FinalWin Prob.pScore
1228%98
103
272%106
109
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
115.78989.9
SAS logo SAS
122.58988.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS103
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)103
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0DENMISS Nene 3' Layup103
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)103
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0DENMISS Smith 6' Jump Shot103
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)103
0.3%
109
99.7%
Q4 - 0:13.0DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)103
0.5%
109
99.5%
Q4 - 0:23.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 2103
0.5%
109
99.5%
Q4 - 0:23.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)103
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 0:42.0DENNene 3' Layup (13 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)103
1.2%
108
98.8%
Q4 - 0:49.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)101
0.7%
108
99.3%
Q4 - 0:49.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2101
0.9%
107
99.1%
Q4 - 0:49.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)101
0.7%
107
99.3%
Q4 - 0:49.0DENMISS Lawson 2' Layup101
0.9%
107
99.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0SASNeal 11' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)101
2.0%
107
98.0%
Q4 - 1:03DENDuncan STEAL (1 STL)101
3.9%
105
96.1%
Q4 - 1:05DENNuggets Rebound101
7.5%
105
92.5%
Q4 - 1:06DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot101
4.9%
105
95.1%
Q4 - 1:23DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)101
9.3%
105
90.7%
Q4 - 1:24SASMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot101
7.9%
105
92.1%
Q4 - 1:31SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)101
5.8%
105
94.2%
Q4 - 1:33DENJefferson BLOCK (1 BLK)101
7.0%
105
93.0%
Q4 - 1:53SASNeal 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)101
10.8%
105
89.2%
Q4 - 2:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)101
23.8%
102
76.2%
Q4 - 2:03DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot101
27.7%
102
72.3%
Q4 - 2:20SASDuncan Traveling Turnover (P2.T13)101
38.8%
102
61.2%
Q4 - 2:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)101
23.7%
102
76.3%
Q4 - 2:31DENMISS Lawson 10' Jump Shot101
27.8%
102
72.2%
Q4 - 2:48SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)101
39.2%
102
60.8%
Q4 - 2:59DENGinobili STEAL (1 STL)101
56.5%
99
43.5%
Q4 - 3:13SASJefferson Foul Turnover (P3.T12)101
70.7%
99
29.3%
Q4 - 3:31SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)101
52.6%
99
47.4%
Q4 - 3:31DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot101
55.7%
99
44.3%
Q4 - 3:48SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)101
63.2%
99
36.8%
Q4 - 3:59DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)101
53.3%
99
46.7%
Q4 - 3:59DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)100
50.9%
99
49.1%
Q4 - 4:04DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)99
44.4%
99
55.6%
Q4 - 4:05SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot99
41.3%
99
58.7%
Q4 - 4:21DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)99
34.4%
99
65.6%
Q4 - 4:21DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)98
32.8%
99
67.2%
Q4 - 4:21DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)97
26.8%
99
73.2%
Q4 - 4:21DENMISS Billups 22' Jump Shot97
21.4%
99
78.6%
Q4 - 4:29DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)97
26.7%
99
73.3%
Q4 - 4:29DENMISS Smith 4' Jump Shot97
21.4%
99
78.6%
Q4 - 4:44SASNeal Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)97
26.7%
99
73.3%
Q4 - 4:56SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)97
19.2%
99
80.8%
Q4 - 4:57DENMISS Afflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot97
21.3%
99
78.7%
Q4 - 5:11SASBonner Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)97
27.4%
99
72.6%
Q4 - 5:11SASBonner Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)97
28.9%
98
71.1%
Q4 - 5:35DENBillups 9' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS)97
34.2%
97
65.8%
Q4 - 5:52SASNeal Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)95
