FinalWin Prob.pScore
532%91
98
168%98
96
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
110.18996.2
MIA logo MIA
107.98982.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL98
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)98
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)98
99.5%
93
0.5%
Q4 - 0:06.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)97
99.5%
93
0.5%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)96
98.8%
93
1.2%
Q4 - 0:12.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)96
99.6%
90
0.4%
Q4 - 0:12.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)95
99.6%
90
0.4%
Q4 - 0:13.0DALMarion REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)94
99.1%
90
0.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
98.7%
90
1.3%
Q4 - 0:19.0DALMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)94
96.8%
90
3.2%
Q4 - 0:19.0DALMISS Marion Free Throw 1 of 293
96.2%
90
3.8%
Q4 - 0:19.0DALMarion REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)93
97.6%
90
2.4%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
96.4%
90
3.6%
Q4 - 0:38.0DALMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)93
84.0%
90
16.0%
Q4 - 0:38.0DALMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)92
81.9%
90
18.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)91
68.3%
90
31.7%
Q4 - 1:04DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)91
87.5%
87
12.5%
Q4 - 1:04DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)90
86.6%
87
13.4%
Q4 - 1:17MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)89
77.8%
87
22.2%
Q4 - 1:17MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)89
79.8%
86
20.2%
Q4 - 1:25DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Marion 3 AST)89
84.6%
85
15.4%
Q4 - 1:26DALMarion REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)86
65.4%
85
34.6%
Q4 - 1:27DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
55.0%
85
45.0%
Q4 - 1:35DALMavericks Rebound86
64.0%
85
36.0%
Q4 - 1:35DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
54.1%
85
45.9%
Q4 - 1:53MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)86
61.8%
85
38.2%
Q4 - 1:53MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)86
63.9%
84
36.1%
Q4 - 1:53MIAHEAT Rebound86
71.9%
83
28.1%
Q4 - 1:53DALMISS Terry 11' Jump Bank Shot86
75.1%
83
24.9%
Q4 - 2:08DALMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)86
83.2%
83
16.8%
Q4 - 2:10MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 186
82.0%
83
18.0%
Q4 - 2:27DALTerry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)86
87.5%
81
12.5%
Q4 - 2:40DALTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)83
75.8%
81
24.2%
Q4 - 2:41DALMISS Terry 15' Jump Shot83
65.7%
81
34.3%
Q4 - 3:02MIAWade 6' Floating Jump Shot (17 PTS)83
71.9%
81
28.1%
Q4 - 3:25DALKidd 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)83
78.4%
79
21.6%
Q4 - 3:45MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)81
65.3%
79
34.7%
Q4 - 3:45MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)81
66.7%
78
33.3%
Q4 - 4:02DALTerry 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)81
73.2%
77
26.8%
Q4 - 4:14MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)79
65.8%
77
34.2%
Q4 - 4:14MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 279
67.6%
76
32.4%
Q4 - 4:29DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)79
65.2%
76
34.8%
Q4 - 4:29DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)78
64.1%
76
35.9%
Q4 - 4:41DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)77
56.7%
76
43.3%
Q4 - 4:42MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 277
55.3%
76
44.7%
Q4 - 4:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)77
48.9%
76
51.1%
Q4 - 4:55MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)77
56.0%
75
44.0%
Q4 - 4:56DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Fadeaway Jumper77
59.2%
75
40.8%
Q4 - 5:11DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (22 PTS)77
61.8%
75
38.2%
Q4 - 5:12DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
53.6%
75
46.4%
Q4 - 5:13MIAMISS James 2' Tip Shot76
50.8%
75
49.2%
Q4 - 5:14MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)76
44.6%
75
55.4%
Q4 - 5:15MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot76
50.9%
