Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, December 22, 2010

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	21	Cavaliers	34%	95	84
	16	Hawks	66%	100	98

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
CLE	98.8	85	84.5
ATL	115.3	85	85.5

Scoring Opportunities

CLE

+11

-9

ATL

+12

-6

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

0.94 47.2%

ATL

1.05 52.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	ATL
Q4 - 0:00.0	CLE		84 0%	98 100%
Q4 - 0:08.0	ATL	HAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)	84 0%	98 100%
Q4 - 0:30.0	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	84 0.1%	98 99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0	CLE	MISS Williams 1' Driving Layup	84 0.1%	98 99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0	ATL	Smith 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)	84 0.1%	98 99.9%
Q4 - 1:05	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)	84 0.1%	96 99.9%
Q4 - 1:07	CLE	MISS Gibson 26' 3PT Jump Shot	84 0.1%	96 99.9%
Q4 - 1:24	ATL	HAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)	84 0.1%	96 99.9%
Q4 - 1:47	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	84 0.1%	96 99.9%
Q4 - 1:49	CLE	MISS Williams 9' Driving Jump Shot	84 0.2%	96 99.8%
Q4 - 2:04	ATL	Horford Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)	84 0.3%	96 99.7%
Q4 - 2:15	CLE	Jamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)	84 0.1%	96 99.9%
Q4 - 2:15	CLE	MISS Jamison Free Throw 1 of 2	83 0.1%	96 99.9%
Q4 - 2:36	ATL	Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)	83 0.2%	96 99.8%
Q4 - 2:54	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)	83 0.6%	93 99.4%
Q4 - 2:55	CLE	MISS Williams 21' Fadeaway Jumper	83 0.7%	93 99.3%
Q4 - 3:06	CLE	Varejao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)	83 1.1%	93 98.9%
Q4 - 3:07	ATL	MISS Horford 21' Jump Shot	83 0.9%	93 99.1%
Q4 - 3:34	CLE	Williams 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS)	83 1.4%	93 98.6%
Q4 - 3:47	CLE	Jamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	81 0.9%	93 99.1%
Q4 - 3:49	ATL	MISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot	81 0.8%	93 99.2%
Q4 - 4:05	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)	81 0.6%	93 99.4%
Q4 - 4:06	CLE	MISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot	81 0.7%	93 99.3%
Q4 - 4:34	ATL	Williams 23' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)	81 0.9%	93 99.1%
Q4 - 4:58	CLE	Gibson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 11 AST)	81 1.2%	91 98.8%
Q4 - 5:13	CLE	Cavaliers Rebound	78 1.1%	91 98.9%
Q4 - 5:13	ATL	MISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot	78 1.0%	91 99.0%
Q4 - 5:25	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	78 0.7%	91 99.3%
Q4 - 5:26	CLE	MISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot	78 0.8%	91 99.2%
Q4 - 5:41	ATL	Johnson 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)	78 1.0%	91 99.0%
Q4 - 5:46	ATL	Teague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	78 2.0%	88 98.0%
Q4 - 5:47	CLE	Hickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	78 2.8%	88 97.2%
Q4 - 5:47	CLE	MISS Hickson 1' Tip Shot	78 2.2%	88 97.8%
Q4 - 5:49	CLE	MISS Sessions 3' Driving Layup	78 2.2%	88 97.8%
Q4 - 6:12	ATL	Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Evans 2 AST)	78 3.8%	88 96.2%
Q4 - 6:37	CLE	Hollins Dunk (6 PTS) (Sessions 3 AST)	78 6.5%	85 93.5%
Q4 - 6:56	ATL	Smith 14' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)	76 5.0%	85 95.0%
Q4 - 7:14	CLE	Sessions 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)	76 7.6%	83 92.4%
Q4 - 7:34	ATL	Teague 7' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)	74 6.0%	83 94.0%
Q4 - 7:41	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	74 7.6%	81 92.4%
Q4 - 7:43	ATL	MISS Pachulia 3' Driving Layup	74 9.2%	81 90.8%
Q4 - 8:06	CLE	Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Sessions 2 AST)	74 8.8%	81 91.2%
Q4 - 8:21	ATL	HAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)	71 5.4%	81 94.6%
Q4 - 8:21	ATL	HAWKS Rebound	71 4.3%	81 95.7%
Q4 - 8:21	ATL	MISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot	71 5.0%	81 95.0%
Q4 - 8:46	CLE	Smith STEAL (1 STL)	71 4.2%	81 95.8%
