q1 - 1:12MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
60.2%
10
39.8%
Q1 - 1:30MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
61.4%
10
38.6%
Q1 - 1:32LALMISS Brown 13' Jump Shot17
60.9%
10
39.1%
Q1 - 1:39LALBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
59.7%
10
40.3%
Q1 - 1:42MIAMISS Howard 15' Jump Shot17
60.2%
10
39.8%
Q1 - 2:03MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
61.3%
10
38.7%
Q1 - 2:04LALMISS Gasol 9' Jump Shot17
60.7%
10
39.3%
Q1 - 2:19MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)17
59.3%
10
40.7%
Q1 - 2:33LALBrown Foul Turnover (P1.T1)17
61.3%
10
38.7%
Q1 - 2:49MIADampier Foul Turnover (P1.T2)17
59.3%
10
40.7%
Q1 - 2:56MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
61.3%
10
38.7%
Q1 - 2:57LALMISS Fisher 3PT Jump Shot17
60.7%
10
39.3%
Q1 - 3:08LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
58.9%
10
41.1%
Q1 - 3:09MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
59.6%
10
40.4%
Q1 - 3:13MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
61.2%
10
38.8%
Q1 - 3:15LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
58.9%
10
41.1%
Q1 - 3:15LALMISS Gasol Tip Shot17
60.5%
10
39.5%
Q1 - 3:19LALMISS Barnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
60.5%
10
39.5%
Q1 - 3:26LALLAKERS Rebound17
58.9%
10
41.1%
Q1 - 3:26LALMISS Bryant 2' Layup17
60.5%
10
39.5%
Q1 - 3:47MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)17
59.0%
10
41.0%
Q1 - 4:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)14
54.0%
10
46.0%
Q1 - 4:09LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
51.6%
10
48.4%
Q1 - 4:09LALMISS Gasol 1' Tip Shot14
53.3%
10
46.7%
Q1 - 4:12LALMISS Odom 6' Jump Shot14
53.3%
10
46.7%
Q1 - 4:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)14
51.7%
10
48.3%
Q1 - 4:23MIABosh 1' Tip Shot (9 PTS)14
51.7%
10
48.3%
Q1 - 4:28MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup12
47.9%
10
52.1%
Q1 - 4:30MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
49.6%
10
50.4%
Q1 - 4:32MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot12
48.0%
10
52.0%
Q1 - 4:54MIAHeat Rebound12
49.6%
10
50.4%
Q1 - 4:55LALMISS Bryant 2' Layup12
48.9%
10
51.1%
Q1 - 4:59LALBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
47.2%
10
52.8%
Q1 - 5:02MIAMISS Wade 1' Dunk12
47.6%
10
52.4%
Q1 - 5:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
49.3%
10
50.7%
Q1 - 5:07LALMISS Gasol 3' Jump Shot12
48.5%
10
51.5%
Q1 - 5:19MIABosh 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 2 AST)12
46.9%
10
53.1%
Q1 - 5:37LALBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
45.0%
10
55.0%
Q1 - 5:37LALBarnes 1' Layup (2 PTS)10
45.0%
10
55.0%
Q1 - 5:40LALMISS Gasol 5' Jump Shot10
48.5%
8
51.5%
Q1 - 6:03MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)10
46.7%
8
53.3%
Q1 - 6:15MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
42.7%
8
57.3%
Q1 - 6:16LALMISS Bryant 3' Layup7
42.1%
8
57.9%
Q1 - 6:29MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)7
40.6%
8
59.4%
Q1 - 6:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
36.7%
8
63.3%
Q1 - 6:41LALMISS Barnes 2' Layup4
36.1%
8
63.9%
Q1 - 6:51LALFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
34.7%
8
65.3%
Q1 - 6:53MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot4
35.3%
8
64.7%
Q1 - 7:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
36.9%
8
63.1%
Q1 - 7:18LALMISS Gasol 7' Hook Shot4
36.2%
8
63.8%
Q1 - 7:34LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
34.8%
8
65.2%
Q1 - 7:35MIAMISS Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot4
35.4%
8
64.6%
Q1 - 7:45MIAHeat Rebound4
36.9%
8
63.1%
Q1 - 7:46MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot4
35.4%
8
64.6%
Q1 - 8:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
36.9%
8
63.1%
Q1 - 8:12LALMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 24
36.6%
8
63.4%
Q1 - 8:12LALOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)4
35.6%
8
64.4%
Q1 - 8:21MIAFisher STEAL (1 STL)4
36.9%
7
63.1%
Q1 - 8:34MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
38.8%
7
61.2%
Q1 - 8:36LALMISS Bryant 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot4
38.2%
7
61.8%
Q1 - 8:53MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)4
36.9%
7
63.1%
Q1 - 9:03MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
35.6%
7
64.4%
Q1 - 9:04LALMISS Gasol 9' Jump Shot2
35.1%
7
64.9%
Q1 - 9:19LALFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
33.9%
7
66.1%
Q1 - 9:20MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot2
34.4%
7
65.6%
Q1 - 9:27MIAHeat Rebound2
35.6%
7
64.4%
Q1 - 9:28MIAMISS Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot2