75
49.1%
Q4 - 5:21MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)76
44.6%
75
55.4%
Q4 - 5:23DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
47.4%
75
52.6%
Q4 - 5:36DALMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)76
53.7%
75
46.3%
Q4 - 5:38DALMISS Barea 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
47.4%
75
52.6%
Q4 - 6:02MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)76
51.1%
75
48.9%
Q4 - 6:04MIAHEAT Rebound76
43.0%
75
57.0%
Q4 - 6:05MIAMISS Chalmers 16' Jump Shot76
48.6%
75
51.4%
Q4 - 6:27DALBarea 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)76
43.1%
75
56.9%
Q4 - 6:47MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)74
36.3%
75
63.7%
Q4 - 6:58MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)74
43.1%
73
56.9%
Q4 - 6:59DALMISS Nowitzki 27' 3PT Jump Shot74
45.6%
73
54.4%
Q4 - 7:15DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)74
49.2%
73
50.8%
Q4 - 7:16MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 274
48.2%
73
51.8%
Q4 - 7:16MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)74
43.4%
73
56.6%
Q4 - 7:32DALTerry 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)74
48.7%
72
51.3%
Q4 - 7:44MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)72
42.4%
72
57.6%
Q4 - 7:44MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)72
43.8%
71
56.2%
Q4 - 8:06DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)72
47.7%
70
52.3%
Q4 - 8:17DALMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)69
35.1%
70
64.9%
Q4 - 8:19MIAMISS Chalmers 18' Jump Shot69
33.4%
70
66.6%
Q4 - 8:26MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)69
29.6%
70
70.4%
Q4 - 8:28DALMISS Kidd 18' Jump Shot69
31.3%
70
68.7%
Q4 - 8:35DALMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)69
35.2%
70
64.8%
Q4 - 8:37DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot69
31.3%
70
68.7%
Q4 - 8:54MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P1.T11)69
35.2%
70
64.8%
Q4 - 9:04DALMarion Foul Turnover (P3.T14)69
29.9%
70
70.1%
Q4 - 9:16DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
35.1%
70
64.9%
Q4 - 9:18MIAMISS James 14' Jump Shot69
33.4%
70
66.6%
Q4 - 9:43DALMarion Traveling Turnover (P2.T13)69
29.9%
70
70.1%
Q4 - 9:44DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
35.1%
70
64.9%
Q4 - 9:45DALMISS Terry 22' Jump Shot69
31.4%
70
68.6%
Q4 - 9:48DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
35.1%
70
64.9%
Q4 - 9:50MIAMISS Chalmers 16' Jump Shot69
33.4%
70
66.6%
Q4 - 10:07DALMarion Dunk (4 PTS) (Kidd 7 AST)69
29.8%
70
70.2%
Q4 - 10:10DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
25.3%
70
74.7%
Q4 - 10:15MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot67
24.0%
70
76.0%
Q4 - 10:42DALTerry 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)67
21.2%
70
78.8%
Q4 - 10:50DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
17.7%
70
82.3%
Q4 - 10:51MIAMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot65
16.7%
70
83.3%
Q4 - 11:01DALHoward STEAL (1 STL)65
15.2%
70
84.8%
Q4 - 11:26MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS)65
18.2%
70
81.8%
Q4 - 11:50DALHaywood Foul Turnover (P1.T11)65
21.6%
68
78.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL65
25.5%
68
74.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJames 23' Jump Shot (8 PTS)65
25.5%
68
74.5%
Q3 - 0:13.0DALButler 5' Jump Shot (13 PTS)65
30.0%
66
70.0%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10)63
25.5%
66
74.5%
Q3 - 0:48.0DALChalmers STEAL (3 STL)63
22.1%
66
77.9%
Q3 - 0:50.0DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
25.5%
66
74.5%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot63
24.5%
66
75.5%
Q3 - 1:02MIAJones Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)63
22.3%
66
77.7%
Q3 - 1:24DALButler 19' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)63
25.9%
65
74.1%
Q3 - 1:46DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
22.0%
65
78.0%
Q3 - 1:48MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 261
21.6%
65
78.4%
Q3 - 1:48MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)61
19.6%
65
80.4%
Q3 - 1:56DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)61
22.3%
64
77.7%
Q3 - 1:56DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)60
22.0%
64