Q4 - 9:00	ATL	Smith 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)	71 5.3%	81 94.7%
Q4 - 9:11	ATL	Teague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	71 7.9%	79 92.1%
Q4 - 9:14	CLE	MISS Williams 8' Turnaround Jump Shot	71 8.4%	79 91.6%
Q4 - 9:39	ATL	Evans Putback Layup (8 PTS)	71 9.7%	79 90.3%
Q4 - 9:40	ATL	Evans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	71 12.1%	77 87.9%
Q4 - 9:42	ATL	MISS Pachulia 9' Turnaround Hook Shot	71 13.9%	77 86.1%
Q4 - 9:49	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	71 12.1%	77 87.9%
Q4 - 9:51	ATL	MISS Smith 7' Turnaround Jump Shot	71 13.9%	77 86.1%
Q4 - 10:05	ATL	HAWKS Rebound	71 12.8%	77 87.2%
Q4 - 10:06	CLE	MISS Williams 11' Jump Shot	71 13.6%	77 86.4%
Q4 - 10:21	CLE	Cavaliers Rebound	71 15.5%	77 84.5%
Q4 - 10:22	ATL	MISS Evans 26' 3PT Jump Shot	71 14.6%	77 85.4%
Q4 - 10:34	CLE	Williams Foul Turnover (P1.T8)	71 12.7%	77 87.3%
Q4 - 10:36	CLE	Jamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	71 15.5%	77 84.5%
Q4 - 10:39	ATL	MISS Teague 12' Floating Jump Shot	71 14.6%	77 85.4%
Q4 - 10:58	CLE	Hickson 2' Putback Layup (4 PTS)	71 12.7%	77 87.3%
Q4 - 10:59	CLE	Hickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	69 10.4%	77 89.6%
Q4 - 11:01	CLE	MISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot	69 9.8%	77 90.2%
Q4 - 11:14	CLE	Cavaliers Rebound	69 11.1%	77 88.9%
Q4 - 11:14	ATL	MISS Smith 2' Driving Layup	69 10.5%	77 89.5%
Q4 - 11:35	ATL	Teague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	69 9.2%	77 90.8%
Q4 - 11:37	CLE	MISS Gibson 18' Fadeaway Jumper	69 9.7%	77 90.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0	ATL		69 11.1%	77 88.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0	ATL	HAWKS Rebound	69 9.1%	77 90.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0	ATL	MISS Teague 10' Running Jump Shot	69 10.5%	77 89.5%
Q3 - 0:03.0	CLE	Sessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	69 9.9%	77 90.1%
Q3 - 0:03.0	CLE	Sessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	68 9.6%	77 90.4%
Q3 - 0:12.0	CLE	Parker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	67 8.1%	77 91.9%
Q3 - 0:14.0	ATL	MISS Horford 9' Turnaround Jump Shot	67 7.7%	77 92.3%
Q3 - 0:34.0	CLE	Williams Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)	67 6.8%	77 93.2%
Q3 - 0:54.0	ATL	Evans 1' Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)	67 8.1%	77 91.9%
Q3 - 0:57.0	CLE	Horford STEAL (1 STL)	67 9.9%	75 90.1%
Q3 - 1:15	CLE	Cavaliers Rebound	67 12.1%	75 87.9%
Q3 - 1:15	ATL	MISS Johnson 5' Driving Jump Shot	67 11.6%	75 88.4%
Q3 - 1:29	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	67 10.3%	75 89.7%
Q3 - 1:30	ATL	MISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot	67 11.5%	75 88.5%
Q3 - 1:47	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	67 10.3%	75 89.7%
Q3 - 1:49	CLE	MISS Parker 20' Jump Shot	67 10.8%	75 89.2%
Q3 - 2:04	CLE	Cavaliers Rebound	67 12.7%	75 87.3%
Q3 - 2:05	ATL	MISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot	67 12.0%	75 88.0%
Q3 - 2:14	CLE	Pachulia STEAL (2 STL)	67 10.7%	75 89.3%
Q3 - 2:25	ATL	Horford 6' Driving Hook Shot (18 PTS)	67 12.6%	75 87.4%
Q3 - 2:44	CLE	Parker 8' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 10 AST)	67 14.9%	73 85.1%
Q3 - 3:05	ATL	Teague 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)	65 13.2%	73 86.8%
Q3 - 3:22	CLE	Jamison 1' Running Layup (22 PTS) (Williams 9 AST)	65 15.3%	71 84.7%
Q3 - 3:25	CLE	Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	63 13.2%	71 86.8%
Q3 - 3:26	ATL	MISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot	63 12.5%	71 87.5%
Q3 - 3:39	CLE	Williams 18' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)	63 11.1%	71 88.9%
Q3 - 3:48	CLE	Varejao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)	61 9.5%	71 90.5%
Q3 - 3:49	ATL	MISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	61 9.1%	71 90.9%
Q3 - 4:09	CLE	Gibson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	61 8.3%	71 91.7%
Q3 - 4:09	CLE	Gibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)	60 8.1%	71 91.9%
Q3 - 4:24	ATL	Horford 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)	59 7.2%	71 92.8%