27.4%
97
72.6%
Q4 - 5:52SASNeal Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)95
28.6%
96
71.4%
Q4 - 6:03DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)95
33.2%
95
66.8%
Q4 - 6:03DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)94
32.6%
95
67.4%
Q4 - 6:18SASNeal 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)93
27.4%
95
72.6%
Q4 - 6:25SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
40.4%
92
59.6%
Q4 - 6:27DENGinobili BLOCK (1 BLK)93
42.8%
92
57.2%
Q4 - 6:28DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)93
48.5%
92
51.5%
Q4 - 6:30DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
42.8%
92
57.2%
Q4 - 6:59SASSplitter 3' Layup (12 PTS)93
48.6%
92
51.4%
Q4 - 7:15DENSplitter STEAL (1 STL)93
52.7%
90
47.3%
Q4 - 7:27DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)93
60.2%
90
39.8%
Q4 - 7:28SASMISS Quinn 3PT Jump Shot93
57.9%
90
42.1%
Q4 - 7:50DENLawson 10' Pullup Jump Shot (20 PTS)93
52.8%
90
47.2%
Q4 - 8:14SASSplitter 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Neal 3 AST)91
44.5%
90
55.5%
Q4 - 8:32SASQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
51.1%
88
48.9%
Q4 - 8:34DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot91
53.1%
88
46.9%
Q4 - 8:52SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)91
57.5%
88
42.5%
Q4 - 9:05SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)91
66.8%
85
33.2%
Q4 - 9:05SASMISS Neal 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
70.3%
85
29.7%
Q4 - 9:12DENQuinn STEAL (1 STL)91
66.9%
85
33.1%
Q4 - 9:14DENNuggets Rebound91
71.9%
85
28.1%
Q4 - 9:14DENMISS Harrington 2' Layup91
68.4%
85
31.6%
Q4 - 9:35SASQuinn 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Neal 2 AST)91
72.0%
85
28.0%
Q4 - 10:01SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)91
74.1%
83
25.9%
Q4 - 10:01DENMISS Afflalo 3' Layup91
75.4%
83
24.6%
Q4 - 10:01DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)91
78.3%
83
21.7%
Q4 - 10:02DENMISS Lawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
75.4%
83
24.6%
Q4 - 10:24DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)91
78.4%
83
21.6%
Q4 - 10:25SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
77.2%
83
22.8%
Q4 - 10:36SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)91
74.3%
83
25.7%
Q4 - 10:38DENMISS Lawson 4' Jump Shot91
75.6%
83
24.4%
Q4 - 10:43DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
78.5%
83
21.5%
Q4 - 10:44SASMISS Ginobili 10' Jump Shot91
77.3%
83
22.7%
Q4 - 11:08DENLawson 4' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)91
72.1%
83
27.9%
Q4 - 11:17DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)89
67.6%
83
32.4%
Q4 - 11:18DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
64.3%
83
35.7%
Q4 - 11:45SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)89
67.7%
83
32.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN89
76.4%
80
23.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)89
80.1%
80
19.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Neal 13' Pullup Jump Shot89
79.0%
80
21.0%
Q3 - 0:26.0DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)89
74.6%
80
25.4%
Q3 - 0:26.0DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)88
73.6%
80
26.4%
Q3 - 0:31.0DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
70.1%
80
29.9%
Q3 - 0:32.0DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
67.3%
80
32.7%
Q3 - 0:40.0SASSplitter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)87
70.1%
80
29.9%
Q3 - 1:01DENSmith 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)87
64.2%
80
35.8%
Q3 - 1:17DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)84
54.4%
80
45.6%
Q3 - 1:18SASMISS Neal 3PT Jump Shot84
53.0%
80
47.0%
Q3 - 1:43SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
50.0%
80
50.0%
Q3 - 1:44DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
51.4%
80
48.6%
Q3 - 1:52SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)84
54.5%
80
45.5%
Q3 - 2:01SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
48.0%
80
52.0%
Q3 - 2:02DENMISS Harrington 10' Jump Shot84
49.4%
80
50.6%
