FinalWin Prob.pScore
242%99
101
558%102
123
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
105.29689.9
ORL logo ORL
126.897104.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL101
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)101
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0SASMISS Blair 7' Jump Shot101
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:38.0ORLDuhon 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Redick 4 AST)101
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:52.0SASNeal 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)101
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)98
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01ORLMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot98
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10SASAnderson STEAL (2 STL)98
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19ORLRedick 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Duhon 2 AST)98
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)98
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)97
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37ORLRedick 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)96
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46SASSplitter 6' Hook Shot (9 PTS)96
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)94
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01ORLMISS Clark 22' Jump Shot94
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15SASNeal Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)94
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15SASNeal Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)93
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:16ORLTurkoglu Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)92
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:38ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)92
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:39SASMISS Blair 7' Jump Shot92
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03ORLRedick 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)92
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 2 of 292
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)92
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (29 PTS)91
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:41SASBlair 8' Hook Bank Shot (10 PTS)91
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:51ORLRichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)89
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:11ORLMAGIC Rebound89
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:12SASMISS Quinn 20' Pullup Jump Shot89
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:21SASNeal Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)89
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:22SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23ORLMISS Richardson 8' Jump Shot88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:28ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:29SASMISS Blair 13' Jump Shot88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:46ORLBass 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:56ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)88
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:59ORLMISS Bass 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot88
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:22ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)88
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 5:23SASMISS Jefferson 9' Pullup Jump Shot88
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 5:29SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 5:30SASMISS Udoka 18' Pullup Jump Shot88
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 5:47ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)88
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 5:47ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)88
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 5:53ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 5:55SASMISS Splitter 9' Hook Shot88
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 5:57SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)88
0.5%
104
99.5%
Q4 - 5:58SASMISS Blair 6' Jump Shot88