78.0%
Q3 - 2:11DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)59
19.0%
64
81.0%
Q3 - 2:13MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
18.2%
64
81.8%
Q3 - 2:20MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
16.3%
64
83.7%
Q3 - 2:22DALMISS Marion 8' Jump Shot59
17.1%
64
82.9%
Q3 - 2:39MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)59
19.0%
64
81.0%
Q3 - 2:44MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)59
25.6%
61
74.4%
Q3 - 2:45MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
28.1%
61
71.9%
Q3 - 3:08DALChandler 2' Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)59
25.4%
61
74.6%
Q3 - 3:16DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
22.3%
61
77.7%
Q3 - 3:18MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot57
21.3%
61
78.7%
Q3 - 3:41DALNowitzki 3' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)57
19.2%
61
80.8%
Q3 - 3:48MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)55
16.7%
61
83.3%
Q3 - 3:53MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
14.2%
61
85.8%
Q3 - 3:54MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
15.9%
61
84.1%
Q3 - 4:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
14.3%
61
85.7%
Q3 - 4:03DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot55
15.1%
61
84.9%
Q3 - 4:20MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)55
17.1%
61
82.9%
Q3 - 4:29MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
22.1%
58
77.9%
Q3 - 4:31MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
24.6%
58
75.4%
Q3 - 4:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)55
22.1%
58
77.9%
Q3 - 4:39DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot55
23.2%
58
76.8%
Q3 - 4:49DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)55
25.8%
58
74.2%
Q3 - 4:50MIAMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot55
24.6%
58
75.4%
Q3 - 4:57MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
22.1%
58
77.9%
Q3 - 4:59DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot55
23.2%
58
76.8%
Q3 - 5:02DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)55
25.6%
58
74.4%
Q3 - 5:04DALWade BLOCK (2 BLK)55
23.2%
58
76.8%
Q3 - 5:23MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 7 AST)55
25.6%
58
74.4%
Q3 - 5:54MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
32.1%
55
67.9%
Q3 - 5:56DALMISS Terry 10' Jump Shot55
33.4%
55
66.6%
Q3 - 6:19MIAIlgauskas 2' Tip Shot (8 PTS)55
35.7%
55
64.3%
Q3 - 6:20MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
39.1%
53
60.9%
Q3 - 6:22MIAMISS James 10' Jump Shot55
42.1%
53
57.9%
Q3 - 6:43MIAHEAT Rebound55
39.2%
53
60.8%
Q3 - 6:45DALMISS Stevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
40.5%
53
59.5%
Q3 - 7:11MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 6 AST)55
42.2%
53
57.8%
Q3 - 7:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
45.9%
51
54.1%
Q3 - 7:25DALMISS Stevenson 18' Jump Shot55
47.1%
51
52.9%
Q3 - 7:50MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)55
50.0%
51
50.0%
Q3 - 8:14DALButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)55
56.6%
48
43.4%
Q3 - 8:14DALButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)54
56.0%
48
44.0%
Q3 - 8:21DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
53.1%
48
46.9%
Q3 - 8:22MIAMISS Ilgauskas 22' Jump Shot53
51.9%
48
48.1%
Q3 - 8:36DALChandler 4' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)53
49.1%
48
50.9%
Q3 - 8:45MIAArroyo Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T8)51
45.6%
48
54.4%
Q3 - 8:54MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
41.6%
48
58.4%
Q3 - 8:56DALMISS Butler 7' Running Jump Shot51
42.8%
48
57.2%
Q3 - 9:02DALChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)51
44.7%
48
55.3%
Q3 - 9:05MIAMISS Arroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
43.6%
48
56.4%
Q3 - 9:16MIAMISS James Free Throw Technical51
41.1%
48
58.9%
Q3 - 9:32DALButler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Kidd 6 AST)51
41.1%
48
58.9%
Q3 - 9:51DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
34.3%
48
65.7%
Q3 - 9:52MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot48
33.3%
48
66.7%
Q3 - 10:08DALStevenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)48
30.6%
48
69.4%
