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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 25, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Bulls44%10195
9Knicks56%103103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 29.1
42.3
35.5
26
46%
19
1
1
1
0
7
6
13
4-7
57%
11-25
9-16
44%
54%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.2
41.4
34.3
25
43%
7
8
6
1
0
7
2
5
1-3
33%
12-26
7-14
46%
51%
0-2
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.7
40.5
36.3
15
55%
6
2
0
1
0
3
2
4
4-4
100%
4-8
5-9
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 38.2
26.6
25.2
4
40%
6
1
3
1
2
4
4
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
48%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 30.6
15.9
14.9
3
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
1-3
33%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 25.8
24.8
26.2
6
47%
1
1
2
1
1
0
0
1
0-3
0%
3-5
3-6
60%
53%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 29.8
19.7
17.0
7
51%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
2-3
0%
48%
2-4
50%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.5
13.0
9.1
4
100%
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.7
9.2
13.1
5
46%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.5
6.6
12.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.8
5.5
0
1-1
50%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.8
2.7
0
0-0
42%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 28.1
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 26.5
40.9
35.3
20
56%
1
12
5
2
0
5
1
0
0-0
-
7-11
4-9
64%
47%
2-7
29%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.5
38.9
32.2
14
89%
11
3
0
1
1
2
3
8
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
53%
2-2
100%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.1
37.2
36.3
20
53%
10
2
2
1
6
7
1
9
0-2
0%
10-18
10-18
56%
54%
0-0
-
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.4
37.0
34.0
15
70%
4
2
2
1
0
5
0
4
2-4
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
3-4
75%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.6
30.1
34.2
15
50%
10
2
1
1
2
2
0
10
2-2
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
51%
1-4
25%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.8
21.6
20.5
8
50%
5
3
2
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
48%
2-3
67%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.9
20.4
15.2
6
150%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
2-2
100%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 27.9
13.9
16.0
5
64%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
53%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 24.4
3.6
0
0-1
47%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.2
3.3
0
0-0
53%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.3
2.9
0
0-0
43%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 21.4
2.9
0
0-1
45%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.0
Andy Rautins
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.1
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 28.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.