FinalWin Prob.pScore
357%100
95
1243%98
83
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
106.78977.3
PHX logo PHX
92.290106.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SunsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SunsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAPHX
Q4 - 0:00.0PHX95
100%
83
0%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)93
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0PHXMISS Dudley 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0PHXFrye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)93
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)93
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0PHXMISS Nash 27' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00PHXDudley REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)93
99.8%
83
0.2%
Q4 - 1:01MIAMISS Chalmers 12' Running Jump Shot93
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:25PHXNash Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T19)93
99.8%
83
0.2%
Q4 - 1:28MIADudley STEAL (3 STL)93
99.6%
83
0.4%
Q4 - 1:38PHXDudley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Nash 18 AST)93
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 1:45MIADudley STEAL (2 STL)93
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:06MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)93
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:09PHXMISS Childress 2' Layup93
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:17MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (36 PTS)93
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:17MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (35 PTS)92
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 2:34PHXChildress Foul Turnover (P2.T18)91
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 2:46MIAChalmers 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS)91
99.6%
80
0.4%
Q4 - 3:09PHXNash 7' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)89
99.1%
80
0.9%
Q4 - 3:19PHXHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
99.4%
78
0.6%
Q4 - 3:20MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot89
99.5%
78
0.5%
Q4 - 3:42PHXDudley Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)89
99.1%
78
0.9%
Q4 - 3:42PHXDudley Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)89
99.1%
77
0.9%
Q4 - 3:50MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (34 PTS)89
99.4%
76
0.6%
Q4 - 4:04MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
99.1%
76
0.9%
Q4 - 4:06PHXMISS Nash 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
99.0%
76
1.0%
Q4 - 4:22PHXGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
98.7%
76
1.3%
Q4 - 4:23MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot87
98.9%
76
1.1%
Q4 - 4:42PHXNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)87
99.2%
76
0.8%
Q4 - 4:42PHXNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)87
99.2%
75
0.8%
Q4 - 4:55MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)87
99.4%
74
0.6%
Q4 - 4:55MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)86
99.4%
74
0.6%
Q4 - 5:06PHXNash Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17)85
98.5%
74
1.5%
Q4 - 5:14PHXSUNS Rebound85
97.9%
74
2.1%
Q4 - 5:14MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
98.1%
74
1.9%
Q4 - 5:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)85
98.5%
74
1.5%
Q4 - 5:29MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot85
98.1%
74
1.9%
Q4 - 5:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)85
98.5%
74
1.5%
Q4 - 5:44PHXMISS Frye 22' Jump Shot85
98.4%
74
1.6%
Q4 - 5:59MIAChalmers 10' Running Bank Shot (9 PTS)85
98.0%
74
2.0%
Q4 - 6:16PHXHill 2' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Nash 17 AST)83
96.2%
74
3.8%
Q4 - 6:22PHXDudley REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)83
97.1%
72
2.9%
Q4 - 6:23PHXMISS Lopez 13' Jump Shot83
97.7%
72
2.3%
Q4 - 6:39MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)83
97.1%
72
2.9%
Q4 - 6:54MIAHeat Rebound81
96.2%
72
3.8%
Q4 - 6:55MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot81
95.3%
72