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 6:17ORLBass 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)88
0.8%
104
99.2%
Q4 - 6:32SASJefferson 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Blair 2 AST)88
1.0%
102
99.0%
Q4 - 6:41SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 6:42ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 6:55SASQuinn 10' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)85
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 7:18ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bass 2 AST)83
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 7:40SASBlair Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)83
0.8%
99
99.2%
Q4 - 7:40SASMISS Blair Free Throw 1 of 282
0.8%
99
99.2%
Q4 - 7:53ORLNelson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T11)82
0.9%
99
99.1%
Q4 - 8:08ORLMAGIC Rebound82
1.0%
99
99.0%
Q4 - 8:09SASMISS Blair 8' Running Jump Shot82
1.0%
99
99.0%
Q4 - 8:14SASQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
1.2%
99
98.8%
Q4 - 8:16ORLMISS Anderson 17' Fadeaway Jumper82
1.1%
99
98.9%
Q4 - 8:34ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)82
0.9%
99
99.1%
Q4 - 8:35SASMISS Splitter 13' Jump Shot82
1.0%
99
99.0%
Q4 - 8:50SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
1.2%
99
98.8%
Q4 - 8:52ORLMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot82
1.1%
99
98.9%
Q4 - 9:11SASSplitter 2' Layup (6 PTS)82
1.3%
99
98.7%
Q4 - 9:23SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)80
1.0%
99
99.0%
Q4 - 9:24ORLMISS Arenas 10' Pullup Jump Shot80
0.9%
99
99.1%
Q4 - 9:47ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
0.8%
99
99.2%
Q4 - 9:49SASMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.8%
99
99.2%
Q4 - 10:07SASSpurs Rebound80
1.2%
99
98.8%
Q4 - 10:07ORLMISS Bass 3' Driving Reverse Layup80
1.2%
99
98.8%
Q4 - 10:27SASSplitter 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)80
1.0%
99
99.0%
Q4 - 10:30SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
0.8%
99
99.2%
Q4 - 10:40ORLMISS Arenas 1' Layup78
0.7%
99
99.3%
Q4 - 10:50ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
0.6%
99
99.4%
Q4 - 10:52SASMISS Bonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.7%
99
99.3%
Q4 - 11:11ORLBass 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Redick 3 AST)78
1.0%
99
99.0%
Q4 - 11:25SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)78
1.2%
97
98.8%
Q4 - 11:25SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)77
1.1%
97
98.9%
Q4 - 11:31ORLAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)76
1.0%
97
99.0%
Q4 - 11:42ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 11:43SASMISS Udoka 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS76
1.0%
97
99.0%
Q3 - 0:04.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
1.2%
97
98.8%
Q3 - 0:06.0ORLMISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
1.1%
97
98.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
1.0%
97
99.0%
Q3 - 0:29.0SASMISS Quinn 1' Driving Layup76
1.1%
97
98.9%
Q3 - 0:42.0ORLBass 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Arenas 9 AST)76
1.2%
97
98.8%
Q3 - 0:52.0SASUdoka 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)76
1.5%
95
98.5%
Q3 - 1:07ORLAnderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)74
1.4%
95
98.6%
Q3 - 1:15SASRichardson STEAL (1 STL)74
2.1%
92
97.9%
Q3 - 1:27SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
2.5%
92
97.5%
Q3 - 1:28ORLMISS Anderson 28' 3PT Jump Shot74
2.3%
92
97.7%
Q3 - 1:45SASBonner 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)74
2.1%
92
97.9%
Q3 - 1:56ORLAnderson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)72
1.7%
92
98.3%
Q3 - 2:08SASNeal Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)72
2.9%
89
97.1%
Q3 - 2:08SASMISS Neal Free Throw 1 of 271
2.8%
89
97.2%
Q3 - 2:17SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
2.9%
89
97.1%
Q3 - 2:18ORLMISS Redick 10' Fadeaway Jumper71
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q3 - 2:25ORLMAGIC Rebound71
2.4%
89
97.6%
Q3 - 2:25ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)71
2.4%
89
97.6%
Q3 - 2:25ORLMISS Howard 2' Tip Shot71
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q3 - 2:27ORLMISS Arenas 9' Floating Jump Shot71