Q3 - 2:18SASSplitter 3' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)84
52.7%
80
47.3%
Q3 - 2:42DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)84
57.5%
78
42.5%
Q3 - 2:57SASSplitter 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)81
48.1%
78
51.9%
Q3 - 3:17DENLawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nene 4 AST)81
51.1%
76
48.9%
Q3 - 3:32SASJefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)78
42.3%
76
57.7%
Q3 - 3:54SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
51.1%
73
48.9%
Q3 - 3:55DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 278
51.8%
73
48.2%
Q3 - 3:55DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)78
54.5%
73
45.5%
Q3 - 4:11SASDuncan 8' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS)77
50.6%
73
49.4%
Q3 - 4:28DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)77
54.2%
71
45.8%
Q3 - 4:28DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)76
53.8%
71
46.2%
Q3 - 4:37DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
50.6%
71
49.4%
Q3 - 4:38SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
49.1%
71
50.9%
Q3 - 4:57DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)75
45.5%
71
54.5%
Q3 - 5:13DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
36.7%
71
63.3%
Q3 - 5:14SASMISS Parker 6' Jump Shot72
35.4%
71
64.6%
Q3 - 5:24SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
32.5%
71
67.5%
Q3 - 5:25DENMISS Nene 2' Dunk72
33.8%
71
66.2%
Q3 - 5:47SASGinobili 1' Layup (18 PTS)72
36.8%
71
63.2%
Q3 - 5:48SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)72
40.3%
69
59.7%
Q3 - 5:50SASMISS Ginobili Layup72
43.5%
69
56.5%
Q3 - 5:53SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
40.3%
69
59.7%
Q3 - 5:54DENMISS Afflalo 11' Running Bank Shot72
41.7%
69
58.3%
Q3 - 6:11SASJefferson 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)72
43.6%
69
56.4%
Q3 - 6:29DENNene Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)72
47.3%
67
52.7%
Q3 - 6:36DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)72
51.7%
67
48.3%
Q3 - 6:37SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot72
50.3%
67
49.7%
Q3 - 6:52DENSmith 3' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)72
47.3%
67
52.7%
Q3 - 7:10DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
42.2%
67
57.8%
Q3 - 7:11SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
41.0%
67
59.0%
Q3 - 7:15SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)70
38.3%
67
61.7%
Q3 - 7:16SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
41.0%
67
59.0%
Q3 - 7:34DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)70
38.3%
67
61.7%
Q3 - 7:34DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)69
38.0%
67
62.0%
Q3 - 7:41SASJefferson 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)68
34.9%
67
65.1%
Q3 - 7:58DENMartin 2' Dunk (8 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)68
38.4%
65
61.6%
Q3 - 8:13SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)66
34.6%
65
65.4%
Q3 - 8:13SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)66
35.5%
64
64.5%
Q3 - 8:26DENSmith 6' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nene 3 AST)66
37.8%
63
62.2%
Q3 - 8:52SASDuncan 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)64
34.6%
63
65.4%
Q3 - 9:17DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)64
37.3%
61
62.7%
Q3 - 9:40DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
30.8%
61
69.2%
Q3 - 9:41SASMISS Ginobili 8' Floating Jump Shot61
29.8%
61
70.2%
Q3 - 9:56SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
27.6%
61
72.4%
Q3 - 9:57DENMISS Smith 4' Jump Shot61
28.6%
61
71.4%
Q3 - 10:06DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
30.2%
61
69.8%
Q3 - 10:09SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
27.2%
61
72.8%
Q3 - 10:09SASMISS Blair 4' Jump Shot61
29.3%
61
70.7%
Q3 - 10:12SASMISS Jefferson 3' Reverse Layup61
29.3%
61
70.7%
Q3 - 10:33DENAfflalo 3' Layup (10 PTS)61
27.2%
61
72.8%
Q3 - 10:38SASJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)59
24.6%
61
75.4%
Q3 - 10:56DENBillups Foul Turnover (P3.T8)59
22.0%
61
78.0%
Q3 - 11:03DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
24.5%
61