4.7%
Q4 - 7:13MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
95.3%
72
4.7%
Q4 - 7:14PHXMISS Hill 15' Jump Shot81
94.9%
72
5.1%
Q4 - 7:21PHXDragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
93.8%
72
6.2%
Q4 - 7:23MIAMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot81
94.3%
72
5.7%
Q4 - 7:44PHXFrye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Hill 4 AST)81
95.4%
72
4.6%
Q4 - 7:57MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS)81
97.2%
69
2.8%
Q4 - 8:15PHXDudley 21' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)78
94.3%
69
5.7%
Q4 - 8:27MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)78
95.6%
67
4.4%
Q4 - 8:27MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)77
95.4%
67
4.6%
Q4 - 8:42MIAHeat Rebound76
94.3%
67
5.7%
Q4 - 8:42PHXMISS Dudley 6' Jump Shot76
93.9%
67
6.1%
Q4 - 8:57PHXDudley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)76
92.9%
67
7.1%
Q4 - 8:59MIAMISS Arroyo 13' Jump Shot76
93.4%
67
6.6%
Q4 - 9:15PHXHill Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)76
93.4%
67
6.6%
Q4 - 9:20PHXDudley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)76
91.7%
67
8.3%
Q4 - 9:22MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
92.3%
67
7.7%
Q4 - 9:42PHXLopez Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)76
93.4%
67
6.6%
Q4 - 9:42PHXLopez Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)76
93.7%
66
6.3%
Q4 - 9:46PHXDudley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)76
94.8%
65
5.2%
Q4 - 9:48MIAMISS Chalmers 11' Jump Shot76
95.1%
65
4.9%
Q4 - 10:09PHXDudley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)76
95.1%
65
4.9%
Q4 - 10:24MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)76
96.8%
62
3.2%
Q4 - 10:42MIADampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)74
96.1%
62
3.9%
Q4 - 10:44PHXMISS Dragic 14' Jump Shot74
95.8%
62
4.2%
Q4 - 11:10MIADampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)74
94.4%
62
5.6%
Q4 - 11:10MIADampier 1' Layup (2 PTS)74
94.4%
62
5.6%
Q4 - 11:12MIAMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot72
92.2%
62
7.8%
Q4 - 11:34PHXDudley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)72
93.2%
62
6.8%
Q4 - 11:44PHXSUNS Rebound72
95.5%
59
4.5%
Q4 - 11:44PHXMISS Frye 14' Jump Shot72
96.1%
59
3.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHX72
95.5%
59
4.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)72
95.5%
59
4.5%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)72
95.8%
59
4.2%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
95.2%
59
4.8%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
95.8%
59
4.2%
Q3 - 0:34.0PHXMISS Pietrus 3PT Jump Shot72
95.5%
59
4.5%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)72
95.0%
59
5.0%
Q3 - 0:53.0PHXPietrus Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)72
95.8%
59
4.2%
Q3 - 1:07PHXDudley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)72
94.4%
59
5.6%
Q3 - 1:10MIAMISS Dampier 1' Reverse Layup72
94.7%
59
5.3%
Q3 - 1:22MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
95.3%
59
4.7%
Q3 - 1:24PHXMISS Frye 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
95.1%
59
4.9%
Q3 - 1:38MIAMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)72
94.5%
59
5.5%
Q3 - 1:38MIAMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 271
94.3%
59
5.7%
Q3 - 1:50PHXPietrus Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)71
94.4%
59
5.6%
Q3 - 1:55MIAWarrick STEAL (1 STL)71
93.4%
59
6.6%
Q3 - 2:05MIADampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)71
93.7%
59
6.3%
Q3 - 2:07PHXMISS Pietrus 21' Jump Shot71
93.4%
59
6.6%
Q3 - 2:21MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)71
92.6%
59
7.4%
Q3 - 2:36MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
89.5%
59
10.5%
Q3 - 2:38PHXMISS Warrick Free Throw 2 of 268
89.3%
59
10.7%
Q3 - 2:38PHXWarrick Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)68
88.1%
59
11.9%
Q3 - 2:54MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)68
89.6%
58
10.4%
Q3 - 3:19PHXGortat 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nash 16 AST)65
85.0%
58
15.0%
