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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 20, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Rockets55%106121
26Warriors45%105112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 24.7
36.4
33.4
13
68%
3
8
4
1
0
2
1
2
5-8
63%
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
2-3
67%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.6
33.3
32.1
20
44%
9
6
0
1
0
3
2
7
2-4
50%
9-21
8-15
43%
52%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 27.9
32.5
30.2
30
76%
5
3
1
1
0
2
3
2
13-13
100%
4-10
4-9
40%
47%
3-4
75%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.3
28.4
30.0
14
89%
4
5
0
1
2
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
4-6
67%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 27.5
22.8
25.4
12
71%
10
1
0
1
0
3
4
6
0-1
0%
6-8
2-5
75%
50%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.2
23.8
18.3
6
44%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-2
0%
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
0-1
0%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.4
18.9
19.3
6
43%
5
1
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 25.9
17.6
18.9
5
43%
0
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
2-5
-
45%
1-5
20%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 34.7
14.7
14.6
9
92%
5
3
0
0
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
48%
1-2
50%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 22.6
11.5
18.5
6
50%
1
2
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
0-2
0%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.5
11.0
0
1-3
42%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.8
3.1
0
0-1
49%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 29.1
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 30.3
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.1
41.9
38.1
44
84%
1
7
3
2
0
3
0
1
11-14
79%
12-16
7-15
75%
51%
3-4
75%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 27.6
32.4
37.3
19
77%
6
3
1
1
1
1
1
5
3-3
100%
8-11
7-14
73%
53%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 25.0
28.8
35.7
9
32%
3
4
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-2
0%
3-8
4-8
38%
47%
1-5
20%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.3
27.3
35.0
11
40%
3
2
0
1
1
0
2
1
4-6
67%
2-7
4-7
29%
53%
1-4
25%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.0
17.1
16.4
6
60%
7
0
1
0
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
53%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 25.9
31.6
16.8
8
40%
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
44%
0-5
0%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 23.6
24.8
2.6
5
51%
7
4
0
0
3
2
4
3
1-2
50%
2-4
0-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.1
16.4
17.1
5
83%
5
3
1
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.3
10.2
1.6
2
33%
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
45%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 26.7
9.5
13.1
3
38%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.9
8.0
0
1-2
47%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.8
2.1
0
0-0
44%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.7
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.8
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.