75.5%
Q3 - 11:05SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot59
23.6%
61
76.4%
Q3 - 11:21DENBillups Free Throw 3 of 3 (12 PTS)59
21.9%
61
78.1%
Q3 - 11:21DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 3 (11 PTS)58
21.6%
61
78.4%
Q3 - 11:21DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 3 (10 PTS)57
21.4%
61
78.6%
Q3 - 11:37SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)56
17.6%
61
82.4%
Q3 - 11:37SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)56
17.9%
60
82.1%
Q3 - 11:58DENSmith Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)56
19.6%
59
80.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS56
22.0%
59
78.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
19.6%
59
80.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENMISS Afflalo 15' Jump Bank Shot56
20.6%
59
79.4%
Q2 - 0:25.0SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
21.8%
59
78.2%
Q2 - 0:25.0SASJefferson 2' Putback Dunk (9 PTS)56
21.8%
59
78.2%
Q2 - 0:25.0SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
26.1%
57
73.9%
Q2 - 0:50.0DENSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T6)56
24.7%
57
75.3%
Q2 - 1:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)56
26.4%
57
73.6%
Q2 - 1:09SASDuncan 1' Layup (2 PTS)56
26.4%
57
73.6%
Q2 - 1:10SASMISS Duncan 4' Running Jump Shot56
31.2%
55
68.8%
Q2 - 1:23DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)56
29.8%
55
70.2%
Q2 - 1:38SASJefferson 2' Alley Oop Layup (7 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)53
24.0%
55
76.0%
Q2 - 1:55DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)53
27.2%
53
72.8%
Q2 - 1:55DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)52
26.5%
53
73.5%
Q2 - 1:55DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)51
24.0%
53
76.0%
Q2 - 1:56DENMISS Nene 2' Layup51
22.8%
53
77.2%
Q2 - 2:02SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)51
24.2%
53
75.8%
Q2 - 2:12DENHarrington Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)51
21.8%
53
78.2%
Q2 - 2:30SASJefferson 2' Dunk (5 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)51
24.2%
53
75.8%
Q2 - 2:38DENNene 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)51
26.5%
51
73.5%
Q2 - 2:56DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
24.2%
51
75.8%
Q2 - 2:56SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 249
23.8%
51
76.2%
Q2 - 2:56SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)49
22.4%
51
77.6%
Q2 - 3:00SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
24.1%
50
75.9%
Q2 - 3:02DENMISS Harrington 2' Driving Dunk49
24.6%
50
75.4%
Q2 - 3:18SASJefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)49
26.5%
50
73.5%
Q2 - 3:39DENNene 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)49
31.1%
47
68.9%
Q2 - 3:50DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
29.0%
47
71.0%
Q2 - 3:52SASMISS Duncan 11' Jump Bank Shot47
28.1%
47
71.9%
Q2 - 4:07DENBillups 7' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS)47
25.8%
47
74.2%
Q2 - 4:23DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
23.7%
47
76.3%
Q2 - 4:24SASMISS Neal 17' Jump Shot45
23.0%
47
77.0%
Q2 - 4:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)45
21.4%
47
78.6%
Q2 - 4:32SASMISS Parker 7' Jump Shot45
23.0%
47
77.0%
Q2 - 4:58DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)45
21.4%
47
78.6%
Q2 - 5:21DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
17.8%
47
82.2%
Q2 - 5:22SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
17.3%
47
82.7%
Q2 - 5:41SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
16.2%
47
83.8%
Q2 - 5:43DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 142
16.4%
47
83.6%
Q2 - 5:43SASNeal Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)42
17.8%
47
82.2%
Q2 - 5:50SASParker 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)40
16.1%
46
83.9%
Q2 - 6:15DENLawson Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)40
17.9%
44
82.1%
Q2 - 6:26DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
19.9%
44
80.1%
Q2 - 6:27SASMISS Bonner Free Throw 3 of 340
19.6%
44
80.4%
Q2 - 6:27SASMISS Bonner Free Throw 2 of 340
18.5%
44
81.5%