Q3 - 3:30MIAMiller Foul Turnover (P1.T11)65
87.0%
56
13.0%
Q3 - 3:44PHXDudley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)65
89.0%
56
11.0%
Q3 - 3:44PHXDudley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)65
87.0%
56
13.0%
Q3 - 3:45PHXMISS Pietrus 3PT Jump Shot65
88.5%
56
11.5%
Q3 - 4:00PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
87.1%
56
12.9%
Q3 - 4:04MIAMISS Bosh 28' 3PT Jump Bank Shot65
87.1%
56
12.9%
Q3 - 4:26MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
88.6%
56
11.4%
Q3 - 4:28PHXMISS Hill 16' Jump Shot65
88.0%
56
12.0%
Q3 - 4:41PHXGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
86.4%
56
13.6%
Q3 - 4:43MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
87.1%
56
12.9%
Q3 - 5:09PHXDudley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Nash 15 AST)65
87.7%
56
12.3%
Q3 - 5:15PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
90.7%
53
9.3%
Q3 - 5:18MIAMISS Arroyo 13' Jump Shot65
91.2%
53
8.8%
Q3 - 5:21PHXNash Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)65
92.2%
53
7.8%
Q3 - 5:32MIAJames Foul Turnover (P4.T10)65
90.8%
53
9.2%
Q3 - 5:42PHXDudley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)65
92.2%
53
7.8%
Q3 - 5:42PHXDudley 1' Tip Shot (17 PTS)65
92.2%
53
7.8%
Q3 - 5:43PHXMISS Warrick 5' Jump Bank Shot65
94.0%
51
6.0%
Q3 - 5:59MIAArroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)65
93.3%
51
6.7%
Q3 - 6:22PHXWarrick Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)62
90.3%
51
9.7%
Q3 - 6:35PHXHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
91.6%
49
8.4%
Q3 - 6:36MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot62
92.0%
49
8.0%
Q3 - 6:57MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
92.8%
49
7.2%
Q3 - 6:59PHXMISS Gortat 14' Jump Shot62
92.5%
49
7.5%
Q3 - 7:02PHXGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
90.7%
49
9.3%
Q3 - 7:04PHXMISS Gortat 6' Jump Shot62
91.6%
49
8.4%
Q3 - 7:18MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)62
90.8%
49
9.2%
Q3 - 7:18MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)61
90.6%
49
9.4%
Q3 - 7:21PHXHill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)60
89.5%
49
10.5%
Q3 - 7:34MIABosh 20' Step Back Jump Shot (18 PTS)60
87.9%
49
12.1%
Q3 - 7:54PHXFrye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nash 14 AST)58
86.3%
49
13.7%
Q3 - 8:10MIAArroyo 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)58
89.1%
46
10.9%
Q3 - 8:27PHXHill Layup (6 PTS) (Nash 13 AST)56
87.6%
46
12.4%
Q3 - 8:33PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
89.1%
44
10.9%
Q3 - 8:35MIAMISS Arroyo 7' Jump Bank Shot56
89.5%
44
10.5%
Q3 - 8:50MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)56
90.5%
44
9.5%
Q3 - 8:53MIAMISS James 21' Turnaround Jump Shot56
89.5%
44
10.5%
Q3 - 9:15MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
90.1%
44
9.9%
Q3 - 9:17PHXMISS Frye 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
89.7%
44
10.3%
Q3 - 9:25PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
88.7%
44
11.3%
Q3 - 9:27MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot56
89.2%
44
10.8%
Q3 - 9:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
90.1%
44
9.9%
Q3 - 9:37PHXMISS Dudley 3PT Jump Shot56
89.7%
44
10.3%
Q3 - 9:49MIABosh 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)56
88.7%
44
11.3%
Q3 - 10:12PHXHill Layup (4 PTS) (Nash 12 AST)54
86.7%
44
13.3%
Q3 - 10:17MIAArroyo 6' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)54
88.2%
42
11.8%
Q3 - 10:32MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
86.7%
42
13.3%
Q3 - 10:34PHXMISS Lopez 13' Jump Shot52
86.2%
42
13.8%
Q3 - 10:43MIAArroyo 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)52
84.9%
42
15.1%
Q3 - 10:55MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
83.1%
42
16.9%
Q3 - 10:56PHXMISS Dudley Free Throw 2 of 250
82.8%
42
17.2%
Q3 - 10:56PHXDudley Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)50
81.5%
42
18.5%
Q3 - 11:08MIABosh 1' Driving Dunk (14 PTS)50
82.6%
41
17.4%
Q3 - 11:26PHXFrye 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nash 11 AST)48
80.7%
41
19.3%
Q3 - 11:40MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)48