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q3 - 2:37ORLMAGIC Rebound71
2.4%
89
97.6%
Q3 - 2:40SASMISS Neal 11' Pullup Jump Shot71
2.5%
89
97.5%
Q3 - 2:55ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)71
2.8%
89
97.2%
Q3 - 3:03SASJefferson 1' Layup (7 PTS)71
4.6%
86
95.4%
Q3 - 3:05SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)69
3.9%
86
96.1%
Q3 - 3:06SASMISS Jefferson 6' Jump Shot69
3.4%
86
96.6%
Q3 - 3:21ORLHoward 6' Hook Shot (21 PTS)69
3.9%
86
96.1%
Q3 - 3:38SASBonner 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)69
4.6%
84
95.4%
Q3 - 3:42SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
3.9%
84
96.1%
Q3 - 3:44SASHoward BLOCK (3 BLK)67
3.4%
84
96.6%
Q3 - 3:57ORLArenas Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T9)67
3.9%
84
96.1%
Q3 - 4:08SASQuinn 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)67
3.5%
84
96.5%
Q3 - 4:15ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)65
3.0%
84
97.0%
Q3 - 4:16ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)65
2.5%
84
97.5%
Q3 - 4:19SASHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)65
2.6%
84
97.4%
Q3 - 4:42SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
3.0%
84
97.0%
Q3 - 4:43ORLMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
2.8%
84
97.2%
Q3 - 4:50SASRichardson STEAL (1 STL)65
2.5%
84
97.5%
Q3 - 5:03SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
3.3%
84
96.7%
Q3 - 5:04ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 265
3.3%
84
96.7%
Q3 - 5:04ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)65
3.0%
84
97.0%
Q3 - 5:13SASNeal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)65
3.3%
83
96.7%
Q3 - 5:13SASMISS Neal Free Throw 1 of 264
3.2%
83
96.8%
Q3 - 5:23SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
3.3%
83
96.7%
Q3 - 5:25SASMISS Neal 3PT Jump Shot64
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q3 - 5:45ORLHoward 1' Alley Oop Dunk (18 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)64
3.3%
83
96.7%
Q3 - 5:54ORLArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)64
3.8%
81
96.2%
Q3 - 5:56SASMISS Neal 19' Jump Shot64
4.0%
81
96.0%
Q3 - 6:09ORLTurkoglu Layup (8 PTS) (Arenas 6 AST)64
5.1%
81
94.9%
Q3 - 6:13ORLArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
5.8%
79
94.2%
Q3 - 6:14SASMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
6.1%
79
93.9%
Q3 - 6:33ORLHoward 2' Reverse Layup (16 PTS)64
6.9%
79
93.1%
Q3 - 6:37ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)64
7.9%
77
92.1%
Q3 - 6:39ORLMISS Turkoglu 18' Jump Shot64
8.8%
77
91.2%
Q3 - 6:54SASParker 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)64
7.8%
77
92.2%
Q3 - 7:16ORLRichardson 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)62
7.4%
77
92.6%
Q3 - 7:34SASParker 10' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)62
9.7%
74
90.3%
Q3 - 7:44ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)60
8.5%
74
91.5%
Q3 - 7:44ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 260
8.9%
73
91.1%
Q3 - 8:00SASDuncan 3' Driving Layup (12 PTS)60
8.4%
73
91.6%
Q3 - 8:21ORLRichardson 2' Dunk (12 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)58
7.7%
73
92.3%
Q3 - 8:24ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)58
8.8%
71
91.2%
Q3 - 8:25SASMISS Ginobili 8' Jump Shot58
9.2%
71
90.8%
Q3 - 8:32SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)58
10.2%
71
89.8%
Q3 - 8:33ORLMISS Arenas 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
9.7%
71
90.3%
Q3 - 8:51SASBlair 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)58
8.8%
71
91.2%
Q3 - 9:11ORLRichardson 3' Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)56
8.0%
71
92.0%
Q3 - 9:17ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
9.1%
69
90.9%
Q3 - 9:18SASMISS Duncan 9' Hook Shot56
9.5%
69
90.5%
Q3 - 9:44ORLTurkoglu 12' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)56
10.5%
69
89.5%
Q3 - 10:01SASBlair 7' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)56
12.4%
67
87.6%
Q3 - 10:01SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)54
11.0%
67
89.0%
Q3 - 10:03ORLMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
10.6%
67
89.4%
Q3 - 10:19ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)54
9.6%
67
90.4%
Q3 - 10:21SASMISS Duncan 11' Turnaround Jump Shot54
10.0%
67
90.0%
Q3 - 10:36ORLArenas 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS)54