Q3 - 4:37	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	59 8.3%	69 91.7%
Q3 - 4:40	ATL	MISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot	59 9.4%	69 90.6%
Q3 - 4:57	ATL	HAWKS Rebound	59 8.3%	69 91.7%
Q3 - 4:58	CLE	MISS Jamison Layup	59 8.8%	69 91.2%
Q3 - 5:05	CLE	Parker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	59 10.3%	69 89.7%
Q3 - 5:09	ATL	MISS Johnson 2' Alley Oop Layup	59 9.8%	69 90.2%
Q3 - 5:14	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	59 8.7%	69 91.3%
Q3 - 5:15	CLE	MISS Gibson 26' 3PT Jump Shot	59 9.2%	69 90.8%
Q3 - 5:26	CLE	Varejao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)	59 10.3%	69 89.7%
Q3 - 5:29	ATL	MISS Williams 17' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot	59 9.8%	69 90.2%
Q3 - 5:52	CLE	Jamison 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)	59 8.7%	69 91.3%
Q3 - 6:17	ATL	Williams 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)	56 6.9%	69 93.1%
Q3 - 6:29	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	56 7.9%	67 92.1%
Q3 - 6:31	CLE	MISS Gibson 1' Driving Layup	56 8.3%	67 91.7%
Q3 - 6:47	CLE	Jamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	56 9.3%	67 90.7%
Q3 - 6:48	ATL	MISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 1	56 9.1%	67 90.9%
Q3 - 6:52	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	56 10.6%	65 89.4%
Q3 - 6:54	CLE	MISS Varejao 1' Layup	56 11.1%	65 88.9%
Q3 - 6:56	CLE	Jamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	56 12.4%	65 87.6%
Q3 - 6:58	CLE	MISS Williams 7' Running Hook Shot	56 11.1%	65 88.9%
Q3 - 7:05	ATL	Horford 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)	56 12.8%	65 87.2%
Q3 - 7:21	CLE	Varejao 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)	56 14.5%	63 85.5%
Q3 - 7:22	CLE	Varejao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)	54 12.7%	63 87.3%
Q3 - 7:24	CLE	MISS Jamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot	54 11.5%	63 88.5%
Q3 - 7:45	ATL	Johnson 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (17 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)	54 12.7%	63 87.3%
Q3 - 8:02	CLE	Jamison 5' Hook Shot (17 PTS) (Varejao 2 AST)	54 14.7%	61 85.3%
Q3 - 8:19	ATL	Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	52 13.0%	61 87.0%
Q3 - 8:19	ATL	Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)	52 13.3%	60 86.7%
Q3 - 8:31	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	52 14.7%	59 85.3%
Q3 - 8:34	CLE	MISS Varejao 2' Layup	52 15.3%	59 84.7%
Q3 - 8:54	ATL	Horford 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)	52 16.8%	59 83.2%
Q3 - 9:15	CLE	Williams 6' Driving Jump Shot (14 PTS)	52 19.0%	57 81.0%
Q3 - 9:34	ATL	Horford 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (10 PTS)	50 16.9%	57 83.1%
Q3 - 9:55	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	50 19.0%	55 81.0%
Q3 - 9:56	CLE	MISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot	50 19.7%	55 80.3%
Q3 - 10:24	ATL	Smith 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)	50 21.6%	55 78.4%
Q3 - 10:40	CLE	Williams 1' Driving Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Varejao 1 AST)	50 24.0%	53 76.0%
Q3 - 11:01	ATL	Johnson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)	48 21.8%	53 78.2%
Q3 - 11:26	CLE	Gibson 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)	48 24.1%	51 75.9%
Q3 - 11:44	ATL	Johnson 9' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)	46 21.8%	51 78.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0	ATL		46 24.1%	49 75.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0	CLE	Williams 17' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)	46 24.1%	49 75.9%
Q2 - 0:04.0	ATL	Horford Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	44 21.8%	49 78.2%
Q2 - 0:04.0	ATL	Horford Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	44 22.2%	48 77.8%
Q2 - 0:09.0	CLE	Hollins Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)	44 24.7%	47 75.3%
Q2 - 0:29.0	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	42 21.8%	47 78.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0	ATL	Williams 2' Tip Shot (13 PTS)	42 21.8%	47 78.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0	ATL	MISS Johnson 17' Turnaround Jump Shot	42 26.0%	45 74.0%