82.6%
39
17.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHX45
78.4%
39
21.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHXSUNS Rebound45
75.8%
39
24.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHXMISS Dudley 21' Jump Shot45
77.7%
39
22.3%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)45
75.8%
39
24.2%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIADampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)42
70.0%
39
30.0%
Q2 - 0:22.0PHXMISS Hill 20' Jump Shot42
69.3%
39
30.7%
Q2 - 0:28.0PHXLopez REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
67.7%
39
32.3%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIADampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)42
70.0%
39
30.0%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Dampier 1' Tip Shot42
68.4%
39
31.6%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Bosh 7' Jump Shot42
68.4%
39
31.6%
Q2 - 1:03MIADampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
69.9%
39
30.1%
Q2 - 1:04PHXMISS Frye Free Throw 2 of 242
69.6%
39
30.4%
Q2 - 1:04PHXFrye Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)42
67.5%
39
32.5%
Q2 - 1:04PHXFrye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
70.6%
38
29.4%
Q2 - 1:06MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup42
71.2%
38
28.8%
Q2 - 1:10PHXLopez Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)42
72.5%
38
27.5%
Q2 - 1:22PHXFrye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
70.6%
38
29.4%
Q2 - 1:25MIAFrye BLOCK (1 BLK)42
71.2%
38
28.8%
Q2 - 1:46PHXLopez 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nash 10 AST)42
72.5%
38
27.5%
Q2 - 2:00MIAJames 5' Running Bank Shot (17 PTS)42
75.7%
36
24.3%
Q2 - 2:20PHXDudley 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nash 9 AST)40
72.6%
36
27.4%
Q2 - 2:30PHXSUNS Rebound40
75.0%
34
25.0%
Q2 - 2:30MIAMISS Arroyo 27' 3PT Jump Shot40
75.8%
34
24.2%
Q2 - 2:59PHXDudley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Frye 1 AST)40
77.4%
34
22.6%
Q2 - 3:11MIAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 4 AST)40
81.2%
31
18.8%
Q2 - 3:27MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
79.5%
31
20.5%
Q2 - 3:29MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot38
77.8%
31
22.2%
Q2 - 3:47PHXLopez Layup (8 PTS)38
79.5%
31
20.5%
Q2 - 3:49PHXLopez REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
81.2%
29
18.8%
Q2 - 3:51PHXMISS Nash 8' Running Jump Shot38
82.7%
29
17.3%
Q2 - 4:05MIAJames Slam Dunk (15 PTS)38
80.8%
29
19.2%
Q2 - 4:08PHXDudley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)36
79.0%
29
21.0%
Q2 - 4:22MIAJames Foul Turnover (P3.T9)36
76.8%
29
23.2%
Q2 - 4:27MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
79.0%
29
21.0%
Q2 - 4:29PHXMISS Frye 15' Jump Shot36
78.4%
29
21.6%
Q2 - 4:43MIAJames Driving Reverse Layup (13 PTS)36
76.8%
29
23.2%
Q2 - 4:52MIAHeat Rebound34
74.8%
29
25.2%
Q2 - 4:54MIAMISS Jones 15' Step Back Jump Shot34
73.0%
29
27.0%
Q2 - 5:13MIADampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
74.5%
29
25.5%
Q2 - 5:15PHXMISS Warrick 15' Jump Shot34
73.9%
29
26.1%
Q2 - 5:29MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 3 AST)34
72.3%
29
27.7%
Q2 - 5:48MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
69.8%
29
30.2%
Q2 - 5:49PHXMISS Warrick 5' Jump Shot32
69.0%
29
31.0%
Q2 - 5:59PHXLopez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
67.3%
29
32.7%
Q2 - 6:02MIADampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)32
69.6%
29
30.4%
Q2 - 6:02MIAMISS Dampier 6' Hook Shot32
67.5%
29
32.5%
Q2 - 6:05MIAMISS Dampier 3' Jump Shot32
67.6%
29
32.4%
Q2 - 6:07MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
69.6%
29
30.4%
Q2 - 6:08MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot32
67.6%
29
32.4%
Q2 - 6:23PHXLopez Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)32
69.6%
29
30.4%
Q2 - 6:23PHXMISS Lopez Free Throw 1 of 232
70.1%
28
29.9%
Q2 - 6:23PHXLopez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
69.2%
28
30.8%
Q2 - 6:23PHXMISS Dudley 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
71.1%
28