11.0%
67
89.0%
Q3 - 10:45ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)54
12.4%
65
87.6%
Q3 - 10:46SASMISS Jefferson 16' Jump Shot54
12.9%
65
87.1%
Q3 - 11:00SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
14.1%
65
85.9%
Q3 - 11:01ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
14.1%
65
85.9%
Q3 - 11:15SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)54
12.9%
65
87.1%
Q3 - 11:15SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 253
12.8%
65
87.2%
Q3 - 11:15SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)53
13.0%
65
87.0%
Q3 - 11:16SASMISS Ginobili 13' Jump Shot53
11.9%
65
88.1%
Q3 - 11:39ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)53
13.0%
65
87.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL53
16.3%
62
83.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
16.3%
62
83.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASMISS Ginobili 17' Pullup Jump Shot53
17.8%
62
82.2%
Q2 - 0:17.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)53
18.8%
62
81.2%
Q2 - 0:19.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 153
17.5%
62
82.5%
Q2 - 0:31.0ORLArenas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)51
15.1%
62
84.9%
Q2 - 0:39.0SASArenas STEAL (1 STL)51
13.8%
62
86.2%
Q2 - 0:43.0ORLArenas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)51
15.1%
62
84.9%
Q2 - 0:55.0SASJefferson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)51
13.8%
62
86.2%
Q2 - 1:09ORLRedick 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)48
11.0%
62
89.0%
Q2 - 1:13SASAnderson STEAL (1 STL)48
14.2%
59
85.8%
Q2 - 1:30ORLAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)48
15.4%
59
84.6%
Q2 - 1:30ORLMISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 248
15.6%
58
84.4%
Q2 - 1:41ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
15.9%
58
84.1%
Q2 - 1:44SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)48
17.2%
58
82.8%
Q2 - 1:44SASMISS Blair 2' Tip Shot48
16.3%
58
83.7%
Q2 - 1:45SASMISS Parker Driving Layup48
16.3%
58
83.7%
Q2 - 2:03SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
17.8%
58
82.2%
Q2 - 2:04ORLMISS Bass Free Throw 2 of 248
17.6%
58
82.4%
Q2 - 2:04ORLBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)48
16.3%
58
83.7%
Q2 - 2:08ORLArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
17.7%
57
82.3%
Q2 - 2:09SASMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
18.3%
57
81.7%
Q2 - 2:29ORLNelson 10' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)48
19.7%
57
80.3%
Q2 - 2:48SASDuncan 3' Layup (8 PTS)48
21.8%
55
78.2%
Q2 - 2:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)46
19.7%
55
80.3%
Q2 - 2:51SASMISS Duncan 4' Driving Jump Shot46
18.3%
55
81.7%
Q2 - 3:09ORLArenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)46
20.3%
55
79.7%
Q2 - 3:19SASNeal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)46
24.2%
52
75.8%
Q2 - 3:30ORLBass 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)43
20.3%
52
79.7%
Q2 - 3:44SASDuncan 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)43
22.0%
50
78.0%
Q2 - 3:59ORLBass 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)41
20.3%
50
79.7%
Q2 - 4:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)41
22.3%
48
77.7%
Q2 - 4:13SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot41
23.0%
48
77.0%
Q2 - 4:31ORLArenas 16' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)41
24.6%
48
75.4%
Q2 - 4:49SASDuncan 6' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)41
26.7%
46
73.3%
Q2 - 5:03SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
24.9%
46
75.1%
Q2 - 5:06SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot39
23.4%
46
76.6%
Q2 - 5:24ORLHoward 9' Hook Bank Shot (13 PTS) (Arenas 5 AST)39
24.9%
46
75.1%
Q2 - 5:41SASJefferson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Udoka 1 AST)39
27.2%
44
72.8%
Q2 - 5:55SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
24.9%
44
75.1%
Q2 - 5:56ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 137
24.6%
44
75.4%
Q2 - 6:09ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)37
27.3%
42
72.7%
Q2 - 6:11SASMISS Quinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
28.1%
42
71.9%
Q2 - 6:29SASQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
30.0%
42
70.0%
Q2 - 6:30ORLMISS Arenas 17' Jump Shot37