Q3 - 10:25MIAIlgauskas 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)45
25.0%
48
75.0%
Q3 - 10:53DALStevenson 19' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)45
27.7%
46
72.3%
Q3 - 11:11MIAIlgauskas 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 5 AST)43
25.0%
46
75.0%
Q3 - 11:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
27.5%
44
72.5%
Q3 - 11:21DALWade BLOCK (1 BLK)43
28.4%
44
71.6%
Q3 - 11:41DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
30.6%
44
69.4%
Q3 - 11:43MIAMISS James 3' Layup43
29.6%
44
70.4%
Q3 - 11:45MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
27.5%
44
72.5%
Q3 - 11:46MIAMISS James 3' Layup43
29.6%
44
70.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL43
27.5%
44
72.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)43
30.6%
44
69.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
29.4%
44
70.6%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
28.0%
44
72.0%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot43
29.4%
44
70.6%
Q2 - 0:25.0DALNowitzki 15' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)43
28.0%
44
72.0%
Q2 - 0:35.0DALChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
24.8%
44
75.2%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot41
24.2%
44
75.8%
Q2 - 0:52.0DALNowitzki 11' Jump Shot (15 PTS)41
22.9%
44
77.1%
Q2 - 1:11MIAWade 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS)39
20.2%
44
79.8%
Q2 - 1:27MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
23.0%
42
77.0%
Q2 - 1:29DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot39
23.6%
42
76.4%
Q2 - 1:53MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)39
24.8%
42
75.2%
Q2 - 1:55MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
30.7%
39
69.3%
Q2 - 1:58MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
32.1%
39
67.9%
Q2 - 2:00MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
30.7%
39
69.3%
Q2 - 2:01MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot39
32.0%
39
68.0%
Q2 - 2:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
30.0%
39
70.0%
Q2 - 2:04MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup39
32.0%
39
68.0%
Q2 - 2:07MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
30.0%
39
70.0%
Q2 - 2:09MIAMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
32.0%
39
68.0%
Q2 - 2:17MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
30.0%
39
70.0%
Q2 - 2:19MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
32.0%
39
68.0%
Q2 - 2:29MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
30.0%
39
70.0%
Q2 - 2:31MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
32.0%
39
68.0%
Q2 - 2:35MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
30.0%
39
70.0%
Q2 - 2:37MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot39
32.0%
39
68.0%
Q2 - 2:45MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
30.1%
39
69.9%
Q2 - 2:47DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
30.9%
39
69.1%
Q2 - 3:07MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)39
32.8%
39
67.2%
Q2 - 3:07MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)39
33.2%
38
66.8%
Q2 - 3:21DALButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
35.0%
37
65.0%
Q2 - 3:21DALMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 238
34.6%
37
65.4%
Q2 - 3:34MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)38
35.6%
37
64.4%
Q2 - 3:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
40.9%
34
59.1%
Q2 - 3:52DALMISS Barea Free Throw 2 of 238
41.4%
34
58.6%
Q2 - 3:52DALBarea Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)38
43.4%
34
56.6%
Q2 - 3:52DALBarea REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
41.4%
34
58.6%
Q2 - 3:54DALMISS Marion 9' Jump Shot37
39.0%
34
61.0%
Q2 - 4:02DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
40.5%
34
59.5%
Q2 - 4:03MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
39.5%
34
60.5%
Q2 - 4:18DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)37
37.4%
34
62.6%
Q2 - 4:45MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)37
40.6%
34
59.4%
Q2 - 5:08DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)37
43.0%
32
57.0%
Q2 - 5:08DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)36
42.7%
32
57.3%
Q2 - 5:22DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