28.9%
Q2 - 6:38PHXDudley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
69.2%
28
30.8%
Q2 - 6:39MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot32
70.1%
28
29.9%
Q2 - 6:46MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
72.0%
28
28.0%
Q2 - 6:48PHXMISS Hill 14' Jump Shot32
71.1%
28
28.9%
Q2 - 7:12MIABosh Dunk (10 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)32
69.3%
28
30.7%
Q2 - 7:18MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
67.0%
28
33.0%
Q2 - 7:20PHXMISS Warrick 17' Jump Shot30
66.2%
28
33.8%
Q2 - 7:33PHXGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
64.4%
28
35.6%
Q2 - 7:35MIAMISS Miller 15' Jump Shot30
65.2%
28
34.8%
Q2 - 7:47PHXChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
67.0%
28
33.0%
Q2 - 7:47PHXChildress 1' Layup (2 PTS)30
67.0%
28
33.0%
Q2 - 7:50PHXMISS Childress 3' Layup30
71.0%
26
29.0%
Q2 - 8:10MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)30
69.1%
26
30.9%
Q2 - 8:26PHXPietrus Driving Layup (2 PTS)27
64.5%
26
35.5%
Q2 - 8:37MIAPietrus STEAL (1 STL)27
66.8%
24
33.2%
Q2 - 8:55PHXChildress Foul Turnover (P1.T8)27
69.2%
24
30.8%
Q2 - 9:27MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)27
66.6%
24
33.4%
Q2 - 9:38PHXGortat Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)25
64.3%
24
35.7%
Q2 - 9:54MIAChalmers 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
61.8%
24
38.2%
Q2 - 10:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
59.2%
24
40.8%
Q2 - 10:06PHXMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
58.4%
24
41.6%
Q2 - 10:24MIAChalmers 13' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
56.5%
24
43.5%
Q2 - 10:32MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
54.2%
24
45.8%
Q2 - 10:34MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
52.3%
24
47.7%
Q2 - 10:40MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
54.2%
24
45.8%
Q2 - 10:41MIAMISS Bosh Alley Oop Dunk21
52.3%
24
47.7%
Q2 - 10:48MIAHeat Rebound21
54.2%
24
45.8%
Q2 - 10:48PHXMISS Pietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
53.4%
24
46.6%
Q2 - 10:48PHXDragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
51.4%
24
48.6%
Q2 - 10:51PHXMISS Gortat 11' Turnaround Jump Shot21
53.4%
24
46.6%
Q2 - 11:09MIABosh Driving Layup (6 PTS)21
51.5%
24
48.5%
Q2 - 11:25PHXGortat 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pietrus 1 AST)19
49.1%
24
50.9%
Q2 - 11:44PHXChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
51.5%
22
48.5%
Q2 - 11:46MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot19
52.3%
22
47.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHX19
54.1%
22
45.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHXSUNS Rebound19
51.5%
22
48.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHXMISS Dragic Layup19
53.3%
22
46.7%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAJames 1' Layup (11 PTS)19
52.0%
22
48.0%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
49.0%
22
51.0%
Q1 - 0:28.0PHXMISS Frye 18' Jump Shot17
48.4%
22
51.6%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAChildress STEAL (1 STL)17
47.0%
22
53.0%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
49.0%
22
51.0%
Q1 - 0:56.0PHXMISS Frye 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
48.4%
22
51.6%
Q1 - 1:22MIAHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
47.7%
22
52.3%
Q1 - 1:22MIAHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
47.3%
22
52.7%
Q1 - 1:25MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
44.7%
22
55.3%
Q1 - 1:26PHXMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
44.2%
22
55.8%
Q1 - 1:35PHXDudley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)15
43.0%
22
57.0%
Q1 - 1:37MIAMISS Miller 15' Jump Shot15
43.5%
22
56.5%
Q1 - 2:01PHXDragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)15
45.4%
22
54.6%
Q1 - 2:01PHXMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 215
46.0%
21
54.0%
Q1 - 2:18MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)15
45.6%
21
54.4%
Q1 - 2:21PHXDragic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)12
40.8%
21
59.2%
Q1 - 2:41PHXSUNS Rebound12
38.8%
21