29.2%
42
70.8%
Q2 - 6:40SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)37
27.3%
42
72.7%
Q2 - 6:57ORLHoward 8' Running Hook Shot (9 PTS)37
30.0%
42
70.0%
Q2 - 7:21SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)37
32.3%
40
67.7%
Q2 - 7:37SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
27.8%
40
72.2%
Q2 - 7:38ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 234
27.5%
40
72.5%
Q2 - 7:38ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)34
26.4%
40
73.6%
Q2 - 7:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
27.6%
39
72.4%
Q2 - 7:48SASMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot34
28.4%
39
71.6%
Q2 - 8:02ORLArenas 15' Fadeaway Bank Shot (7 PTS)34
30.4%
39
69.6%
Q2 - 8:10SASNeal 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)34
32.6%
37
67.4%
Q2 - 8:33SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)31
28.1%
37
71.9%
Q2 - 8:34ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 131
27.8%
37
72.2%
Q2 - 8:43ORLMAGIC Rebound31
30.2%
35
69.8%
Q2 - 8:45ORLMISS Turkoglu 15' Jump Shot31
31.9%
35
68.1%
Q2 - 8:58SASBonner Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)31
30.2%
35
69.8%
Q2 - 9:18ORLRedick 1' Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Arenas 3 AST)28
26.2%
35
73.8%
Q2 - 9:22ORLArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
28.2%
33
71.8%
Q2 - 9:26SASMISS Quinn 20' Jump Shot28
28.9%
33
71.1%
Q2 - 9:39ORLTurkoglu 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)28
30.4%
33
69.6%
Q2 - 9:54SASGinobili 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)28
32.6%
31
67.4%
Q2 - 10:03SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
30.6%
31
69.4%
Q2 - 10:04SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
28.9%
31
71.1%
Q2 - 10:29SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
30.6%
31
69.4%
Q2 - 10:33ORLMISS Arenas 18' Pullup Jump Shot26
29.9%
31
70.1%
Q2 - 10:43SASMcDyess Backcourt Turnover (P1.T5)26
28.2%
31
71.8%
Q2 - 10:47SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
30.6%
31
69.4%
Q2 - 10:47SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
28.9%
31
71.1%
Q2 - 11:05ORLHoward Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)26
30.7%
31
69.3%
Q2 - 11:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
28.4%
31
71.6%
Q2 - 11:19SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
29.1%
31
70.9%
Q2 - 11:41ORLAnderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arenas 2 AST)26
30.7%
31
69.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL26
34.9%
28
65.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound26
34.9%
28
65.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Arenas 59' 3PT Jump Shot26
36.7%
28
63.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)26
34.9%
28
65.1%
Q1 - 0:24.0ORLBass Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)26
37.0%
28
63.0%
Q1 - 0:31.0ORLArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
35.2%
28
64.8%
Q1 - 0:32.0SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
35.7%
28
64.3%
Q1 - 0:46.0ORLArenas 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)26
37.0%
28
63.0%
Q1 - 0:59.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
42.1%
25
57.9%
Q1 - 0:59.0SASMISS Parker 20' Pullup Jump Shot26
42.7%
25
57.3%
Q1 - 1:14ORLArenas 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
43.8%
25
56.2%
Q1 - 1:26SASNeal 15' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)26
46.8%
23
53.2%
Q1 - 1:46ORLRedick 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arenas 1 AST)24
43.8%
23
56.2%
Q1 - 1:52ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
49.2%
20
50.8%
Q1 - 1:53SASMISS Neal 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
49.7%
20
50.3%
Q1 - 2:16ORLTurkoglu 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)24
51.0%
20
49.0%
Q1 - 2:28SASParker 3' Driving Layup (12 PTS)24
53.5%
18
46.5%
Q1 - 2:46SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
51.0%
18
49.0%
Q1 - 2:47ORLMISS Bass 18' Jump Shot22
50.3%
18
49.7%
Q1 - 2:58ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
48.9%
18
51.1%
Q1 - 3:00SASMISS Parker 10' Jump Shot22
49.5%
18
50.5%
Q1 - 3:13SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
50.9%
18
49.1%
Q1 - 3:14ORLMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot22
50.2%
18
49.8%