Q2 - 6:27SASMISS Bonner Free Throw 1 of 340
17.2%
44
82.8%
Q2 - 6:39DENLawson 2' Layup (9 PTS)40
17.9%
44
82.1%
Q2 - 6:51SASNeal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)38
16.5%
44
83.5%
Q2 - 7:07DENLawson 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)38
19.6%
41
80.4%
Q2 - 7:24SASNeal 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)36
18.0%
41
82.0%
Q2 - 7:43DENHarrington 1' Layup (2 PTS)36
21.4%
38
78.6%
Q2 - 7:47SASBonner Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)34
19.7%
38
80.3%
Q2 - 8:13DENAfflalo 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Andersen 2 AST)34
18.0%
38
82.0%
Q2 - 8:30SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)32
16.5%
38
83.5%
Q2 - 8:30SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)32
16.7%
37
83.3%
Q2 - 8:35SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
18.0%
36
82.0%
Q2 - 8:37DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)32
19.7%
36
80.3%
Q2 - 8:37DENMISS Andersen 2' Layup32
18.5%
36
81.5%
Q2 - 8:39DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)32
19.7%
36
80.3%
Q2 - 8:39DENBlair BLOCK (1 BLK)32
18.5%
36
81.5%
Q2 - 8:41DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
18.5%
36
81.5%
Q2 - 8:56SASBonner 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)32
19.7%
36
80.3%
Q2 - 9:05DENLawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)32
21.3%
34
78.7%
Q2 - 9:26SASNeal 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)29
18.1%
34
81.9%
Q2 - 9:43SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
19.6%
32
80.4%
Q2 - 9:45DENBonner BLOCK (1 BLK)29
20.2%
32
79.8%
Q2 - 9:58DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
21.4%
32
78.6%
Q2 - 10:00SASMISS Neal 16' Pullup Jump Shot29
20.8%
32
79.2%
Q2 - 10:15DENLawson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)29
19.7%
32
80.3%
Q2 - 10:25SASBonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)29
21.5%
32
78.5%
Q2 - 10:43DENLawson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)29
25.0%
29
75.0%
Q2 - 10:56SASBlair 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)27
23.3%
29
76.7%
Q2 - 11:09SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
25.0%
27
75.0%
Q2 - 11:11DENMISS Forbes 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
25.6%
27
74.4%
Q2 - 11:23DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
27.1%
27
72.9%
Q2 - 11:24SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 227
26.8%
27
73.2%
Q2 - 11:24SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)27
25.3%
27
74.7%
Q2 - 11:36SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
26.9%
26
73.1%
Q2 - 11:37DENMISS Smith 7' Running Jump Shot27
27.6%
26
72.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN27
29.1%
26
70.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
29.1%
26
70.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASMISS Udoka 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
27.9%
26
72.1%
Q1 - 0:26.0DENAndersen 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)27
26.9%
26
73.1%
Q1 - 0:34.0SASParker 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T4)25
24.7%
26
75.3%
Q1 - 0:52.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
23.2%
26
76.8%
Q1 - 0:52.0DENAndersen 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)25
23.2%
26
76.8%
Q1 - 0:53.0DENMISS Andersen 3' Layup23
20.3%
26
79.7%
Q1 - 1:02SASParker 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)23
21.2%
26
78.8%
Q1 - 1:14DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)23
23.2%
24
76.8%
Q1 - 1:31DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
24.5%
24
75.5%
Q1 - 1:32SASMISS Splitter 3' Dunk23
24.1%
24
75.9%
Q1 - 1:43SASSPURS Rebound23
23.2%
24
76.8%
Q1 - 1:44DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot23
23.6%
24
76.4%
Q1 - 2:07SASNeal 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)23
24.7%
24
75.3%
Q1 - 2:25DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
28.5%
21
71.5%
Q1 - 2:25DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
28.3%
21
71.7%
Q1 - 2:43SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
26.5%
21
73.5%
