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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 22, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Rockets53%10397
22Clippers47%10292
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.6
36.4
32.0
22
50%
3
2
2
1
2
4
1
2
2-2
100%
10-21
8-15
48%
52%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.3
32.5
29.0
13
94%
10
7
1
1
1
2
2
8
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
3-5
60%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 24.7
31.3
33.8
5
30%
4
6
2
2
0
1
1
3
1-3
33%
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 27.9
31.3
30.4
28
59%
4
4
2
1
0
2
0
4
9-11
82%
5-10
4-9
50%
47%
3-9
33%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 27.5
27.2
24.3
7
90%
7
0
1
1
1
2
4
3
1-2
50%
3-3
2-5
100%
51%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 34.7
18.8
14.4
2
33%
3
2
1
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.2
16.9
19.8
4
29%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 25.9
16.8
18.4
7
54%
3
5
1
0
1
2
1
2
1-1
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
46%
2-4
50%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 22.6
15.5
15.9
7
35%
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-5
2-3
20%
50%
1-4
25%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.8
7.9
2.1
2
100%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.4
5.4
18.8
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
51%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.5
8.2
0
1-3
43%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.5
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 30.3
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 29.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 21.8
38.0
36.1
24
49%
18
2
2
1
1
2
5
13
7-10
70%
7-18
8-16
39%
53%
1-2
50%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 22.4
33.1
27.0
14
73%
13
1
3
1
2
3
6
7
4-6
67%
5-7
3-5
71%
62%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.0
29.3
36.1
18
59%
1
6
1
1
1
1
0
1
3-3
100%
6-12
6-12
50%
52%
1-2
50%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 31.7
25.6
27.3
5
26%
1
4
0
1
0
4
0
1
1-1
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
46%
0-2
0%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 28.3
23.3
29.2
7
39%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 21.0
25.5
21.1
4
33%
1
4
2
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
0-3
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 31.6
24.8
22.2
5
42%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
1-3
33%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.3
16.6
2.8
8
51%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-2
0%
4-7
0-1
57%
49%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 27.2
12.6
3.8
2
17%
1
3
1
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
0-1
17%
45%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.3
6.5
11.3
5
53%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 32.1
4.7
6.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Willie Warren
G · 6'4" 203 · 21.2
3.0
0
0-0
47%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.7
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 30.0
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 27.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.