Q2 - 0:46.0	CLE	Jamison 2' Layup (15 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)	42 24.7%	45 75.3%
Q2 - 0:48.0	CLE	Parker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	40 21.8%	45 78.2%
Q2 - 0:50.0	CLE	MISS Williams 20' Jump Shot	40 20.6%	45 79.4%
Q2 - 1:07	ATL	Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)	40 21.8%	45 78.2%
Q2 - 1:23	CLE	Hollins 1' Putback Dunk (2 PTS)	40 27.3%	42 72.7%
Q2 - 1:24	CLE	Hollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	38 24.1%	42 75.9%
Q2 - 1:26	CLE	MISS Gibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	38 23.0%	42 77.0%
Q2 - 1:35	CLE	Hollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	38 24.1%	42 75.9%
Q2 - 1:36	ATL	MISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot	38 23.6%	42 76.4%
Q2 - 1:51	CLE	Jamison Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)	38 22.5%	42 77.5%
Q2 - 2:09	CLE	Hollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	35 18.2%	42 81.8%
Q2 - 2:11	ATL	MISS Collins Free Throw 2 of 2	35 17.9%	42 82.1%
Q2 - 2:11	ATL	Collins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	35 17.0%	42 83.0%
Q2 - 2:16	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	35 18.1%	41 81.9%
Q2 - 2:17	CLE	MISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot	35 18.7%	41 81.3%
Q2 - 2:25	CLE	Parker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	35 20.1%	41 79.9%
Q2 - 2:26	CLE	MISS Jamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot	35 18.7%	41 81.3%
Q2 - 2:35	ATL	Horford 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)	35 20.1%	41 79.9%
Q2 - 2:55	CLE	Williams 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	35 22.2%	39 77.8%
Q2 - 3:18	ATL	Bibby 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)	33 20.4%	39 79.6%
Q2 - 3:48	CLE	Gibson 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)	33 24.3%	36 75.7%
Q2 - 3:59	ATL	Horford 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T6)	31 22.5%	36 77.5%
Q2 - 4:15	CLE	Varejao Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	31 20.1%	36 79.9%
Q2 - 4:15	CLE	Varejao Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	30 19.5%	36 80.5%
Q2 - 4:15	CLE	Cavaliers Rebound	29 18.4%	36 81.6%
Q2 - 4:15	ATL	MISS Smith 22' Jump Shot	29 17.8%	36 82.2%
Q2 - 4:28	CLE	Jamison 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)	29 16.5%	36 83.5%
Q2 - 4:50	ATL	Johnson 2' Running Layup (9 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)	27 15.0%	36 85.0%
Q2 - 4:54	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	27 16.5%	34 83.5%
Q2 - 4:55	CLE	MISS Williams 2' Driving Reverse Layup	27 17.0%	34 83.0%
Q2 - 5:11	ATL	Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)	27 18.6%	34 81.4%
Q2 - 5:24	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	27 22.4%	31 77.6%
Q2 - 5:25	CLE	MISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot	27 23.0%	31 77.0%
Q2 - 5:40	CLE	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	27 24.5%	31 75.5%
Q2 - 5:41	ATL	MISS Pachulia 16' Jump Shot	27 23.8%	31 76.2%
Q2 - 5:55	ATL	HAWKS Rebound	27 22.4%	31 77.6%
Q2 - 5:55	CLE	MISS Parker 18' Fadeaway Jumper	27 23.0%	31 77.0%
Q2 - 6:12	CLE	Varejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	27 24.9%	31 75.1%
Q2 - 6:14	ATL	MISS Evans 21' Jump Shot	27 24.1%	31 75.9%
Q2 - 6:49	ATL	HAWKS Rebound	27 22.5%	31 77.5%
Q2 - 6:50	CLE	MISS Gibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	27 23.2%	31 76.8%
Q2 - 7:20	ATL	Teague 1' Running Slam Dunk (3 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)	27 24.7%	31 75.3%
Q2 - 7:22	ATL	Evans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	27 26.7%	29 73.3%
Q2 - 7:25	CLE	MISS Hickson 4' Driving Jump Shot	27 27.4%	29 72.6%
Q2 - 7:41	ATL	Evans 2' Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)	27 29.1%	29 70.9%
Q2 - 7:43	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	27 31.3%	27 68.7%
Q2 - 7:45	CLE	Teague BLOCK (1 BLK)	27 32.1%	27 67.9%
Q2 - 7:56	ATL	Teague Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)	27 33.9%	27 66.1%
Q2 - 8:09	CLE	Williams 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Sessions 1 AST)	27 31.2%	27 68.8%
Q2 - 8:28	CLE	Moon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	25 29.0%	27 71.0%