Q1 - 2:43SASSplitter 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)21
26.5%
21
73.5%
Q1 - 2:44SASMISS Jefferson 2' Layup21
29.7%
19
70.3%
Q1 - 3:02DENSmith 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)21
28.1%
19
71.9%
Q1 - 3:09DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
26.4%
19
73.6%
Q1 - 3:11SASMISS Parker 6' Jump Shot19
25.8%
19
74.2%
Q1 - 3:33DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)19
24.6%
19
75.4%
Q1 - 3:55DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
21.4%
19
78.6%
Q1 - 3:57SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot16
20.9%
19
79.1%
Q1 - 4:19DENNene 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)16
19.5%
19
80.5%
Q1 - 4:40SASSplitter 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)14
18.3%
19
81.7%
Q1 - 4:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
19.6%
17
80.4%
Q1 - 4:59SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot14
20.6%
17
79.4%
Q1 - 5:21DENMartin 2' Dunk (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)14
19.7%
17
80.3%
Q1 - 5:36SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)12
18.5%
17
81.5%
Q1 - 5:42DENJefferson STEAL (1 STL)12
17.1%
17
82.9%
Q1 - 6:02SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)12
18.3%
17
81.7%
Q1 - 6:16DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
20.9%
14
79.1%
Q1 - 6:16DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 211
20.6%
14
79.4%
Q1 - 6:30DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
21.0%
14
79.0%
Q1 - 6:32SASMISS Parker 7' Jump Shot11
20.6%
14
79.4%
Q1 - 6:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
19.6%
14
80.4%
Q1 - 6:38DENMISS Billups 3PT Jump Shot11
20.0%
14
80.0%
Q1 - 6:55DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
21.0%
14
79.0%
Q1 - 6:56SASSPURS Rebound11
19.6%
14
80.4%
Q1 - 6:56SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 211
20.8%
14
79.2%
Q1 - 6:56SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 211
20.0%
14
80.0%
Q1 - 7:00SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
19.6%
14
80.4%
Q1 - 7:02DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot11
19.9%
14
80.1%
Q1 - 7:25SASGinobili 16' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)11
20.9%
14
79.1%
Q1 - 7:31SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
22.1%
12
77.9%
Q1 - 7:32DENMISS Martin 17' Jump Shot11
22.6%
12
77.4%
Q1 - 7:59SASParker 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)11
23.7%
12
76.3%
Q1 - 8:22DENMartin 1' Dunk (4 PTS)11
24.9%
10
75.1%
Q1 - 8:23SASSplitter Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)9
23.4%
10
76.6%
Q1 - 8:24SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
22.0%
10
78.0%
Q1 - 8:27DENMISS Billups 9' Jump Shot9
22.4%
10
77.6%
Q1 - 8:36SASParker 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
23.4%
10
76.6%
Q1 - 8:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
24.9%
8
75.1%
Q1 - 8:43SASMISS Jefferson 14' Jump Shot9
25.9%
8
74.1%
Q1 - 8:59DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)9
24.9%
8
75.1%
Q1 - 8:59DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 28
24.5%
8
75.5%
Q1 - 9:10SASGinobili 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)8
24.8%
8
75.2%
Q1 - 9:27DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
27.8%
5
72.2%
Q1 - 9:27DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
27.4%
5
72.6%
Q1 - 9:41SASParker 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)6
26.2%
5
73.8%
Q1 - 9:56DENMartin 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)6
27.8%
3
72.2%
Q1 - 10:20SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)4
26.1%
3
73.9%
Q1 - 10:30SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
28.8%
0
71.2%
Q1 - 10:32SASMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot4
30.0%
0
70.0%
Q1 - 10:45SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
28.8%
0
71.2%
Q1 - 10:46DENMISS Afflalo 16' Jump Shot4
29.3%
0
70.7%
Q1 - 10:52SASJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
30.5%
0
69.5%
Q1 - 11:09DENSmith 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)4
28.1%
0
71.9%
Q1 - 11:11DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