61.2%
Q1 - 2:42MIAMISS James 10' Jump Shot12
39.4%
21
60.6%
Q1 - 2:58PHXNash Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)12
40.8%
21
59.2%
Q1 - 3:01PHXFrye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
39.2%
21
60.8%
Q1 - 3:02PHXMISS Pietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
40.8%
21
59.2%
Q1 - 3:13MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)12
39.2%
21
60.8%
Q1 - 3:19MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
41.5%
21
58.5%
Q1 - 3:21PHXMISS Hill 2' Layup12
40.8%
21
59.2%
Q1 - 3:40MIAJames 17' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
39.2%
21
60.8%
Q1 - 4:09PHXDudley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nash 8 AST)10
37.7%
21
62.3%
Q1 - 4:29MIAFrye STEAL (1 STL)10
41.8%
18
58.2%
Q1 - 4:52PHXFrye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)10
44.1%
18
55.9%
Q1 - 5:00PHXFrye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
48.4%
15
51.6%
Q1 - 5:02MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot10
49.3%
15
50.7%
Q1 - 5:17MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
51.0%
15
49.0%
Q1 - 5:19PHXMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot10
50.2%
15
49.8%
Q1 - 5:29PHXHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
48.6%
15
51.4%
Q1 - 5:31MIAMISS Arroyo 3PT Jump Shot10
49.3%
15
50.7%
Q1 - 5:50PHXNash Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)10
51.0%
15
49.0%
Q1 - 6:04PHXLopez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
49.0%
15
51.0%
Q1 - 6:06MIAMISS Arroyo 7' Jump Shot10
49.7%
15
50.3%
Q1 - 6:17MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
51.2%
15
48.8%
Q1 - 6:18PHXMISS Dudley Free Throw 2 of 210
50.9%
15
49.1%
Q1 - 6:18PHXDudley Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)10
49.5%
15
50.5%
Q1 - 6:26MIAJames Layup (4 PTS)10
51.1%
14
48.9%
Q1 - 6:28MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
49.1%
14
50.9%
Q1 - 6:30MIAMISS James 6' Running Jump Shot8
47.6%
14
52.4%
Q1 - 6:54PHXLopez 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)8
49.1%
14
50.9%
Q1 - 7:12MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)8
51.4%
12
48.6%
Q1 - 7:25PHXLopez Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)6
49.6%
12
50.4%
Q1 - 7:34MIAArroyo Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)6
53.4%
9
46.6%
Q1 - 7:44PHXDudley Layup (5 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)6
55.6%
9
44.4%
Q1 - 7:50PHXFrye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
57.5%
7
42.5%
Q1 - 7:52MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot6
58.1%
7
41.9%
Q1 - 8:15PHXFrye 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)6
59.8%
7
40.2%
Q1 - 8:23MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)6
61.7%
5
38.3%
Q1 - 8:29MIAHeat Rebound6
63.5%
5
36.5%
Q1 - 8:29MIALopez BLOCK (1 BLK)6
62.3%
5
37.7%
Q1 - 8:44MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
63.5%
5
36.5%
Q1 - 8:46PHXMISS Lopez 7' Hook Shot6
63.0%
5
37.0%
Q1 - 8:57MIADudley STEAL (1 STL)6
61.7%
5
38.3%
Q1 - 9:18PHXHill 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)6
63.8%
5
36.2%
Q1 - 9:22PHXHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
65.5%
3
34.5%
Q1 - 9:24MIAMISS Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot6
66.1%
3
33.9%
Q1 - 9:46PHXLopez Foul Turnover (P3.T3)6
67.2%
3
32.8%
Q1 - 9:52PHXDudley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
65.5%
3
34.5%
Q1 - 9:54PHXMISS Hill 22' Jump Shot6
66.7%
3
33.3%
Q1 - 10:12MIAJames Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)6
65.1%
3
34.9%
Q1 - 10:16MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
63.7%
3
36.3%
Q1 - 10:17PHXMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot4
63.2%
3
36.8%
Q1 - 10:28MIAArroyo Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)4
61.8%
3
38.2%
Q1 - 10:47PHXLopez Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)4
63.8%
3
36.2%
Q1 - 10:49PHXDudley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
61.8%
3
38.2%
Q1 - 10:51PHXMISS Frye 3PT Jump Shot4
63.2%
3
36.8%
Q1 - 11:03MIAIlgauskas 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)4
62.0%
3
38.0%