Q2 - 8:29	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	25 26.8%	27 73.2%
Q2 - 8:29	ATL	MISS Pachulia 1' Tip Shot	25 28.3%	27 71.7%
Q2 - 8:31	ATL	MISS Smith 22' Jump Shot	25 28.3%	27 71.7%
Q2 - 8:49	CLE	Sessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	25 26.8%	27 73.2%
Q2 - 8:49	CLE	MISS Sessions Free Throw 1 of 2	24 26.3%	27 73.7%
Q2 - 9:05	ATL	Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)	24 26.8%	27 73.2%
Q2 - 9:23	CLE	Hickson 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)	24 31.0%	24 69.0%
Q2 - 9:38	ATL	Evans 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	22 28.9%	24 71.1%
Q2 - 9:54	ATL	Evans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	22 31.0%	22 69.0%
Q2 - 9:55	CLE	MISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot	22 31.7%	22 68.3%
Q2 - 10:14	ATL	Smith 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)	22 33.3%	22 66.7%
Q2 - 10:15	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	22 35.4%	20 64.6%
Q2 - 10:17	ATL	MISS Evans 1' Alley Oop Dunk	22 37.2%	20 62.8%
Q2 - 10:20	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	22 35.4%	20 64.6%
Q2 - 10:26	CLE	MISS Sessions 15' Fadeaway Jumper	22 36.2%	20 63.8%
Q2 - 10:38	CLE	Varejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	22 38.0%	20 62.0%
Q2 - 10:42	ATL	MISS Teague 2' Running Layup	22 37.2%	20 62.8%
Q2 - 10:46	ATL	Teague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	22 35.4%	20 64.6%
Q2 - 10:48	CLE	Evans BLOCK (1 BLK)	22 36.2%	20 63.8%
Q2 - 11:11	CLE	Hickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	22 37.8%	20 62.2%
Q2 - 11:12	ATL	MISS Teague 1' Driving Layup	22 37.0%	20 63.0%
Q2 - 11:21	ATL	Jump Ball Pachulia vs. Williams: Tip to Teague	22 35.3%	20 64.7%
Q2 - 11:26	ATL	Teague Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	22 37.8%	20 62.2%
Q2 - 11:26	ATL	MISS Teague Free Throw 1 of 2	22 38.1%	19 61.9%
Q2 - 11:28	CLE	Teague STEAL (1 STL)	22 37.7%	19 62.3%
Q2 - 11:47	ATL	Smith 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)	22 40.2%	19 59.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0	CLE		22 42.5%	17 57.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0	ATL	Johnson 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	22 45.1%	17 54.9%
Q1 - 0:24.0	CLE	Sessions 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gibson 2 AST)	22 47.0%	15 53.0%
Q1 - 0:33.0	ATL	Pachulia 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)	20 44.1%	15 55.9%
Q1 - 0:48.0	CLE	Jamison 9' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Gibson 1 AST)	20 42.2%	15 57.8%
Q1 - 1:08	ATL	Pachulia 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)	18 38.9%	15 61.1%
Q1 - 1:17	ATL	HAWKS Rebound	18 41.8%	13 58.2%
Q1 - 1:17	ATL	MISS Teague 2' Running Layup	18 43.0%	13 57.0%
Q1 - 1:20	ATL	Teague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	18 41.8%	13 58.2%
Q1 - 1:21	CLE	MISS Hickson 18' Turnaround Jump Shot	18 42.3%	13 57.7%
Q1 - 1:40	ATL	Horford Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)	18 43.5%	13 56.5%
Q1 - 1:49	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	18 41.8%	13 58.2%
Q1 - 1:51	CLE	MISS Jamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot	18 42.3%	13 57.7%
Q1 - 1:58	CLE	Varejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	18 43.5%	13 56.5%
Q1 - 2:00	ATL	MISS Horford 21' Jump Shot	18 43.0%	13 57.0%
Q1 - 2:15	CLE	Jamison 9' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)	18 41.5%	13 58.5%
Q1 - 2:28	CLE	Varejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	16 39.0%	13 61.0%
Q1 - 2:29	CLE	MISS Williams 19' Jump Shot	16 37.7%	13 62.3%
Q1 - 2:47	CLE	Cavaliers Rebound	16 39.0%	13 61.0%
Q1 - 2:47	CLE	MISS Williams 18' Fadeaway Jumper	16 37.7%	13 62.3%
Q1 - 3:10	ATL	Horford 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)	16 38.9%	13 61.1%
Q1 - 3:32	CLE	Jamison 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)	16 41.0%	11 59.0%
Q1 - 3:46	CLE	Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	14 38.9%	11 61.1%
Q1 - 3:48	ATL	MISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot	14 38.2%	11 61.8%
Q1 - 3:59	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	14 36.7%	11 63.3%
