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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 21, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Mavericks45%95105
6Magic55%9799
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 32.5
37.3
35.7
17
51%
8
5
1
1
0
2
0
8
8-8
100%
3-10
7-13
30%
51%
1-3
33%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 28.2
34.1
28.2
16
96%
4
0
1
0
0
1
1
3
2-3
67%
7-7
3-5
100%
58%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 37.7
33.3
33.0
13
50%
6
12
1
2
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
41%
3-8
38%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 30.8
27.3
28.4
20
71%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-8
4-9
50%
46%
4-6
67%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 29.7
16.5
15.3
11
110%
4
1
1
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
40%
3-4
75%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 32.6
30.6
27.5
7
40%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
3-4
75%
2-6
4-8
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.3
29.7
30.1
13
60%
2
5
1
1
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
48%
1-3
33%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.5
17.4
17.6
4
40%
2
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 31.1
13.9
17.3
4
52%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-2
0%
2-3
2-3
67%
54%
0-0
-
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 22.6
3.7
0
1-1
48%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 24.1
2.7
0
0-1
51%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.6
1.9
0
0-0
40%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.8
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.2
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.0
40.6
38.9
26
63%
23
0
3
1
2
3
8
15
4-4
100%
11-19
8-14
58%
58%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 29.9
39.4
23.4
10
38%
5
0
1
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
49%
2-7
29%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 31.8
39.3
21.9
9
35%
1
8
2
1
1
4
0
1
4-4
100%
1-7
1-3
14%
44%
1-4
25%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 28.9
37.8
32.4
19
62%
3
6
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
49%
4-7
57%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.5
36.6
23.5
21
69%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
47%
4-9
44%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 29.0
17.6
23.8
2
17%
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
44%
0-2
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 25.6
16.1
29.7
6
60%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
5-11
60%
51%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.9
12.6
3.8
6
100%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
1-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 30.7
23.4
1
1-3
44%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.5
13.4
0
1-3
42%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.3
9.8
0
0-1
44%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 35.1
5.4
0
0-0
48%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.6
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 20.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.