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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 25, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat44%9696
2Lakers56%9880
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.8
38.4
35.2
24
66%
13
2
1
1
1
1
5
8
2-3
67%
11-17
7-14
65%
51%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 26.0
38.2
36.1
27
81%
11
10
4
1
0
1
1
10
6-6
100%
3-8
7-13
38%
53%
5-6
83%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.9
36.1
37.8
18
46%
5
6
1
2
1
3
0
5
6-6
100%
6-16
7-14
38%
51%
0-1
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.6
23.0
11.5
6
60%
3
0
0
0
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
47%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.4
18.6
21.9
2
20%
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.6
29.4
26.9
13
53%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
3-9
33%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.4
21.6
10.6
2
100%
3
0
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
56%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.2
20.1
25.5
3
25%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
1-6
17%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.9
9.6
12.4
1
17%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.4
3.4
22.5
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.8
1.6
16.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.6
2.1
0
0-0
43%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.5
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 22.8
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 32.3
40.1
30.9
17
47%
6
7
1
1
0
4
1
5
4-5
80%
5-13
6-13
38%
48%
1-3
33%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.1
39.5
35.8
14
48%
9
2
0
1
0
1
0
9
2-6
33%
6-10
5-9
60%
54%
0-2
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 30.5
36.5
34.2
17
49%
8
3
0
0
0
1
3
5
1-1
100%
8-17
6-12
47%
52%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 36.4
25.0
27.1
6
100%
2
3
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
42%
2-3
67%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 31.1
21.0
22.7
8
50%
5
4
1
1
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
44%
2-2
100%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 25.1
23.1
17.2
10
48%
5
0
0
1
0
1
0
5
3-3
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
46%
1-3
33%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 30.8
19.2
19.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
41%
0-5
0%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 23.2
17.7
17.7
6
60%
5
1
0
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
53%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 30.8
15.6
23.3
2
25%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
53%
0-1
0%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.7
2.3
8.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 22.6
2.1
0
0-1
47%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 35.4
1.2
0
0-0
44%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.2
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 37.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.