Q1 - 3:26SASParker 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)22
48.5%
18
51.5%
Q1 - 3:42ORLRichardson 2' Layup (8 PTS)20
46.4%
18
53.6%
Q1 - 3:55ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
48.6%
16
51.4%
Q1 - 3:56SASMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot20
49.3%
16
50.7%
Q1 - 4:06SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
50.3%
16
49.7%
Q1 - 4:07ORLMISS Redick 20' Pullup Jump Shot20
49.6%
16
50.4%
Q1 - 4:20SASNeal Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)20
48.0%
16
52.0%
Q1 - 4:30ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T3)20
50.4%
16
49.6%
Q1 - 4:41SASParker 19' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)20
48.0%
16
52.0%
Q1 - 4:56ORLBass 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)18
46.0%
16
54.0%
Q1 - 5:10SASParker 6' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)18
47.5%
14
52.5%
Q1 - 5:21ORLBass Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)16
45.6%
14
54.4%
Q1 - 5:28ORLMAGIC Rebound16
43.2%
14
56.8%
Q1 - 5:31ORLMISS Turkoglu 16' Jump Shot16
44.9%
14
55.1%
Q1 - 5:57SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)16
43.2%
14
56.8%
Q1 - 6:01SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
39.1%
14
60.9%
Q1 - 6:03ORLMISS Nelson 22' Jump Shot13
38.5%
14
61.5%
Q1 - 6:18SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)13
37.0%
14
63.0%
Q1 - 6:24SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
33.3%
14
66.7%
Q1 - 6:27ORLMISS Richardson 6' Hook Shot10
32.7%
14
67.3%
Q1 - 6:40SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
31.4%
14
68.6%
Q1 - 6:40SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
31.2%
14
68.8%
Q1 - 6:58ORLBass 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)8
29.7%
14
70.3%
Q1 - 7:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
31.5%
12
68.5%
Q1 - 7:09SASMISS Parker 2' Layup8
32.1%
12
67.9%
Q1 - 7:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)8
33.4%
12
66.6%
Q1 - 7:16ORLMISS Howard 1' Layup8
32.8%
12
67.2%
Q1 - 7:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)8
31.5%
12
68.5%
Q1 - 7:31SASDuncan 1' Layup (2 PTS)8
31.5%
12
68.5%
Q1 - 7:33SASMISS Blair 1' Layup6
28.6%
12
71.4%
Q1 - 7:34SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
29.9%
12
70.1%
Q1 - 7:37SASHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)6
28.6%
12
71.4%
Q1 - 7:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
29.9%
12
70.1%
Q1 - 7:48ORLMISS Richardson 11' Jump Shot6
29.3%
12
70.7%
Q1 - 8:05SASBlair Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)6
28.4%
12
71.6%
Q1 - 8:05SASMISS Blair Free Throw 1 of 25
27.8%
12
72.2%
Q1 - 8:12ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
28.3%
12
71.7%
Q1 - 8:12ORLRichardson 1' Layup (6 PTS)5
28.3%
12
71.7%
Q1 - 8:14ORLMISS Richardson 1' Alley Oop Layup5
31.1%
10
68.9%
Q1 - 8:25SASDuncan Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)5
30.0%
10
70.0%
Q1 - 8:34ORLHoward 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Bass 1 AST)5
31.6%
10
68.4%
Q1 - 8:44ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
33.4%
8
66.6%
Q1 - 8:45SASMISS Jefferson 21' Jump Shot5
34.0%
8
66.0%
Q1 - 8:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
35.2%
8
64.8%
Q1 - 8:54ORLMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
34.7%
8
65.3%
Q1 - 9:02SASBlair 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)5
33.8%
8
66.2%
Q1 - 9:23ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)3
32.1%
8
67.9%
Q1 - 9:28ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
30.5%
8
69.5%
Q1 - 9:29SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Bank Shot3
31.0%
8
69.0%
Q1 - 9:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
32.1%
8
67.9%
Q1 - 9:36SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
31.0%
8
69.0%
Q1 - 9:52ORLNelson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)3
32.1%
8
67.9%
Q1 - 10:11SASGinobili 11' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)3
33.9%
6
66.1%
Q1 - 10:15SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)1
32.6%
6
67.4%
Q1 - 10:16SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot1
31.3%
6
68.7%
Q1 - 10:29ORLHoward 7' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)1
32.6%
6
67.4%
Q1 - 10:45SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
33.9%
4
66.1%
