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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 20, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Suns20%98110
3Spurs80%109118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.4
42.3
27.2
27
74%
5
3
2
1
1
3
1
4
4-5
80%
7-9
2-3
78%
46%
3-7
43%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 38.2
39.2
31.4
19
56%
4
2
2
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
8-16
5-10
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 36.9
35.0
24.8
17
74%
2
10
0
0
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
5-6
4-7
83%
52%
2-5
40%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 27.6
30.1
30.0
3
14%
6
3
0
1
1
1
0
6
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-8
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 22.7
23.8
23.3
14
97%
7
0
0
0
1
1
2
5
4-5
80%
5-5
4-7
100%
52%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 27.5
28.9
16.1
15
63%
5
0
1
0
1
1
5
0
1-2
50%
7-11
2-4
64%
55%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 28.5
23.1
19.7
9
48%
5
1
0
0
2
2
1
4
1-1
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
49%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.6
17.7
29.8
6
43%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 29.3
7.0
0
1-2
37%
Gani Lawal
F · 6'9" 234 · 22.1
3.3
0
0-1
45%
Garret Siler
C · 6'11" 305 · 24.2
1.5
0
0-0
47%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 28.9
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 33.9
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.4
36.1
31.1
15
55%
2
3
3
2
1
2
0
2
5-6
83%
2-2
4-7
100%
53%
2-9
22%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 30.5
32.8
31.2
17
51%
3
3
0
1
0
0
2
1
5-6
83%
3-8
3-5
38%
53%
2-6
33%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.7
31.1
31.3
20
59%
15
6
2
1
3
3
5
10
0-0
-
10-17
6-12
59%
53%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.6
29.3
35.0
19
57%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
4-6
67%
6-11
8-14
55%
54%
1-3
33%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21.7
23.1
15.7
10
51%
8
4
1
1
0
4
6
2
2-2
100%
4-9
3-5
44%
55%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.2
30.9
19.6
22
63%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
7-8
88%
6-8
2-3
75%
51%
1-6
17%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30.7
26.9
23.2
6
61%
4
1
1
1
2
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
1-3
33%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.2
15.3
5.6
5
63%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.3
14.2
15.5
4
100%
4
1
1
0
1
1
3
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.4
0.3
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.6
21.0
1
2-4
52%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26.0
5.6
0
1-1
56%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.