40.1%
32
59.9%
Q2 - 5:23MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot35
39.2%
32
60.8%
Q2 - 5:54DALBarea Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)35
37.3%
32
62.7%
Q2 - 6:01DALMavericks Rebound35
39.8%
32
60.2%
Q2 - 6:02DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Jump Shot35
37.6%
32
62.4%
Q2 - 6:15MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 4 AST)35
39.8%
32
60.2%
Q2 - 6:23MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
45.0%
29
55.0%
Q2 - 6:25DALJones BLOCK (1 BLK)35
46.0%
29
54.0%
Q2 - 6:36DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
48.3%
29
51.7%
Q2 - 6:38MIAMISS James 12' Jump Shot35
47.3%
29
52.7%
Q2 - 6:51DALNowitzki 9' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)35
45.0%
29
55.0%
Q2 - 7:02DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
41.8%
29
58.2%
Q2 - 7:04MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
40.9%
29
59.1%
Q2 - 7:22MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
39.0%
29
61.0%
Q2 - 7:24DALMISS Haywood Free Throw 1 of 133
39.4%
29
60.6%
Q2 - 7:43DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
36.6%
29
63.4%
Q2 - 7:44MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
35.7%
29
64.3%
Q2 - 8:01DALMarion 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Barea 1 AST)31
33.5%
29
66.5%
Q2 - 8:12MIAJames Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P4.T7)29
31.3%
29
68.7%
Q2 - 8:17MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
29.0%
29
71.0%
Q2 - 8:19DALMISS Barea 6' Running Jump Shot29
29.7%
29
70.3%
Q2 - 8:33DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)29
31.3%
29
68.7%
Q2 - 8:49DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
29.0%
29
71.0%
Q2 - 8:51MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
28.3%
29
71.7%
Q2 - 9:07DALHaywood 2' Dunk (2 PTS)28
26.6%
29
73.4%
Q2 - 9:08DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
24.7%
29
75.3%
Q2 - 9:10DALHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)26
23.3%
29
76.7%
Q2 - 9:30MIAAnthony 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)26
24.7%
29
75.3%
Q2 - 9:44MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
26.6%
27
73.4%
Q2 - 9:46MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
28.2%
27
71.8%
Q2 - 10:01MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
26.6%
27
73.4%
Q2 - 10:03DALMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
27.3%
27
72.7%
Q2 - 10:09MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)26
28.9%
27
71.1%
Q2 - 10:15DALWade STEAL (3 STL)26
26.6%
27
73.4%
Q2 - 10:24DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
28.8%
27
71.2%
Q2 - 10:25MIAMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot26
28.1%
27
71.9%
Q2 - 10:48DALBarea 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)26
26.6%
27
73.4%
Q2 - 11:02MIAAnthony 7' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)23
23.0%
27
77.0%
Q2 - 11:17MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
24.7%
25
75.3%
Q2 - 11:18DALMISS Terry 20' Jump Shot23
25.4%
25
74.6%
Q2 - 11:37MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)23
26.8%
25
73.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL23
30.8%
22
69.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound23
33.1%
22
66.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Butler 55' 3PT Jump Shot23
31.5%
22
68.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)23
32.4%
22
67.6%
Q1 - 0:15.0DALChalmers STEAL (2 STL)23
35.0%
20
65.0%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)23
36.9%
20
63.1%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
42.0%
17
58.0%
Q1 - 0:36.0DALMISS Marion 15' Jump Shot23
42.5%
17
57.5%
Q1 - 0:39.0DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
43.9%
17
56.1%
Q1 - 0:40.0DALMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
42.6%
17
57.4%
Q1 - 1:00MIAWade 1' Dunk (4 PTS)23
44.0%
17
56.0%
Q1 - 1:03DALWade STEAL (2 STL)23
46.1%
15
53.9%
Q1 - 1:08MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)23
47.9%
15
52.1%
Q1 - 1:35DALButler Foul Turnover (P2.T4)23
53.3%
12
46.7%
Q1 - 1:41DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
55.0%
12
45.0%
Q1 - 1:43MIAMISS Wade 7' Running Hook Shot23
54.5%
12
45.5%