Q1 - 4:00	CLE	MISS Parker 21' Jump Shot	14 37.4%	11 62.6%
Q1 - 4:15	ATL	Horford 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)	14 38.3%	11 61.7%
Q1 - 4:33	CLE	Jamison 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)	14 40.2%	9 59.8%
Q1 - 4:49	CLE	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12 38.3%	9 61.7%
Q1 - 4:52	ATL	MISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	12 37.6%	9 62.4%
Q1 - 5:01	CLE	Gibson Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)	12 35.7%	9 64.3%
Q1 - 5:18	CLE	Varejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	12 37.9%	9 62.1%
Q1 - 5:18	ATL	MISS Horford 1' Putback Layup	12 37.2%	9 62.8%
Q1 - 5:19	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	12 35.7%	9 64.3%
Q1 - 5:21	ATL	MISS Johnson 11' Turnaround Jump Shot	12 37.2%	9 62.8%
Q1 - 5:31	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12 35.7%	9 64.3%
Q1 - 5:32	CLE	MISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot	12 36.4%	9 63.6%
Q1 - 5:52	CLE	Varejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	12 37.9%	9 62.1%
Q1 - 5:54	ATL	MISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot	12 37.2%	9 62.8%
Q1 - 6:07	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	12 35.4%	9 64.6%
Q1 - 6:08	CLE	MISS Varejao 5' Hook Shot	12 36.0%	9 64.0%
Q1 - 6:21	CLE	Varejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	12 37.4%	9 62.6%
Q1 - 6:22	ATL	MISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot	12 36.8%	9 63.2%
Q1 - 6:34	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	12 35.4%	9 64.6%
Q1 - 6:35	CLE	MISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot	12 36.0%	9 64.0%
Q1 - 6:47	CLE	Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	12 37.4%	9 62.6%
Q1 - 6:48	ATL	MISS Bibby 16' Jump Shot	12 36.8%	9 63.2%
Q1 - 6:54	ATL	MISS Williams Free Throw Technical	12 35.4%	9 64.6%
Q1 - 7:14	CLE	Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	12 35.0%	9 65.0%
Q1 - 7:14	CLE	Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	11 34.7%	9 65.3%
Q1 - 7:14	CLE	Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	10 33.3%	9 66.7%
Q1 - 7:15	CLE	MISS Gibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	10 31.9%	9 68.1%
Q1 - 7:19	CLE	Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	10 33.3%	9 66.7%
Q1 - 7:22	ATL	MISS Horford 8' Turnaround Jump Shot	10 32.7%	9 67.3%
Q1 - 7:41	CLE	Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)	10 31.4%	9 68.6%
Q1 - 7:54	ATL	Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)	7 28.1%	9 71.9%
Q1 - 8:05	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	7 31.3%	6 68.7%
Q1 - 8:06	CLE	MISS Jamison 6' Turnaround Jump Shot	7 31.8%	6 68.2%
Q1 - 8:18	ATL	Smith 12' Turnaround Bank Shot (2 PTS)	7 33.0%	6 67.0%
Q1 - 8:30	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	7 34.8%	4 65.2%
Q1 - 8:31	CLE	MISS Williams 2' Driving Layup	7 35.3%	4 64.7%
Q1 - 8:42	ATL	HAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)	7 36.6%	4 63.4%
Q1 - 9:11	CLE	Williams 9' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)	7 34.6%	4 65.4%
Q1 - 9:21	ATL	Smith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	5 32.9%	4 67.1%
Q1 - 9:31	ATL	HAWKS Rebound	5 31.3%	4 68.7%
Q1 - 9:32	CLE	MISS Jamison 22' Jump Shot	5 31.7%	4 68.3%
Q1 - 9:46	CLE	Varejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	5 32.9%	4 67.1%
Q1 - 9:47	ATL	MISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot	5 32.4%	4 67.6%
Q1 - 10:07	CLE	Williams 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)	5 30.9%	4 69.1%
Q1 - 10:25	CLE	Varejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	3 29.7%	4 70.3%
Q1 - 10:26	CLE	MISS Gibson 8' Floating Jump Shot	3 28.5%	4 71.5%
Q1 - 10:43	ATL	Williams 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)	3 29.7%	4 70.3%
Q1 - 11:04	CLE	Gibson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)	3 30.7%	2 69.3%
Q1 - 11:22	ATL	Johnson 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)	0 27.9%	2 72.1%
Q1 - 11:36	CLE	Gibson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	0 29.3%	0 70.7%
Q1 - 12:00	ATL	Jump Ball Smith vs. Varejao: Tip to Williams	0 30.7%	0 69.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