Q1 - 10:45SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 20
33.6%
4
66.4%
Q1 - 11:03ORLRichardson 4' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)0
34.2%
4
65.8%
Q1 - 11:10ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.9%
2
64.1%
Q1 - 11:11SASMISS Ginobili 8' Running Bank Shot0
36.3%
2
63.7%
Q1 - 11:26ORLRichardson 21' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
37.3%
2
62.7%
Q1 - 11:48SASBlair 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)0
38.9%
0
61.1%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Duncan: Tip to Parker0
40.5%
0
59.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.98 49.0%
ORL
1.32 66.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
14
22
64%
ORL
19
24
79%
Midrange
SAS
16
46
35%
ORL
18
35
51%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
8
12.0
22
36%
55%
ORL
13
19.5
25
52%
78%
Free Throws
SAS
17
25
68%
ORL
10
17
59%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker1662%8.0 / 13
G. Neal1657%8.0 / 14
T. Duncan1250%6.0 / 12
T. Splitter1179%5.5 / 7
R. Jefferson1045%5.0 / 11
D. Blair1038%5.0 / 13
M. Ginobili1042%5.0 / 12
M. Bonner1083%5.0 / 6
C. Quinn425%2.0 / 8
I. Udoka233%1.0 / 3
A. McDyess0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard2985%14.5 / 17
B. Bass1771%8.5 / 12
J. Redick17106%8.5 / 8
J. Richardson1554%7.5 / 14
G. Arenas1450%7.0 / 14
H. Turkoglu1155%5.5 / 10
R. Anderson1056%5.0 / 9
J. Nelson788%3.5 / 4
C. Duhon3150%1.5 / 1
E. Clark0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
86
+16
-10
102
ORL
84
+8
-13
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.98 49.0%
ORL
1.32 66.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.5
108.1
SAS 105.2
ORL 126.8 +21.6
Pace
92.7
91.2
SAS 89.9
ORL 104.0 +14.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.6
SAS 16.0
ORL 13.8 +2.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
52.1%
SAS 46.7%
ORL 67.3% +20.6%
TO %
13.8%
15.7%
SAS 9.8% +2.6%
ORL 12.4%
ORB %
25.0%
26.1%
SAS 31.4% +19.6%
ORL 11.8%
FTrt
29.9
32.8
SAS 27.8 +7.6
ORL 20.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.3%
55.3%
SAS 44.7%
ORL 62.0% +17.3%
STL %
7.9%
7.3%
SAS 7.3% +2.1%
ORL 5.2%
BLK %
6.7%
7.5%
SAS 3.4%
ORL 4.4% +1.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
53.8%
SAS 49.0%
ORL 66.1% +17.1%
Rim FG%
60.3%
61.7%
SAS 63.6%
ORL 79.2% +15.6%
Mid FG%
41.6%
40.4%
SAS 34.8%
ORL 51.4% +16.6%
3P %
39.7%
36.6%
SAS 36.4%
ORL 52.0% +15.6%
FT %
76.7%
69.2%
SAS 68.0% +9.2%
ORL 58.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.3%
32.6%
SAS 24.4%
ORL 28.6% +4.1%
Mid Att. %
39.7%
34.5%
SAS 51.1%
ORL 41.7% +9.4%
3P Att. %
26.1%
32.8%
SAS 24.4%
ORL 29.8% +5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.63 and 2.63.
Game TotalsSASORL
Possessions9697
Possession Minutes25.622.4
Points101123
Rebounds4639
Assists1731
Steals75
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (0)4 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)35 (3)
Field Goals38-9050-84
At-the-Rim FG14-2219-24
Midrange FG16-4618-35
2-Point FG30-6837-59
3-Point FG8-2213-25
Free Throws17-2510-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 233 · 31
30.3
10
45%
6
2
1
0
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
2-6
33%
2-5
40%
G · 6'2" 185 · 29
24.5
16
62%
1
3
0
0
2
0
0
1
1-2
50%
6-11
55%
1-1
100%
C · 6'7" 270 · 22
23.2
10
38%
5
2
3
0
1
2
2
3
2-4
50%
4-11
36%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 33
20.0
10
42%
5
6
0
1
2
1
3
2
3-4
75%
2-7
29%
1-3
33%
F · 6'11" 250 · 35
19.8
12
50%
6
1
0
0
1
1
3
3
0-1
0%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 210 · 26
31.6
16
57%
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
5-7
71%
1-4
25%
3-7
43%
G · 6'2" 175 · 27
23.5
4
25%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-2
0%
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 31
23.4
10
83%
6
0
1
0
0
2
1
5
1-1
100%
3-3
100%
1-3
33%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33
17.8
2
33%
4
1
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26
17.4
11
79%
5
0
2
1
1
4
1
4
5-6
83%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36
8.5
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 25
#25 · G-F · 6'6" 213 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
49%
46
17
7
2
10
0
16
30
17-25
68%
30-68
44%
8-22
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.