Q1 - 1:48MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
53.3%
12
46.7%
Q1 - 1:50MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
54.5%
12
45.5%
Q1 - 1:55MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
53.3%
12
46.7%
Q1 - 1:57DALMISS Marion 4' Jump Shot23
53.8%
12
46.2%
Q1 - 2:10MIAWade 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)23
54.7%
12
45.3%
Q1 - 2:21DALChalmers STEAL (1 STL)23
57.2%
10
42.8%
Q1 - 2:39MIAJames Foul Turnover (P3.T5)23
59.3%
10
40.7%
Q1 - 2:40MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
57.2%
10
42.8%
Q1 - 2:43DALMISS Butler 11' Jump Shot23
57.9%
10
42.1%
Q1 - 2:52MIAArroyo Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)23
59.3%
10
40.7%
Q1 - 3:14DALKidd 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)23
56.4%
10
43.6%
Q1 - 3:19DALChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)21
54.2%
10
45.8%
Q1 - 3:21MIAMISS Ilgauskas 7' Hook Shot21
53.5%
10
46.5%
Q1 - 3:48DALNowitzki 10' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)21
51.9%
10
48.1%
Q1 - 3:59MIABosh 12' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)19
49.7%
10
50.3%
Q1 - 4:18DALStevenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)19
50.7%
8
49.3%
Q1 - 4:45MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)16
46.5%
8
53.5%
Q1 - 4:55MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
48.5%
6
51.5%
Q1 - 4:56DALMISS Stevenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
49.2%
6
50.8%
Q1 - 5:14DALChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
49.9%
6
50.1%
Q1 - 5:16MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 216
49.6%
6
50.4%
Q1 - 5:16MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 216
48.2%
6
51.8%
Q1 - 5:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
47.5%
6
52.5%
Q1 - 5:25DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Fadeaway Jumper16
48.3%
6
51.7%
Q1 - 5:43DALChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
50.0%
6
50.0%
Q1 - 5:45MIAMISS James 4' Finger Roll Layup16
49.2%
6
50.8%
Q1 - 6:03DALChandler 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)16
46.8%
6
53.2%
Q1 - 6:27MIABosh 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)14
44.8%
6
55.2%
Q1 - 6:41MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
46.8%
4
53.2%
Q1 - 6:43DALMISS Stevenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
47.5%
4
52.5%
Q1 - 6:52DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
49.0%
4
51.0%
Q1 - 6:53MIAMISS Arroyo 12' Jump Shot14
48.4%
4
51.6%
Q1 - 7:03MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
45.8%
4
54.2%
Q1 - 7:05DALIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)14
46.5%
4
53.5%
Q1 - 7:20MIAIlgauskas 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)14
48.1%
4
51.9%
Q1 - 7:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
49.9%
2
50.1%
Q1 - 7:28DALMISS Butler 7' Jump Shot14
50.6%
2
49.4%
Q1 - 7:41DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
52.2%
2
47.8%
Q1 - 7:42MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot14
51.5%
2
48.5%
Q1 - 7:51DALWade STEAL (1 STL)14
50.0%
2
50.0%
Q1 - 8:05MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)14
51.3%
2
48.7%
Q1 - 8:25DALChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
49.4%
2
50.6%
Q1 - 8:25DALChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
48.8%
2
51.2%
Q1 - 8:29MIAArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
47.3%
2
52.7%
Q1 - 8:50DALButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)12
45.4%
2
54.6%
Q1 - 8:57MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)9
41.5%
2
58.5%
Q1 - 9:13DALButler Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)9
39.0%
2
61.0%
Q1 - 9:27DALChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
40.9%
2
59.1%
Q1 - 9:29DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot9
39.6%
2
60.4%
Q1 - 9:37DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
40.9%
2
59.1%
Q1 - 9:39MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot9
40.3%
2
59.7%
Q1 - 9:53DALNowitzki 2' Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)9
39.1%
2
60.9%
Q1 - 10:18MIABosh 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
36.7%
2
63.3%
Q1 - 10:37DALKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)7
38.1%
0
61.9%