0.94 47.2%

ATL

1.05 52.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CLE

54%

ATL

57%

Midrange

CLE

45%

ATL

55%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CLE

7.5

23%

34%

ATL

12.0

36%

55%

Free Throws

CLE

85%

ATL

60%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Jamison	23	68%	11.5 / 17
M. Williams	18	43%	9.0 / 21
D. Gibson	12	46%	6.0 / 13
A. Parker	8	40%	4.0 / 10
R. Sessions	7	50%	3.5 / 7
R. Hollins	6	100%	3.0 / 3
A. Varejao	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Hickson	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Williams	2	17%	1.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Johnson	23	64%	11.5 / 18
A. Horford	18	64%	9.0 / 14
M. Williams	17	77%	8.5 / 11
J. Smith	16	57%	8.0 / 14
M. Evans	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Teague	7	39%	3.5 / 9
M. Bibby	6	43%	3.0 / 7
Z. Pachulia	2	20%	1.0 / 5
J. Collins	1	50%	0.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CLE

+11

-9

ATL

+12

-6

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

0.94 47.2%

ATL

1.05 52.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	102.3 105.9	CLE 98.8 +16.5 ATL 115.3
Pace	93.0 89.5	CLE 84.5 ATL 85.5 +0.9
Avg. Poss. Time	15.1 16.4	CLE 17.0 ATL 16.8 +0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	47.2% 50.1%	CLE 45.1% ATL 55.4% +10.3%
TO %	14.7% 14.2%	CLE 9.4% +0.9% ATL 10.3%
ORB %	24.3% 23.5%	CLE 24.4% ATL 26.5% +2.1%
FTrt	31.2 26.9	CLE 16.0 +4.0 ATL 12.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	59.6% 60.7%	CLE 64.7% ATL 69.0% +4.3%
STL %	7.1% 6.8%	CLE 2.4% ATL 5.9% +3.5%
BLK %	6.6% 6.6%	CLE 3.3% ATL 3.4% +0.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	50.5% 52.8%	CLE 47.2% ATL 52.7% +5.5%
Rim FG%	55.9% 60.0%	CLE 53.8% ATL 56.5% +2.7%
Mid FG%	37.5% 42.5%	CLE 45.5% ATL 55.3% +9.8%
3P %	34.2% 35.2%	CLE 22.7% ATL 36.4% +13.7%
FT %	74.5% 78.0%	CLE 84.6% +24.6% ATL 60.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	36.3% 30.4%	CLE 32.1% +4.4% ATL 27.7%
Mid Att. %	41.3% 47.4%	CLE 40.7% +5.0% ATL 45.8%
3P Att. %	22.4% 22.2%	CLE 27.2% +0.7% ATL 26.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CLE	ATL
Possessions	85	85
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.9
Points	84	98
Rebounds	35	40
Assists	22	29
Steals	2	5
Blocks	2	2
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	6 (4)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (1)	9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (6)	31 (5)
Field Goals	34-81	42-83
At-the-Rim FG	14-26	13-23
Midrange FG	15-33	21-38
2-Point FG	29-59	34-61
3-Point FG	5-22	8-22
Free Throws	11-13	6-10
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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21 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Daniel Gibson G · 6'2" 200 · 25	41.4	12	46%	0	2	0	0	3	2	0	0	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	2-7	29%
Antawn Jamison F · 6'9" 235 · 35	40.0	23	68%	7	0	1	2	0	1	1	6	2-3	67%	9-12	75%	1-4	25%
Anthony Parker F · 6'6" 210 · 36	39.8	8	40%	6	3	0	0	0	2	2	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-6	33%
Anderson Varejao C · 6'11" 260 · 28	36.1	4	40%	13	2	0	0	0	2	3	10	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Mo Williams G · 6'1" 198 · 28	33.9	18	43%	2	11	0	0	3	2	1	1	2-2	100%	8-17	47%	0-3	0%
JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 22	14.5	4	40%	3	0	0	0	1	1	2	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Ramon Sessions G · 6'3" 190 · 25	14.1	7	50%	0	3	1	0	1	0	0	0	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Jawad Williams F · 6'9" 225 · 28	10.4	2	17%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Ryan Hollins C · 7'0" 240 · 26	5.3	6	100%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Jamario Moon F · 6'8" 205 · 31	4.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Leon Powe F · 6'8" 240 · 27
Manny Harris G · 6'5" 185 · 21
Christian Eyenga #8 · F · 6'7" 210 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Samardo Samuels #24 · · 6'9" 260 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Joey Graham #12 · F · 6'7" 230 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	84	47%	35	22	2	2	9	0	10	25	11-13	85%	29-59	49%	5-22	23%