26.7%
0
73.3%
Q1 - 11:13DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot2
25.9%
0
74.1%
Q1 - 11:31DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
26.7%
0
73.3%
Q1 - 11:33SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot2
26.3%
0
73.7%
Q1 - 11:49DENBillups 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
25.5%
0
74.5%
Q1 - 11:54DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.2%
0
75.8%
Q1 - 11:56SASMISS Ginobili 3' Layup0
23.9%
0
76.1%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Nene: Tip to Ginobili0
23.1%
0
76.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.11 55.4%
SAS
1.22 61.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
19
34
56%
SAS
17
24
71%
Midrange
DEN
8
19
42%
SAS
9
24
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
8
12.0
25
32%
48%
SAS
14
21.0
28
50%
75%
Free Throws
DEN
25
29
86%
SAS
15
24
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2258%11.0 / 19
T. Lawson2279%11.0 / 14
C. Billups2063%10.0 / 16
Nene1359%6.5 / 11
A. Afflalo1250%6.0 / 12
K. Martin880%4.0 / 5
C. Andersen433%2.0 / 6
A. Harrington217%1.0 / 6
G. Forbes0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili2261%11.0 / 18
G. Neal2285%11.0 / 13
R. Jefferson1667%8.0 / 12
M. Bonner1393%6.5 / 7
T. Splitter1286%6.0 / 7
T. Parker1137%5.5 / 15
T. Duncan950%4.5 / 9
D. Blair250%1.0 / 2
C. Quinn250%1.0 / 2
I. Udoka0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
76
+15
-13
91
SAS
76
+12
-13
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.11 55.4%
SAS
1.22 61.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.7
111.5
DEN 115.7
SAS 122.5 +6.7
Pace
95.2
92.7
DEN 89.9 +1.7
SAS 88.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
15.7
DEN 16.0 +0.3
SAS 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.6%
52.7%
DEN 50.0%
SAS 61.8% +11.8%
TO %
14.5%
13.8%
DEN 12.5% +0.6%
SAS 13.1%
ORB %
23.8%
25.0%
DEN 31.0% +4.2%
SAS 26.8%
FTrt
36.7
29.9
DEN 37.2 +5.6
SAS 31.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
58.3%
DEN 62.9%
SAS 65.0% +2.1%
STL %
7.7%
7.9%
DEN 11.2% +5.6%
SAS 5.6%
BLK %
6.8%
6.7%
DEN 6.3%
SAS 7.5% +1.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.3%
55.3%
DEN 55.4%
SAS 61.2% +5.8%
Rim FG%
58.5%
60.3%
DEN 55.9%
SAS 70.8% +14.9%
Mid FG%
40.0%
41.6%
DEN 42.1% +4.6%
SAS 37.5%
3P %
38.8%
39.7%
DEN 32.0%
SAS 50.0% +18.0%
FT %
76.6%
76.7%
DEN 86.2% +23.7%
SAS 62.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.5%
34.3%
DEN 43.6% +12.0%
SAS 31.6%
Mid Att. %
31.8%
39.7%
DEN 24.4% +7.2%
SAS 31.6%
3P Att. %
25.8%
26.1%
DEN 32.1%
SAS 36.8% +4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsDENSAS
Possessions8989
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points103109
Rebounds4340
Assists2226
Steals105
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (2)11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (0)29 (2)
Field Goals35-7840-76
At-the-Rim FG19-3417-24
Midrange FG8-199-24
2-Point FG27-5326-48
3-Point FG8-2514-28
Free Throws25-2915-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
39.6
12
50%
10
3
2
0
2
2
2
8
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
2-5
40%
F · 6'6" 225 · 25
38.3
22
58%
7
3
2
1
2
4
1
6
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
4-10
40%
G · 6'3" 210 · 34
36.8
20
63%
1
7
1
0
4
2
0
1
12-12
100%
4-7
57%
0-4
0%
C · 6'11" 250 · 28
31.2
13
59%
5
4
2
0
1
1
4
1
5-8
63%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 33
16.9
8
80%
5
0
1
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 195 · 23
28.2
22
79%
3
2
0
0
2
3
1
2
4-5
80%
6-9
67%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 245 · 31
23.7
2
17%
3
1
1
1
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32
19.0
4
33%
7
2
1
0
1
1
5
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 220 · 26
6.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27
G · 6'1" 190 · 36
F · 6'8" 225 · 26
#34 · C-F · 6'10" 260 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · F · 6'8" 240 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
55%
43
22
10
3
13
0
13
30
25-29
86%
27-53
51%
8-25
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.