Q1 - 10:53DALChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
35.0%
0
65.0%
Q1 - 10:55MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot4
34.5%
0
65.5%
Q1 - 11:17DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)4
32.5%
0
67.5%
Q1 - 11:22DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
31.0%
0
69.0%
Q1 - 11:24MIAMISS Ilgauskas 17' Jump Shot2
30.6%
0
69.4%
Q1 - 11:45DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)2
29.7%
0
70.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Chandler: Tip to Nowitzki0
28.2%
0
71.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.08 53.8%
MIA
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
14
18
78%
MIA
7
12
58%
Midrange
DAL
11
35
31%
MIA
16
41
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
8
12.0
21
38%
57%
MIA
11
16.5
31
35%
53%
Free Throws
DAL
24
28
86%
MIA
17
25
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2652%13.0 / 25
J. Terry1956%9.5 / 17
C. Butler1359%6.5 / 11
T. Chandler8100%4.0 / 4
D. Stevenson850%4.0 / 8
J. Kidd770%3.5 / 5
S. Marion739%3.5 / 9
J. Barea660%3.0 / 5
B. Haywood4100%2.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2255%11.0 / 20
L. James1950%9.5 / 19
C. Bosh1956%9.5 / 17
M. Chalmers1354%6.5 / 12
J. Jones1071%5.0 / 7
Z. Ilgauskas850%4.0 / 8
J. Anthony583%2.5 / 3
C. Arroyo0-0.0 / 2
J. Howard0-0.0 / 2
M. Miller0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
76
+13
-13
89
MIA
77
+17
-12
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.08 53.8%
MIA
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.5
111.4
DAL 110.1 +2.2
MIA 107.9
Pace
91.5
91.3
DAL 96.2 +13.4
MIA 82.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.2
DAL 15.0 +2.4
MIA 17.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.5%
52.4%
DAL 50.0% +3.0%
MIA 47.0%
TO %
14.7%
14.4%
DAL 14.0%
MIA 11.2% +2.8%
ORB %
24.1%
25.2%
DAL 26.3%
MIA 29.6% +3.3%
FTrt
28.6
36.3
DAL 37.8 +8.0
MIA 29.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.7%
54.1%
DAL 57.6% +4.7%
MIA 52.9%
STL %
7.4%
7.3%
DAL 6.7%
MIA 7.9% +1.2%
BLK %
6.8%
8.5%
DAL 1.9%
MIA 9.4% +7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.9%
55.7%
DAL 53.8% +2.7%
MIA 51.1%
Rim FG%
62.5%
64.7%
DAL 77.8% +19.5%
MIA 58.3%
Mid FG%
44.0%
42.2%
DAL 31.4%
MIA 39.0% +7.6%
3P %
36.5%
37.0%
DAL 38.1% +2.6%
MIA 35.5%
FT %
77.7%
76.9%
DAL 85.7% +17.7%
MIA 68.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.9%
31.6%
DAL 24.3% +10.0%
MIA 14.3%
Mid Att. %
42.8%
44.9%
DAL 47.3% +1.5%
MIA 48.8%
3P Att. %
27.4%
23.5%
DAL 28.4%
MIA 36.9% +8.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.42 and 2.42.
Game TotalsDALMIA
Possessions8989
Possession Minutes22.225.8
Points9896
Rebounds4844
Assists1918
Steals67
Blocks15
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)16 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (0)28 (2)
Field Goals33-7434-84
At-the-Rim FG14-187-12
Midrange FG11-3516-41
2-Point FG25-5323-53
3-Point FG8-2111-31
Free Throws24-2817-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 7'0" 245 · 33
38.7
26
52%
9
2
1
0
0
4
0
9
10-10
100%
8-17
47%
0-4
0%
G · 6'4" 210 · 38
38.5
7
70%
4
7
0
0
3
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
C · 7'1" 240 · 28
30.8
8
100%
9
0
0
0
1
5
2
7
2-2
100%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 228 · 31
28.4
13
59%
3
3
2
0
2
1
0
3
4-5
80%
3-7
43%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 218 · 30
14.8
8
50%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-5
40%
G · 6'2" 185 · 33
30.7
19
56%
1
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
4-4
100%
3-9
33%
3-6
50%
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 33
28.9
7
39%
13
3
0
1
3
3
5
8
3-4
75%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 263 · 31
17.2
4
100%
4
0
1
0
1
3
1
3
0-1
0%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 185 · 26
11.9
6
60%
5
2
1
0
2
1
1
4
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 262 · 24
F · 6'8" 240 · 34
F · 6'10" 225 · 28
#20 · G · 6'5" 215 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'2" 185 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · C · 7'2" 248 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
54%
48
19
6
1
13
0
10
38
24-28
86%
25-53
47%
8-21
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.