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21 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Daniel Gibson G · 6'2" 200 · 25	41.4	12	46%	0	2	0	0	3	2	0	0	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	2-7	29%
Antawn Jamison F · 6'9" 235 · 35	40.0	23	68%	7	0	1	2	0	1	1	6	2-3	67%	9-12	75%	1-4	25%
Anthony Parker F · 6'6" 210 · 36	39.8	8	40%	6	3	0	0	0	2	2	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-6	33%
Anderson Varejao C · 6'11" 260 · 28	36.1	4	40%	13	2	0	0	0	2	3	10	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Mo Williams G · 6'1" 198 · 28	33.9	18	43%	2	11	0	0	3	2	1	1	2-2	100%	8-17	47%	0-3	0%
JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 22	14.5	4	40%	3	0	0	0	1	1	2	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Ramon Sessions G · 6'3" 190 · 25	14.1	7	50%	0	3	1	0	1	0	0	0	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Jawad Williams F · 6'9" 225 · 28	10.4	2	17%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Ryan Hollins C · 7'0" 240 · 26	5.3	6	100%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Jamario Moon F · 6'8" 205 · 31	4.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Leon Powe F · 6'8" 240 · 27
Manny Harris G · 6'5" 185 · 21
Christian Eyenga #8 · F · 6'7" 210 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Samardo Samuels #24 · · 6'9" 260 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Joey Graham #12 · F · 6'7" 230 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	84	47%	35	22	2	2	9	0	10	25	11-13	85%	29-59	49%	5-22	23%

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16 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 25	41.9	16	57%	11	6	1	0	1	2	3	8	0-1	0%	8-12	67%	0-2	0%
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 25	40.2	17	77%	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-1	0%	4-5	80%	3-6	50%
Al Horford C · 6'10" 245 · 25	37.2	18	64%	8	4	1	0	3	1	1	7	2-2	100%	8-13	62%	0-0	-
Joe Johnson G · 6'7" 240 · 29	36.0	23	64%	5	7	0	0	0	2	0	5	2-2	100%	6-11	55%	3-6	50%
Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 33	30.0	6	43%	0	3	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-6	33%
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 27	18.8	2	20%	4	2	2	0	1	2	3	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 23	18.0	7	39%	5	4	1	1	1	3	0	5	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Maurice Evans G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32	15.6	8	50%	3	2	0	1	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Jason Collins C · 7'0" 255 · 32	2.4	1	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Damien Wilkins · 6'6" 225 · 31
Josh Powell F · 6'9" 240 · 28
Jordan Crawford · 6'4" 195 · 22
Pape Sy #19 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jamal Crawford #11 · G · 6'5" 185 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Etan Thomas #36 · C · 6'10" 260 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	53%	40	29	5	2	6	0	9	31	6-10	60%	34-61	56%	8-22	36%

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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).

indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE