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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 21, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Thunder73%9799
29Bobcats27%8981
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.3
41.8
36.5
12
41%
3
5
0
1
0
0
0
3
3-4
75%
3-8
4-8
38%
50%
1-5
20%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.2
38.1
37.9
32
80%
7
3
1
1
1
1
0
7
14-16
88%
6-9
7-14
67%
50%
2-4
50%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.1
32.2
33.3
15
49%
3
4
3
1
0
7
0
3
5-5
100%
5-12
7-14
42%
46%
0-1
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 21.3
25.3
18.6
10
46%
9
0
0
0
2
0
3
6
4-4
100%
3-9
3-5
33%
56%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.6
16.6
32.4
1
10%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.2
28.9
23.7
7
72%
10
1
3
1
0
0
4
6
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
56%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 21.3
23.0
24.2
13
77%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-1
0%
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
3-4
75%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.5
15.8
13.9
5
64%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.8
8.3
2.3
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.3
7.5
11.2
4
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 22.1
2.5
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 29.0
2.3
0
0-0
43%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.6
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.4
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 33.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 32.7
35.4
29.8
20
51%
3
4
1
1
0
5
0
3
6-6
100%
7-14
4-8
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 28.7
35.2
32.7
13
55%
7
8
0
1
1
3
1
6
2-2
100%
4-8
4-7
50%
55%
1-3
33%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.8
31.5
21.8
9
68%
5
1
0
0
1
0
1
4
3-6
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
51%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 23.1
18.7
32.1
8
50%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
44%
2-4
50%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 30.3
9.5
4.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 23.3
33.5
13.7
11
49%
6
2
2
0
0
1
4
2
1-3
33%
5-10
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.3
19.8
18.7
5
25%
2
1
1
1
2
2
1
1
1-2
50%
2-9
4-7
22%
48%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 25.3
17.9
19.5
6
77%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
49%
0-0
-
Sherron Collins
G · 5'11" 205 · 23.8
13.7
1.0
5
42%
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
0-0
25%
43%
1-2
50%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 33.3
12.5
14.2
3
45%
4
1
0
0
4
2
0
4
1-3
33%
1-2
3-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.0
10.5
11.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.2
1.8
23.8
1
57%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-5
-
40%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.4
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 28.9
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.