Q1 - 11:22PHXDudley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)2
60.3%
3
39.7%
Q1 - 11:31MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
63.5%
0
36.5%
Q1 - 11:31MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
63.3%
0
36.7%
Q1 - 11:48PHXLopez Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
61.9%
0
38.1%
Q1 - 12:00PHXJump Ball Lopez vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Nash0
60.3%
0
39.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.4%
PHX
0.94 47.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
19
63%
PHX
10
16
63%
Midrange
MIA
20
45
44%
PHX
10
33
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
18
28%
42%
PHX
10
15.0
26
38%
58%
Free Throws
MIA
16
17
94%
PHX
13
19
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3672%18.0 / 25
C. Bosh2361%11.5 / 19
C. Arroyo1146%5.5 / 12
M. Chalmers1150%5.5 / 11
J. Jones739%3.5 / 9
Z. Ilgauskas250%1.0 / 2
E. Dampier220%1.0 / 5
J. Howard250%1.0 / 2
M. Miller113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
PHX logo Suns
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Dudley3387%16.5 / 19
C. Frye1450%7.0 / 14
R. Lopez1267%6.0 / 9
G. Hill833%4.0 / 12
S. Nash440%2.0 / 5
M. Gortat440%2.0 / 5
H. Warrick325%1.5 / 6
M. Pietrus217%1.0 / 6
J. Childress233%1.0 / 3
G. Dragic110%0.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
73
+14
-16
87
PHX
71
+14
-19
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.4%
PHX
0.94 47.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
109.8
MIA 106.7
PHX 92.2 +14.5
Pace
91.3
94.1
MIA 77.3
PHX 106.1 +28.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
14.7
MIA 18.6
PHX 13.6 +5.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
52.2%
MIA 48.2% +1.5%
PHX 46.7%
TO %
14.4%
14.2%
MIA 15.2% +3.4%
PHX 18.6%
ORB %
25.2%
23.7%
MIA 28.2% +3.2%
PHX 25.0%
FTrt
36.3
28.3
MIA 20.7
PHX 25.3 +4.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
60.4%
MIA 32.4%
PHX 83.3% +50.9%
STL %
7.3%
6.9%
MIA 10.1% +2.3%
PHX 7.8%
BLK %
8.5%
6.6%
MIA 8.2% +5.1%
PHX 3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
54.6%
MIA 53.4% +6.2%
PHX 47.2%
Rim FG%
64.7%
62.3%
MIA 63.2% +0.7%
PHX 62.5%
Mid FG%
42.2%
41.0%
MIA 44.4% +14.1%
PHX 30.3%
3P %
37.0%
37.7%
MIA 27.8%
PHX 38.5% +10.7%
FT %
76.9%
75.9%
MIA 94.1% +25.7%
PHX 68.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
32.4%
MIA 23.2% +1.8%
PHX 21.3%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
40.4%
MIA 54.9%
PHX 44.0% +10.9%
3P Att. %
23.5%
27.1%
MIA 22.0%
PHX 34.7% +12.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIAPHX
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes27.620.4
Points9583
Rebounds4439
Assists1225
Steals97
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)19 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)28 (3)
Field Goals37-8230-75
At-the-Rim FG12-1910-16
Midrange FG20-4510-33
2-Point FG32-6420-49
3-Point FG5-1810-26
Free Throws16-1713-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
37.4
36
72%
6
4
3
0
5
5
1
5
8-8
100%
11-17
65%
2-5
40%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
37.3
23
61%
11
2
2
1
1
2
3
8
5-5
100%
9-16
56%
0-1
0%
G · 6'8" 218 · 30
34.7
7
39%
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-5
20%
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
25.6
11
46%
3
2
0
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-9
44%
1-3
33%
C · 7'3" 260 · 36
5.7
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
26.8
11
50%
3
2
2
1
3
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
57%
1-4
25%
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
23.6
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
5
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
19.4
1
13%
5
0
0
0
2
3
1
4
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 35
15.6
2
20%
9
0
0
0
0
1
4
5
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
13.8
2
50%
3
1
0
0
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
C · 6'11" 265 · 33
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
53%
44
12
9
4
16
0
11
33
16-17
94%
32-64
50%
5-18
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.