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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 21, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Warriors43%100117
30Kings57%102109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.2
48.5
39.6
36
53%
4
7
4
2
1
4
0
4
10-12
83%
10-22
7-15
45%
50%
2-7
29%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 27.6
45.6
34.4
15
51%
12
2
0
1
1
4
2
10
3-4
75%
6-13
7-12
46%
53%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 25.1
45.6
32.3
17
54%
6
6
3
1
1
2
1
5
2-4
50%
6-9
3-7
67%
46%
1-5
20%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.3
42.6
30.9
24
63%
7
4
1
1
0
0
2
5
5-9
56%
5-8
3-6
63%
52%
3-7
43%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.0
12.9
16.8
2
50%
3
0
0
0
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.1
27.8
16.6
15
69%
8
2
3
1
0
3
2
6
2-2
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
46%
3-5
60%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 23.6
22.8
13.9
0
0%
5
1
1
0
3
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 25.9
19.1
23.3
8
58%
3
2
0
1
0
3
2
1
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
44%
1-1
100%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 26.7
11.7
0
1-2
47%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.3
5.9
0
1-1
45%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.9
4.9
0
1-1
47%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.8
2.1
0
0-0
42%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.2
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.8
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 21.3
44.2
33.5
15
35%
10
7
3
1
0
5
0
10
7-8
88%
4-15
6-13
27%
48%
0-3
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.5
43.4
34.0
34
79%
7
1
1
1
1
5
2
5
8-8
100%
7-11
4-8
64%
54%
4-7
57%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 20.4
35.9
27.6
7
25%
13
2
1
1
1
4
2
11
1-2
50%
3-13
6-12
23%
50%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 22.8
23.2
23.3
10
73%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 25.1
22.1
10.3
6
29%
4
0
0
0
0
0
4
0
0-1
0%
3-10
1-3
30%
51%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.3
37.4
24.1
22
78%
10
1
3
1
2
0
5
5
6-7
86%
8-10
5-9
80%
54%
0-1
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 29.0
23.1
18.2
5
31%
3
3
1
1
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
51%
1-5
20%
Pooh Jeter
G · 5'11" 175 · 27.1
13.5
13.7
2
20%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.6
8.9
14.5
2
25%
5
1
0
0
2
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
52%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.5
8.2
15.8
2
25%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.0
5.0
3.6
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
47%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.1
5.7
0
1-1
49%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24.4
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.