34.4%
7
65.6%
Q1 - 9:53LALFisher 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)2
35.5%
7
64.5%
Q1 - 10:06LALGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
39.2%
4
60.8%
Q1 - 10:07MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot2
39.8%
4
60.2%
Q1 - 10:27LALOdom 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Bryant 2 AST)2
41.2%
4
58.8%
Q1 - 10:36LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
42.7%
2
57.3%
Q1 - 10:37MIAMISS James 2' Layup2
43.3%
2
56.7%
Q1 - 10:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
44.7%
2
55.3%
Q1 - 10:45LALMISS World Peace 18' Jump Shot2
44.1%
2
55.9%
Q1 - 10:59LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
42.7%
2
57.3%
Q1 - 11:00LALMISS Odom 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
44.1%
2
55.9%
Q1 - 11:23MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
42.8%
2
57.2%
Q1 - 11:29MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
41.0%
2
59.0%
Q1 - 11:30MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot0
40.0%
2
60.0%
Q1 - 11:50LALOdom 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Bryant 1 AST)0
41.0%
2
59.0%
Q1 - 12:00LALJump Ball Gasol vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Odom0
42.7%
0
57.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.5%
LAL
0.89 44.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
21
62%
LAL
19
40
48%
Midrange
MIA
13
33
39%
LAL
7
20
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
25
36%
54%
LAL
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
Free Throws
MIA
17
20
85%
LAL
10
15
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2779%13.5 / 17
C. Bosh2471%12.0 / 17
D. Wade1845%9.0 / 20
M. Chalmers1354%6.5 / 12
Z. Ilgauskas660%3.0 / 5
J. Jones325%1.5 / 6
C. Arroyo220%1.0 / 5
E. Dampier2100%1.0 / 1
J. Howard117%0.5 / 3
M. Miller0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Bryant1745%8.5 / 19
P. Gasol1750%8.5 / 17
L. Odom1447%7.0 / 15
S. Brown1050%5.0 / 10
M. World Peace850%4.0 / 8
D. Fisher6100%3.0 / 3
A. Bynum660%3.0 / 5
M. Barnes225%1.0 / 4
S. Blake0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+11
-9
88
LAL
73
+12
-12
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.5%
LAL
0.89 44.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
111.1
MIA 111.6
LAL 94.1 +17.5
Pace
91.3
90.7
MIA 76.2
LAL 97.6 +21.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.2
MIA 18.9
LAL 14.8 +4.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
50.2%
MIA 50.0% +5.7%
LAL 44.3%
TO %
14.4%
13.8%
MIA 10.2% +2.1%
LAL 12.3%
ORB %
25.2%
29.2%
MIA 20.9% +0.4%
LAL 20.5%
FTrt
36.3
29.3
MIA 25.3 +6.3
LAL 19.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
57.6%
MIA 71.4% +2.6%
LAL 68.8%
STL %
7.3%
8.0%
MIA 10.5% +5.8%
LAL 4.7%
BLK %
8.5%
8.1%
MIA 6.7% +4.8%
LAL 1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
53.1%
MIA 54.5% +10.1%
LAL 44.4%
Rim FG%
64.7%
60.7%
MIA 61.9% +14.4%
LAL 47.5%
Mid FG%
42.2%
40.2%
MIA 39.4% +4.4%
LAL 35.0%
3P %
37.0%
35.2%
MIA 36.0% +4.4%
LAL 31.6%
FT %
76.9%
77.9%
MIA 85.0% +18.3%
LAL 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
35.0%
MIA 26.6%
LAL 50.6% +24.1%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
43.0%
MIA 41.8%
LAL 25.3% +16.5%
3P Att. %
23.5%
22.0%
MIA 31.6% +7.6%
LAL 24.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIALAL
Possessions8685
Possession Minutes27.120.9
Points9680
Rebounds4443
Assists2522
Steals94
Blocks41
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (4)34 (0)
Field Goals35-7932-79
At-the-Rim FG13-2119-40
Midrange FG13-337-20
2-Point FG26-5426-60
3-Point FG9-256-19
Free Throws17-2010-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
38.4
24
71%
13
2
1
1
1
2
5
8
2-3
67%
11-17
65%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
38.2
27
79%
11
10
4
0
1
2
1
10
6-6
100%
3-8
38%
5-6
83%
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
36.1
18
45%
5
6
1
1
3
3
0
5
6-6
100%
6-16
38%
0-1
0%
C · 7'3" 260 · 36
23.0
6
60%
3
0
0
2
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
18.6
2
20%
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
29.4
13
54%
2
2
1
0
1
2
0
2
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
3-9
33%
C · 6'11" 265 · 35
21.6
2
100%
3
0
1
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
20.1
3
25%
4
1
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-6
17%
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
9.6
1
17%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
3.4
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
55%
44
25
9
4
9
0
9
35
17-20
85%
26-54
48%
9-25
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.